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  • Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/23

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, October 23

    Good Luck on day #296 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    Someone took a survey; here are the most popular Halloween candies:

    1) Reese’s peanut butter cups 84.2%

    2) Reese’s miniatures 81.9%

    3) Twix 81.8%

    4) Kit Kat 78.8%

    5) Snickers 76.7%

    6) Reese’s Pieces 73.4%


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

    13) Oakland Raiders traded Khahil Mack to the Bears for two #1 picks before the season, then started season 1-5; Monday they traded WR Omari Cooper to Dallas, for another #1 pick, as they continue to plot for the future, when they’ll be playing home games in Las Vegas.

    Raiders now have three #1 picks in the 2019 Draft, which will be held in Nashville; too bad it isn’t in Las Vegas, because Raiders are going to be the center of attention. Raiders also have two #1 picks in the 2020 Draft.

    12) One of the values of Twitter is getting lot of diverse opinions; almost everyone said that the Raiders did very well getting a #1 pick for Cooper, but then on Monday Night Football, those guys are all saying the Cowboys made out on the deal. What gives?

    Ed Werder, who has covered the Cowboys for decades, pointed out that this is the third time Jerry Jones has traded draft picks for a star WR— the other two WR’s he got were Joey Galloway and Roy Williams. When your owner/GM is in his 70’s, draft picks tend to mean less.

    11) This from the legendary Gil Brandt on Twitter:
    lowest %age of players still on team that picked them (in last six NFL Drafts):

    16.0% Oakland Raiders
    16.3% Buffalo Bills
    20.5% New Jersey Giants
    20.7% Cleveland Browns
    24.6% San Francisco 49ers

    10) Denver Broncos haven’t had consecutive losing seasons since 1971 (4-9-1) and ’72 (5-9); they were 5-11 LY, are 3-4 this year. I’m guessing they’ll be a coaching change if they don’t finish at least .500 this season.

    9) Only three NFL teams haven’t played a regular season game outside this country; the Eagles, Packers, and Panthers. Philly plays Jacksonville in London this week.

    8) Would Auburn really cough up $32M to tell football coach Gus Malzahn to take a hike? Malzahn is 28-19 in conference games; the guy was a high school coach not that long ago, but do people at Auburn really have $32M lying around to get rid of a fairly successful coach? Wow.

    7) Oklahoma Sooners haven’t lost consecutive regular season games since 1999; they’re 39-0 SU in the games following their last 39 regular season losses.

    6) According to Astros beat reporter Brian McTaggart, Houston 2B Jose Altuve had surgery Friday to repair a patella (kneecap) avulsion fracture in his right knee. According to the Mayo Clinic website, an avulsion fracture occurs when a small chunk of bone attached to a tendon or ligament gets pulled away from the main part of the bone.

    Altuve played thru that injury since August 21, hitting .276; he is one tough dude.

    5) Cincinnati Reds showed very little imagination and hired David Bell as their new manager. Bell is a Cincinnati native and the son of current Reds executive Buddy Bell, and grandson of Gus Bell, both of whom played for Cincinnati.

    David Bell played for seven big league teams, but never for the Reds.

    Weird thing is that Bell doesn’t get to pick his own coaches; he will make recommendations, but the front office has the final say. Being a manager isn’t as big a deal as it used to be.

    4) If you read this space a lot, you know I love basketball, and I have the NBA package on DirecTV- its fun to watch the games, but it is becoming more difficult to actually follow the league.

    Everyone who plays/coaches in the league is pretty rich or really rich, but so few of them appear to be remotely happy— so much anger, and the season is a week old.

    I mean, Rondo/Paul got into a scuffle in their game Saturday night , and then Rondo’s girlfriend shoves Paul’s wife afterwards; seriously? Time for everyone to grow up some.

    Chris Paul got a two-game suspension for the fracas, that’ll cost him $491,962; the others, much less. Lakers’ Brandon Ingram ran into the scuffle and threw a punch; he got a longer suspension than either Paul or Rondo, but he doesn’t make as much $$$ as they do.

    3) College basketball has these “closed/secret” scrimmages between teams; I don’t understand why they’re kept secret, when there is money to be made showing them on TV.

    This weekend, North Carolina/Villanova scrimmaged, as did Minnesota/Creighton. Teams all over the country do it, but it is information being hidden and that hurts the sport.

    2) Weird doings at the U of Arizona; back in January, the Wildcats fired football coach Rich Rodriguez after six years after a sexual harassment allegation against the coach.

    Kevin Sumlin is the new coach; Arizona is 3-5 after a 31-30 loss at UCLA Saturday, when they used their backup QB in place of injured starter Khalil Tate- that backup is Rhett Rodriguez, son of the former coach.

    The kid played alright; 15-34 for 231 yards, with two TD’s, two INT’s, but it had to be so odd, a kid playing for the coach who replaced his fired father.

    1) Before Rodriguez got the Arizona job, he worked a season in the CBS Sports studio doing college football Saturdays; as soon as the Wildcats hired him, he was off recruiting; the first day CBS Sports had a show after Rodriguez quit, the crew had RichRod on as a guest via remote from Tucson.

    Here’s the thing; the whole one-hour show, they left the chair Rodriguez had sat in all season empty, thats the regard they held him in. After that I always rooted for his teams. Saturday night, I was rooting for his son.
    Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-23-2018, 12:57 PM.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Tuesday, October 23



      Ben Simmons (back) is a ?? here; check status. 76ers won their last two games, scoring 121.5 ppg; they lost their only road game by 18 at Boston. Over is 2-1 in Sixer games. Pistons won their first two games (over 1-1); beating Nets by 3 in only home game. 76ers won/covered last four games with Detroit; Sixers won three of last four visits to the Motor City. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.

      Clippers are off to a 2-1 start; this is their road opener. Under is 2-1 in their games. Pelicans scored 131-149 points in winning their first two games (over 2-0), beating Kings by 20 in only home game. Clippers lost four of last five games with New Orleans; they’re 3-3 vs spread in their last six visits to Bourbon Street. Four of last five series games stayed under the total.

      Kings lost two of first three games (2-1 vs spread); all three games went over- they split two road games, winning in Oklahoma Sunday. Nuggets won/covered their first three games (under 3-0): they beat the Warriors in last game Sunday. Denver won/covered five of last six games with Sacramento; Kings are 0-3 vs spread in their last three visits to Colorado. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games.
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-23-2018, 12:59 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA

        Tuesday, October 23


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        Philadelphia 76ers
        Philadelphia is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
        Philadelphia is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
        Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Philadelphia is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games on the road
        Philadelphia is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 8 games on the road
        Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
        Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Detroit
        Philadelphia is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
        Philadelphia is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
        Detroit Pistons
        Detroit is 10-5 ATS in its last 15 games
        Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
        Detroit is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
        Detroit is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games at home
        Detroit is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
        Detroit is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
        Detroit is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Philadelphia
        Detroit is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
        Detroit is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia


        Los Angeles Clippers
        LA Clippers is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
        LA Clippers is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 9 games
        LA Clippers is 15-8 ATS in its last 23 games on the road
        LA Clippers is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games on the road
        LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
        LA Clippers is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing New Orleans
        LA Clippers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Orleans
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing New Orleans
        LA Clippers is 5-15 ATS in its last 20 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
        LA Clippers is 6-14 SU in its last 20 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
        The total has gone OVER in 15 of LA Clippers's last 23 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
        New Orleans Pelicans
        New Orleans is 14-2 ATS in its last 16 games
        New Orleans is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 9 games
        New Orleans is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
        New Orleans is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 7 games at home
        New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
        New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
        New Orleans is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing LA Clippers
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
        New Orleans is 15-5 ATS in its last 20 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
        New Orleans is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
        The total has gone OVER in 15 of New Orleans's last 23 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing at home against LA Clippers


        Sacramento Kings
        Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        Sacramento is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Sacramento's last 14 games
        Sacramento is 13-6 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
        Sacramento is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games on the road
        Sacramento is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver
        Sacramento is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Denver
        The total has gone OVER in 10 of Sacramento's last 15 games when playing Denver
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing Denver
        Sacramento is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Denver
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver
        Denver Nuggets
        Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
        Denver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games
        Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games at home
        Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
        Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
        The total has gone OVER in 10 of Denver's last 15 games when playing Sacramento
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games when playing Sacramento
        Denver is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Sacramento
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 8 games when playing at home against Sacramento


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-23-2018, 01:00 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Long Sheet

          Tuesday, October 23


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          PHILADELPHIA (2 - 1) at DETROIT (2 - 0) - 10/23/2018, 7:05 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          PHILADELPHIA is 5-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
          PHILADELPHIA is 5-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          LA CLIPPERS (2 - 1) at NEW ORLEANS (2 - 0) - 10/23/2018, 8:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NEW ORLEANS is 54-38 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          NEW ORLEANS is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
          NEW ORLEANS is 4-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          SACRAMENTO (1 - 2) at DENVER (3 - 0) - 10/23/2018, 9:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          SACRAMENTO is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          DENVER is 5-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
          DENVER is 5-3 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




          NBA
          Dunkel

          Tuesday, October 23



          Philadelphia @ Detroit

          Game 701-702
          October 23, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Philadelphia
          00.000
          Detroit
          00.000
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Philadelphia

          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Philadelphia

          Dunkel Pick:
          Philadelphia
          ( );

          LA Clippers @ New Orleans

          Game 703-704
          October 23, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          LA Clippers
          116.451
          New Orleans
          125.870
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          New Orleans
          by 9 1/2
          242
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          New Orleans
          by 5 1/2
          233
          Dunkel Pick:
          New Orleans
          (-5 1/2); Over

          Sacramento @ Denver


          Game 705-706
          October 23, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Sacramento
          116.777
          Denver
          124.950
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Denver
          by 8
          222
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Denver
          by 11 1/2
          227 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Sacramento
          (+11 1/2); Under
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-23-2018, 01:01 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Dunkel

            Tuesday, October 23



            Philadelphia @ Detroit

            Game 701-702
            October 23, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Philadelphia
            124.312
            Detroit
            113.404
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Philadelphia
            by 11
            213
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Philadelphia
            by 2
            218
            Dunkel Pick:
            Philadelphia
            (-2); Under

            Comment


            • #7
              By: Monique Vág


              SOLID PERIMETER DEFENSE

              The Pistons have only allowed opponents to make six 3-point shots through their first two games, holding opponents to 25 percent shooting from beyond the arc. That perimeter defense will be put to test tonight against the sharp shooters of the 76ers.

              Sixers shooting guard JJ Redick finds himself in a tricky situation as a player that relies heavily on the 3-point shot versus a Pistons team that is the best in the Association at defending the 3-point shot. The Pistons have also been great versus opposing shooting guards, limiting to only 20 points a game. Look at taking Redick Under his point total of 18.5.


              INFLATED TOTAL

              Despite the big total, both the Pistons and 76ers have held opponents to a respectable scoring average of 108, and 109.3 points per game. Detroit has been great at limiting second chance points for opponents surrendering an average of only five offensive rebounds per game, half of what Philadelphia gives up with 10.3, who ranks as the 12th best.

              With two teams not putting up a lot of points, but doing a good job not surrendering a lot of points, look for this matchup to be closely contested and end up way Under the total of 216.


              PELICANS LEADING SCORER

              The Pelicans scored 131 points in their season opener and followed that up 149 in Game 2. All five of their starters are averaging double digits points per game, but it’s power forward Nikola Mirotic having the biggest impact thus far, shooting 55 percent from the field in the opener, including 6 of 8 from three. In Game 2 he went 14 of 21, and 5 of 9 from beyond the arc. Along with averaging 33 points, Mirotic is also contributing 9.5 rebounds and 2 assists per game. Take Over 30.5 points, rebounds, and assists in today’s matchup versus the Clippers.


              EARLY SUCCESS A NECESSITY

              The Kings are allowing an average of 34 first quarter points per game. Despite surrendering so many points, they’re also scoring the second most first quarter points with an average of 33.3 points per game. A good start is a must against a strong looking Nuggets team.

              Despite slowing down a little bit in the second quarter, they still averaging 62 first half points per game. In a game that appears to be headed for a blowout late, take Sacramento first half points Over as they should be able to keep things competitive early.


              FANTASTIC MR. FOX

              Sacramento’s point guard De’Aaron Fox is off to a great start shooting over 50 percent in each of the Kings three games averaging 20.3 points per game. He’s also contributing in other areas, averaging 5.5 rebounds per game, and 7.7 assists.

              With Kosta Koufous and Bogdan Bogdanovic out, Fox finds himself in a favorable matchup today versus a Denver defense that is one of the worst in the league versus opposing point guards, allowing 22.6 points and 9.2 assists per game. Take Over on Fox’s points, rebounds, and assists total of 27.5 as his success early on is integral to the Kings keeping the game close.

              Comment

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