Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/29

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Thursday, March 29

Good Luck on day #88 of 2018!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win next week’s Masters:

10-1: Woods, Johnson, Thomas, McIlroy

12-1: Jordan Spieth, Justin Rose

14-1: Bubba Watson

16-1: Jason Day, Phil Mickelson

18-1: Rickie Fowler, Jon Rahm

25-1: Sergio Garcia, Paul Casey


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Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: 13 of my favorite sports movies…….

I do this list once a year or so; feel free to make your own list.

13) Major League— Still maintain that Bob Uecker should’ve won an Oscar for Best Supporting Actor for his portrayal of Harry Doyle, the Indians’ radio announcer. To this day, when a pitcher throws a really terrible pitch to the backstop, chances are the TV guy will say “….juuuust a biiiit outside…” like Harry Doyle did when Wild Thing Vaughn was on the mound.

12) He Got Game— The only Spike Lee movie I’ve ever seen; its a good one, with Denzel Washington getting released from prison by warden Ned Beatty, on one condition— that he can get his son (Ray Allen) to play basketball at the warden’s alma mater, Big State.

Anyone who was surprised by Louisville’s problems last year didn’t see this movie.

11) Rocky— If only they hadn’t made all those awful sequels. Rocky is a classic; a fighter down on his luck gets a once-in-a-lifetime shot to fight for the heavyweight title back when boxing was a big thing. If you’re at a game in Philly now and they cue up the Rocky music, people still get fired up— its pretty cool.

10) Hoosiers— I’ve had this argument with a friend of mine for years, that Norman Dale was a horrible coach saved only by Jimmy Chitwood not missing a shot in the whole damn movie. Hickory High finished the first game he coached with four guys on the court; even his assistant coach, who wound up in alcohol rehab, knew enough to always give Jimmy the ball when it mattered. They did nail the scene at the end when Hickory wins the state title.

9) Any Given Sunday— Lawrence Taylor and Jim Brown as actors? Yes!!! Al Pacino coaches his Miami Sharks against four teams, all coached by NFL Hall of Famers.

8) Moneyball— The good guys lose in the end, but not before they win 20 games in a row and surprisingly make the playoffs. I won’t embarrass myself by telling you how many times I’ve seen this movie, but if you guess, chances are your guess is too low.

7) Bull Durham— Pitching coach Robert Wuhl delivered this inspirational piece of advice on a visit to the mound:

“……candlesticks always make a nice gift, and uh, maybe you could find out where she’s registered and maybe a place-setting or maybe a silverware pattern. Okay, let’s get two!”

6) Friday Night Lights— Of all the sports movies, Billy Bob Thornton does the best job of portraying a coach, in this case a west Texas high school football coach who gets his best player KO’d for the season by leaving him in a blowout too long. The townspeople aren’t pleased.

5) Blue Chips— Nick Nolte did his research for this by hanging out with Bob Knight’s Indiana Hoosiers for a year, so the thrown chairs and punted balls make more sense. Jerry Tarkanian’s cameo and Bob Cousy’s portrayal of the school’s AD are the underrated parts of this movie.

4) Invincible— True story about Vince Papale, who was a 30-year old bartender that tried out for and wound up playing special teams for the Eagles for three years in the 70’s. Mark Wahlberg plays Papale; Greg Kinnear plays Dick Vermeil.

3) Fast Break— Gabe Kaplan’s character quits his job in a New York City deli to become the basketball coach at a small Nevada college. The team he puts together is interesting- Bernard King and Michael Warren are two of the players.

2) One on One— Robby Benson plays a flashy small school point guard who gets recruited by a big time college program, but once he gets on campus, the coach thinks he made a mistake and tries to run him off the team.

1— For Love of the Game— Kevin Costner pitches for the Tigers, but is at the end of his career. JK Simmons is his manager; John C O’Reilly his catcher, Kelly Preston his girlfriend. Vin Scully is in effect the narrator of the movie.

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 29

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WASHINGTON (41 - 33) at DETROIT (34 - 40) - 3/29/2018, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 8-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (24 - 50) at MIAMI (40 - 35) - 3/29/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 88-65 ATS (+16.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 46-29 ATS (+14.1 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 31-17 ATS (+12.3 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.
MIAMI is 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) in home games after allowing 85 points or less since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-3 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (44 - 31) at SAN ANTONIO (43 - 32) - 3/29/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-6 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-7 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
11 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (44 - 31) at SACRAMENTO (24 - 51) - 3/29/2018, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 43-32 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
INDIANA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 2-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (39 - 35) at GOLDEN STATE (54 - 20) - 3/29/2018, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MILWAUKEE is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-1 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 29

Wizards won eight of last ten games with Detroit; over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Washington is 4-1 vs spread in its last five visits to the Motor City. Wizards lost three of their last four games; they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight games, 1-3 in last four on road. Three of their last four games stayed under. Pistons won four of last five games; they covered last four games as a home favorite. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Miami won three of last four games with Chicago; under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Bulls are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to South Beach. Chicago lost its last six games (1-5 vs spread); they’re 2-11 in last 13 games as road underdogs. Over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Miami won four of its last six games; they’re 7-1 in last eight games as home favorites. Over is 5-3-1 in their last nine games.

Thunder won six of last nine games with the Spurs; OKC is 1-2 vs spread in last three visits to the Alamo. Five of last six series games stayed under. Oklahoma City won seven of its last nine games; they’re 0-2-1 vs spread in their last three games, all of which stayed under total. Spurs won their last six home games, covering last six games as home favorites. San Antonio’s last three games all went over.

Pacers won their last three games with the Kings; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits here. Five of last six series games stayed under. Indiana won four of its last five games; they’re 7-4 as road favorites this season. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games. Sacramento lost four of its last five games; they’re 4-11 vs spread in last 15 games as home underdogs. Kings’ last four games stayed under the total.

Golden State won eight of last nine games with Milwaukee; Bucks are 5-3 vs spread in last eight. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Milwaukee is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 7-2 as a road favorite this season. Eight of their last nine games went over total. Warriors lost six of their last nine games- they have big injury issues, are 0-2 as home underdogs. Six of their last eight games stayed under total.

[Udog]

NBA

Thursday, March 29

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Trend Report
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WASHINGTON @ DETROIT
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

CHICAGO @ MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chicago's last 15 games when playing Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

OKLAHOMA CITY @ SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing San Antonio
Oklahoma City is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
San Antonio is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

INDIANA @ SACRAMENTO
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Indiana's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Indiana's last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Sacramento's last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Indiana

MILWAUKEE @ GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Milwaukee's last 9 games
Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games at home


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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 29


Washington @ Detroit

Game 701-702
March 29, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
119.083
Detroit
122.545
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 3 1/2
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 1
210
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-1); Under

Chicago @ Miami

Game 703-704
March 29, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
103.988
Miami
122.635
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 18 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 13
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-13); Over

Oklahoma City @ San Antonio

Game 705-706
March 29, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
120.894
San Antonio
121.774
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 1
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(+2); Under

Indiana @ Sacramento

Game 707-708
March 29, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
119.540
Sacramento
115.573
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 4
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 8
203
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+8); Over

Milwaukee @ Golden State

Game 709-710
March 29, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
115.304
Golden State
122.785
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 7 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 4 1/2
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-4 1/2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 29


Washington @ Detroit

Game 701-702
March 29, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
119.083
Detroit
122.545
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 3 1/2
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 1
210
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(-1); Under

Chicago @ Miami

Game 703-704
March 29, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
103.988
Miami
122.635
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 18 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 13
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-13); Over

Oklahoma City @ San Antonio

Game 705-706
March 29, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
120.894
San Antonio
121.774
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 1
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(+2); Under

Indiana @ Sacramento

Game 707-708
March 29, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
119.540
Sacramento
115.573
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 4
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 8
203
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+8); Over

Milwaukee @ Golden State

Game 709-710
March 29, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
115.304
Golden State
122.785
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 7 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 4 1/2
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-4 1/2); Over