Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/19

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Monday, March 19

Good Luck on day #78 of 2018!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Since 1985, North Carolina’s worst losses in NCAA tournament:

1990— Arkansas 96, North Carolina 73
2018— Texas A&M 86, North Carolina 65
1996— Texas Tech 92, North Carolina 73
2008— Kansas 84, North Carolina 66
1986— Louisville 94, North Carolina 79
2012— Kansas 80, North Carolina 67

In fairness, the Tar Heels’ NCAA record since 1985: 88-26.


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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a great sports weekend

13) Not the best day in the city of Cincinnati.

Florida State 75, Xavier 70— West #1-seed Musketeers blew a 12-point lead.
Nevada 75, Cincinnati 73— Southeast #2-seed Bearcats blew a 22-point lead.

12) From 2005-17, 46 of 52 #1-seeds made it to the Sweet 16. This year, Virginia/Xavier won’t be going, the 3rd time (2000, 2004) since 1985 that two #1-seeds got KO’d early.

11) Nevada was down 14 to Texas on Friday; they were down 22 in this game. Eric Musselman’s team is the mentally toughest team in America. Seriously— they only used six players in this game, and the same six guys played against Texas Friday.

— Musselman was an NBA head coach for three years, going 108-138 with Kings/Warriors.
— He has coached everywhere:
CBA— 270-122 with the Rapid City Thrillers
USBL— 53-3 with the Florida Sharks and Florida Beach Dogs
G-League— 77-30 with the Reno Bighorns and Los Angeles D-Fenders

— He played high school basketball with Tom Tupa, who went on to QB at Ohio State— Tupa scored the first 2-point conversion in NFL history.
— Musselman went to U of San Diego where his roommate was George Tarkanian, son of the late Jerry Tarkanian, the great coach at UNLV.

10) Nevada-Loyola game in Sweet 16 is the first #7-11 seed matchup in a regional semifinal since a George Mason-Wichita State game in 2006.

9) Jordan Caroline is one of Nevada’s best players; his dad is Simeon Rice, the old linebacker for the Tampa Bay Bucs. His grandfather is JC Caroline, who played 10 years in the NFL— he picked off Johnny Unitas’ first-ever NFL pass and ran it back for a touchdown. JC Caroline is in the College Football Hall of Fame.

8) Syracuse 55, Michigan State 53—Over the last ten years, #11 or lower seeds in regional semifinal games are 3-14 SU but 9-8 vs spread- since 2012, they’re 7-2 vs spread.

7) Texas A&M 86, North Carolina 65— Tar Heels played in national title game last two years, but they got bamboozled here. UNC was 6-31 on arc, A&M was 10-24.

6) Purdue 76, Butler 73— Boilermakers won despite not having their big man Haas, who broke his elbow Friday. Purdue scored 1.27 ppp, making 11-24 on the arc.

5) Clemson 84, Auburn 53— Epic tank job by Auburn had Charles Barkley congratulating Clemson during the halftime studio show. Clemson is in Sweet 16 for first time since 1997, when they lost in double overtime to Minnesota.

4) Gonzaga coach Mark Few stood on his hands in the locker room Saturday after his Zags held off Ohio State to reach the Sweet 16. Coach Few is 55; I am three years older— I’m lucky I can stand on my feet.

3) Kansas State 50, UMBC 43— In the 24 hours after they upset Virginia for the first 1-16 upset ever, UMBC sold more gear on their website than they had in the previous YEAR!!!!

2) Seton Hall’s Angel Delgado had 24 points, 23 rebounds in the Pirates’ loss to Kansas Saturday; he is the first player to grab 23+ rebounds in an NCAA tournament game since 1977, when Phil Hubbard did that for Michigan when they beat a Detroit team coached by Dick Vitale, 87-81.

1) For the first time ever, the Sweet 16 in a region won’t have any of the top four seeded teams in the region: the Southeast Region in Atlanta is: #5 Kentucky, #7 Nevada,#9 Kansas State, #11 Loyola.

[Udog]

NBA

Monday, March 19

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Trend Report
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LA LAKERS @ INDIANA
LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone OVER in 8 of LA Lakers's last 9 games when playing on the road against Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Indiana's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

MILWAUKEE @ CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 7 games when playing Milwaukee

CHARLOTTE @ PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
Philadelphia is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte

MEMPHIS @ BROOKLYN
Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis

CHICAGO @ NEW YORK
Chicago is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games

DENVER @ MIAMI
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

GOLDEN STATE @ SAN ANTONIO
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing San Antonio
Golden State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games
San Antonio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

DETROIT @ SACRAMENTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
Sacramento is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Detroit


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[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 19

Cavaliers won eight of last ten games with Milwaukee (over 8-2). Bucks are 2-2-1 vs spread in their last five visits to Cleveland. Milwaukee won three of its last four games; they’re 3-6 vs spread in last nine games as road underdogs. Bucks’ last four games went over total. Cavaliers are 4-5 in their last nine games; they’re 1-6 in last seven games as a home underdog. Three of their last four games went over.

Lakers lost six of last nine games with the Pacers; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Indiana. Three of last four series games stayed under. Los Angeles are 3-4 in their last seven games; they’re 6-3 in last nine games as road underdogs. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Indiana won six of its last nine games; they covered last five games as a home favorite. Nine of their last ten games stayed under.

76ers won their last four games with Charlotte; under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Hornets are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Philly. Charlotte lost seven of its last nine games; they’re 6-7 in last 13 games as road underdogs. Hornets’ last six games went over the total. 76ers won three of last four games; they’re 10-3 in last 13 games as home favorites. Under is 8-4 in their last dozen home games.

Denver/Miami split their last eight meetings; Nuggets covered three of their last four visits to South Beach, three of which went over total. Denver is 3-4 in its last seven games; they covered once in last five road games. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Miami won its last four home games; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six games as home favorites. Five of their last seven games went over.

Knicks lost their last three games with Chicago; over is 5-5 in last ten series games. Bulls covered once in their last five visits to Manhattan. Bulls split their last eight games; they’re 2-8 vs spread in last ten road games. Three of their last four games went over. New York lost nine of its last ten games; Knicks are 9-4 as home favorites this season. Four of their last five games went over the total.

Memphis won five of last seven games with Brooklyn; road teams won last four. Grizzlies are 4-1 vs spread in last five visits to Barclays Center. Three of last four series games went over the total. Memphis snapped its 19-game losing streak Saturday; they’re 2-6 in last eight games as road underdogs. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Nets lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 5-6 as home favorites this season. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Curry, Thompson, Durant are out for Golden State, which won its last eight games with the Spurs (6-2 vs spread); they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five visits to the Alamo. Six of last eight series games went over. Warriors lost three of their last five games; they’re 0-1 as an underdog this season. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. Spurs won their last four home games; they covered last three. Under is 6-1 in their last seven games.

Detroit won seven of last ten games with the Kings; Pistons are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Sacramento. Three of last four series games went over total. Detroit lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 3-5 as road favorites this season. Five of their last seven games stayed under the total. Sacramento is 4-5 in its last nine games; they’re 4-9 in last 13 games as home underdogs. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, March 19

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MILWAUKEE (37 - 32) at CLEVELAND (40 - 29) - 3/19/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 67-85 ATS (-26.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
MILWAUKEE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 41-21 ATS (+17.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
CLEVELAND is 22-46 ATS (-28.6 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
CLEVELAND is 12-40 ATS (-32.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-25 ATS (-20.5 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 22-35 ATS (-16.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 8-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
9 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (31 - 38) at INDIANA (40 - 30) - 3/19/2018, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 5-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (30 - 40) at PHILADELPHIA (38 - 30) - 3/19/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 28-38 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 7-24 ATS (-19.4 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 86-63 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 145-111 ATS (+22.9 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 22-6 ATS (+15.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 5-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (38 - 32) at MIAMI (37 - 33) - 3/19/2018, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-2 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (24 - 45) at NEW YORK (25 - 45) - 3/19/2018, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (19 - 50) at BROOKLYN (22 - 48) - 3/19/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 28-38 ATS (-13.8 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MEMPHIS is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
BROOKLYN is 40-29 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 3-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (53 - 17) at SAN ANTONIO (40 - 30) - 3/19/2018, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 29-38 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 1039-910 ATS (+38.0 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 829-706 ATS (+52.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 530-443 ATS (+42.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 190-147 ATS (+28.3 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 212-163 ATS (+32.7 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 185-141 ATS (+29.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 9-5 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (30 - 39) at SACRAMENTO (23 - 48) - 3/19/2018, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 30-44 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
DETROIT is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 21-44 ATS (-27.4 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
DETROIT is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-0 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, March 19


Milwaukee @ Cleveland

Game 601-602
March 19, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
118.714
Cleveland
117.885
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1
229
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+3 1/2); Over

LA Lakers @ Indiana

Game 603-604
March 19, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
00.000
Indiana
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers

Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
( );

Charlotte @ Philadelphia

Game 605-606
March 19, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
109.983
Philadelphia
119.942
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 10
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 7
223
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-7); Under

Denver @ Miami

Game 607-608
March 19, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
00.000
Miami
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver

Dunkel Pick:
Denver
( );

Chicago @ New York

Game 609-610
March 19, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
00.000
New York
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago

Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
( );

Memphis @ Brooklyn

Game 611-612
March 19, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
107.517
Brooklyn
114.991
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brooklyn
by 7 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brooklyn
by 4 1/2
212
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(-4 1/2); Under

Golden State @ San Antonio

Game 613-614
March 19, 2018 @ 9:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
117.737
San Antonio
125.680
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 8
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 6 1/2
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-6 1/2); Over

Detroit @ Sacramento

Game 615-616
March 19, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
113.415
Sacramento
114.566
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 1
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 2 1/2
204
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+2 1/2); Under

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, March 19


LA Lakers @ Indiana

Game 603-604
March 19, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
116.313
Indiana
123.498
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 7
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 4 1/2
219 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-4 1/2); Under

Denver @ Miami

Game 607-608
March 19, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
116.802
Miami
120.869
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 4
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-1 1/2); Under

Chicago @ New York

Game 609-610
March 19, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
108.273
New York
115.785
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 7 1/2
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 5 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-5 1/2); Over

[StarDust Bum]

MONDAY, MARCH 19
GAME TIME(ET) PICK UNITS

CHA at PHI 07:00 PM
CHA +8.5
U 221.0

LAL at IND 07:00 PM
IND -4.5
U 218.0

MIL at CLE 07:00 PM
MIL +2.5
O 225.5

CHI at NY 07:30 PM
NY -5.0
O 217.5

MEM at BK 07:30 PM
BK -6.5
O 210.0

DEN at MIA 07:30 PM
MIA -2.0
U 216.0

GS at SA 09:30 PM
SA -7.5
U 201.0

DET at SAC 10:00 PM
SAC +3.5
U 204.5