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  • Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/21

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, March 21

    Good Luck on day #80 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Current odds to win the college basketball national title:

    3-1: Villanova

    7-2: Duke

    7-1: Gonzaga

    8-1: Kansas, Kentucky

    10-1: Michigan

    12-1: Purdue

    15-1: West Virginia

    25-1: Clemson, Texas A&M, Texas Tech

    40-1: Florida

    50-1: Nevada, Kansas State, Loyola

    60-1: Syracuse


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……..

    13) Memphis Tigers were down to 4,000 season tickets this season; they claim their program lost $4.7M this year, which is why they named Penny Hardaway basketball coach Tuesday.

    Not great being a struggling college team in a city where there is also an NBA franchise.

    12) Shortly after that, the first domino fell: 4-star PG Alex Lomax got out of his commitment to Wichita State and signed on with Memphis— he played for Hardaway in high school.

    If Penny Hardaway dominates recruiting in talent-rich Memphis, the Tigers will be back in the NCAAs soon. Hardaway won three state titles in his brief career as a high school coach.

    11) Dodgers lost 3B Justin Turner with a broken left wrist, after he was hit by a pitch. That’ll put him out for 4-6 weeks. Will they move Logan Forsythe to 3B and platoon Taylor/Utley at 2B?

    10) Alex Cobb signed a 4-year deal with the Orioles; lot of teams could’ve used him.

    9) If you’re betting games in Las Vegas this week, go to SouthPoint Casino- they’re offering bets at -$105 instead of the normal $110, so if you go 7-5 on $100 bets, you win $175 instead of $150. Plus its a good casino with good pizza and a very good ice cream stand on the way out the door.

    8) Ole Miss signed Middle Tennessee State coach Kermit Davis; his salary goes from $750K to $2.5M. Davis’ dad was the coach at Mississippi State a long time ago; he is very good.

    7) Jacksonville State’s campus was hit hard by a tornado in Alabama Monday night; the Gamecocks’ hoop team is still playing- they’re at North Texas tonight.

    6) ESPN signed former NFL coach John Fox as a studio analyst; will be interesting to see what he has to say. When he was coaching the Panthers, he got Carolina to the Super Bowl with Jake Delhomme as his quarterback.

    5) Graduate transfer QB Gardner Minshaw moves from East Carolina to Washington State; he threw for 2,140 yards LY, with 16 TD’s, 7 INTs. Before he heads to Pullman, the young man is being tutored by Hal Mumme, the father of the Air Raid offense, who is OC at Jackson State these days. Playing for Mike Leach is good for a quarterback.

    4) Shohei Ohtani is 3 for 28 batting in spring training— I started to call it hitting, but 3-28 isn’t hitting, it is batting. Angels may have been sold a bill of goods with Ohtani being a 2-way player- they gave CJ Cron away to Tampa Bay to make room for Ohtani’s bat.

    3) On April 17, Oakland A’s are celebrating the 50th anniversary of their move to Oakland- they’re playing the White Sox that night, and admission is free. Team got 300,000 requests for tickets for that night.

    In 1968, the A’s sold out their home opener; they had 5,700 fans the next night. Probably won’t be a whole lot different this year, on April 18.

    2) Back in the early 70’s, Austin Peay (pronounced Pee) had a really good player named James (Fly) Williams; he played in the ABA for a season after that. Prolific scorer.

    Austin Peay fans had a great chant: “The Fly is Open. Let’s go Peay!!!”

    1— Underrated gambling day today; first round of the Match Play golf tournament, with 32 matches going on. Kind of like a country club version of March Madness. Kind of.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Wednesday, March 21


      Cavaliers won eight of last ten games with Toronto; over is 6-2 in last eight. Raptors are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Cleveland. Toronto won 10 of its last 11 games; they covered four of their last six road games. Under is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Cavaliers won three of their last four games; they split their last four home games. Four of their last five games went over the total.

      Grizzlies won their last 10 games with the 76ers; they’re 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Philly. Three of last four series games went over the total. Memphis lost 20 of their last 21 games; they’re 3-6 in last nine games as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over the total. 76ers won four of their last five games; they’re 12-3 in last 15 games as a home favorite. Four of their last six games stayed under.

      Miami is 6-4 in its last ten games with the Knicks; road team won six of last eight series games. Knicks covered their last four visits to Miami. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games. New York won its last two games after a 9-game skid; they’re 3-7 in last 10 games as road underdogs. Four of their last six games went over. Heat won six of their last nine games; they’re 6-1 in last seven games as home favorites. Six of their last eight games went over.

      Nets lost eight of last ten games with Charlotte; under is 3-1 in last four series games. Hornets are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Brooklyn. Charlotte lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 5-3 as road favorites this season. Six of their last seven games went over. Brooklyn won last two games after a 1-7 skid; they’re 0-5 in last five tries as home underdogs. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

      Clippers won seven of last ten games with Milwaukee; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits here, four of which went over total. Clippers lost their last four games; they’re 5-7 vs spread if they played night before- they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four road games. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Milwaukee is 4-6 in its last ten games; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five home games. Bucks’ last five games went over the total.

      Nuggets won their last four games with Chicago; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to the Windy City. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Denver lost three of its last four games; they’re 4-9 vs spread as road favorites this season. Six of their last nine games went over. Chicago lost three of its last four games; they covered their last four tries as home underdogs. Under is 3-2 in their last five home games.

      Spurs won eight of last ten games with Washington; last three series games went over the total. Wizards are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to the Alamo. Washington won four of its last six games; they’re 6-2 in last eight games as road underdogs. Five of their last six games went over total. San Antonio won its last four games; they covered last four games as home favorites. Seven of their last eight games stayed under.

      Pacers won eight of last ten games with the Pelicans; they covered four of last five visits to Bourbon Street. Eight of last ten series games stayed under. Indiana won seven of its last ten games; they covered four of last five road games. Nine of their last ten games stayed under the total. New Orleans is 3-4 in its last seven games; they covered last three home games. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA

        Wednesday, March 21


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TORONTO @ CLEVELAND
        Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Toronto is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
        Cleveland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Toronto
        Cleveland is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Toronto

        MEMPHIS @ PHILADELPHIA
        Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
        Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
        Philadelphia is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis

        CHARLOTTE @ BROOKLYN
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games
        Charlotte is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Brooklyn
        Brooklyn is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Charlotte
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 7 games at home

        NEW YORK @ MIAMI
        New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
        New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
        Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
        Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

        DENVER @ CHICAGO
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 8 games when playing Chicago
        Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games when playing Denver
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games when playing at home against Denver

        LA CLIPPERS @ MILWAUKEE
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Clippers's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 8 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

        INDIANA @ NEW ORLEANS
        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indiana's last 11 games
        Indiana is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing New Orleans
        New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing Indiana

        WASHINGTON @ SAN ANTONIO
        Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games
        San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
        San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-21-2018, 01:14 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Long Sheet

          Wednesday, March 21


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          TORONTO (53 - 18) at CLEVELAND (41 - 29) - 3/21/2018, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TORONTO is 193-241 ATS (-72.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
          TORONTO is 40-31 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
          TORONTO is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
          CLEVELAND is 23-46 ATS (-27.6 Units) in all games this season.
          CLEVELAND is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
          CLEVELAND is 8-25 ATS (-19.5 Units) in home games this season.
          CLEVELAND is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
          CLEVELAND is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
          CLEVELAND is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          CLEVELAND is 10-7 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
          CLEVELAND is 12-6 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
          11 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MEMPHIS (19 - 51) at PHILADELPHIA (39 - 30) - 3/21/2018, 7:05 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          PHILADELPHIA is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
          MEMPHIS is 5-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          NEW YORK (26 - 45) at MIAMI (38 - 33) - 3/21/2018, 7:35 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          NEW YORK is 5-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
          MIAMI is 5-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
          7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          CHARLOTTE (30 - 41) at BROOKLYN (23 - 48) - 3/21/2018, 7:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CHARLOTTE is 28-39 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games this season.
          CHARLOTTE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
          CHARLOTTE is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
          BROOKLYN is 40-30 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
          BROOKLYN is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
          BROOKLYN is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.
          BROOKLYN is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          BROOKLYN is 7-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
          CHARLOTTE is 8-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
          6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          LA CLIPPERS (37 - 33) at MILWAUKEE (37 - 33) - 3/21/2018, 8:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          LA CLIPPERS are 225-275 ATS (-77.5 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
          LA CLIPPERS are 217-273 ATS (-83.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
          LA CLIPPERS are 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
          LA CLIPPERS are 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
          MILWAUKEE is 28-37 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games this season.
          MILWAUKEE is 33-46 ATS (-17.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
          MILWAUKEE is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home games this season.
          MILWAUKEE is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
          MILWAUKEE is 45-71 ATS (-33.1 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
          MILWAUKEE is 264-321 ATS (-89.1 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
          MILWAUKEE is 198-243 ATS (-69.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MILWAUKEE is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
          MILWAUKEE is 2-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          DENVER (38 - 33) at CHICAGO (24 - 46) - 3/21/2018, 8:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CHICAGO is 130-175 ATS (-62.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          DENVER is 4-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
          DENVER is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          WASHINGTON (40 - 30) at SAN ANTONIO (41 - 30) - 3/21/2018, 9:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          SAN ANTONIO is 1040-910 ATS (+39.0 Units) in all games since 1996.
          SAN ANTONIO is 830-706 ATS (+53.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
          SAN ANTONIO is 531-443 ATS (+43.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
          SAN ANTONIO is 191-147 ATS (+29.3 Units) in March games since 1996.
          SAN ANTONIO is 92-53 ATS (+33.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
          SAN ANTONIO is 347-284 ATS (+34.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
          SAN ANTONIO is 213-163 ATS (+33.7 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
          SAN ANTONIO is 186-141 ATS (+30.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
          SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          INDIANA (41 - 30) at NEW ORLEANS (41 - 30) - 3/21/2018, 8:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          INDIANA is 40-31 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
          INDIANA is 68-49 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          NEW ORLEANS is 4-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
          INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-21-2018, 01:15 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Dunkel

            Wednesday, March 21



            Toronto @ Cleveland

            Game 751-752
            March 21, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Toronto
            121.409
            Cleveland
            120.512
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Toronto
            by 1
            223
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Cleveland
            by 1 1/2
            227 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Toronto
            (+1 1/2); Under

            Memphis @ Philadelphia


            Game 753-754
            March 21, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Memphis
            107.448
            Philadelphia
            122.538
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Philadelphia
            by 15
            221
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Philadelphia
            by 12
            211
            Dunkel Pick:
            Philadelphia
            (-12 ); Over

            New York @ Miami


            Game 755-756
            March 21, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            New York
            113.688
            Miami
            121.263
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Miami
            by 7 1/2
            218
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Miami
            by 10 1/2
            214
            Dunkel Pick:
            New York
            (+10 1/2); Over

            Charlotte @ Brooklyn


            Game 757-758
            March 21, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Charlotte
            109.549
            Brooklyn
            114.465
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Brooklyn
            by 5
            231
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Brooklyn
            Pick
            221 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Brooklyn
            Over

            LA Clippers @ Milwaukee


            Game 759-760
            March 21, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            LA Clippers
            117.213
            Milwaukee
            124.675
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Milwaukee
            by 7 1/2
            231
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Milwaukee
            by 4
            224 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Milwaukee
            ( -4); Over

            Denver @ Chicago


            Game 761-762
            March 21, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Denver
            116.409
            Chicago
            109.272
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Denver
            by 7
            218
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Denver
            by 9
            222
            Dunkel Pick:
            Chicago
            (+9); Under

            Washington @ San Antonio


            Game 763-764
            March 21, 2018 @ 9:30 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Washington
            118.737
            San Antonio
            125.893
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            San Antonio
            by 7
            210
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            San Antonio
            by 5
            203 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            San Antonio
            (-5); Over

            Indiana @ New Orleans


            Game 781-782
            March 21, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Indiana
            120.204
            New Orleans
            121.338
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            New Orleans
            by 1
            215
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Indiana
            by 1 1/2
            221
            Dunkel Pick:
            New Orleans
            ( +1 1/2); Under

            Comment


            • #7
              The total has gone UNDER in 10 of the Pacers' last 11 games. These games had an average combined score of 199.09.

              Total tonight vs the Pelicans is at 219

              Comment


              • #8
                Cavs are 10-0 straight up and 9-0-1 against the spread in their last 10 games refereed by Mike Callahan. He’s the lead official in tonight’s home game vs. Toronto.
                Spread: Cavs -2
                Total: 226

                Comment

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