Saturday's WNBA Trends and Indexes - 7/14

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Saturday, July 14

Good Luck on day #195 of 2018!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.


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[Udog]

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…….

13) In 2012, Kansas City Chiefs went 2-12; they were -24 in turnovers, so they fired coach Romeo Crennel and hired Andy Reid.

In five years since, Chiefs have been +18/-3/+14/+16/+15 in turnovers, and are 53-27.

12) Alex Smith was KC’s QB in all five of those years, but now he is in Washington and the new QB is Patrick Mahomes, who started in Week 17 LY, throwing for 284 yards in a 27-24 win in Denver. It was his first NFL start.

My question in this; can the Chiefs maintain a positive turnover ratio in double digits despite playing a first-time starting QB? They almost have to turn the ball over more this season, given the normal learning curve for a young QB.

11) From 2000-16, 77 NFL teams were +10 or better in turnovers; of those 77 teams, 58 had worse records the following season, 8 had better records, 11 stayed the same, which suggests that a hugely positive turnover ratio gave the team some luck that is tough to sustain.

35 of the 58 teams whose record regressed won 3+ fewer games the following season.

10) Last year, six NFL teams had a turnover ratio of +10 or better: Ravens +17, Chiefs +15, Chargers +12, Eagles +11, Lions/Jaguars +10.

9) From 2000-16, 92 NFL teams were -10 or worse in turnovers; of those 92 teams, 61 had better records the next year, 21 had worse records, 10 stayed the same.

41 of the 61 teams whose records improved won 3+ more gams the following season.

8) Last year, five NFL teams had a turnover ratio of -10 or worse: Browns -28, Broncos -17, Dolphins/Raiders -14, Texans -12.

7) Going back to the Ravens’ +17 turnover ratio LY, it was the best turnover ratio in the NFL since the ’15 Panthers were +20, but Baltimore missed the playoffs!!!! How are you +17 in turnovers and not a playoff team? It may help explain why they drafted Lamar Jackson.

6) Sounds like kids will be able to go right from high school to the NBA starting in 2022, which means NBA teams should start scouting 9th graders this winter.

5) Jimmy Butler turned down the Timberwolves’ offer of a 4-year, $110M extension, which suggests “Why does Minnesota have a team if their best player won’t take $27.5M a year to play there?” How can the Wolves ever be any good?

4) Chase Utley announced that he’ll retire after this season; the entire Dodger team was at his announcement, a signal of how well-respected he is by teammates.

Utley has solid career numbers; is he a Hall of Famer? I think it is debatable- there were some former ballplayers on Twitter Friday saying he is a no-brainer yes. I’m not so sure— if Jeff Kent isn’t in, why should Utley be in?

3) Atlanta Hawks traded for G Jeremy Lin, who tore his patellar tendon on opening night last season, forcing him to miss the entire year. Lin averaged 14.5 ppg, 5.1 apg and 1.2 steals/game in 2016-17, his first year with Brooklyn.

Nets also acquired Kenneth Faried from Denver, who is owed $13.8M next season, Darrell Arthur, a top-12 protected 2019 first-round pick and a future 2nd-round pick in for Isaiah Whitehead.

The move saves Denver $21M and keeps them from paying the luxury tax. Whitehead will get waived by the Nuggets and become a free agent.

2) Phoenix Suns were 8-1 betting favorites to win the Las Vegas Summer League; they lost their first tournament game, 88-86 to the 76ers. So much for that.

I’m not uncertain that wagering on the summer league is a bad idea.

1) From hoopshype.com, an interesting story about and NBA player and agents:

“I have one really messed-up story involving my agent. When I was an unrestricted free agent, I was hoping to join this one team that really liked me and my agent seemed optimistic that we could figure out a deal. I really wanted to go there; it seemed great and it checked all the boxes that I wanted.

I wasn’t too involved in the talks, my agent just kept updating me every now and then on what was happening. Well, I ended up getting word from someone in the organization that my agent was trying use me to get more money for another one of his clients, who was already on that team. He was telling the team to re-sign his other client at a certain amount and saying they would also be able to sign me at a discount.

I was furious when I found out. I fired my agent and, for some time after that incident, I had a really hard time trusting agents who wanted to step in and represent me.”

Lot of agents are weasels.

[Udog]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, July 14

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DALLAS (12 - 8) at SEATTLE (15 - 6) - 7/14/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 123-86 ATS (+28.4 Units) in home games vs. division opponents since 1997.
DALLAS is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in all games this season.
DALLAS is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.
DALLAS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after allowing 75 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SEATTLE is 4-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
SEATTLE is 4-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WNBA

Saturday, July 14

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Trend Report
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Dallas Wings
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Dallas's last 11 games
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games on the road
Dallas is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Seattle
Dallas is 5-11 ATS in its last 16 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Dallas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Seattle
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing on the road against Seattle
Seattle Storm
Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Seattle is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Seattle's last 6 games
Seattle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games at home
Seattle is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
Seattle is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 games when playing at home against Dallas
Seattle is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas


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[Udog]

WNBA
Dunkel

Saturday, July 14


Dallas @ Seattle

Game 611-612
July 14, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
118.405
Seattle
115.184
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 3
168
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 5 1/2
173 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+5 1/2); Under

[Udog]

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Odds to win the Big 14 football title game, Dec 1 in Indianapolis:

10-11: Ohio State Buckeyes

5-2: Wisconsin Badgers

4-1: Michigan Wolverines

5-1: Penn State Nittany Lions

12-1: Michigan State Spartans

40-1: Nebraska Cornhuskers, Iowa Hawkeyes