Announcement

**Udog** · 03-24-2018, 07:35 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Since 1987, eight lowest-seeded teams to make the Final Four:

2006– #11-seed George Mason

2011– #11-seed VCU

2016— #10-seed Syracuse

2013— #9-seed Wichita State

2000— #8-seed Wisconsin

2000— #8-seed North Carolina

2011— #8-seed Butler

2014— #8-seed Kentucky

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Wrapping up the Sweet 16

13) Here is our Elite 8: Both #1-seeds won Friday, are now 10-1-1 vs spread in this round the last four years. Rest of the Elite 8? Two #9-seeds, an 11-seed, two 3-seeds and 2-seed Duke.

12) Duke 69, Syracuse 65— Duke won first meeting 60-44; teams combined to go 8-43 in that game. This game snuck over total; teams combined to go 9-39 on arc, but Duke was 20-28 on foul line as they held on at the end.

Turns out that Jim Boeheim’s last game as a Syracuse player was a 91-81 loss to Duke in the NCAA tournament back when the game were televised in black-and-white. Boeheim played at Syracuse with the great Dave Bing, who was a really good player with the Detroit Pistons.

11) Villanova 90, West Virginia 78— Mountaineers went 7-28 on the arc; they lost seven of last nine games this season when shooting less than 35% on the arc. Villanova plays better defense than you’d think. And they have multiple guys who make 3-pointers- they were 13-24 here.

10) Kansas 80, Clemson 76— If you had the Jayhawks (-5), this was brutal. Clemson rallied back from a 62-42 deficit with 11:00 left and cut lead to 4 with 0:04.5 left, called timeout, but never fouled after Kansas inbounded the ball. Very bad beat for Kansas backers.

Bill Self is 8-2 in Sweet 16 games at Kansas; he is 2-5 in regional finals.

9) Texas Tech 78, Purdue 65— Teams that make the Final Four sometimes make it because they get lucky; Purdue big man Haas couldn’t play because he broke his elbow last week, which made the Boilermakers a far less formidable opponent.

Purdue made 11-24 on arc when they beat Butler without Haas; they were 7-18 in this game, and took only six foul shots the whole game.

8) How #11-seeds (or lower) have done in regional finals:
2017— Xavier (+8.5) L83-59 vs Gonzaga
2014— Dayton (+10.5) L52-62 vs Florida
2011— VCU (+11.5) W71-61 over Kansas
2006— George Mason (+8) W86-84 over UConn
2002— #12-seed Missouri (+6.5) L75-81 vs Oklahoma
2001— Temple (+6.5) L62-69 vs Michigan State
1990— LMU (+5) L131-101 vs UNLV

4-3 vs spread, all as underdogs, with two SU wins.

7) Random trend; over last 20 years, in the West Region final, underdogs are 16-4 against the spread. Michigan is -4.5 over Florida State in Staples Center tonight.

6) Generally, if an 8 or 9-seed gets this far, they had to beat the #1-seed to get here, but not this year because UMBC pulled their upset. Here is how #8 or #9-seeds have done in the Elite 8:
2014: Kentucky (-2.5) W75-72 vs Michigan
2013: Wichita State (+6) W70-66 vs Ohio State
2011: Butler (+3.5) W74-71 Florida OT
2004: Alabama (+8.5) L87-71 vs UConn
2000: North Carolina (+2.5) W59-55 vs Tulsa
2000: Wisconsin (+1) W64-60 vs Purdue
1998: Rhode Island (+4.5) L79-77 vs Stanford
1994: Boston College (+1.5) L74-66 vs Florida

6-2 vs spread, 5-3 SU

5) Dayton Flyers went 14-17 this season, its first losing season in 12 years; they had only one senior, but since the season ended, five other players have left the program, two to explore pro possibilities, three others to transfer to other schools.

Next season’s Flyers will be very young, and will take time to get to know each other.

4) Took the NHL’s Pittsburgh Penguins 25 years to get 100 points in a season; Las Vegas Golden Knights have done it in their first year in the NHL, a tremendous accomplishment.

3) As you know if you read this space at all, I watch a ton of sports on TV, but one thing I’ve lost my appetite for is pre and post-game shows and halftime shows. Mostly they just exist to amuse the people who are on the show, and usually, there are too many people on them anyway.

Highlight shows late at night? Still enjoy them.

2) Traded Marcell Ozuna for Madison Bumgarner in my fantasy baseball league this winter; Bumgarner broke his left pinkie Friday when he was hit by a line drive. Bleepin’ awesome.

Of course, guy who hit the ball that broke his finger is on my team, too. No bueno.

1) On a happier note, Sunday night is the last Sunday night in 2018 without football or baseball, so thats a good thing.

**Udog** · 03-24-2018, 08:21 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, March 24

Minnesota @ Philadelphia

Game 501-502
March 24, 2018 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
120.322
Philadelphia
121.970
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 7 1/2
222
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+7 1/2); Under

Chicago @ Detroit

Game 503-504
March 24, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
106.623
Detroit
116.135
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 9 1/2
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 12
210
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+12); Under

Phoenix @ Orlando

Game 505-506
March 24, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
00.000
Orlando
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix

Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
( );

LA Lakers @ Memphis

Game 507-508
March 24, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
118.824
Memphis
102.126
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 17
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 4 1/2
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(-4 1/2); Under

New Orleans @ Houston

Game 509-510
March 24, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
119.247
Houston
130.179
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 11
232
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 8
226 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-8); Over

Charlotte @ Dallas

Game 511-512
March 24, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
117.142
Dallas
113.298
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 4
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 1
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-1); Under

**Udog** · 03-24-2018, 08:31 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 24

76ers won five of last seven games with Minnesota; under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. Wolves are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Philly. Minnesota won four of last six games; they’re 3-9 in last 12 games as road underdogs, 2-6 on road if they played night before. Over is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Philly won its last five games; they’re 13-3 in last 16 games as home favorites. Four of their last five games went over.

Home side won last six Chicago-Detroit games; Bulls are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to the Motor City. Five of last seven series games stayed under. Chicago lost five of its last six games; they’re 2-9 in last 11 games as road underdogs, 1-3 on road if they played night before. Three of last four Bulls games went over. Pistons lost seven of their last ten games; they’re 4-3 in last seven games as home favorites. Under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Road team won six of last seven Phoenix-Orlando games; Suns covered their last four visits to Orlando. Three of last four series games stayed under. Phoenix lost its last ten games (2-8 vs spread); they’re 1-4 in last five games as road underdogs. Under is 4-2 in their last six games. Magic lost eight of their last nine games; they’re 1-8 as home favorites this year. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Home side won six of last seven Memphis-Laker games; LA is 0-4 vs spread in last four visits to Memphis. Over is 8-1-1 in last ten series games. Lakers lost their last four games; they’re 1-1 as road favorites this year. Four of their last five games stayed under. Memphis lost 22 of its last 23 games; they’re 3-7 vs spread in last ten games as home underdogs. Five of their last six games went over the total.

Rockets won seven of last nine games with New Orleans; under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Pelicans are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Houston. New Orleans won its last four games; they’re 7-3 in last ten games as road underdogs. Four of their last six games stayed under total. Rockets won their last seven games; they’re 4-7 in last 11 games as home favorites. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Dallas/Charlotte split their last ten games; under is 6-4 in last ten series games. Hornets covered three of their last four visits to Dallas. Charlotte won its last two games after a 2-6 skid; over is 7-2 in their last nine games. Hornets are 6-3 as road favorites this season. Mavericks lost their last four games; they’re 3-5 in last eight games as home underdogs. Last four Dallas games went over the total.

**Udog** · 03-24-2018, 08:49 AM

NBA

Saturday, March 24

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA @ PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home

CHICAGO @ DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games

PHOENIX @ ORLANDO
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Phoenix is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 16 of Orlando's last 22 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Orlando's last 10 games

LA LAKERS @ MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing on the road against Memphis
Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers

NEW ORLEANS @ HOUSTON
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

CHARLOTTE @ DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 8 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Dallas is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games when playing Charlotte

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-24-2018, 11:21 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 24

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MINNESOTA (42 - 31) at PHILADELPHIA (41 - 30) - 3/24/2018, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 367-432 ATS (-108.2 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-31 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-23 ATS (+9.7 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 33-20 ATS (+11.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 40-21 ATS (+16.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 23-6 ATS (+16.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 4-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (24 - 48) at DETROIT (32 - 40) - 3/24/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (19 - 54) at ORLANDO (21 - 51) - 3/24/2018, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-2 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (31 - 40) at MEMPHIS (19 - 53) - 3/24/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 29-40 ATS (-15.0 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
MEMPHIS is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.
MEMPHIS is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 6-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (43 - 30) at HOUSTON (58 - 14) - 3/24/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
HOUSTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 40-32 ATS (+4.8 Units) in all games this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 33-47 ATS (-18.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-5 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 8-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (32 - 41) at DALLAS (22 - 50) - 3/24/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 30-39 ATS (-12.9 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) on Saturday games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 50-80 ATS (-38.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 176-220 ATS (-66.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
DALLAS is 408-333 ATS (+41.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 3-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 3-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-24-2018, 11:23 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, March 24

Phoenix @ Orlando

Game 505-506
March 24, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
101.420
Orlando
111.856
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Orlando
by 10 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Orlando
by 6
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(-6); Under

Announcement

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/24

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/24

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