Announcement

**Udog** · 03-16-2018, 08:15 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Odds you can get on various World Series matchups:

14-1- Astros-Dodgers

18-1– Indians-Dodgers

18-1— Astros-Nationals

22-1— Indians-Nationals

30-1— Red Sox-Cubs

150-1— A’s-Dodgers— Hey, a guy can dream.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's Den: Wrapping up a basketball Thursday

Night Games
16) Buffalo 89, Arizona 68— Complete ass-kicking; Bulls outhustled Arizona, they made 15-30 on the arc and they looked like the better team. Arizona kids quit in the last 10:00.

This is first time since 2012 a MAC team won an NCAA tournament game; it is only the second time in last eight years Arizona didn’t make the Sweet 16. With all their legal issues, could be a long time before they get there again.

15) Houston 67, San Diego State 65— Rob Gray scored 39 of Houston’s 67 points, including the game-winner with 0:01 left; I don’t want to say he’s a ballhog, but he took 25 shots, 15 more foul shots and he had zero assists. It is amazing how much he dominates the ball, but he made 12-25 from the floor and the Cougars advance.

14) Alabama 86, Virginia Tech 81— Pet Peeve of the Day; calling a flagrant foul when a defender intrudes the space of the guy with the ball, and the offensive player swings the ball to create space and plugs the defender in the face with the ball or his elbow. Whats he supposed to do?

20 years ago, we used to teach this about rebounding: “Catch-Tuck-Swing” the ball, and if the guy on the other team didn’t want to get drilled in the face, he’d move his face. Now in our soft society, that would be a foul on the guy with the ball, maybe a flagrant foul. It shouldn’t be.

13) Kentucky 78, Davidson 73— Davidson hit a 3-ball with 0:00.6 to cover the spread, but now Kentucky plays Buffalo Saturday for a spot in the Sweet 16.

Kentucky went 0-for-6 outside the arc against Davidson, which ended a 1,047-game streak in which Kentucky made at least one 3-pointer. It was the longest active streak in the country, dating back to November 26, 1988.

12) Texas Tech 70, Stephen F Austin 60— Lumberjacks led by 3 at the half; but Keenan Evans scored 23 points for the Red Raiders and Tech gets their first NCAA tournament win since 2005.

11) Michigan 61, Montana 47— Griz led this game 10-0 early, but Big Sky teams haven’t won a tournament game since 2006- they’re just not good enough to beat a top 20 opponent.

10) Florida 77, St Bonaventure 62— Bonnies made tournament for first time since 2012, beat UCLA Tuesday, but ran out of gas here and got drilled by the Gators, who now play Texas Tech.

I’m still amazed one of the genius AD’s at the big money schools hasn’t scooped up Bonnies’ coach Mark Schmidt— he is a very good coach. Ain’t easy to recruit players to Olean, NY.

9) Villanova 87, Radford 61— Worst game of the day, a total mismatch; now the Wildcats face their bugaboo, the second round of the tournament.

Since 2010, Villanova is 1-4 in the second round of the NCAA’s, losing two of last three years in 2nd round as a #1-seed; the one time they won was two years ago, when they went on to win the national title. Villanova plays Virginia Tech Saturday.

Day games
1) Rhode Island 83, Oklahoma 78 OT— First game of the tournament was terrific; Sooners led by 8 late in first half, then trailed by 6 with 4:10 left in regulation, before URI missed a point-blank putback at the buzzer to force OT, where the Rams prevailed.

Oklahoma winds up losing 12 of its last 16 games. URI moves on to play Duke.

2) Loyola Chi 64, Miami FL 62— Donte Ingram stuck a 3-ball with 0:00.3 left to send Ramblers on to the next round in their first NCAA appearance since 1985. Loyola outscored Miami 8-2 over the last 2:47; they were +6 in turnovers (16-10) for the game.

This is the 14th consecutive year that a #11 seed beat a #6 seed

3) Gonzaga 68, NC-Greensboro 64— Games like this are what make the NCAA tournament great. Condescending jerks like Jay Bilas think the NCAA’s should be the best 68 teams in country, rather than the champs from all 32 D-I leagues, but if that were the case, the Spartans wouldn’t have been invited— we’d get the 13th place team in the ACC.

Zags led by 12 with 16:00 left, but UNCG took a 64-62 lead with 1:46 to play- Gonzaga scored the last six points of the game. Exciting game, for sure.

4) Ohio State 81, South Dakota State 73— This game was 70-70 with 1:53 left, but then SD State fouled the 3-point shooter on the next two trips and that was that. Jackrabbits dared Ohio State to shoot 3-pointers; OSU was 12-40 outside the arc, 15-32 inside arc.

South Dakota State’s Mike Daum is an NBA player; he is a sturdy 6-8 guy with 3-point range; he had 27 in this game, and star freshman Jenkins had 16. If those two guys are back in school next year, the Jackrabbits should go dancing again.

5) Duke 89, Iona 67— Gaels shot 38.3% on arc for season; they were 5-24 in this game, as Duke ran out to a 53-39 halftime lead and coasted home from there.

6) Seton Hall 94, NC State 83— Pirates are #55 experience team in country, NC State is #179, which explains this result. Seton Hall led 51-41 at the half and held the Wolfpack off in a game with lot of fouls. Solid first season for Kevin Keatts with NC State, finishing at 21-12. ACC lost two teams already; Wolfpack and Miami.

7) Kansas 76, Penn 60— Quakers led 21-11 early, then reality set in. Penn had a senior named Caleb Wood, only senior in their rotation. He was 4-12 behind the arc in this game, only 12 shots he took all day. He shot 38% behind arc for the year; thats a good gig, just shooting 3’s.

Penn was first Ivy League team to be a 16-seed since Princeton in 1989.

8) Tennessee 73, Wright State 47— Total mismatch, other than first 2:00, when Raiders led 2-0. Vols are just so much more athletic than Wright State. Tennessee has all five of its starters back next year, so they should be even better. Wright State’s only senior starter was Grant Benzinger, son of former major leaguer Todd Benzinger— he was 2-16 from floor in this game.

**Udog** · 03-16-2018, 10:26 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, March 16

Boston @ Orlando

Game 801-802
March 16, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
00.000
Orlando
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston

Dunkel Pick:
Boston
( );

Brooklyn @ Philadelphia

Game 803-804
March 16, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
113.129
Philadelphia
119.318
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 6
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 8 1/2
218
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+8 1/2); Over

Dallas @ Toronto

Game 805-806
March 16, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
117.142
Toronto
126.687
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 9 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 11 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+11 1/2); Under

LA Clippers @ Oklahoma City

Game 807-808
March 16, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
00.000
Oklahoma City
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers

Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
( );

Sacramento @ Golden State

Game 809-810
March 16, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
113.701
Golden State
122.494
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 8 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 12
214
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+12); Over

Miami @ LA Lakers

Game 811-812
March 16, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
00.000
LA Lakers
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami

Dunkel Pick:
Miami
( );

**Udog** · 03-16-2018, 10:28 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, March 16

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BOSTON (46 - 22) at ORLANDO (21 - 48) - 3/16/2018, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (21 - 47) at PHILADELPHIA (37 - 30) - 3/16/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 86-62 ATS (+17.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 38-29 ATS (+6.1 Units) in all games this season.
BROOKLYN is 32-22 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
BROOKLYN is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games this season.
BROOKLYN is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 24-15 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BROOKLYN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
PHILADELPHIA is 6-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (22 - 46) at TORONTO (51 - 17) - 3/16/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) on Friday nights this season.
TORONTO is 40-28 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
DALLAS is 406-331 ATS (+41.9 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 500-419 ATS (+39.1 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 183-138 ATS (+31.2 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 3-2 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (37 - 30) at OKLAHOMA CITY (41 - 29) - 3/16/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-3 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SACRAMENTO (22 - 47) at GOLDEN STATE (52 - 16) - 3/16/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 28-37 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-5 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 8-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (36 - 33) at LA LAKERS (31 - 37) - 3/16/2018, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-16-2018, 10:30 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, March 16

Celtics won six of last seven games with the Magic; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Orlando. Six of last nine series games went over. Boston lost three of its last five games; they are 5-2 vs spread in last seven games as road favorites. Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Magic lost five of its last six games; they’re 8-3 in last 11 games as home underdogs. Seven of their last ten games stayed under.

76ers won six of last nine games with the Nets; under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. Nets are are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Philly. Brooklyn lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 4-0 vs spread in last four games as road underdogs. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. Sixers split their last six games; they’re 3-6 vs spread if they played night before, 11-2 in last 13 games as home favorites. Under is 7-2 in last nine Philly games.

Raptors won four of last five games with Dallas; under is 7-1 in last eight series games. Dallas is 2-3 vs spread in its last five visits to Canada. Mavericks won three of last four games; they’re 10-4 in last 14 games as road underdogs- their last three games stayed under. Toronto won its last ten games (8-2 vs spread); they’re 6-3 in last nine games as home favorites. Seven of their last nine games stayed under.

Thunder won six of last eight games with the Clippers; six of those games went over. LA is 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to OKC. Clippers are 5-3 vs spread when playing 2nd consecutive night on road; they won five of last seven games, are 10-2 in last dozen games as road underdogs. Three of their last four games stayed under. Thunder won their last four games; they’re 3-5 in last eight games as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under.

Warriors won eight of last ten games with Sacramento, but Kings covered four of last six series games; Kings are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Oakland. Five of last six series games stayed under. Sacramento split its last eight games; they’re 9-4 in last 13 games as road underdogs. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Golden State won eight of its last ten games; they’re 5-3 in last eight games as home favorites. Six of their last seven games stayed under.

Lakers won three of last four games with Miami; last three series games went over. Heat is 1-3 vs spread in last four series games in Staples Center. Miami lost its last nine road games; they’re 7-3 vs spread in last ten games as road underdogs. Five of their last six games went over total. Lakers won seven of last ten games; they’re 6-4 as home favorites. Four of their last six games stayed under.

**Udog** · 03-16-2018, 10:32 AM

NBA

Friday, March 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON @ ORLANDO
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games
Orlando is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Boston

BROOKLYN @ PHILADELPHIA
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
Philadelphia is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games at home

DALLAS @ TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Dallas's last 11 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

LA CLIPPERS @ OKLAHOMA CITY
LA Clippers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Clippers
Oklahoma City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing LA Clippers

MIAMI @ LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing at home against Miami

SACRAMENTO @ GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games on the road
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Sacramento

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-16-2018, 01:18 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, March 16

Boston @ Orlando

Game 801-802
March 16, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
121.314
Orlando
112.213
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 9
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 6
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-6); Over

LA Clippers @ Oklahoma City

Game 807-808
March 16, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
117.453
Oklahoma City
124.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 7
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 4
223
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(-4); Under

Miami @ LA Lakers

Game 811-812
March 16, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
116.756
LA Lakers
123.658
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 7
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 4
219 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(-4); Over

Announcement

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/16

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/16

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