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**Udog** · 03-14-2018, 08:45 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Some prop bets for the NCAA tournament; wins by conference:

— ACC— 14 wins

— Big East— 8.5 wins

— Big X— 8.5 wins

— #1 seeds— 11.5 wins

— #2 seeds— 10.5 wins

— #3 seeds— 8 wins

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) Minnesota Vikings made their decision; they give Kirk Cousins $84M for three years, all fully guaranteed, to be their QB. Cousins has a 26-30-1 career W-L record, 0-1 in playoffs.

12) Minnesota went 11-3 with Case Keenum at QB LY; Keenum signed with the Broncos on Monday; he threw for 3,547 yards and 22 TD’s last season.

11) Drew Brees re-signed with the Saints; he turned down $60M guaranteed from someone else (Cardinals? Vikings?) before deciding to stay in New Orleans.

10) Cardinals gave oft-injured QB Sam Bradford $20 ($15M guaranteed) for one year. As a long-time Ram fan, I endorse the Keenum signing; the Bradford signing? Not so much.

9) Jets signed Teddy Bridgewater and re-signed Josh McCown, meaning they probably ain’t drafting another quarterback next month.

8) Gonzaga lost the national title game 71-65 last April, ending an odd run to the Final Four- they were 1-4-1 vs spread in their NCAA tournament games last spring.

7) Florida made the Elite 8 in each of its last five NCAA tournaments- hard to do that.

6) Since 2010, Villanova is 5-2 in its first-round games, 1-4 in second round games; the one time they won in second round, they won national title two years ago.

5) Arkansas is probably glad just to be in a different region than North Carolina this year; last three times the Razorbacks made the NCAA’s, they lost to the Tar Heels in the second round. If they play UNC in this year’s tournament, it’ll be in the Final Four.

4) Why gambling on NIT/CBI/CIT games can be dicey; USC star Chimezie Metu sat out Trojans’ NIT game Tuesday, for no reason except he didn’t want to get hurt. Not sure that Metu will get picked in the first round of the NBA Draft— he is a junior, so if he got hurt, he could come back to school next year, but it is a free country, and he chose not to play.

Late night update: With Metu sitting on bench, NC-Asheville played its heart out but fell short, losing 103-98 in double OT at USC- they led by six points in overtime.

3) Virginia loses its best guy off the bench, DeAndre Hunter for the season with a broken wrist.

2) Radford 71, LIU 61— Radford advances to play Villanova Thursday; no 16-seed has ever beaten a #1-seed. Last nine years, #16-seeds who won the play-in game are 7-11 vs spread in their next game, against a #1-seed.

1— St Bonaventure 65, UCLA 58— Season that started with shoplifting in China ended with an ugly loss on a Tuesday night in Dayton. Bruins turned ball over 20 times (-14), shot 10-30 on arc. Bonnies’ Stocker was doubtful to play, then played all 40:00, scored 26 points- they won despite star Adams going 2-16 from the floor.

**Udog** · 03-14-2018, 08:51 AM

Wednesday's NCAA Tournament First Four betting preview and odds

The Arizona State Sun Devils averaged 91.8 points on 50.8 percent shooting from the field and 42.4 beyond the arc during their season-opening 12-game winning streak.

The NCAA Tournament continues Wednesday night with a pair of play-in games - the NCAA definitely doesn't want you to call them "play-in" games but they are definitely play-in games. The battle of potential No. 16 seeds has NC Central taking on Texas Southern and Arizona St. and Syracuse will battle for the right to take on TCU as a No. 11 seed in the Big Dance.

First Four games to be played at University of Dayton Arena in Dayton, Ohio.

(16) Texas Southern Tigers vs (16) North Carolina Central Eagles (+5, 146.5)

March Madness Betting Breakdown: No. 16 Texas Southern vs. No. 16 NC Central
North Carolina Central takes on Texas Southern in the No. 16 play-in game with a spot in the Round of 64 of the NCAA tournament on the line Wednesday night.

Texas Southern has embraced taking on college basketball's heavyweights early in recent seasons in hopes it pays off in March, but this year the program took that philosophy to the extreme. Making their fourth NCAA Tournament appearance in the last five seasons, the Tigers attempt to snag their first ever victory in the Big Dance on Wednesday in a First Four matchup in Dayton, Ohio, against fellow West Region No. 16 seed North Carolina Central.

Taking on six eventual NCAA Tournament teams over the course of playing its first 13 games on the road while facing the country's most difficult non-conference schedule according to KenPom.com, Texas Southern did not win its first game until opening up Southwestern Athletic Conference play on New Year's Day. The Tigers found their groove late, however, ending the regular season with four straight wins before registering double-digit victories in each of their three games during the conference tournament. The Eagles took a polar opposite approach to their third NCAA tournament appearance in the past five years, facing only one major-conference school (Illinois) before posting a 9-7 mark and finishing sixth in the Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference. North Carolina Central marched into the Big Dance for the second straight season Saturday, upsetting top-seeded Hampton to secure the league's automatic berth.

TV: 6:40 p.m. ET, truTV

LINE HISTORY: Texas Southern opened as 5-point favorites for this matchup and the total hit betting boards at 146.5. As of Tuesday afternoon neither of these numbers has moved.

BETTING STATS:

ABOUT TEXAS SOUTHERN: SWAC Tournament MVP Demontrae Jefferson (team-high marks of 23.4 points and 4.5 assists) - a 5-7 sophomore who missed nine games this season for a variety of reasons, including an early suspension and the passing of his father - scored at least 15 points in 24 of 25 games this season. Massachusetts transfer Donte Clark (18.6 points) erupted for 41 points during one of Jefferson's absences and is averaging 23.6 points over the last five contests. Trayvon Reed (9.7 points) ranks second in the conference in rebounds (8.8) and first in blocks (3.0), while part-time starter Marquis Salmon (5.3 points, 6.2 boards) collected 48 rebounds over a three-game span prior to playing a limited role in the SWAC title game.

ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL: Although the Eagles boast All-MEAC second-team center Raasean Davis (team-high marks of 15.0 points and 8.0 rebounds), nearly 40 percent of their scoring comes from their bench as 12 players average at least 10 minutes per game. Davis, a 6-9, 240-pound Kent State transfer who led the MEAC in field-goal percentage (66.7) and fourth in rebounding, proved to be a terror during the final three games of the conference, averaging 15 points and 13.3 boards. Guards Reggie Gardner Jr. (11.2 points, team-high 74 3-pointers) and Jordan Perkins (8.4 points, team-high 5.4 assists), who tallied 13 points and nine assists in the conference title game and handed out a career-high 14 assists earlier in the season, each landed on the all-conference rookie team.

MATCHUP CHART:

TRENDS:

* Tigers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
* Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
* Over is 4-0 in Tigers' last 4 NCAA Tournament games.
* Under is 17-4-1 in Eagles' last 22 neutral site games.

CONSENSUS: The early Covers consensus data shows 59 percent of bettors taking the favorites from Texas Southern, while 53 percent of totals wagers are on the Over.

(11) Syracuse Orange vs (11) Arizona State Sun Devils (-1.5, 143.5)

March Madness Betting Breakdown: No. 11 Arizona State vs. No. 11 Syracuse
Arizona State (-1.5) battles Syracuse in the No. 11 play-in game Wednesday for a spot in the Round of 64 for the NCAA tournament.

Arizona State defeated four eventual NCAA Tournament teams en route to a school-record 12-0 start, but Pac-12 play proved to be a different animal. The Sun Devils hope to resume their dominant play in non-conference action when they meet fellow Midwest Region No. 11 seed Syracuse in a First Four matchup Wednesday in Dayton, Ohio.

The last team in the country to suffer its first loss, Arizona State defeated two eventual No. 1 seeds in the Big Dance - Kansas and Xavier - as well as NCAA Tournament teams San Diego State and Kansas State. The Sun Devils dropped their first game at Arizona on Dec. 30 and were unable to recapture their earlier success, never winning more than three in a row before finishing with an 8-10 conference record and losses in five of their last six. The Orange, who were tabbed by NCAA Tournament committee chair Bruce Rasmussen as the last at-large team into the field, endured a similar path with an 8-10 mark in the ACC after rolling to an 11-2 record during the non-league portion of their schedule. Despite finishing in a tie for 10th in its conference, Syracuse proved itself in the eyes of the committee with a top-20 strength of schedule (14th entering Sunday) and four wins against top-50 RPI teams.

TV: 9:10 p.m. ET, truTV

LINE HISTORY: The pointspread for this First Four matchup opened as a Pick 'Em but steady action on the Sun Devils has pushed the line to 1.5 in their direction. The total hit betting boards at 142.5 and has been bumped up slightly to 143.5.

BETTING STATS:

ABOUT SYRACUSE: The success of the Orange depends greatly on the success of Tyus Battle (19.8 points), Frank Howard (15.0) and Oshae Brissett (14.7), who rank first, second and sixth in the country in minutes per game and account for 73.3 percent of the team's scoring. Battle has reached double figures in all but one game this season but has failed to shoot 40 percent from the floor in seven of the last eight contests, including a 14-for-50 showing over the last three games. Howard is also slumping of late, failing to shoot over 30 percent from the field in four of his last five outings - including a 10-for-38 stretch beyond the arc over that span.

ABOUT ARIZONA STATE: The Sun Devils averaged 91.8 points on 50.8 percent shooting from the field and 42.4 beyond the arc during their season-opening winning streak before cooling off the tune of 78.3, 43.7 and 32.9, respectively, over the last 19 contests. Part of the falloff can be attributed to the decline of leading scorer Tra Holder (18.4 points), who averaged 21.4 points during their undefeated start - including a career-high 40 points against Xavier and 29 against Kansas - and only 16.6 the rest of the way. Fellow senior guards Shannon Evans II (16.6) knocked down a conference-high 91 3-pointers, while Kodi Justice (12.6) went over 1,000 career points last weekend and has buried multiple triples in six of his last seven outings.

MATCHUP CHART:

TRENDS:

* Orange are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 NCAA Tournament games.
* Sun Devils are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 non-conference games.
* Over is 6-1 in Orange's last 7 vs. Pacific-12.
* Over is 4-1 in Sun Devils' last 5 NCAA Tournament games.

CONSENSUS: The early consensus shows 56 percent of selections siding with the underdog Syracuse Orange, while 58 percent of totals wagers are on the Over.

**Udog** · 03-14-2018, 09:33 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 14

When Dunkel runs the missing matchups, I'll edit this reply to show it....

NC Central @ Texas Southern

Game 609-610
March 14, 2018 @ 6:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC Central
43.410
Texas Southern
45.967
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas Southern
by 2 1/2
141
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas Southern
by 5
148
Dunkel Pick:
NC Central
(+5); Under

Arizona State @ Syracuse

Game 611-612
March 14, 2018 @ 9:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona State
63.216
Syracuse
64.338
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Syracuse
by 1
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona State
by 2
143
Dunkel Pick:
Syracuse
(+2); Under

Harvard @ Marquette

Game 613-614
March 14, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Harvard
54.639
Marquette
69.806
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Marquette
by 15 1/2
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Marquette
by 11 1/2
147
Dunkel Pick:
Marquette
(-11 1/2); Over

LA-Lafayette @ LSU

Game 615-616
March 14, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA-Lafayette
58.725
LSU
65.819
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 7
165
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 4
160 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LSU
(-4); Over

Temple @ Penn State

Game 617-618
March 14, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Temple
58.605
Penn State
65.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn State
by 7
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn State
by 10
145
Dunkel Pick:
Temple
(+10); Under

Nebraska @ Mississippi State

Game 619-620
March 14, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nebraska
65.243
Mississippi State
64.118
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nebraska
by 1
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mississippi State
by 4
142 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Nebraska
(+4); Under

Cal Davis @ Utah

Game 621-622
March 14, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cal Davis
52.342
Utah
67.408
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 15
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 12 1/2
139 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-12 1/2); Over

Brigham Young @ Stanford

Game 623-624
March 14, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brigham Young
58.204
Stanford
63.769
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Stanford
by 5 1/2
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Stanford
by 2 1/2
149
Dunkel Pick:
Stanford
(-2 1/2); Over

Boise State @ Washington

Game 625-626
March 14, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boise State
60.298
Washington
61.338
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boise State
by 1
149
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+1); Under

Colgate @ San Francisco

Game 633-634
March 14, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colgate
50.466
San Francisco
54.634
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 4
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 7 1/2
140 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colgate
(+7 1/2); Under

North Texas @ South Dakota

Game 635-636
March 14, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
North Texas
46.734
South Dakota
62.659
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Dakota
by 16
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Dakota
by 13
147 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Dakota
(-13); Over

Mercer @ Grand Canyon

Game 637-638
March 14, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mercer
52.325
Grand Canyon
60.945
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Grand Canyon
by 8 1/2
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Grand Canyon
by 6
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Grand Canyon
(-6); N/A

Miami-OH @ Campbell

Game 639-640
March 14, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami-OH
50.208
Campbell
53.679
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Campbell
by 3 1/2
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Campbell
by 1
144
Dunkel Pick:
Campbell
(-1); Over

TX-Rio Grande @ New Orleans

Game 641-642
March 14, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TX-Rio Grande
41.076
New Orleans
46.639
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 5 1/2
159
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 2
151 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-2); Over

Central Arkansas @ Seattle

Game 643-644
March 14, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Arkansas
48.131
Seattle
51.034
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 3
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
by 6
160 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Central Arkansas
(+6); Under

Jacksonville St @ Canisius

Game 645-646
March 14, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jacksonville St
52.467
Canisius
54.596
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Canisius
by 2
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Canisius
by 4 1/2
144 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville St
(+4 1/2); Under

St. Francis-PA @ Illinois-Chicago

Game 649-650
March 14, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Francis-PA
00.000
Illinois-Chicago
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Francis-PA

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Francis-PA

Dunkel Pick:
St. Francis-PA
( );

Niagara @ Eastern Michigan

Game 651-652
March 14, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Niagara
00.000
Eastern Michigan
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Niagara

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Niagara

Dunkel Pick:
Niagara
( );

Lamar @ TX-San Antonio

Game 653-654
March 14, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Lamar
00.000
TX-San Antonio
00.000
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Lamar

Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Lamar

Dunkel Pick:
Lamar
( );

**Udog** · 03-14-2018, 09:35 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NC CENTRAL (19 - 15) vs. TEXAS SOUTHERN (15 - 19) - 3/14/2018, 6:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NC CENTRAL is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NC CENTRAL is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NC CENTRAL is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
NC CENTRAL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
NC CENTRAL is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA ST (20 - 11) vs. SYRACUSE (20 - 13) - 3/14/2018, 9:10 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a conference game this season.
ARIZONA ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
ARIZONA ST is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
SYRACUSE is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HARVARD (18 - 13) at MARQUETTE (19 - 13) - 3/14/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HARVARD is 46-74 ATS (-35.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
HARVARD is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
HARVARD is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
HARVARD is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
HARVARD is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HARVARD is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
HARVARD is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA-LAFAYETTE (27 - 6) at LSU (17 - 14) - 3/14/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA-LAFAYETTE is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
LA-LAFAYETTE is 30-13 ATS (+15.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEMPLE (17 - 15) at PENN ST (21 - 13) - 3/14/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEMPLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
TEMPLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
TEMPLE is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEBRASKA (22 - 10) at MISSISSIPPI ST (22 - 11) - 3/14/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEBRASKA is 97-131 ATS (-47.1 Units) in road games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 97-131 ATS (-47.1 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 21-40 ATS (-23.0 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 105-77 ATS (+20.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all games this season.
NEBRASKA is 22-8 ATS (+13.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) after a conference game this season.
NEBRASKA is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEBRASKA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CAL DAVIS (22 - 10) at UTAH (19 - 11) - 3/14/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
UTAH is 23-7 ATS (+15.3 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 15 points since 1997.
UTAH is 154-112 ATS (+30.8 Units) in all home games since 1997.
UTAH is 154-112 ATS (+30.8 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
UTAH is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
UTAH is 108-76 ATS (+24.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
CAL DAVIS is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) on Wednesday games over the last 2 seasons.
CAL DAVIS is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BYU (24 - 10) at STANFORD (18 - 15) - 3/14/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 66-111 ATS (-56.1 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
BYU is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) in road games in March games since 1997.
BYU is 38-63 ATS (-31.3 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
BYU is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games in first round tournament games since 1997.
BYU is 90-136 ATS (-59.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
STANFORD is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
STANFORD is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
BYU is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (20 - 12) at BOISE ST (23 - 8) - 3/14/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 23-35 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BOISE ST is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLGATE (19 - 13) at SAN FRANCISCO (18 - 15) - 3/14/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN FRANCISCO is 87-126 ATS (-51.6 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 32-52 ATS (-25.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N TEXAS (15 - 17) at S DAKOTA (26 - 8) - 3/14/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S DAKOTA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all games this season.
S DAKOTA is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
S DAKOTA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when the total is 150 to 159.5 this season.
S DAKOTA is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
S DAKOTA is 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
N TEXAS is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in road games this season.
N TEXAS is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in road lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MERCER (18 - 14) at GRAND CANYON (22 - 11) - 3/14/2018, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI OHIO (16 - 17) at CAMPBELL (16 - 15) - 3/14/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI OHIO is 19-11 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIAMI OHIO is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
MIAMI OHIO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTRGV (15 - 17) at NEW ORLEANS (15 - 16) - 3/14/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 13-30 ATS (-20.0 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

C ARKANSAS (17 - 16) at SEATTLE (20 - 13) - 3/14/2018, 10:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

JACKSONVILLE ST (21 - 12) at CANISIUS (21 - 11) - 3/14/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CANISIUS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all games this season.
CANISIUS is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
CANISIUS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
CANISIUS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all home games this season.
CANISIUS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
CANISIUS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after a conference game this season.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
JACKSONVILLE ST is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) in a road game where the total is 145 to 149.5 since 1997.
CANISIUS is 18-35 ATS (-20.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NIAGARA (19 - 13) at E MICHIGAN (21 - 12) - 3/14/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST FRANCIS-PA (18 - 12) at IL-CHICAGO (17 - 15) - 3/14/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IL-CHICAGO is 118-88 ATS (+21.2 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
IL-CHICAGO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TX-SAN ANTONIO (19 - 14) at LAMAR (19 - 13) - 3/14/2018, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LAMAR is 1-0 straight up against TX-SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-14-2018, 09:38 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 14

Wednesday
Texas Southern (-4) vs North Carolina Central
Texas Southern started this season 0-13 with a ridiculous streak of guarantee games against big-name teams; 11 of the 13 teams are ranked in top 120. Tigers are in NCAA’s for 4th time in five years; they’re coached by former Indiana coach Davis, start frosh/soph G’s. TSU won its last seven games, North Carolina Central won its last five. NCC finished 6th in MEAC; they play slow (#320) pace, TSU plays fast (#35). Eagles start two freshman G’s. NCC is 16-11 vs teams ranked below #200- they beat SWAC’s Southern 80-67. MEAC teams are 3-4 in play-in games; SWAC teams are 1-7.

Arizona State (-1) vs Syracuse
Syracuse won its first NCAA tourney game last seven times they were in, with last first-round loss in ’06 to Texas A&M, but they were usually a very high seed. Orange did get to Final Four as a 10-seed two years ago. Syracuse finished T10 in ACC this year; they play slow (#342) pace, are 3-5 in last eight games- their bench plays fewest minutes in country- they have no senior starters. Arizona State went 8-11 in Pac-12 after being 12-0 at Christmas; they lost five of last six games, start three seniors. Sun Devils play fast (#36) pace. ASU is 10-9 vs top 100 teams; Syracuse is 5-9 vs top 50 teams.

Thursday’s NCAA games
Day Games
Oklahoma is 4-11 in its last 15 games after starting season 14-2; they haven’t played since Wednesday. Sooners are #303 experience team with no senior starters. In their last three games, Oklahoma is 22-82 (26.8%) behind the arc. Rhode Island split its last eight games; they lost A-14 final on Sunday. Rams start four seniors; they’re 4-6 vs top 100 teams. URI forces turnovers 22.8% of time (#5). Over last five years, favorites are 12-8 vs spread in #7-10 seed 1st round games. Over last three years, Big X teams are 12-2 SU vs A-14 teams, 9-4 vs spread.

Tennessee is in NCAAs for 1st time since 2014; Barnes is in for 14th time in last 17 years, but first time since ’15- he is 9-4 in his last 13 1st-round games. Vols played SEC title game Sunday, now has early tip time on Thursday; pretty quick turnaround. Tennessee is 8-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with six wins by 10+. Wright State coach Nagy was 1-2 vs spread in 1st-round when he was at South Dakota St. Raiders finished 2nd in Horizon; their last game was March 6. Horizon League reps are 2-4 vs spread in 1st-round games the last six years.

Gonzaga will have big crowd support in this game in Boise; Zags won their last nine 1st-round games (5-4 vs spread). Gonzaga is #239 experience team that won its last 14 games; they lost national title game 71-65 LY, re-tooled, are 30-4 this year- they’re 8-4 vs top 100 teams, but aren’t great defending arc (#210 in 3-pt %age). NC-Greensboro lost by 12 to Virginia, by 6 to Wake Forest in its high-profile games; they get 40% of their points from arc (35.5% on 3’s). SoCon teams lost last nine 1st-round games, going 1-3 vs spread last four years.

Ivy League teams covered seven of last eight 1st-round games, going 3-2 SU in last five, with all five decided by 6 or fewer points, but this is first time since ’89 that Ivy League rep is a 16-seed. Penn lost 90-62 to Villanova, 60-51 to Temple in its top 100 games this year; Quakers are #135 experience team. Kansas is 3-5-1 vs spread in last one 1st-round games; Jayhawks are 7-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with five wins by 30+ points. Kansas makes 40.3% on arc; they won eight of last nine games. Penn opponents shot only 29.6% on arc this season.

Duke is 2-4 vs spread in its last six first round games; they’re 8-0 vs teams ranked lower than #100, with seven wins by 17+ points. Blue Devils are 2nd-least experienced team in country but they do have senior G in Allen. Iona is #26 experience team that is in NCAAs for third year in row- they lost 1st round games 93-77 (Oregon), 94-81 (Iowa St) last two years. Gaels finished 4th in MAAC this year; they lost 71-62 to Syracuse of ACC. Iona shoots 38.8% on arc. Over last six years, #2 seeds are 12-11-1 against the spread in 1st round games.

Last six years, ACC teams are 13-25 vs spread in 1st-round games. Loyola is in NCAAs for first time since 1985; Ramblers won at Florida- they lost 87-53 in Boise, 73-56 in Milwaukee in non-MVC games (9-2). MVC teams won last eight 1st-round games; 6 of 8 wins were Wichita/Creighton, who have moved on. Miami won five of last six 1st-round games; they’re experience team #307, starting two frosh and a soph. Miami is 11-1 outside ACC (#283 NC sked), losing to New Mexico St in Diamond Head. Last 4 years, dogs are 9-7 vs spread in #6-11 seed games.

South Dakota State is in NCAA’s for 5th time in seven years, going 2-2 vs spread in previous four 1st-round games. Jackrabbits are #49 experience team that turns ball over least of any team in country (13.8%)- they beat Big 14’s Iowa 80-72 in November. Ohio State is 24-8 but lost three of last five games; Holtmann won/covered his three 1st-round tourney games while at Butler. Buckeyes are 9-4 outside Big 14, with all four losses to top 30 teams. Summit teams are 1-14 SU in this round, 5-4 vs spread the last nine years, covering only two times they were a #12-seed.

Seton Hall is #55 experience team that lost six of last 10 games; three of their last four games were decided either by 1 point or in OT. Pirates are 10-2 outside ACC, losing to Louisville of ACC by a hoop. NC State is 5-4 in its last nine games; they start frosh/soph guards- they’re #179 experience team. State is in NCAAs for first time since ’15; Keatts is in for 3rd year in row, losing but covering his 1st-round game last two years for UNCW. Last three years, Big East teams are 17-12 SU vs ACC teams. Last five years, favorites are 11-8 vs spread in #8-9 seed games.

Night Games
Last nine years, 16-seeds who won their play-in game are 7-11 vs spread in their next game, vs a #1-seed. Radford played only two guys more than 26:00 Tuesday, in their 8th straight win; Highlanders are 0-4 vs top 100 games, losing by 10-12-27-15 points. Villanova won its last five games; they’re 13-0 outside the Big East, Radford plays slow (#346 pace); they finished T2 in Big South; Wildcats are 11-0 vs teams outside top 100; three of their last six games went to OT. Last three years, #1-seeds are 7-5 against the spread in first round games.

Kentucky is least experienced team in country, starting four freshman, one soph; Wildcats won seven of last eight games- they’re 10-2 outside the SEC (NC sked #43), 7-9 vs top 50 teams, 4-7 vs spread in its last 11 first round games. Davidson won 8 of its last 9 games; they’re 5-6 outside A-14, 2-4 vs top 50 teams. Wildcats shoot 39.1% on arc, have #11 eFG% in country. Last three years, A-14 teams are 10-7–1 vs spread when getting points from an SEC squad. Last five years, A-14 teams are 7-5 vs spread when getting points in this round.

Houston is in NCAAs for first time since ’10; Cougars won 10 of last 12 games- they’re #48 experience team that is 10-2 outside AAC (#250 NC sked), 10-4 vs top 100 teams- they’ve got #9 eFG% defense in country. San Diego State won last nine games after PG Kell got healthy; Aztecs are 3-2 vs top 50 teams, 7-3 outside Mountain West- they’re in NCAA’s for first time since ’15, won last three first-round games. Last three years, AAC teams are 3-5 SU in this round, 2-3 vs spread when favored. Last 4 years, dogs are 9-7 vs spread in #6-11 seed games.

Texas Tech lost five of its last seven games; they had some players banged-up but they’re back now. Tech is 11-1 outside tough Big X, beating Abilene Christian of Southland 74-47 back in December. Red Raiders are 9-1 vs teams not ranked in top 100, with all nine wins by 18+ points. SF Austin is in tournament for 4th time in five years; they upset VCU, West Virginia in two of three 1st round games, lost other game by 7. Lumberjacks won 10 of last 11 games; they played three SEC teams this year (1-2), with three games decided by total of seven points.

Alabama lost six of last eight games, finished T9 in SEC, but upset Auburn in SEC tourney; they’re #348 experience team, 8-4 outside SEC (#84 NC sked). Crimson Tide shoots 32.4% on arc- their frosh PG Sexton is their best player. Virginia Tech is #156 experience team that finished 7th in ACC; Hokies beat Ole Miss by 3, lost by 7 at Kentucky in two SEC games. Bama is in NCAA’s for first time since 2012; Tech lost by 10 to Wisconsin LY, their first NCAA game in decade. Last three years, ACC teams are 32-23 SU vs SEC, 17-12 vs spread when favored.

Arizona won Pac-12 tourney last week, winning by 16-11ot-14 points; last two times Arizona won Pac-12 tourney, Wildcats won first NCAA tourney game by 21-18 points (1-0-1 vs spread)- Wildcats are 2-4-1 vs spread overall in last seven first round games. Arizona won seven of its last eight games; three of their last seven went to OT. Buffalo won 19 of its last 22 games; they’re 0-5 vs top 100 teams this season, losing by 6-14-11-7-16 points. Bulls are in 3rd NCAA in four years, losing last two by 6-7 points. MAC teams are 6-3 vs spread in last nine NCAAs.

Big Sky teams haven’t won an NCAA tourney game since 2006; they’re 1-5-1 vs spread in first round last seven years. Montana is in for first time in five years; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five NCAA first round games. Griz won 19 of last 21 games; they’re 0-4 vs top 100 teams, losing by 13-16-3-3 points- they lost 70-57 to Big 14’s Penn State. Michigan won its last four first round game (2-2 vs spread); they’ve won nine games in row, have been off for 10 days since winning Big 14 tourney. Wolverines are #202 experience team; they’re 18-2 vs teams outside top 50.

#11-seeds who win the play-in games are 8-6 vs spread in their next game. St Bonaventure finished 2nd in A-14 this year; they’re #32 experience team, with pair of senior G’s- they won 14 of last 15 games, are 11-2 outside A-14, 8-4 vs top 100 teams. Florida covered six of its last eight first round games; they’ve made Elite 8 in their last five NCAA’s. Gators make 37.5% of their 3’s; they take lot of them. Florida is 8-4 outside the SEC (#54 NC sked). Bonnies played four kids 35:00+ in their win over UCLA- they survived their best player Adams going 2-16 from floor.

Friday’s games
Day Games
Providence lost in Big East final Saturday; all three tournament games went to OT. Friars are #117 experience team, starting three seniors- they lost five of last six first round games in this tournament. Providence is 7-7 in last 14 games overall; they’re 9-4 outside Big East (#191 NC sked), 6-9 vs top 50 teams. Texas A&M is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 11-1 outside SEC (NC sked #38) but were only 9-10 inside SEC. they’re #233 experience team. Over the last five years, favorites are 12-8 against the spread in #7-10 seed 1st round games.

Purdue won 15 of last 17 first round games, covering four of last six; Boilermakers start four seniors, are #52 experience team- they make 42% of their 3’s. Purdue is 13-2 outside Big 14 (#145 NC sked); they’re 12-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Cal State-Fullerton won eight of last ten games; they’ve got good guards, are #3 team in country in %age of their points scored on foul line. Titans are #235 experience team- they’re 5-5 outside Big West (#80 NC sked); they’re 1-4 vs top 100 teams. Big West teams are 2-5 vs spread in this round the last seven years.

Wednesday’s other tournaments
To me, these games are a crapshoot; there is no way of knowing which teams will come to compete, and which teams will just go through the motions.

Exhibit A: USC’s best player Chimezie Metu chose not to play Tuesday nite, because he’s going to the NBA and he doesn’t want to get hurt.

Marquette won five of its last seven games; they’re #312 experience team that is 6-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100. Golden Eagles shoot 41.5% outside arc (#3)- they went 9-9 in Big East, which ain’t bad. Harvard lost Ivy League title game Sunday afternoon; they won 12 of last 15 games, are 4-9 outside Ivy League, 0-4 vs top 100 teams, losing by 18-16-9-6 points.

UL-Lafayette is 27-6, winning 24 of last 28 games; they’re 8-3 outside Sun Belt, losing by 18 at Ole Miss in only SEC game this year. Ragin’ Cajuns will be excited to play LSU, who they last played eight years ago, losing 66-58. ULL is #51 experience team, starting three juniors, two seniors. LSU won its last six home games but lost three of last four games overall.

Penn State lost four of its last six games; they’re #243 experience team, 10-3 outside Big 14, albeit against #324 NC schedule. Nittany Lions are 15-6 vs teams ranked outside the top 50. Temple lost five of its last seven games; they’re 3-7 vs top 50 teams, but two of the wins were back in November. Owls lost their last three true road games, by 7-6-18 points.

Mississippi State lost three of last four games; they’re #326 experience team that is 11-1 outside SEC, with only loss by 15 at Cincinnati- their non-SEC schedule is 345th out of 351 in nation. Nebraska won eight of its last ten games; they’re 10-5 outside Big 14 (#271 NC sked). Huskers won three of last four true road games. Last three years, Big 14 teams are 14-8 SU vs SEC foes.

Utah won six of last eight games but lost by hoop to Oregon in first round of Pac-12 tourney; Utes are #35 experience team that is 8-3 outside Pac-12- they beat Hawai’i by 20 in only game vs Big West team this season. Cal-Davis won six of last seven games; since Feb 1, they’ve won three games in either double or triple OT. Aggies split pair of Pac-12 tilts against Washington schools.

BYU split its last six games, upsetting St Mary’s in WCC semis but losing by 20 in finals; Cougars are 11-2 outside WCC, but lost by 12 at home to Utah in only Pac-12 game this year. BYU lost four of its last six road games. Stanford won five of its last seven games; they’re 6-7 outside the Pac-12 (NC sked #69); they beat USF by 12, Pacific by 9 in two games vs WCC foes this season.

Washington lost six of its last nine games but they won five of last six home games; Huskies are #304 experience team that is 10-3 outside Pac-12 (NC sked #169)- they force turnovers 21.1% of time. Boise State is 4-3 in its last seven games; they’re #70 experience team that is 15-1 at home this year, with only loss to Nevada. Broncos won by 3 at Oregon in their only Pac-12 game.

Colgate went 12-6, finishing 2nd in Patriot League, losing to Bucknell in tourney final. Raiders won five of last six games; they’re 1-7 vs teams ranked in top 200, with only win by 5 over UMBC back in November. San Francisco is #266 experience team that is 7-5 outside WCC; Dons are 9-2 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Colgate is 19-13, their first winning season in a decade.

South Dakota won seven of last nine games; they’re #139 experience team that plays pace #67. Coyotes are 9-4 outside Summit League; they beat Southern Miss by 13 in only game vs C-USA opponent this year. North Texas went 8-10 in C-USA this year after going 9-27 last two years; Mean Green lost seven of last eight games, with six losses by 6 or fewer points, or in OT.

Grand Canyon gets great crowd support; they lost WAC final by 14 to New Mexico St, their first loss in last six games. Antelopes are 10-5 outside WAC (NC sked #346); teams shoot 26.7% on arc against them (#1st in nation). Mercer won eight of its last nine games; they’re experience team #12 that is 5-6 outside SoCon. Bears play pace #339, one of slowest in country.

Campbell won four of last seven games; they went 10-8 in Big South; Camels are 4-7 vs teams ranked in top 200- they won seven of last eight home games. Miami OH lost seven of its last ten games; Red Hawks are #322 experience team that plays #244 pace- they’re 5-6 outside MAC. Miami lost four of its last five road games, with their last true three road games all going OT.

Rio Grande Valley lost five of last six games; they’re #133 experience team that plays pace #9- despite that, their eFG% is #343. Vaqueros are 2-1 vs Southland teams this year, losing 111-106 to Nicholls St, then sweeping a pair with Corpus Christi. New Orleans lost six of last nine games; Privateers are 0-8 vs D-I teams outside Southland, but they played NC schedule #3; they turn ball over 22.4% of the time.

Central Arkansas won four of last five games, but lost to SF Austin in Southland semis; Bears are 5-7 outside Southland, 1-11 vs teams ranked in top 200- they play pace #17, are coached by guy who was interim coach at Arizona after Lute Olson retired. Seattle lost four of last five games; they’re 8-6 outside Southland. Redhawks won last six home games, including one vs N Mex St.

Long road trip from Alabama to frigid Buffalo; Jacksonville State hasn’t played in 12 days since semi-final loss to Murray State in OVC semis. Gamecocks are #61 experience team that is 8-4 outside OVC- they lost three of last four true road games. Canisius won 17 of last 21 games, but got upset in Quinnipiac in MAAC tourney; Griffins are #262 experience team- they lost by 8 at Tennessee State in only game vs an OVC opponent.

St Francis won five of last six games; they’re 4-5 outside NEC, 16-6 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Red Flash is #240 experience team; they’re 3-1 in OT games. Ill-Chicago lost four of its last six games, giving up 82.3 ppg in last three games; Flames are 3-8 outside Horizon- they turn ball over 20.9% of time. UIC is 14-3 this season against teams ranked outside top 200.

Niagara lost three of last four games with Scott injured; Eagles haven’t played in 11 days, so no idea if he’ll be back here. Niagara won six of last nine road games; they’re 7-6 outside MAAC, but lost by 19 at home to Buffalo in only game vs MAC opponent. Eastern Michigan plays 2-3 zone like Syracuse; they won seven of last eight games, are #120 experience team, 6-4 outside MAC.

Tex-San Antonio won nine of last 12 games; Roadrunners are #305 experience team that plays pace #33- they’re 4-6 outside C-USA, winning by 14-16 points in their two games vs Southland opponents. Lamar is #6 experience team; they start four seniors, one junior. Cardinals are 4-5 outside Southland, winning by 14 at UTEP in their one game against a Conference USA foe.

**Udog** · 03-14-2018, 09:40 AM

NCAAB

Wednesday, March 14

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Trend Report
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TEXAS SOUTHERN @ NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
TEXAS SOUTHERN

No trends to report
NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

No trends to report
HARVARD @ MARQUETTE
HARVARD

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Harvard's last 5 games on the road
Harvard is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
MARQUETTE

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Marquette's last 9 games
Marquette is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE @ LSU
LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE

Louisiana-Lafayette is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games
LSU

LSU is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
NIAGARA @ EASTERN MICHIGAN
NIAGARA

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Niagara's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Niagara's last 6 games on the road
EASTERN MICHIGAN

Eastern Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Eastern Michigan is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
MIAMI-OHIO @ CAMPBELL
MIAMI-OHIO

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami-Ohio's last 5 games
Miami-Ohio is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
CAMPBELL

No trends to report
JACKSONVILLE STATE @ CANISIUS
JACKSONVILLE STATE

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Jacksonville State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Jacksonville State's last 7 games
CANISIUS

Canisius is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Canisius is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home
TEMPLE @ PENN STATE
TEMPLE

Temple is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Penn State
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Temple's last 11 games on the road
PENN STATE

Penn State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Penn State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Temple
ST. FRANCIS-PENNSYLVANIA @ UIC
ST. FRANCIS-PENNSYLVANIA

No trends to report
UIC

The total has gone OVER in 5 of UIC's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of UIC's last 5 games
UTSA @ LAMAR
UTSA

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UTSA's last 6 games
UTSA is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games
LAMAR

No trends to report
NORTH TEXAS @ SOUTH DAKOTA
NORTH TEXAS

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Texas's last 5 games
North Texas is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
SOUTH DAKOTA

South Dakota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
South Dakota is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
UTRGV @ NEW ORLEANS
UTRGV

UTRGV is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
UTRGV is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
NEW ORLEANS

No trends to report
NEBRASKA @ MISSISSIPPI STATE
NEBRASKA

Nebraska is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Nebraska is 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games
MISSISSIPPI STATE

Mississippi State is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games at home
Mississippi State is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games
UC DAVIS @ UTAH
UC DAVIS

UC Davis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
UC Davis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
UTAH

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah's last 9 games
SYRACUSE @ ARIZONA STATE
SYRACUSE

Syracuse is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
ARIZONA STATE

Arizona State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Arizona State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
BYU @ STANFORD
BYU

The total has gone OVER in 7 of BYU's last 9 games
BYU is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
STANFORD

Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Stanford is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
BOISE STATE @ WASHINGTON
BOISE STATE

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boise State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boise State's last 8 games
WASHINGTON

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Washington's last 11 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Washington's last 18 games
COLGATE @ SAN FRANCISCO
COLGATE

No trends to report
SAN FRANCISCO

San Francisco is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Francisco's last 6 games at home
MERCER @ GRAND CANYON
MERCER

No trends to report
GRAND CANYON

Grand Canyon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Grand Canyon is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
CENTRAL ARKANSAS @ SEATTLE
CENTRAL ARKANSAS

No trends to report
SEATTLE

Seattle is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

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**Udog** · 03-14-2018, 10:56 AM

NCAA Tournament's biggest betting mismatches: Opening round
Monty Andrews

It's the betting week that most of us look forward to all year - March Madness opening weekend! Monty Andrews is here to break down some of the underlying betting mismatches for the opening two days of the NCAA Tournament, giving you an inside edge when handicapping the schedule.

South Region

Davidson Wildcats (12) vs. Kentucky Wildcats (5) (-5.5, 143)

Davidson's dead-eye foul shooting vs. Kentucky's free-throw funk

It's an all-Wildcats battle in South Region opening-round action, as fifth-seeded Kentucky looks to vanquish trendy pick Davidson. But give the underdogs a major edge when it comes to converting free throws; the school best known for producing super-sniper Steph Curry can still knock down shots, making a whopping 79.7 of their foul shots during the season - the third-best rate in the nation. Sensational senior Peyton Aldridge hit nearly 85 percent of his free throws en route to a 21.5-ppg scoring average.

By comparison, John Calipari's Wildcats were abysmal from the line, converting just 69.7 percent of their attempts - ranking just inside the top 250 nationally. While Kentucky's top two scorers - Kevin Knox and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander - both shoot better than 76 percent from the stripe, the other two Wildcats to average in double figures - PJ Washington and Ham-dou Diallo - come in below 63 percent. If Kentucky isn't better from the line Thursday, Davidson could be the next No. 12 seed to shock the world.

Loyola-Chicago Ramblers (11) vs. Miami Hurricanes (6) (-1.5, 134)

Loyola-Chicago's incredible discipline vs. Miami's struggles to draw fouls

Loyola-Chicago is in the NCAA Tournament for the first time in 32 years - and it has eyes on an upset as it takes on the Hurricanes in a game oddsmakers expect to be a close one. The Ramblers have a decisive advantage when it comes to fouls, coming into March Madness as one of the most disciplined teams in the nation. Loyola-Chicago's 13.8 personal fouls per game ranks behind only Notre Dame, while its 456 total fouls are fourth-fewest among Division I schools.

Miami showed impressive discipline itself - averaging just 16.3 fouls per game, good for 53rd nationally - but couldn't draw opposing infractions well at all. Teams averaged just 16.5 personal fouls against the Hurricanes in 2017-18, ranking outside the top 300 in the country. In a game where fouls and free throws could very well decide things, Loyola-Chicago is in terrific position to triumph in its first NCAA Tournament appearance in more than three decades.

West Region

UNC-Greensboro Spartans (13) vs. Gonzaga Bulldogs (4) (-12.5, 136)

UNC-Greensboro's slow starts vs. Bulldogs' first-half scoring bonanza

Gonzaga has become a fixture as a high seed in the NCAA Tournament - and the Bulldogs are expected to reach the second round this year as they open against the Southern Conference champions. This one could be over early if the Spartans can't overcome their early-game struggles; UNC-Greensboro averaged just 33.5 first-half points per game, ranking 201st in the country. They were saved by the fact that they allowed just 29.1 first-half points on average - but Gonzaga will present a much stiffer challenge.

The Bulldogs were relentless in the first half of games this season, averaging 40.2 points prior to the break - the 10th-best rate in the country. And Gonzaga was even more prolific in the West Coast Conference Tournament, scoring 46 first-half points in a one-sided win over Loyola-Marymount and pouring in 48 points over the first 20 minutes of a 28-point rout of San Francisco. If Gonzaga catches fire early on, there might not be anything UNC-Greensboro can do to rally in the second half.

East Region

Butler Bulldogs (10) vs. Arkansas Razorbacks (7) (+1.5, 152)

Butler's porous long-range D vs. Arkansas' sensational 3-point shooting

The Razorbacks might be the lower seed in the East Region first-round matchup, but they're a slight underdog in the eyes of oddsmakers as they take on the Bulldogs in Detroit. The 'Hogs might want to consider ratcheting up the long-range shots against a Bulldogs team that was frustratingly bad at defending shots from 3-point range. Butler allowed opposing teams to connect at a 37.4-percent rate from deep in 2017-18, ranking it outside the top 300 in the country.

Given that fact, Arkansas' best shot at advancing will almost certainly come from beyond the arc, where the Razorbacks connected on better than 40 percent of their attempts - the 15th-best rate in Division I. The only problem: of the 19 teams to shoot 40 percent or better, Arkansas was 14th in total attempts. That said, this matchup could easily come down to one made 3-pointer at the end of the game - and if that's the case, Arkansas is in much better position to convert.

Midwest Region

Oklahoma Sooners (10) vs. Rhode Island Rams (7) (-2, 158)

Trae Young's penchant for turnovers vs. Rams' elite ball security

All eyes will be on national scoring and assist leader Trae Young, as he looks to lead the Sooners past Rhode Island in a first-round encounter in Pittsburgh. But as fantastic as Young is with the basketball, he also has moments of carelessness. Many of them, in fact. Young averaged an unbelievable 5.2 turnovers per game this season, more than a full turnover higher than the field; in fact, only four other qualified players averaged at least four turnovers per game.

Capitalizing on Young's penchant for occasionally sloppy play is the easiest way for the Rams to control the game - and they're build to do just that. Rhode Island boasted an incredible plus-5.1 average turnover margin this season; only Portland State and West Virginia were more prolific. Young will need to be more careful with the basketball than he has been all season - and given that he had at least three turnovers in all but two games, bettors shouldn't expect that to happen Thursday.

Iona Gaels (15) vs. Duke Blue Devils (2) (-19.5, 157)

Iona's struggle on the boards vs. Marvin Bagley III's rebounding prowess

Duke comes into March Madness as a No. 2 seed, but is still a strong title favorite as it tangles with Iona on Thursday. The Blue Devils are led by forward Marvin Bagley III, who ranked sixth in the nation in rebounding average (11.5) while adding 21.1 points. It's the board work that makes Bagley so dangerous in this one; the 6-11 freshman was positively dominant down the stretch, averaging 15 rebounds over his final three games - two of which came against the top rebounding team in the nation in North Carolina.

The Gaels deserve plenty of credit for emerging as the MAAC champions and securing their third consecutive NCAA Tournament appearance, but they have no hope of slowing Bagley down. Iona ranked 257th in the nation in rebounding average (33.8), with only one player - TK Edogi - surpassing 5.5 boards per game. Duke ranked eighth in the country in offensive boards (13.6) - and a similar performance Thursday should help produce enough second-chance points for the Blue Devils to waltz to victory.

**BettorsChat** · 03-14-2018, 04:58 PM

#Syracuse Frank Howard is probable with Strep Throat #NIT #NCAAB #CollegeBasketball #Tournaments #sportsbet #sportsbook #sportsbetting #gambling #OnlineGambling

**BettorsChat** · 03-14-2018, 05:05 PM

Is @seth_towns17 of #Harvard playing tonight against #Marquette ? I would expect so , but how healthy is he? #NIT #CollegeBasketball

**BettorsChat** · 03-14-2018, 05:20 PM

#MISSISSIPPI ST
[G] 03/12/2018 - Nick Weatherspoon is downgraded to doubtful Wednesday vs #Nebraska #CollegeBasketball #NIT

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