Announcement

**Udog** · 03-18-2018, 09:57 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Over/under win totals for baseball season:

96.5– Houston Astros

96.5— Los Angeles Dodgers

94.5– Chicago Cubs

94.5— Cleveland Indians

92.5— Washington Nationals

91.5— Boston Red Sox

**********

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday…..

13) Michigan 64, Houston 63— Cougars were leading 63-61 and were shooting two foul shots with 0:04 left; the Houston kid misses both shots, Michigan calls time-out. Houston doesn’t put a man on the inbounder (like Duke-Kentucky when Laettner hit that shot) and Jordan Poole, a 36.8% shooter on the arc, hit the walk-off 3-pointer to keep Michigan dancing.

This was the kind of game that if you’re wth the Houston team, you’ll think about it every day the rest of your life.

12) Loyola, Chi 63, Tennessee 62— Clayton Custer got a fortuitous bounce on his game-winning jumper with 0:03.6 left, as the Ramblers won a very exciting game. This is the time in 11 years Loyola had a winning conference record- they’ve won their last 12 games.

This is the 11th year in a row a team seeded 11th or worse makes it to the Sweet 16; Ramblers were ranked outside the top 100 in early January, but they’ve won 12 games in row now and will play the Cincinnati-Nevada in the Sweet 16.

11) Texas Tech 69, Florida 66— This was the best game of the day; Red Raiders hung on after nearly gagging away a 5-point lead in last 0:20. Tech goes to the Sweet 16 for 4th time- Chris Beard won a tournament game with Little Rock two years ago as a 12-seed, and now this. He’s a darned good coach.

10) Gonzaga 90, Ohio State 84— Zags ran out to a 15-0 lead, lost the lead, then pulled away down the stretch, as they advance to the Sweet 16 for the 4th year in a row. Gonzaga beat the Buckeyes by 27 in the PK80 tournament in November- this was way tougher.

9) You think you had a bad day? Thursday, a gambler at SouthPoint Casino in Las Vegas bet $10,000 on Arizona to win SU—- if the Wildcats won, he banked $2,000 for his trouble. If they lost, he was out the $10,000.

A 9-point favorite, Arizona lost by 21. Thats a bad day.

8) One of the truly weird things about being in Las Vegas during March Madness is that there is a wagering proposition: “Which team gets to 15 points first?”

First time I witnessed this was in 2010 at the MGM; I’m watching the first part of the first game, and these three guys start hugging each other as if they had just won the lottery. Score of the game was 15-12.

I actually asked one guy if that was his brother who had scored the last basket; he explained the betting prop to me. Lot of people bet on this, apparently.

7) Jets traded three 2nd round draft picks to Indianapolis Saturday to move up three spots in the draft, from #6 pick to #3. Wonder which quarterback they want? Great move by the Colts, who already have a QB and have many other needs.

6) Few years ago, I was at the Wendy’s near my house, in line behind a basketball team- it was this time of year and the America East tournament was at UAlbany.

It was the UMBC Retrievers, who weren’t very good back then, but they were a good group of guys, patient and respectful in line.

Friday, a guy at the Venetian in Las Vegas put $800 of his hard-earned dollars on UMBC on the money line; he got $16,000 back for his trouble. It takes onions to put $800 on a 16-seed, when in the history of the tournament, no 16-seed had ever beaten a #1-seed (0-135).

5) Jarius Lyles was the star of the show for UMBC Friday; both his parents went to Virginia. UMBC is his third college, after pit stops at VCU, Robert Morris. Kid played high school ball at DeMatha in Washington DC, one of the best basketball high schools in the country.

4) Kirk Cousins’ agent is Mike McCartney, whose dad Bill was a really good football coach for the Colorado Buffaloes, winning a national title in Boulder.

3) Obscure baseball trivia: The first time Hank Aaron played for the Braves in a spring training game was in 1954, when he took the place of Bobby Thomson, who broke his ankle sliding into second base. Yes, the same Bobby Thomson who three years earlier hit a walk-off homer to give the New York Giants the NL pennant.

2) Tampa Bay Bucs signed C Ryan Jensen to a four-year, $42 million deal with $22M guaranteed that makes him the highest-paid center in the NFL.

1) Georgia hired Tom Crean as its new basketball coach, after Thad Matta turned them down.

**Udog** · 03-18-2018, 10:28 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, March 18

Oklahoma City @ Toronto

Game 701-702
March 18, 2018 @ 1:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
121.217
Toronto
125.338
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 4
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 6 1/2
216
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+6 1/2); Over

Boston @ New Orleans

Game 703-704
March 18, 2018 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
121.224
New Orleans
120.315
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 3
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(+3); Under

Houston @ Minnesota

Game 705-706
March 18, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
128.536
Minnesota
118.734
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 10
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 7
221
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-7); Under

Portland @ LA Clippers

Game 707-708
March 18, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
124.312
LA Clippers
123.448
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 1
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 2
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(+2); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (42 - 29) at TORONTO (52 - 17) - 3/18/2018, 1:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 29-41 ATS (-16.1 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-54 ATS (-28.4 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 40-29 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 51-34 ATS (+13.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
TORONTO is 193-240 ATS (-71.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (47 - 22) at NEW ORLEANS (39 - 30) - 3/18/2018, 6:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 3-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (55 - 14) at MINNESOTA (40 - 30) - 3/18/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) against Northwest division opponents this season.
HOUSTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 366-430 ATS (-107.0 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 6-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 9-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (43 - 26) at LA CLIPPERS (37 - 31) - 3/18/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in March games this season.
PORTLAND is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
PORTLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 166-209 ATS (-63.9 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 217-271 ATS (-81.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 8-7 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 9-6 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 18

Thunder won three of last four games with Toronto; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Canada. Last four series games went over total. Oklahoma City won its last five games; they’re 5-4 as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over total. Raptors won their last 11 games; under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Toronto is 6-4 vs spread in its last ten games as a home favorite.

Boston won five of last seven games with the Pelicans; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to New Orleans. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Celtics split their last six games; they covered their last six road games. Six of last nine Boston games went over total. New Orleans lost four of its last five games; they’re 6-3 vs spread if they played night before, 2-6 in last eight games as a home favorite. Over is 6-2 in their last eight home games.

Rockets won nine of last ten games with Minnesota (4-6 vs spread); they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to the Twin Cities. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Houston won 21 of its last 22 games; they’re 8-3 vs spread in last 11 road games, 4-5 vs spread if they played night before. Last six Rocket games stayed under. Timberwolves lost four of their last six games; they’re 2-3 as home underdogs. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games.

Clippers won four of last five games with Portland; three of last four series games stayed under. Trailblazers are 3-2 vs spread in last five series games played here. Portland won its last 11 games, covered its last nine; they’re 11-6-1 as road underdogs. Under is 7-3 in last 10 Portland games. Clippers split their last six games; they’re 4-6 vs spread in last 10 games as home faves. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.

NBA

Sunday, March 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY @ TORONTO
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

BOSTON @ NEW ORLEANS
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 19 of New Orleans's last 24 games at home
New Orleans is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games

HOUSTON @ MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

PORTLAND @ LA CLIPPERS
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
LA Clippers is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against Portland

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Announcement

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/18

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/18

Comment

Comment