Announcement

**Udog** · 07-20-2018, 09:44 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Odds to win the ACC football championship:

1-2— Clemson Tigers

3-1— Miami Hurricanes

7-1— Florida State Seminoles

8-1— Virginia Tech Hokies

30-1— Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

40-1— Duke, Louisville, NC State

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Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) Cleveland Indians acquired relievers Brad Hand, Adam Cinder from the Padres, in exchange for hitting prospect Francisco Mejia, who is a catcher/OF. Cleveland’s bullpen is a mess, so this was necessary for the Tribe, while Yan Gomes’ resurgence made Mejia more expendable.

12) Washington plays Auburn on September 1st; over last seven years, there have been only 11 football games between SEC/Pac-12 teams. SEC is 8-3 in those 11 games, but Pac-12 teams won both meetings last season.

11) They experimented with a new rule at NBA Summer League; when a team got an offensive rebound, the shot clock re-set to 0:14, not 0:24. Makes sense; think that rule would have more of an impact in college than the pros.

10) If you like to make “first 5 innings” bets on Washington Nationals games, don’t play on the Nats when Tanner Roark pitches. Washington is 3-10 in Roark’s last 13 starts, 1-12 in the first five innings of those games.

9) Since 2013, UConn’s football team is 0-11 vs spread as a home favorite, 2-17 since 2011.

Since 2012, UNLV’s football team is 21-8 as a road underdog.

8) Remember when Blockbuster video stores were all over the place? There is only one left in the whole country now, in Bend, Oregon.

7) There is a statistic in college basketball called “Minutes Continuity” which measures how much the current players have played together. I find it pretty useful.

There are 351 Division I teams; here is UNLV’s minutes continuity the last five years:

334-347-310-350-311. Thats almost a whole new roster every season.

Here is Kentucky’s: 336-176-335-322-348.
Here is Duke’s: 207-266-334-180-339

Difference is, Duke/Kentucky are getting best freshmen in country, UNLV doesn’t. This year, their continuity should be a little better, and their record should improve. Last time Rebels had a winning record in the Mountain West was 2013-14.

6) By way of comparison, Loyola of Chicago made the Final Four last year, after having their first winning conference season in 11 years. Their minutes continuity? #82.

5) Denver Nuggets’ #1 draft pick Michael Porter Jr had another procedure done on his back last week; for a young kid, he’s had a lot of physical issues. Nuggets haven’t written off him playing this coming season, but he played only 2 or 3 games for Missouri last year.

4) Part of the reason there was such a scramble for QB’s in April’s NFL Draft is that this year’s crop of college QB’s is expected to be especially weak. Think about it: Oklahoma’s quarterback has already signed a pro baseball contract for next year.

Maybe things will change drastically once the games start next month, but for now, scouts are down on this year’s crop of signal callers.

3) Stephen Curry is the only player from the ’09 NBA draft still with his original team.

2) Oklahoma City traded Carmelo Anthony and a protected ’22 1st-round pick to Atlanta for PG Dennis Schroder, Mike Muscala. Anthony will be waived and become a free agent. A team that doesn’t care about defense will sign him.

Trade gives Oklahoma City gets huge salary and luxury tax savings, and having Schroder allows them to play Russell Westbrook off the ball for 20 or so minutes a game.

1) 5 ways to think like a champion, from best-selling author/motivational guru Jon Gordon:
a) Champions expect to win.
b) Champions celebrate the small wins.
c) Champions don’t make excuses when they don’t win.
d) Champions focus on what they get to do, not what they have to do.
e) Champions believe they will experience more wins in the future.

**Udog** · 07-20-2018, 09:49 AM

WNBA
Dunkel

Friday, July 20

Seattle @ Connecticut

Game 315-316
July 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
111.307
Connecticut
116.756
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Connecticut
by 5 1/2
164
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Connecticut
by 2
173 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Connecticut
(-2); Under

Dallas @ Chicago

Game 317-318
July 20, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
117.754
Chicago
100.315
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 17 1/2
174
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 6 1/2
179 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-6 1/2); Under

Indiana @ Los Angeles

Game 319-320
July 20, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
99.082
Los Angeles
113.034
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 14
163
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 17 1/2
157
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+17 1/2); Over

WNBA
Long Sheet

Friday, July 20

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SEATTLE (17 - 6) at CONNECTICUT (12 - 11) - 7/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CONNECTICUT is 28-12 ATS (+14.8 Units) as a home favorite of 3 points or less since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
SEATTLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in July games over the last 2 seasons.
CONNECTICUT is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.
CONNECTICUT is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
CONNECTICUT is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CONNECTICUT is 4-4 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 4-4 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (14 - 9) at CHICAGO (7 - 16) - 7/20/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games in July games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
DALLAS is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
DALLAS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 13-6 ATS (+6.4 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DALLAS is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.
CHICAGO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in a home game where where the total is greater than or equal to 150 over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games in May, June, or July games over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in home games after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 36-56 ATS (-25.6 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
CHICAGO is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-3 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (2 - 21) at LOS ANGELES (14 - 9) - 7/20/2018, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in July games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 8-15 ATS (-8.5 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
INDIANA is 18-29 ATS (-13.9 Units) after allowing 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 38-26 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) against Eastern conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LOS ANGELES is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 10-25 ATS (-17.5 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points since 1997.
LOS ANGELES is 50-72 ATS (-29.2 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 4-4 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 6-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Friday, July 20

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Trend Report
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Seattle Storm
Seattle is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Seattle's last 5 games on the road
Seattle is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Connecticut
Seattle is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Seattle is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games when playing on the road against Connecticut
Connecticut Sun
Connecticut is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Connecticut is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Connecticut's last 8 games
Connecticut is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Connecticut is 16-6 SU in its last 22 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Connecticut's last 12 games at home
Connecticut is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Connecticut is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Seattle
Connecticut is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle

Dallas Wings
Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
Dallas is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Dallas's last 14 games
Dallas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Chicago
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Dallas is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago Sky
Chicago is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
Chicago is 5-10-1 ATS in its last 16 games at home
Chicago is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Dallas
Chicago is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

Indiana Fever
Indiana is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Indiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 6 games
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Indiana is 1-17 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 10 games on the road
Indiana is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Indiana is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Los Angeles
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Indiana's last 13 games when playing Los Angeles
Indiana is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Indiana is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Indiana is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Indiana's last 18 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles Sparks
Los Angeles is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Los Angeles is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Los Angeles is 15-6-1 ATS in its last 22 games at home
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Los Angeles is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Los Angeles's last 14 games at home
Los Angeles is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
Los Angeles is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Los Angeles's last 13 games when playing Indiana
Los Angeles is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Indiana
Los Angeles is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Indiana
Los Angeles is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Los Angeles's last 18 games when playing at home against Indiana

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Announcement

Friday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/20

Friday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/20

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