Announcement

**Udog** · 03-06-2018, 08:17 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

— Cleveland State (+9) 44, Oakland 43— 8th-seeded Vikings are in Horizon final.

— Iona (-3) 83, Fairfield 71— Gaels win their 11th MAAC title.

— NC-Greensboro (+2) 62, East Tennessee 47— Spartans avenge loss in LY’s SoCon title game.

— BYU 85, St Mary’s 72– This will be a very, very long week for the Gaels.

— Akron (+8) 79, Western Michigan 78— Zips were only one of four MAC road teams to win in Monday’s first round.

— Since 2013, Tom Brady has earned $74,784,964; Matthew Stafford has earned $111,008,969, and Stafford has never won a playoff game (0-3). I’ll have more on this tomorrow.

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Some college knowledge…….

13) Over the last 15 years, of the 60 teams who made the Final Four, 26 won their conference tournament. Over last six years, only 7 of 24 Final Four teams won their conference tourney; from 2004-11, 19 of 32 Final Four teams did.

12) 7 of the last 15 national champs won their conference tourney, but only one of the last six.

11) Since 2003, only 8 of 60 Final Four teams lost their first conference tourney game: Here are those teams:
2003— Marquette, Texas
2005— Michigan State
2007— UCLA
2009— UConn
2010— Michigan State (only team to do it twice)
2016— Syracuse
2017— South Carolina

10) Since 2006, two CAA teams have made the Final Four; George Mason in ’06 and VCU five years later. Weird thing is that neither of those teams won the CAA tournament that year. CAA ain’t getting more than one team in NCAA’s anymore, but they did as recently as 2011.

9) In 2011, UConn did something that will never be surpassed; not only did they win the NCAA tournament, winning six games, they had to win another five games to win the Big East tournament— they weren’t getting into the NCAA’s unless they won that tournament.

8) In 2006 and 2007, Florida finished the season by winning both the SEC tournament and the NCAA tournament— thats a very underrated accomplishment- 9-0 finishes both years.

7) In the last 15 years, 2008 was the only Final Four where all four teams won their conference tournament; in 2003 and 2009, none of the Final Four teams won their tournament.

6) Not putting pressure on Montana or anything, but the #1 seed won the last seven Big Sky tournaments. Most of those were at the home court of the #1 seed; they play the tournament on a neutral floor in Reno these days, but still…….

5) Fairfield has basketball players from nine different countries, plus Puerto Rico.

4) Eastern Washington’s Bogdan Bliznyuk has made 74 foul shots in a row, which is an NCAA single-season record.

3) Since the NCAA tournament went to 64, and then 68 teams, #2 seeds are 124-8 in their first round tournament games; here are the eight #2 seeds who lost in the first round:

1990— Richmond (+9) 73, Syracuse 69
1993— Santa Clara (+20) 64, Arizona 61
1997— Coppin State (+17) 78, South Carolina 65
2001— Hampton (+17.5) 58, Iowa State 57
2012— Lehigh (+12) 75, Duke 70
2012— Norfolk State (+21.5) 86, Missouri 84
2013— Florida Gulf Coast (+13.5) 78, Georgetown 68
2016— Middle Tennessee State (+18) 90, Michigan State 81

2) Since 2003, Big Sky teams are 1-14 in first round NCAA tourney games; over the last 11 years, they’re 2-8-1 vs spread in first round games.

1— Big West teams have also had problems in the NCAA’s recently; since 2006, Big West teams are 2-0 in play-in games, but are 1-11 in first round games, 4-8 vs spread.

**Udog** · 03-06-2018, 08:37 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, March 6

76ers won their last three games with the Hornets; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Charlotte. Five of last six series games stayed under. Philly lost three of its last five games; they’re 4-7 as road favorites. Four of their last five games stayed under. Charlotte lost its last three games; they’re 1-7 vs spread as home underdogs. Over is 6-1-1 in their last eight home games.

Miami won six of its last seven games with the Wizards; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six visits to Washington. Three of last four series games stayed under. Heat is 4-6 vs spread if they played night before; they’re 11-3 in last 14 games as road underdogs. Five of their last seven games went over. Washington lost its last three games, all at home; they’re 2-6 in last eight games as home favorites. Last five Wizard games stayed under.

Raptors won their last three games with Atlanta, all of which stayed under the total. Hawks are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Canada. Hawks lost seven of their last ten games; they’re 5-3 in last eight games as road underdogs. Six of their last seven games stayed under. Toronto won nine of its last ten games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as home favorites. Under is 3-0-1 in their last four games.

Rockets won seven of last nine games with Oklahoma City; they covered four of last five visits to OKC. Last three series games stayed under the total. Houston won its last 15 games; they covered seven of last eight road games. Four of their last six games stayed under. Thunder won five of its last seven games; they’re 2-0 as home underdogs. Six of their last nine games went over the total.

Denver won five of last six games with the Mavericks; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Dallas. Four of last five series games stayed under. Nuggets won six of their last eight games; they’re 4-6 as road favorites. Nine of their last ten games went over total. Dallas lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 7-3 in last ten games as home underdogs. Seven of their last 10 games went over.

Knicks lost eight of last ten games with Portland; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Oregon. Under is 7-2 in last nine series games. New York lost nine of its last ten games; they’re 1-4 in last five games as road underdogs. Five of Knicks’ last six games went over. Trailblazers won their last four home games; they’re 7-2 in last nine games as home favorites, 3-4-1 if they played night before. Four of their last five games stayed under.

Clippers won seven of last ten games with New Orleans; last three series games stayed under. Pelicans are 2-2 vs spread in last four series games in Staples Center. New Orleans won its last eight games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as road underdogs. Last six Pelican games went over total. Clippers won six of their last eight games; they’re 2-5 in last seven games as home favorites. Six of their last seven games went over.

Warriors won their last five games with Brooklyn, but Nets are 5-2 vs spread in last seven series games. Six of last eight series games stayed under. Brooklyn lost nine of its last ten games; they are 8-3 vs spread in last 11 games as road underdogs. Golden State won eight of its last nine games; they covered four of their last five home games. Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

**Udog** · 03-06-2018, 08:37 AM

NBA

Tuesday, March 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA @ CHARLOTTE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing Charlotte
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Charlotte is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

MIAMI @ WASHINGTON
Miami is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Miami is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games at home

ATLANTA @ TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Atlanta's last 12 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games
Toronto is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

HOUSTON @ OKLAHOMA CITY
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games when playing at home against Houston
Oklahoma City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Houston

DENVER @ DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Denver's last 10 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games at home
Dallas is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Denver

NEW YORK @ PORTLAND
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 6 games when playing Portland
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Portland is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games at home

BROOKLYN @ GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

NEW ORLEANS @ LA CLIPPERS
New Orleans is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Clippers's last 7 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-06-2018, 09:31 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, March 6

Philadelphia @ Charlotte

Game 501-502
March 6, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
122.446
Charlotte
117.328
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 5
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
215
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-1); Under

Miami @ Washington

Game 503-504
March 6, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
116.347
Washington
123.846
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 7 1/2
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5
204
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-5); Under

Atlanta @ Toronto

Game 505-506
March 6, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
114.746
Toronto
124.312
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 9 1/2
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 13 1/2
218
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+13 1/2); Over

Houston @ Oklahoma City

Game 507-508
March 6, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
123.737
Oklahoma City
122.312
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1 1/2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 4 1/2
222
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+4 1/2); Over

Denver @ Dallas

Game 509-510
March 6, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
122.614
Dallas
115.523
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 7
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 4 1/2
220
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-4 1/2); Under

New York @ Portland

Game 511-512
March 6, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
112.243
Portland
124.197
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 12
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 9 1/2
215
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-9 1/2); Under

New Orleans @ LA Clippers

Game 513-514
March 6, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
122.358
LA Clippers
121.409
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 1
242
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 3
236 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+3); Over

Brooklyn @ Golden State

Game 515-516
March 6, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
114.412
Golden State
126.834
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 12 1/2
236
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 15 1/2
230
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+15 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 03-06-2018, 09:34 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, March 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHILADELPHIA (34 - 28) at CHARLOTTE (28 - 36) - 3/6/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 66-41 ATS (+20.9 Units) in home games in March games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 84-59 ATS (+19.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 20-5 ATS (+14.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 61-78 ATS (-24.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 4-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 5-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (34 - 30) at WASHINGTON (36 - 28) - 3/6/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 65-47 ATS (+13.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 82-62 ATS (+13.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games this season.
MIAMI is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
MIAMI is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-25 ATS (-13.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
WASHINGTON is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in home games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 6-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 7-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ATLANTA (20 - 44) at TORONTO (45 - 17) - 3/6/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 83-69 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 20-10 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in home games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (49 - 13) at OKLAHOMA CITY (37 - 28) - 3/6/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games this season.
HOUSTON is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) against Northwest division opponents this season.
HOUSTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
HOUSTON is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
HOUSTON is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-32 ATS (-18.2 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 10-4 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 9-5 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (35 - 28) at DALLAS (19 - 45) - 3/6/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 405-330 ATS (+42.0 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 38-20 ATS (+16.0 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
DENVER is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 6-5 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW YORK (24 - 40) at PORTLAND (38 - 26) - 3/6/2018, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
NEW YORK is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW YORK is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
PORTLAND is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
PORTLAND is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 222-173 ATS (+31.7 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 3-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (36 - 26) at LA CLIPPERS (34 - 28) - 3/6/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 41-71 ATS (-37.1 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 35-26 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 165-207 ATS (-62.7 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 215-269 ATS (-80.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 6-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BROOKLYN (20 - 44) at GOLDEN STATE (49 - 14) - 3/6/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 29-45 ATS (-20.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 36-27 ATS (+6.3 Units) in all games this season.
BROOKLYN is 30-20 ATS (+8.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
BROOKLYN is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 5-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 03-06-2018, 07:08 PM

UNDER is 5-0 in Atlanta's last 5 road games & 17-5-1 in their last 23 games following a straight up win.
UNDER is 3-0-1 in Toronto's last 4 overall & 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
Spread: Raptors -12.5
Total: 216.5

Rockets have won 15 consecutive games straight up and are 9-6 ATS during their winning streak.
Rockets are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games vs teams above .500. Thunder are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games vs teams above .500.
Spread: OKC +5
Total: 219.5

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/6

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/6

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment