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Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/19

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  • Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 3/19

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, March 19

    Good Luck on day #78 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    SPORTS MATCHUPS

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Since 1985, North Carolina’s worst losses in NCAA tournament:

    1990— Arkansas 96, North Carolina 73
    2018— Texas A&M 86, North Carolina 65
    1996— Texas Tech 92, North Carolina 73
    2008— Kansas 84, North Carolina 66
    1986— Louisville 94, North Carolina 79
    2012— Kansas 80, North Carolina 67

    In fairness, the Tar Heels’ NCAA record since 1985: 88-26.


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a great sports weekend

    13) Not the best day in the city of Cincinnati.

    Florida State 75, Xavier 70— West #1-seed Musketeers blew a 12-point lead.
    Nevada 75, Cincinnati 73— Southeast #2-seed Bearcats blew a 22-point lead.

    12) From 2005-17, 46 of 52 #1-seeds made it to the Sweet 16. This year, Virginia/Xavier won’t be going, the 3rd time (2000, 2004) since 1985 that two #1-seeds got KO’d early.

    11) Nevada was down 14 to Texas on Friday; they were down 22 in this game. Eric Musselman’s team is the mentally toughest team in America. Seriously— they only used six players in this game, and the same six guys played against Texas Friday.

    — Musselman was an NBA head coach for three years, going 108-138 with Kings/Warriors.
    — He has coached everywhere:
    CBA— 270-122 with the Rapid City Thrillers
    USBL— 53-3 with the Florida Sharks and Florida Beach Dogs
    G-League— 77-30 with the Reno Bighorns and Los Angeles D-Fenders

    — He played high school basketball with Tom Tupa, who went on to QB at Ohio State— Tupa scored the first 2-point conversion in NFL history.
    — Musselman went to U of San Diego where his roommate was George Tarkanian, son of the late Jerry Tarkanian, the great coach at UNLV.

    10) Nevada-Loyola game in Sweet 16 is the first #7-11 seed matchup in a regional semifinal since a George Mason-Wichita State game in 2006.

    9) Jordan Caroline is one of Nevada’s best players; his dad is Simeon Rice, the old linebacker for the Tampa Bay Bucs. His grandfather is JC Caroline, who played 10 years in the NFL— he picked off Johnny Unitas’ first-ever NFL pass and ran it back for a touchdown. JC Caroline is in the College Football Hall of Fame.

    8) Syracuse 55, Michigan State 53—Over the last ten years, #11 or lower seeds in regional semifinal games are 3-14 SU but 9-8 vs spread- since 2012, they’re 7-2 vs spread.

    7) Texas A&M 86, North Carolina 65— Tar Heels played in national title game last two years, but they got bamboozled here. UNC was 6-31 on arc, A&M was 10-24.

    6) Purdue 76, Butler 73— Boilermakers won despite not having their big man Haas, who broke his elbow Friday. Purdue scored 1.27 ppp, making 11-24 on the arc.

    5) Clemson 84, Auburn 53— Epic tank job by Auburn had Charles Barkley congratulating Clemson during the halftime studio show. Clemson is in Sweet 16 for first time since 1997, when they lost in double overtime to Minnesota.

    4) Gonzaga coach Mark Few stood on his hands in the locker room Saturday after his Zags held off Ohio State to reach the Sweet 16. Coach Few is 55; I am three years older— I’m lucky I can stand on my feet.

    3) Kansas State 50, UMBC 43— In the 24 hours after they upset Virginia for the first 1-16 upset ever, UMBC sold more gear on their website than they had in the previous YEAR!!!!

    2) Seton Hall’s Angel Delgado had 24 points, 23 rebounds in the Pirates’ loss to Kansas Saturday; he is the first player to grab 23+ rebounds in an NCAA tournament game since 1977, when Phil Hubbard did that for Michigan when they beat a Detroit team coached by Dick Vitale, 87-81.

    1) For the first time ever, the Sweet 16 in a region won’t have any of the top four seeded teams in the region: the Southeast Region in Atlanta is: #5 Kentucky, #7 Nevada,#9 Kansas State, #11 Loyola.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Long Sheet

      Monday, March 19


      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      STANFORD (19 - 15) at OKLAHOMA ST (20 - 14) - 3/19/2018, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      STANFORD is 33-52 ATS (-24.2 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
      STANFORD is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
      OKLAHOMA ST is 119-86 ATS (+24.4 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
      OKLAHOMA ST is 121-84 ATS (+28.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
      STANFORD is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      LSU (18 - 14) at UTAH (20 - 11) - 3/19/2018, 9:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      LSU is 17-30 ATS (-16.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
      UTAH is 154-113 ATS (+29.7 Units) in all home games since 1997.
      UTAH is 154-113 ATS (+29.7 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
      UTAH is 71-42 ATS (+24.8 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
      UTAH is 63-37 ATS (+22.3 Units) in home games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
      UTAH is 108-77 ATS (+23.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      WASHINGTON (21 - 12) at ST MARYS-CA (29 - 5) - 3/19/2018, 11:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      WASHINGTON is 24-35 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 24-35 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
      WASHINGTON is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
      ST MARYS-CA is 28-13 ATS (+13.7 Units) as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 points since 1997.
      ST MARYS-CA is 69-46 ATS (+18.4 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
      ST MARYS-CA is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
      ST MARYS-CA is 82-112 ATS (-41.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      W KENTUCKY (25 - 10) at USC (24 - 11) - 3/19/2018, 11:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      USC is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in March games since 1997.
      USC is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
      W KENTUCKY is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games this season.
      W KENTUCKY is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
      W KENTUCKY is 50-26 ATS (+21.4 Units) in March games since 1997.
      W KENTUCKY is 59-38 ATS (+17.2 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
      USC is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      NEW ORLEANS (16 - 16) at CAMPBELL (17 - 15) - 3/19/2018, 7:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      NEW ORLEANS is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      JACKSONVILLE ST (22 - 12) at C ARKANSAS (18 - 16) - 3/19/2018, 6:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      JACKSONVILLE ST is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
      JACKSONVILLE ST is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
      JACKSONVILLE ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 since 1997.
      JACKSONVILLE ST is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
      JACKSONVILLE ST is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
      JACKSONVILLE ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
      JACKSONVILLE ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      MERCER (19 - 14) at N TEXAS (16 - 17) - 3/19/2018, 8:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      N TEXAS is 21-37 ATS (-19.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
      N TEXAS is 13-32 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      UTAH VALLEY ST (23 - 10) at SAN FRANCISCO (19 - 15) - 3/19/2018, 10:00 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      SAN FRANCISCO is 89-128 ATS (-51.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
      SAN FRANCISCO is 87-127 ATS (-52.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
      SAN FRANCISCO is 56-80 ATS (-32.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
      SAN FRANCISCO is 32-53 ATS (-26.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      E MICHIGAN (22 - 12) at SAM HOUSTON ST (19 - 14) - 3/19/2018, 7:30 PM
      Top Trends for this game.
      E MICHIGAN is 118-154 ATS (-51.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
      E MICHIGAN is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all games this season.
      E MICHIGAN is 18-10 ATS (+7.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
      SAM HOUSTON ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 since 1997.

      Head-to-Head Series History
      There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

      --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-19-2018, 12:17 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB

        Monday, March 19


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        STANFORD @ OKLAHOMA STATE
        Stanford is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
        Stanford is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
        Oklahoma State is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma State's last 6 games

        EASTERN MICHIGAN @ SAM HOUSTON STATE
        Eastern Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games

        JACKSONVILLE STATE @ CENTRAL ARKANSAS
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville State's last 5 games on the road
        Jacksonville State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

        MERCER @ NORTH TEXAS
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of North Texas's last 7 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of North Texas's last 5 games at home

        LSU @ UTAH
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of LSU's last 8 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of LSU's last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Utah's last 7 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games

        UTAH VALLEY @ SAN FRANCISCO
        Utah Valley is 16-5 SU in its last 21 games
        Utah Valley is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
        San Francisco is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Francisco's last 11 games at home

        WASHINGTON @ SAINT MARY'S-CALIFORNIA
        The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Washington's last 20 games on the road
        The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Washington's last 19 games
        Saint Mary's-California is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Saint Mary's-California's last 11 games at home

        WESTERN KENTUCKY @ USC
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Kentucky's last 5 games on the road
        Western Kentucky is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games
        USC is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of USC's last 11 games


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-19-2018, 12:19 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Dunkel

          Monday, March 19



          Stanford @ Oklahoma State

          Game 617-618
          March 19, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Stanford
          64.412
          Oklahoma State
          68.509
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Oklahoma State
          by 4
          148
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Oklahoma State
          by 7 1/2
          154
          Dunkel Pick:
          Stanford
          (+7 1/2); Under

          LSU @ Utah


          Game 619-620
          March 19, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          LSU
          63.713
          Utah
          66.248
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Utah
          by 2 1/2
          143
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Utah
          by 4
          148 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          LSU
          (+4); Under

          Washington @ St Mary's


          Game 621-622
          March 19, 2018 @ 11:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Washington
          58.736
          St Mary's
          72.135
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          St Mary's
          by 13 1/2
          148
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          St Mary's
          by 10 1/2
          144
          Dunkel Pick:
          St Mary's
          (-10 1/2); Over

          Western Kentucky @ USC


          Game 623-624
          March 19, 2018 @ 11:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Western Kentucky
          60.602
          USC
          66.712
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          USC
          by 6
          156
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          USC
          by 4
          150
          Dunkel Pick:
          USC
          (-4); Over

          New Orleans @ Campbell


          Game 626-626
          March 19, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          New Orleans
          45.402
          Campbell
          48.823
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Campbell
          by 3 1/2
          149
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Campbell
          by 6
          144
          Dunkel Pick:
          New Orleans
          (+6); Under

          Jacksonville St @ Central Arkansas


          Game 627-628
          March 19, 2018 @ 6:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Jacksonville St
          51.338
          Central Arkansas
          52.419
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Central Arkansas
          by 1
          154
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Jacksonville St
          by 1
          148
          Dunkel Pick:
          Central Arkansas
          (+1); Over

          Mercer @ North Texas


          Game 629-630
          March 19, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Mercer
          56.745
          North Texas
          53.317
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Mercer
          by 3 1/2
          136
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Mercer
          by 1
          141
          Dunkel Pick:
          Mercer
          (-1); Under

          Utah Valley @ San Francisco


          Game 631-632
          March 19, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Utah Valley
          60.271
          San Francisco
          56.118
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Utah Valley
          by 4
          134
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Utah Valley
          by 1
          141 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Utah Valley
          (-1); Under

          Eastern Michigan @ Sam Houston St


          Game 633-634
          March 19, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Eastern Michigan
          54.672
          Sam Houston St
          55.774
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Sam Houston St
          by 1
          130
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Eastern Michigan
          by 2
          135 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Sam Houston St
          (+2); Under
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-19-2018, 12:20 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            March Madness betting stats following the first two rounds (includes First Four games):

            Favorites

            Straight up: 36-15
            ATS: 24-26-1

            Favorites of 10+ pts

            Straight up: 16-3
            ATS: 10-9

            Over-Under

            21-31

            Over-Under in games with spread of 10+ pts

            6-13

            Comment


            • #7

              Comment

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