Announcement

**Udog** · 03-30-2018, 07:11 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Opening Day attendance figures:

— Cubs @ Marlins: 32,151 (mostly Cub fans)

— Cardinals @ Mets: 44,189, including Phil/Evan Pivnick

— Twins @ Orioles: 45,469

— Astros @ Rangers: 47,253

— Red Sox @ Rays: 31,042

— Angels @ A’s: 27,764. Hey the A’s are tied for first place. This was their first daytime home opener since 1994.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Wrapping up Opening Day and other stuff

13) I used to be a minor league official scorer, long time ago (back when I had hair); if I kept score of games today, I’d code the field 3-9 instead of players, to account for shifting in the field.

For instance, Houston used four OF’s vs Joey Gallo Thursday; he flied out to 3B Alex Bregman, who was playing in left field. Traditional scoring would say F5, since Bregman plays 3B, but I’d say F7, since Gallo hit the ball to left field.

I’d supplement my scorebook with written notes on who actually caught the ball, but thats how I’d score a game now. Just think it would be more accurate.

12) Rays 6, Red Sox 4— Chris Sale allowed no runs, one hit in six IP (92 PT), then the Boston bullpen blew the lead in the 8th inning, allowing four walks, two hits, with Denard Span’s 3-run triple the big hit.

11) Dodger TV guy Joe Davis said there were 90 mound visits (90!!!) in Game 7 of the World Series last year. the limit this year will be six per team; ummm, thats a little different.

10) Cubs 8, Marlins 4- Roof was open at Marlins’ Park Thursday; it was open for six home games out of 78 LY and Miami was 0-6 in those games. Marlins are not a MLB-quality team right now- they’re going to lose a lot of games.

For the record, Ian Happ was the first batter this season and he hit a home run.

9) If you care about such things, Josh Donaldson led MLB last year, 15 1st-inning homers. Giancarlo Stanton was next, with 14. Stanton hit one in the first inning in Toronto Thursday, and then he hit another one in the 9th inning.

8) Astros 4, Rangers 1— When Joey Gallo batted with bases empty, Houston played four guys in OF with no fielders on left side of the infield. Actually, Altuve was in the OF too, in short RF, so they had five guys in the outfield.

7) McDonald’s All-American Darius Bazley decommitted from Syracuse, becoming the first top high school prospect to choose turning pro in the G League, where he’ll make $26,000, instead of spending a few months in college. Maybe he’ll get a small shoe contract.

Bazley is a 6-9 kid from the Cincinnati area; he’ll sign a pro contract when he turns 18 in June. Big gamble on his part— if he were to get hurt, then what? If he gets hurt in college, he’s still in college and has the school’s resources at his disposal. He won’t be property of an NBA team next year, just the G-League team. He’ll be eligible for the 2019 NBA Draft.

6) White Sox 11, Royals 4— Matt Davidson hit three homers for Chicago; maybe I should’ve picked him up in my fantasy league, back when he was available. Whoops.

5) RIP Rusty Staub 73, who played 23 years in the big leagues, breaking in with the Houston Colt .45’s in 1963. Le Grand Orange, as he was known in Montreal, made six All-Star teams and had a career OB% of .362 with 292 career homers. He owned a popular restaurant in Manhattan for years after he retired from playing.

Think about how times have changed; in 1963, there was a baseball team named after a gun and an NBA team called the Baltimore Bullets.

4) Braves 8, Phillies 5— Phils led this game 5-2 in 8th, but Atlanta rallied, and Nick Markakis hit a walk-off homer to send Braves fans home happy.

Atlanta catcher Tyler Flowers is the first player this season to leave a game with an injury— he suffered an oblique injury in the second inning.

3) Orioles 3, Twins 2 (11)— Not 100% sure, but Zach Duke may very well be the first pitcher ever to strike out four batters in an inning on Opening Day- he struck out four Orioles in the 7th inning.

Adam Jones hit a walk-off homer in the 11th inning to send everyone home happy, after Orioles blew a 2-0 lead in the ninth inning.

2) Brewers 2, Padres 1 (12)— Bill Schroeder is a former big league catcher who is a really good analyst; Padres had two on, one out in the 7th inning Thursday with Milwaukee leading 1-0, and Schroeder says more than once (three times??) that reliever Josh Hader can get Austin Hedges out with a slider, almost like he is trying to use telepathy to get him to throw it.

Eventually, Hader throws the slider and strikes Hedges out.

1— Louisville QB Lamar Jackson threw 59 passes, took snaps under center in front of reps from all 32 NFL teams Thursday, but he wouldn’t run a 40-yard dash, because everyone knows he is fast enough to play QB and he ain’t interested in being a wide receiver. Good for him.

**Udog** · 03-30-2018, 07:37 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 30

Bulls won six of last seven games with the Magic; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Last ten series games stayed under the total. Chicago lost its last seven games; they’re 2-11 vs spread in last 13 games as road underdogs. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Orlando lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 1-9 as home favorites this season. Four of their last five games stayed under.

Embiid (orbital fracture) is out. Hawks won seven of last eight games with Philly, six of which went over total. 76ers are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Atlanta. Sixers won their last eight games, covered last six; they’re 3-7 in last ten games as road favorites. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Atlanta lost nine of its last ten games; they’re 4-7 in last 11 games as home dogs. Six of their last nine games went over.

Home side won last seven New Orleans-Cleveland games; Pelicans are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Ohio. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games. New Orleans split its last eight games; they’re 4-2 in last six games as road underdogs. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Cavaliers won six of their last seven games; they covered last three tries as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under.

Thunder lost three of last four games with Denver; under is 4-1 in last five series games. Nuggets covered three of last four visits to Oklahoma. Denver lost four of its last six games; they’re 5-3 in last eight games as road underdogs. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. OKC lost three of its last four games; they’re 4-7 in last 11 games as home favorites, 5-6 if they played night before. Last four Thunder games stayed under.

Rockets won their last seven games with Phoenix (5-2 vs spread); over is 7-2 in last nine series games. Suns are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Houston. Phoenix lost its last ten games; they are 5-8 in last 13 games as road underdogs. Suns’ last five games stayed under. Houston won its last ten games; they’re 5-1 vs spread in their last six home games. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Minnesota won its last four games with Dallas; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Dallas. Under is 8-1-1 in last ten series games. Timberwolves are 3-4 in last seven games; they’re 1-6 in last seven games as road favorites. Six of their last eight games went over total. Mavericks lost six of their last seven games; they’re 3-6 in last nine games as home underdogs. Last three Dallas games stayed under.

Utah/Memphis split their last ten meetings; Grizzlies are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Utah. Seven of last nine series games stayed under. Memphis won its last two games after a 1-22 skid; Grizzlies are 2-4 vs spread in last six games as road underdog. Six of their last nine games went over total. Jazz lost three of last five games; they’re 0-3 vs spread in last three games as a home favorite. Three of their last four games went over.

Bucks won three of last four games with the Lakers; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four series tilts played here. Three of last four series games stayed under. Milwaukee won three of its last four games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six games as road underdogs. Nine of their last ten games went over the total. Los Angeles lost five of its last seven games; they’re 8-5 as home favorites this year. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Portland is 6-4 in its last ten games with the Clippers; over is 5-3 in last eight series games. LA is 3-2 vs spread in its last five visits to Oregon. Clippers won four of their last five games; they’re 2-4 in last six games as a road underdog. Last four Clipper games stayed under. Trailblazers are 2-3 in their last five games; they’re 7-1 vs spread in last eight games as home favorites. Four of their last six games went over.

**Udog** · 03-30-2018, 07:38 AM

NBA

Friday, March 30

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Trend Report
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CHICAGO @ ORLANDO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing Chicago

PHILADELPHIA @ ATLANTA
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Atlanta is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Philadelphia

NEW ORLEANS @ CLEVELAND
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
New Orleans is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Cleveland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

DENVER @ OKLAHOMA CITY
Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Denver
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

PHOENIX @ HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix

MINNESOTA @ DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Dallas
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Minnesota

MEMPHIS @ UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing Utah
Memphis is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Memphis

MILWAUKEE @ LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road
LA Lakers is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games at home
LA Lakers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Milwaukee

LA CLIPPERS @ PORTLAND
LA Clippers is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Portland is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home
Portland is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games

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**Udog** · 03-30-2018, 09:15 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, March 30

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CHICAGO (24 - 51) at ORLANDO (22 - 52) - 3/30/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.
ORLANDO is 66-87 ATS (-29.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 28-48 ATS (-24.8 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ORLANDO is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-5 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
10 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (44 - 30) at ATLANTA (21 - 54) - 3/30/2018, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 7-1 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 7-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (43 - 32) at CLEVELAND (45 - 30) - 3/30/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (40 - 35) at OKLAHOMA CITY (44 - 32) - 3/30/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) in road games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
DENVER is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 30-44 ATS (-18.4 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 23-38 ATS (-18.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-22 ATS (-15.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 6-5 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (19 - 57) at HOUSTON (61 - 14) - 3/30/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 9-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (43 - 33) at DALLAS (23 - 52) - 3/30/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 32-45 ATS (-17.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 368-434 ATS (-109.4 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-40 ATS (-17.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 409-335 ATS (+40.5 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
DALLAS is 28-16 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DALLAS is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-5 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (21 - 54) at UTAH (42 - 33) - 3/30/2018, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 5-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (40 - 35) at LA LAKERS (33 - 41) - 3/30/2018, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-1 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (41 - 34) at PORTLAND (46 - 29) - 3/30/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 220-274 ATS (-81.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
PORTLAND is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in March games this season.
PORTLAND is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
PORTLAND is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
PORTLAND is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 41-33 ATS (+4.7 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 24-14 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a division game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 8-8 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 9-7 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-30-2018, 11:18 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, March 30

Chicago @ Orlando

Game 501-502
March 30, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
104.512
Orlando
113.446
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 9
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 5
211
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(-5); Over

Philadelphia @ Atlanta

Game 503-504
March 30, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
125.036
Atlanta
109.595
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 15 1/2
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 7 1/2
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-7 1/2); Over

New Orleans @ Cleveland

Game 505-506
March 30, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
120.307
Cleveland
119.404
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 1
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 4
229 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+4); Under

Denver @ Oklahoma City

Game 507-508
March 30, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
119.212
Oklahoma City
121.392
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 4
224
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+4); Under

Phoenix @ Houston

Game 509-510
March 30, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
103.408
Houston
130.332
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 27
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 17
218
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-17); Under

Minnesota @ Dallas

Game 511-512
March 30, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
122.409
Dallas
114.985
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 7 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 4 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-4 1/2); Over

Memphis @ Utah

Game 513-514
March 30, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
110.232
Utah
123.304
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 13
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 15
195 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+15); Over

Milwaukee @ LA Lakers

Game 515-516
March 30, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
119.484
LA Lakers
118.520
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 1 1/2
219
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+1 1/2); Under

LA Clippers @ Portland

Game 517-518
March 30, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
120.039
Portland
122.507
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 2 1/2
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 6 1/2
219
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+6 1/2); Under

Announcement

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/30

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/30

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