Announcement

**Udog** · 03-15-2018, 08:32 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Some prop bets for the NCAA tournament; wins by team: (Westgate SuperBook)

— wins for Villanova, 3.5 (under -$120)

— wins for Duke, 3 (under -$130)

— wins for Michigan State, 2.5 (under -$135)

— wins for Virginia, 4 (under -$140)

— wins for North Carolina 2.5 (under -$140)

— wins for Michigan 2 (under -$130

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud……

13) USC star Chimezie Metu sat out the Trojans’ NIT game Tuesday, because he doesn’t want to get hurt before the NBA Draft, which is in late June. This ignited a heated Twitter debate.

I’ll say this: Metu has the right to do as he pleases, it is a free country. But…….

In 2000, Kenyon Martin was the star of a Cincinnati team that was going to be a #1-seed in the NCAA’s, but in the first round of the C-USA tournament, he broke his leg and also injured knee ligaments, the kind of disastrous injury that Metu obviously fears now.

Long story short: Martin was still picked 1st in the NBA Draft that year; he played 15 years in the NBA, scored over 9,200 points and earned $113M in his career.

My opinion is that you should finish what you start, but thats just my opinion.

12) Klay Thompson has apparently broken his right thumb, will miss at least four games; he hasn’t missed more than five games in a season since he became a full-time starter.

11) Stupid new baseball rule: In minor league baseball this year, all extra innings will start with a runner on second base. I’m beginning to think the people who run baseball don’t like baseball.

10) Patrick Beilein is the 34-year old coach at LeMoyne, a D-II school in Syracuse; he is the son of Michigan coach John Beilein. It has been rumored that Patrick Beilein has already gotten three job offers from D-I schools this spring.

9) Ole Miss is going to hire Middle Tennessee State coach Kermit Davis, whose dad used to be the coach at Mississippi State. Rough couple weeks for the Blue Raiders, who got screwed out of an NCAA tournament bid and now are losing their coach of the last 16 years.

8) Memphis went 21-13 this year, but apparently they fired Tubby Smith this week and will hire Anfernee Hardaway as his replacement. John Calipari spoiled this fanbase forever; they ran Josh Pastner out of town after he went 166-73 with the Tigers and now they got rid of Tubby, whose career record is 597-302. Tough town.

7) Evansville fired Marty Simmons after 11 years and zero NCAA tournament bids; he went 25-9, 24-12 two and three years ago, but didn’t win Arch Madness so now he is unemployed.

6) Arizona Cardinals signed Mike Glennon as their backup QB, which is a good thing if they’re going to start Sam Bradford at QB this fall.

Bradford has a 34-45-1 W-L record in NFL, missing 48 games in his eight NFL seasons. He has a very bad knee that Mike Zimmer recently called “degenerative.” He is not dependable.

5) There are 11 teams in this year’s NIT that would be favored over Syracuse on a neutral floor.

4) Toys ‘r Us is closing its 800 stores in this country; that just sounds kind of sad.

3) Cleveland Browns’ tackle Joe Thomas retired this week; the man played 10,363 consecutive snaps in the NFL without missing a play, which is astounding for an offensive lineman.

2) Saw a baseball shift this week I’ve never seen before; Kris Bryant is batting for the Cubs with a man on 3rd. San Diego put three infielders on the left side of the infield, and the 1B almost halfway to 2B. If Bryant hits the ball to the right side of the infield, not sure how they get him out, unless he hits it hard right at the first baseman.

1— Dee Gordon is playing centerfield for the Mariners this spring, at least he was until Robinson Cano strained a hamstring. Seattle’s TV guys were bragging on the Mariners’ bullpen, so we’ll see how well they do this season.

**Udog** · 03-15-2018, 10:33 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, March 15

Toronto @ Indiana

Game 701-702
March 15, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
127.508
Indiana
120.537
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 7
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 3 1/2
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-3 1/2); Over

Charlotte @ Atlanta

Game 703-704
March 15, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
111.508
Atlanta
109.491
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 5
219 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+5); Over

Philadelphia @ New York

Game 705-706
March 15, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
120.836
New York
107.655
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 13
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 9
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-9); Under

LA Clippers @ Houston

Game 707-708
March 15, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
121.060
Houston
129.485
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 8 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 11 1/2
224 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+11 1/2); Under

Chicago @ Memphis

Game 709-710
March 15, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
111.395
Memphis
110.418
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 1
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 2
212 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+2); Under

New Orleans @ San Antonio

Game 711-712
March 15, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
120.563
San Antonio
119.498
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 1
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 4
219 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+4); Under

Phoenix @ Utah

Game 713-714
March 15, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
103.892
Utah
127.381
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 23 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 12 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-12 1/2); Under

Detroit @ Denver

Game 715-716
March 15, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
114.966
Denver
119.763
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 5
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 8
216
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+8); Under

Cleveland @ Portland

Game 717-718
March 15, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
117.660
Portland
128.268
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 10 1/2
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 4
222
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-4); Over

**Udog** · 03-15-2018, 10:36 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 15

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TORONTO (50 - 17) at INDIANA (40 - 28) - 3/15/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 192-240 ATS (-72.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
INDIANA is 39-29 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against Atlantic division opponents this season.
INDIANA is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 68-47 ATS (+16.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 39-28 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
TORONTO is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 9-7 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 10-6 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (29 - 39) at ATLANTA (20 - 48) - 3/15/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
ATLANTA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 8-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 7-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (36 - 30) at NEW YORK (24 - 44) - 3/15/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 86-61 ATS (+18.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 21-30 ATS (-12.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
NEW YORK is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW YORK is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 7-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (37 - 29) at HOUSTON (53 - 14) - 3/15/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 216-270 ATS (-81.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
HOUSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 116-85 ATS (+22.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
HOUSTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
HOUSTON is 51-70 ATS (-26.0 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 107-140 ATS (-47.0 Units) in home games against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
HOUSTON is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-5 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-5 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (23 - 44) at MEMPHIS (18 - 49) - 3/15/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 27-37 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 3-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 3-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (39 - 28) at SAN ANTONIO (38 - 30) - 3/15/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1037-910 ATS (+36.0 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 827-706 ATS (+50.4 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 528-443 ATS (+40.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 188-147 ATS (+26.3 Units) in March games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 211-163 ATS (+31.7 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 183-141 ATS (+27.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) vs. division opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 7-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (19 - 50) at UTAH (38 - 30) - 3/15/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after allowing 85 points or less this season.
UTAH is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
UTAH is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
UTAH is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 171-124 ATS (+34.6 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
PHOENIX is 54-37 ATS (+13.3 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 9-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (30 - 37) at DENVER (37 - 31) - 3/15/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 29-43 ATS (-18.3 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games in March games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 3-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (39 - 28) at PORTLAND (41 - 26) - 3/15/2018, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 22-44 ATS (-26.4 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
CLEVELAND is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 22-37 ATS (-18.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
CLEVELAND is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
PORTLAND is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) in all games this season.
PORTLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games in the second half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 18-4 ATS (+13.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 3-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-15-2018, 10:37 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 15

Home side won last nine Toronto-Indiana games; Raptors are 1-4 vs spread in their last five visits here, all of which stayed under. Toronto won its last nine games; they’re 6-1 vs spread in last seven games as road favorites. Six of their last eight games stayed under. Pacers won six of their last seven games; they’re 5-5 as home underdogs. Nine of their last ten games went under the total.

Hornets won six of last seven games with the Hawks; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Atlanta. Eight of last ten series games stayed under. Charlotte lost six of its last seven games; they’re 4-2 as road favorites. Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games. Hawks lost eight of their last ten games; they’re 4-6 in last 10 games as home underdogs. Seven of their last ten games went under the total.

Knicks lost three of last four games with Philly; five of last six series games stayed under total. 76ers covered their last four visits to Manhattan. Philly split its last 10 games; they’re 2-6 in last eight games as road favorites. Seven of their last nine games stayed under. New York lost its last eight games (1-7 vs spread); they failed to cover last seven games as home underdogs. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Clippers won three of last four games with Houston; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here. Four of last five series games stayed under. Clippers won seven of their last nine games; they’re 11-3 vs spread in last 14 games as road underdogs. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Rockets won 19 of their last 20 games; they’re 5-9 in last 14 games as home favorites. Last four series games stayed under.

Road team won seven of last ten Chicago-Memphis games; Bulls covered three of last four trips to Memphis. Over is 4-2-1 in last seven series games. Chicago lost seven of its last ten games; they’re 1-8 in last nine games as road underdogs. Four of their last six games stayed under the total. Grizzlies lost their last 18 games (last win Jan 29); they’re 6-10 as home favorites. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Pelicans won three of last four games with the Spurs; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to the Alamo. Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. New Orleans won eight of its last 10 games; they’re 7-2 in last nine games as road underdogs. Eight of their last ten games went over total. San Antonio lost seven of its last ten games; they’re 1-5 in last six games as home favorites. Spurs’ last five games all stayed under.

Jazz won nine of last ten games with Phoenix but Suns covered four of last five; Phoenix is 2-2-1 vs spread in last five visits to SLC. Six of last nine series games stayed under. Phoenix lost its last six games; they’re 4-6 in last ten games as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over total. Utah won its last seven games; they’re 3-6 in last nine games as home favorites. Eight of their last ten games stayed under.

Nuggets are 5-3 in last eight games with Detroit; last seven series games stayed under the total. Pistons are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Denver. Detroit lost eight of its last ten games; they are 1-10 in last 11 games as road underdogs. Four of their last five games went under the total. Denver split its last ten games; they’re 5-7 in last dozen games as home favorites. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Home side won last eight Cleveland-Portland games; Cavaliers are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Oregon. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Cleveland is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 7-4 vs spread as road underdogs. Under is 6-4 in their last ten games. Trailblazers won their last 10 games; they covered last five games as home favorites. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

**Udog** · 03-15-2018, 10:40 AM

NBA

Thursday, March 15

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO @ INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games

CHARLOTTE @ ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Charlotte is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 12 games when playing Charlotte

PHILADELPHIA @ NEW YORK
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing New York
New York is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Philadelphia

CHICAGO @ MEMPHIS
Chicago is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Memphis's last 8 games

LA CLIPPERS @ HOUSTON
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
LA Clippers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games

NEW ORLEANS @ SAN ANTONIO
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games
San Antonio is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against New Orleans

PHOENIX @ UTAH
Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Phoenix's last 22 games when playing Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Utah is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

DETROIT @ DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Denver is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Detroit

CLEVELAND @ PORTLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
Cleveland is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

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Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/15

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/15

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