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Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/21

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  • Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 10/21

    Trends and Indexes

    Sunday, October 21

    Good Luck on day #294 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

    Top 6 picks in Week 7 of Westgate SuperBook NFL handicapping contest (3,123 entries)

    1) Vikings, -3 (1,192)

    2) Patriots, -3 (966)

    3) Chiefs, -6 (886)

    4) Lions, -2.5 (841)

    5) Ravens, -3.5 (837)

    6) Buccaneers, -3 (743)

    Season record: 15-19-2


    **********

    Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

    13) Purdue 49, Ohio State 20— Boilermakers led this game 14-3 at halftime; Ohio State threw 73 passes, ran ball only 25 times in an ugly loss.

    Ohio State threw 73 passes? Woody Hayes must be turning over in his grave.

    Chances are there is lot going on behind the scenes in Columbus:
    — Urban Meyer didn’t coach the first three games (suspended) this season.
    — Star DE Joey Rosa bolted school this week to get ready for the NFL Draft
    — Buckeyes have a freshman QB from Las Vegas sitting on the bench who is more of a runner; could it be they’re going to use him in packages, to balance out their offense?

    12) Michigan 21, Michigan State 7— Spartans ran 51 plays in this game, for only 94 yards- they were 0-12 on third down, completed only 7-28 passes, ran ball 23 times for 15 yards. Just total domination by Michigan’s defense.

    In their last two games, Michigan opponents completed 14-48 passes.

    There was a 65-minute lightning delay in the first quarter; don’t think it had an effect on the outcome.

    11) Washington State 34, Oregon 20— ESPN’s Game Day was in Pullman Saturday morning; the crowd was estimated at “over 40,000 people” and the show started before the sun came out in the western time zone. These are the glory days for Wazzu football, and they had Drew Bledsoe play there in the 90’s.

    Mike Leach makes $2.95M a year; he went 84-43 at Texas Tech, is 43-39 at Washington State; ain’t easy to win at the big-time level in Lubbock and/or Pullman. Wazzu was 9-40 the four years before Leach arrived— keep that in mind.

    10) LSU 19, Mississippi State 3— Bayou Bengals have a kicker named Cole Tracy who is a grad transfer from Assumption, a small school in Worcester, MA. He may be the only person in the history of man to transfer from Assumption to LSU, especially to play football.

    9) Old Dominion 37, Western Kentucky 34— You won’t see a stranger end to a game.

    Hilltoppers scored a TD run to go ahead 34-27 with 1:37 left.

    Old Dominion came back and tied the game 34-34 on a TD pass with 0:10 left.

    WKU missed a long FG at the gun, but the Monarchs had 12 men on the field, so Hilltoppers got another try to win the game.

    WKU misses the next kick short; Old Dominion runs the ball all the way back to the Hilltopper 15-yard line, and there is a facemark penalty on the play against WKU, so they get to kick the game-winning FG.

    Damn, thats a brutal way to lose.

    8) Marshall 31, Florida Atlantic 7— Yardage was about even here, but Owls were -5 in turnovers; Marshall’s first three TD drives were only 43-27-13 yards.

    You go minus-5 in turnovers, you’re going to lose.

    7) Upsets of the Week:
    — Purdue (+13.5) 49, Ohio State 20— Fun night in West Lafayette, ya think?
    — Virginia (+7) 28, Duke 14
    — SMU (+7) 27, Tulane 23
    — Old Dominion (+5) 37, Western Kentucky 34

    6) Syracuse 40, North Carolina 37 OT— Orangemen tied game on a 42-yard TD pass with 1:39 left in regulation, then won the game in OT to improve their record to 5-2. UNC is 1-5, losing its last two games by three points each.

    5) Army 31, Miami OH 30 OT— Miami scored TD in OT to make scored 31-30, then went for two points and the win instead of the tying PAT- they didn’t get it, so they lose.

    Not a fan of going for two there, especially since Miami was playing a service academy, so chances are Miami has a better kicker than Army.

    Akron 24, Kent State 23 OT— Golden Flashes did same damn thing, and they lost, too.

    4) Penn State 33, Indiana 28— Hoosiers passed up an easy FG with about 2:00 left in first half, but got ball back, then screwed up their clock management and never got a FG attempt off. They will be sick thinking about the chances they squandered in this game.

    Indiana had 32 first downs; they outgained Penn State 554-417. But they lost, turning ball over three times and going 9-21 on third down.

    3) Alabama 58, Tennessee 21— Why are Alabama games always on TV? They’re boring as hell; Alabama is so much better than everyone else, their games suck to watch. Total yardage in the first quarter of this game was 217-6.

    Crimson Tide’s first TD came 4:02 into the game; that was the longest Alabama has gone all season before scoring their first TD of a game.

    That Alabama-Citadel game on November 17 should be awesome.

    2) Houston 49, Navy 36— Middies led this game 24-21 at halftime; didn’t even cover the 12.5-point spread. This is Navy’s worst team maybe since a 2-10 team in 2002.

    1) Dodgers-Red Sox World Series; the TV moguls have to be pleased.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Long Sheet

      Sunday, October 21


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      ATLANTA (0 - 2) at CLEVELAND (0 - 2) - 10/21/2018, 6:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      ATLANTA is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
      CLEVELAND is 43-61 ATS (-24.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      CLEVELAND is 24-48 ATS (-28.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
      CLEVELAND is 17-34 ATS (-20.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
      CLEVELAND is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
      CLEVELAND is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
      CLEVELAND is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      ATLANTA is 6-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
      CLEVELAND is 4-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
      8 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SACRAMENTO (0 - 2) at OKLAHOMA CITY (0 - 2) - 10/21/2018, 7:05 PM
      There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      SACRAMENTO is 5-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
      OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
      4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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      GOLDEN STATE (2 - 0) at DENVER (2 - 0) - 10/21/2018, 8:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      DENVER is 178-225 ATS (-69.5 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      DENVER is 4-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
      GOLDEN STATE is 4-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      HOUSTON (1 - 1) at LA CLIPPERS (1 - 1) - 10/21/2018, 9:05 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      HOUSTON is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
      HOUSTON is 22-7 ATS (+14.3 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      LA CLIPPERS is 4-3 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
      HOUSTON is 4-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
      5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------




      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Sunday, October 21


      Hawks lost their first two games, both on road, by 19-14 points, allowing 128.5 ppg; both games went over. Cleveland lost its first two games, both on road, by 12-8 points (over 2-0). Cavaliers won their last three games with Atlanta, but Hawks covered five of last six series tilts. Road team won eight of last ten series games; Atlanta covered its last four visits to Ohio. Over is 9-1 in last ten series games.

      Sacramento lost its first two games by 6-20 points, allowing 136 ppg (over 2-0). Oklahoma City lost its first two games, both on road and both without Westbrook, by 8-16 points. Thunder won five of last six games with Sacramento; under is 4-1 in last five series games. Kings covered three of their last four visits to Oklahoma.

      Golden State won its first two games by 1-8 points (0-2 vs spread, over 1-1). Denver won its first two games by 9-28 points (under 2-0). Nuggets are 3-2 in their last five games with Golden State; over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Warriors lost three of last five visits to Denver (2-3 vs spread).

      Houston beat Lakers in this building last nite; they split first two games (over 2-0). Clippers split their first two games, both at home (under 2-0). Rockets/Clippers split their last ten games; Houston is 2-3 in last five series games played here. Under is 5-1 in last six series games. Chris Paul was ejected for fighting last nite; unsure if he gets suspended for this game or not.




      NBA

      Sunday, October 21


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      Atlanta Hawks
      Atlanta is 7-13-1 ATS in its last 21 games
      Atlanta is 4-16 SU in its last 20 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games
      Atlanta is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
      Atlanta is 3-14 SU in its last 17 games on the road
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games on the road
      Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
      Atlanta is 4-15 SU in its last 19 games when playing Cleveland
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
      Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
      Atlanta is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
      Cleveland Cavaliers
      Cleveland is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Cleveland's last 6 games
      Cleveland is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta
      Cleveland is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games when playing Atlanta
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Atlanta
      Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta
      Cleveland is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Atlanta
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing at home against Atlanta


      Sacramento Kings
      Sacramento is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Sacramento's last 13 games
      Sacramento is 12-6 ATS in its last 18 games on the road
      Sacramento is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games on the road
      Sacramento is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
      Sacramento is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oklahoma City
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
      Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
      Sacramento is 1-17 SU in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
      Oklahoma City Thunder
      Oklahoma City is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games
      Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
      Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
      Oklahoma City is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Sacramento
      Oklahoma City is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Sacramento
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento


      Golden State Warriors
      Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Golden State's last 16 games
      Golden State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
      Golden State is 2-9-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Denver
      Golden State is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Denver
      The total has gone OVER in 11 of Golden State's last 13 games when playing Denver
      Golden State is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Denver
      Golden State is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games when playing on the road against Denver
      The total has gone OVER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing on the road against Denver
      Denver Nuggets
      Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
      Denver is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games
      Denver is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
      Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games at home
      Denver is 9-2-2 ATS in its last 13 games when playing Golden State
      Denver is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Golden State
      The total has gone OVER in 11 of Denver's last 13 games when playing Golden State
      Denver is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing at home against Golden State
      Denver is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games when playing at home against Golden State
      The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing at home against Golden State


      Houston Rockets
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games
      Houston is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
      Houston is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games on the road
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games on the road
      Houston is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers
      Houston is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
      Los Angeles Clippers
      LA Clippers is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
      LA Clippers is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
      LA Clippers is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
      LA Clippers is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
      LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Houston
      LA Clippers is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against Houston
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing at home against Houston


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-21-2018, 01:08 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Dunkel

        Sunday, October 21



        Atlanta @ Cleveland

        Game 701-702
        October 21, 2018 @ 6:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Atlanta
        110.672
        Cleveland
        115.870
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Cleveland
        by 5
        234
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Cleveland
        by 7 1/2
        230
        Dunkel Pick:
        Atlanta
        (+7 1/2); Over

        Sacramento @ Oklahoma City


        Game 703-704
        October 21, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Sacramento
        113.794
        Oklahoma City
        120.693
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Oklahoma City
        by 7
        206
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Oklahoma City
        by 9 1/2
        216 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Sacramento
        (+9 1/2); Under

        Golden State @ Denver


        Game 705-706
        October 21, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Golden State
        127.875
        Denver
        128.423
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Denver
        by 1
        214
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Golden State
        by 4
        228 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Denver
        (+4); Under

        Houston @ LA Clippers


        Game 707-708
        October 21, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Houston
        121.865
        LA Clippers
        116.464
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Houston
        by 5 1/2
        212
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Houston
        by 1 1/2
        223 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Houston
        (-1 1/2); Under
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 10-21-2018, 01:08 PM.

        Comment

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