Announcement

**Udog** · 03-22-2018, 08:23 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Over/under win totals for baseball season

— Philadelphia Phillies, 77.5

— Texas Rangers 76.5

— San Diego Padres 73.5

— Tampa Bay Rays 73.5

— Cincinnati Reds 73.5

— Kansas City Royals 67.5

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) It is likely that three NFL teams will start their 6th different Opening Day QB in six years when they open the season in September.

Vikings will be starting newly-signed Kirk Cousins; Houston and Cleveland have dealt away their Week 1 starting QB from last year, so Deshaun Watson will go for Houston if healthy and who knows what the Browns will do at QB, but it’ll be someone new.

It is really hard to win when you have no continuity; Vikings are strong at every other position, but their decision to let Case Keenum walk after he played so well LY will be highly scrutinized. Houston seems set at QB for the next decade if they can keep Watson healthy.

12) Dodgers won 40 more games than the Giants last year, which is eye-opening. San Francisco adds Longoria/McCutchen this year, but neither one of them pitches, although Bumgarner was not healthy last year, and now he is, so that’ll help.

Once your nucleus of talent gets old, it is tough to re-boot and stay a contender without a total rebuild. Will be interesting to follow the Giants this season.

11) Damn, the Red Sox hit only 168 homers last year, least in the AL. My A’s hit 234 and they were a bad baseball team. Will JD Martinez help that correct their power shortage?

10) Speaking of Boston, they’ve got $30M of dead money on their payroll this year, most in the major leagues— Rusney Castillo and Pablo Sandoval account for all of that.

9) Three NFL teams proposed a rule that would limit the amount of early games a western team can play during the regular season. Under the proposal, no team would be scheduled “to play more than three away games with a scheduled kickoff time prior to 1:00 p.m. in the time zone of their home stadium (without consent).”

For instance, during the 2017 season, the 49ers played five road games that kicked off at 1pm ET, which feels like a 10am game to them. Couple years ago, the Rams played a 9:30am game in England, which is a 6:30am start if you’re on West Coast time.

8) Cubs’ 1B Anthony Rizzo has been hit with 70 pitches the last three years, seven more than anyone else in the major leagues during that time.

7) Graceland 83, LSU-Alexandria 80— NAIA national title game drew 6,377 fans in Kansas City, as Graceland, from Lamoni, IA won the championship. Tough loss for Alexandria, which lost in the national semifinals by a basket last year.

6) Louisville sent interim basketball coach David Padgett packing; he’ll be fine eventually, but where do the Cardinals go from here?

If you’re Chris Mack, do you really leave your alma mater (Xavier) for a job where the team is likely to go on probation? Louisville might be a lucrative job, but the fanbase is spoiled and the chances of winning right away are almost nil, which won’t please the fanbase.

5) Western Kentucky 92, Oklahoma State 84– Hilltoppers are headed to New York City for the NIT semifinals next week- they won at USC, then 46 hours later, won in Stillwater, OK. Not an easy thing to do.

4) This made me feel old; Bobby Orr turned 70 this week.

For my 9th birthday, friend of my parents gave me a subscription to Sports Illustrated; the first issue that came in the mail had Bobby Orr on the cover and I became a huge Bruins fan- their loss in OT in Game 7 of the ’79 Stanley Cup semifinals remains one of my saddest moments as a sports fan.

Got to meet Bobby Orr at a minor league baseball game in the mid-80’s; nice man with really bad knees. He was playing in a celebrity softball game and he purposely hit fly balls so he didn’t have to run.

Do a search on Bobby Orr rushing the puck and you’ll see a guy who revolutionized the sport; he was so exciting to watch. Hard to believe he is 70 years old; to me, he’ll always be the guy flying thru the air after scoring the game-winning goal in the 1970 Stanley Cup playoffs.

Happy birthday!!!!

3) There are no instant replays in spring training baseball games; I’m pretty sure the umpires have adopted a “When in doubt, call him out!!” mentality.

2) Since 2004, the defending national champ is 8-19 vs spread in NCAA tournament, and Florida went 4-2 when they repeated in 2007, so it is 4-17 without the ’07 Gators.

1— Combined seeds for the teams in the Sweet 16 this year is 85, the highest total since 2000.

**Udog** · 03-22-2018, 08:37 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 22

76ers won three of last four games with the Magic; they covered three of last four visits to Orlando. Seven of last eight series games went over total. Philly won its last four games; they are 2-7 in last nine games as road favorites. Three of their last four games went over total. Orlando lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 10-4 in last 14 games as home underdogs. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

Hornets won four of last five games with Memphis, covered five of last six; under is 3-1 in last four series games. Grizzlies are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Charlotte. Memphis lost 21 of its last 22 games; they’re 3-7 in last 10 games as road underdogs, 5-3 on road if they played night before. Charlotte split its last six games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as home favorites. Six of their last eight games went over total.

Lakers lost four of last five games with New Orleans; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Bourbon Street. Over is 3-1 in last four series games played here. Lakers lost their last three games; they’re 6-8 in last 14 games as road underdogs. Six of LA’s last eight games went under the total. Pelicans won their last three games; four of their last five games stayed under. NO is 4-2 in last six games as home favorites.

Pistons won four of last five games with the Rockets; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visit here. Last three series games stayed under. Detroit won its last two games after a 1-7 skid; they’re 2-11 in last 13 games as road underdogs. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Houston won 23 of its last 24 games; they covered three of last four home games. Six of their last eight home games stayed under the total.

Jazz won five of last six games with Dallas but covered only two of those games; Jazz is 1-3 vs spread in its last four visits here. Six of last eight series games went over. Utah won nine of its last ten games; they’re 4-1 in last five games as road favorites. Under is 7-2 in their last nine games. Mavericks lost four of their last five games; they’re 2-5 in last seven games as a home underdog. Last three Dallas games went over the total.

Hawks won/covered eight of last ten games with Sacramento; Atlanta is 2-2 vs spread in its last four visits here. Seven of last ten series games went over total. Hawks lost six of their last seven games; they’re 5-3 in last eight games as road underdogs. Four of their last five games went over the total. Kings lost four of their last six games; they’re 2-4 as home favorites. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

**Udog** · 03-22-2018, 08:37 AM

NBA

Thursday, March 22

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Trend Report
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PHILADELPHIA @ ORLANDO
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Philadelphia's last 8 games when playing Orlando
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Orlando's last 8 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

MEMPHIS @ CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games when playing at home against Memphis
Charlotte is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Memphis

DETROIT @ HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

LA LAKERS @ NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 10 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games

UTAH @ DALLAS
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Utah is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
Dallas is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing at home against Utah
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah

ATLANTA @ SACRAMENTO
Atlanta is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Sacramento's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games at home

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**Udog** · 03-22-2018, 10:25 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 22

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PHILADELPHIA (40 - 30) at ORLANDO (21 - 50) - 3/22/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-31 ATS (+4.9 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-18 ATS (+17.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 41-27 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 66-84 ATS (-26.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 28-45 ATS (-21.5 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 6-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 6-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (19 - 52) at CHARLOTTE (31 - 41) - 3/22/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 29-39 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MEMPHIS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
CHARLOTTE is 66-44 ATS (+17.6 Units) in home games in March games since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 29-39 ATS (-13.9 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 49-80 ATS (-39.0 Units) against Southwest division opponents since 1996.
CHARLOTTE is 175-220 ATS (-67.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 4-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 4-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (31 - 39) at NEW ORLEANS (42 - 30) - 3/22/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 40-32 ATS (+4.8 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (32 - 39) at HOUSTON (57 - 14) - 3/22/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (40 - 31) at DALLAS (22 - 49) - 3/22/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 407-333 ATS (+40.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 27-16 ATS (+9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-3 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 6-3 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (21 - 50) at SACRAMENTO (23 - 49) - 3/22/2018, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ATLANTA is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 8-22 ATS (-16.2 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 53-78 ATS (-32.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 03-22-2018, 10:35 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 22

Philadelphia @ Orlando

Game 801-802
March 22, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
119.516
Orlando
114.974
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 4 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 7 1/2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+7 1/2); Over

Memphis @ Charlotte

Game 803-804
March 22, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
00.000
Charlotte
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis

Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
( );

LA Lakers @ New Orleans

Game 805-806
March 22, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
00.000
New Orleans
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers

Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
( );

Detroit @ Houston

Game 807-808
March 22, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
00.000
Houston
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit

Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
( );

Utah @ Dallas

Game 809-810
March 22, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
124.975
Dallas
113.764
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 11
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 8
198 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-8); Over

Atlanta @ Sacramento

Game 811-812
March 22, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
110.274
Sacramento
114.898
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 4 1/2
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Sacramento
by 2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(-2); Under

**Udog** · 03-22-2018, 01:41 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 22

Memphis @ Charlotte

Game 803-804
March 22, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
109.452
Charlotte
112.786
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 3 1/2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 10
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+3 1/2); Over

LA Lakers @ New Orleans

Game 805-806
March 22, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
117.612
New Orleans
122.569
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 5
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 2 1/2
228 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-2 1/2); Under

Detroit @ Houston

Game 807-808
March 22, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
116.534
Houston
126.437
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 10
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 12 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+12 1/2); Over

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/22

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/22

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