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**Udog** · 03-14-2018, 08:43 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Some prop bets for the NCAA tournament; wins by conference:

— ACC— 14 wins

— Big East— 8.5 wins

— Big X— 8.5 wins

— #1 seeds— 11.5 wins

— #2 seeds— 10.5 wins

— #3 seeds— 8 wins

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) Minnesota Vikings made their decision; they give Kirk Cousins $84M for three years, all fully guaranteed, to be their QB. Cousins has a 26-30-1 career W-L record, 0-1 in playoffs.

12) Minnesota went 11-3 with Case Keenum at QB LY; Keenum signed with the Broncos on Monday; he threw for 3,547 yards and 22 TD’s last season.

11) Drew Brees re-signed with the Saints; he turned down $60M guaranteed from someone else (Cardinals? Vikings?) before deciding to stay in New Orleans.

10) Cardinals gave oft-injured QB Sam Bradford $20 ($15M guaranteed) for one year. As a long-time Ram fan, I endorse the Keenum signing; the Bradford signing? Not so much.

9) Jets signed Teddy Bridgewater and re-signed Josh McCown, meaning they probably ain’t drafting another quarterback next month.

8) Gonzaga lost the national title game 71-65 last April, ending an odd run to the Final Four- they were 1-4-1 vs spread in their NCAA tournament games last spring.

7) Florida made the Elite 8 in each of its last five NCAA tournaments- hard to do that.

6) Since 2010, Villanova is 5-2 in its first-round games, 1-4 in second round games; the one time they won in second round, they won national title two years ago.

5) Arkansas is probably glad just to be in a different region than North Carolina this year; last three times the Razorbacks made the NCAA’s, they lost to the Tar Heels in the second round. If they play UNC in this year’s tournament, it’ll be in the Final Four.

4) Why gambling on NIT/CBI/CIT games can be dicey; USC star Chimezie Metu sat out Trojans’ NIT game Tuesday, for no reason except he didn’t want to get hurt. Not sure that Metu will get picked in the first round of the NBA Draft— he is a junior, so if he got hurt, he could come back to school next year, but it is a free country, and he chose not to play.

Late night update: With Metu sitting on bench, NC-Asheville played its heart out but fell short, losing 103-98 in double OT at USC- they led by six points in overtime.

3) Virginia loses its best guy off the bench, DeAndre Hunter for the season with a broken wrist.

2) Radford 71, LIU 61— Radford advances to play Villanova Thursday; no 16-seed has ever beaten a #1-seed. Last nine years, #16-seeds who won the play-in game are 7-11 vs spread in their next game, against a #1-seed.

1— St Bonaventure 65, UCLA 58— Season that started with shoplifting in China ended with an ugly loss on a Tuesday night in Dayton. Bruins turned ball over 20 times (-14), shot 10-30 on arc. Bonnies’ Stocker was doubtful to play, then played all 40:00, scored 26 points- they won despite star Adams going 2-16 from the floor.

**Udog** · 03-14-2018, 09:43 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, March 14

Bucks won six of last eight games with the Magic; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Orlando. Four of last six series games stayed under. Milwaukee won its last two games after a 1-6 skid; they’re 7-1 this season as road favorites. Under is 5-3 in their last eight road games. Orlando are off an 0-5 road trip; they’re 8-3 vs spread in last 11 games as home underdogs. Under is 6-2 in their last eight games.

Wizards/Celtics split their last eight meetings; Washington is 1-5 vs spread in last six visits to Boston. Seven of last nine series games went over. Wizards lost five of their last seven games; they’re 7-2 vs spread in last nine games as road underdogs. Six of their last eight games went under the total. Celtics won six of their last eight games; they’re 1-7 vs spread in last eight home games. Over is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.

Miami won eight of last ten games with the Kings; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Sacramento. Eight of last ten series games went over. Heat won six of their last nine games; they’re 4-5 vs spread as road favorites. Seven of their last ten games went over. Sacramento lost seven of its last ten games; they’re 3-9 in last 12 games as home underdogs. Five of their last six games stayed under.

Golden State won its last six games with the Lakers but LA covered last three; Lakers are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Oakland. Last three series games went over. Lakers are 1-4 vs spread on road if they played night before; they won eight of last ten games, are 4-1 vs spread in last fie road games. Over is 7-2-1 in their last 10 games. Golden State is 0-6 vs spread in its last six games; five of the six games stayed under.

NBA

Wednesday, March 14

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Trend Report
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MILWAUKEE @ ORLANDO
Milwaukee is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Milwaukee's last 14 games on the road
Orlando is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games

WASHINGTON @ BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
Boston is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against Washington

MIAMI @ SACRAMENTO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
Miami is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Sacramento's last 13 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games

LA LAKERS @ GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 8 games on the road
LA Lakers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

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**Udog** · 03-14-2018, 01:49 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, March 14

Milwaukee @ Orlando

Game 601-602
March 14, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
118.284
Orlando
114.335
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 4
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 8 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+8 1/2); Under

Washington @ Boston

Game 603-604
March 14, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
121.843
Boston
117.225
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 4 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 2
204 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-2); Under

Miami @ Sacramento

Game 605-606
March 14, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
122.749
Sacramento
111.326
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 11 1/2
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 6 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-6 1/2); Under

LA Lakers @ Golden State

Game 607-608
March 14, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
117.404
Golden State
127.522
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 10
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 7
225
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-7); Under

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, March 14

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MILWAUKEE (36 - 31) at ORLANDO (20 - 48) - 3/14/2018, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (38 - 30) at BOSTON (46 - 21) - 3/14/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 12-5 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 11-6 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
11 of 17 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (36 - 32) at SACRAMENTO (21 - 47) - 3/14/2018, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (31 - 36) at GOLDEN STATE (51 - 16) - 3/14/2018, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-5 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 9-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**BettorsChat** · 03-14-2018, 04:40 PM

#bostonceltics #NBA #NBApicks #bettingtips#Celtics #Kyrie Irving (knee) has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the #Wizards #NBA #NBApicks #sportspicks #bettingtips Al Horford (illness) will not play Wednesday against #Washington

**BettorsChat** · 03-14-2018, 04:53 PM

Klay Thompson has been diagnosed with a fractured thumb and will be re-evaluated March 22 #goldenstatewarriors #NBA #bettingtips #sports

Draymond Green is dealing with right shoulder soreness and has been ruled out for Wednesday's game against the #Lakers #NBA #goldenstatewarriors #sports #NBApicks #bettingtips #sportspicks #sportsbetting

Jordan Bell will be available for Wednesday's game against the #Lakers #Yawn #sports #nba #NBApicks #bettingtips #sportsbetting101

Andre Iguodala (wrist) will be available for Wednesday's contest against the #Lakers #Warriors #WarriorsWednesday #bettingpredictions #GamblingTwitter #********* #sportsforum #sportschat #bettor

#StephenCurry (ankle) will miss the #Warriors next four games, and is expected to be re-evaluated again on March 20. #goldenstatewarriors are hurting big time right now on injuries.

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Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/14

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/14

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