Announcement

**Udog** · 03-04-2018, 08:26 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Baseball betting: over/unders on pitcher’s win this year:

Stephen Strasbug, 15.5

Zach Greinke, 14.5

Yu Darvish, 13.5

Sonny Gray, 13.5

Noah Syndergaard, 13.5

Shohei Ohtani, 10.5

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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Non-basketball note, but a great one: A young man from Central Florida did 20 reps on the bench press at the NFL Combine Saturday, using a prosthetic left hand- the young man has no left hand. Kudos to Shaquem Griffin, one determined dude. Hope you make it in the NFL.

12) Tennessee 66, Georgia 61— Vols were picked 13th in SEC preseason poll; there are 14 teams in the SEC. Instead, Tennessee tied Auburn for the regular season title, with only one senior in the Vols’ 10-man rotation.

11) Hawai’i 68, Cal-State Fullerton 60— This game was delayed for an extra half hour at the half, because a bracket on top of one of the backboards broke, and the school had no replacement.

After consulting with the Big West head of officials, it was decided to lower the baskets that hang from the ceiling (like high school backboards) and play the second half with those baskets, instead of the usual portable backboards. Very unusual.

Shot clocks were on the floor in the corners, the way they were in the NBA 40 years ago.

10) Illinois State 76, Southern Illinois 68 OT— Exciting game in semifinals of Arch Madness in St Louis; Redbirds play top-seeded Loyola in the championship game Sunday.

No one pays to watch the referees: In first half of this game, after a whistle, a ref calls a taunting technical on an Illinois State player; the replay showed he said something to an opponent as they passed each other after the whistle. No physical contact, just quiet talk. LET IT GO!!!

Before that could be sorted out, a second SIU player says something in passing to the Illinois State player who got the T, and a second referee gives HIM a technical. So now we have offsetting technical fouls, when nothing should’ve been called in the first place.

Problem for Illinois State was that the technical on their guy was also his third personal foul, and this was still in the first half. He eventually fouled out in overtime.

9) Miami 69, Virginia Tech 68— Hurricanes won their last four games, by a total of 8 points.

8) Xavier 65, DePaul 62— Musketeers win Big East regular season title, first team other than Villanova to do that since the league re-organized.

7) Upsets of the Day:
Little Rock (+20.5) 72, UL-Lafayette 61 OT
Cleveland State (+13.5) 89, Northern Kentucky 80
Marshall (+11) 76, Middle Tennessee 67
Stanford (+8.5) 84, Arizona State 83
Sacramento State (+8) 88, Northern Colorado 77
Arkansas State (+7) 83, UL-Monroe 79
Texas-El Paso (+6.5) 68, North Texas 66
Hawai’i (+6.5) 68, Cal State-Fullerton 60

6) Texas-El Paso 68, North Texas 66— Mean Green were improved this year; they finish 8-10 in Conference USA, after being 9-27 the last two years— 11 of their 18 conference games this season were decided by 4 or fewer points, or in OT.

5) Stanford 84, Arizona State 83— Sun Devils were 12-0 on Christmas, a top 10 team; they then went 8-10 in the Pac-12, going 3-9 in games decided by 7 or fewer points, or in OT. ASU will be a really tough team to handicap in the NCAAs; I’m assuming they’re going to make it.

4) NC State 76, Louisville 69— Louisville-Florida State is the 8-9 game in the ACC tournament, with both teams going 9-9 in ACC play. Could it be a play-in game?

3) Duke 74, North Carolina 64— Duke outscored Tar Heels 49-29 in second half; they took 20 foul shots (9-20), Carolina took five (4-5). My quick math says Blue Devils were 7-15 on arc in the second half. Teams could meet again next weekend in Brooklyn.

2) Murray State 68, Belmont 51— First bid in the Field of 68 goes to the Racers; over last five years, five different teams have won the OVC tournament.

1— Cleveland State 89, Northern Kentucky 80— Top seed in Horizon goes down in the biggest upset of the day. Norse had beaten Cleveland State by 17-15 points in two meetings during the regular season, but those games don’t matter nearly as much as this one did.

**Udog** · 03-04-2018, 08:58 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, March 4

Phoenix @ Atlanta

Game 801-802
March 4, 2018 @ 3:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
111.563
Atlanta
116.667
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 5
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 2 1/2
224
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-2 1/2); Under

Indiana @ Washington

Game 803-804
March 4, 2018 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
117.216
Washington
123.227
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 6
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 3 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-3 1/2); Under

Charlotte @ Toronto

Game 805-806
March 4, 2018 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
118.452
Toronto
122.934
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 4 1/2
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 9
219
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(+9); Over

New Orleans @ Dallas

Game 807-808
March 4, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
119.873
Dallas
118.425
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 1 1/2
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 4
223
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+4); Over

Philadelphia @ Milwaukee

Game 809-810
March 4, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
122.895
Milwaukee
118.786
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 4
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
209
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-1); Over

New York @ Sacramento

Game 811-812
March 4, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
114.209
Sacramento
110.118
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 4
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 1 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-1 1/2); Over

Brooklyn @ LA Clippers

Game 813-814
March 4, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
114.312
LA Clippers
118.798
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Clippers
by 4 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Clippers
by 9 1/2
226
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+9 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 03-04-2018, 08:59 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, March 4

Home side won last six Phoenix-Atlanta games; Suns are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Atlanta. Seven of last eight series games stayed under. Phoenix lost nine of its last 10 games; they’re 2-4 in last six games as road underdogs. Four of Suns’ last five road games stayed under. Hawks lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 3-3 as home favorites. Five of their last six games stayed under.

Washington won their last four games with the Pacers; eight of last ten series games went over the total. Indiana covered four of last five games in this building. Pacers won five of their last seven games; they’re 4-6 in last ten games as road underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under the total. Wizards lost three of their last four home games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven games as home favorites. Washington’s last four games stayed under.

Raptors won their last three games with Charlotte; last four series games went over the total. Hornets are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Canada. Charlotte lost four of their last six road games; they’re 2-5 in last seven games as road underdogs. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Toronto won nine of its last ten games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as home favorites. Under is 2-0-1 in their last three games.

New Orleans/Dallas split their last ten games; Pelicans are 2-3 vs spread in their last five visits to Dallas. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games. New Orleans won its last seven games (6-1 vs spread); they’re 9-3 as road favorites. Eight of their last ten games went over. Mavericks lost six of their last seven games; they’re 7-3 in last ten games as home underdogs. Six of their last nine games went over.

Bucks won three of last four games with Philly; road team won five of last seven series games. 76ers are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Milwaukee. Three of last four series games stayed under the total. Philly won eight of its last ten games; they’re 4-6 as road favorites. Sixers’ last four games stayed under the total. Milwaukee lost its last four games; they’re 1-3 as home underdogs. Bucks’ last three games all stayed under.

Knicks won their last three games with the Kings; they’re 3-0-1 vs spread in last four games in Sacramento. Four of last five series games stayed under. New York lost nine of its last ten games; they’re 1-3 vs spread as road favorites. Knicks’ last five games went over the total. Sacramento lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 2-8 in last ten games as home underdogs. Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

Clippers won four of their last five games with Brooklyn; four of last six series games stayed under the total. Nets are 3-2 vs spread in last five series games played here. Brooklyn lost nine of its last ten games; they’re 2-4 in last six games as road underdogs. Three of their last four road games went over. Clippers won five of their last seven games; they’re 2-4 in last six games as home favorites. Five of their last six games went over.

**Udog** · 03-04-2018, 09:02 AM

NBA

Sunday, March 4

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Trend Report
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PHOENIX @ ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Phoenix
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix

INDIANA @ WASHINGTON
Indiana is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Washington's last 12 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games

CHARLOTTE @ TORONTO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Toronto
Charlotte is 13-5 ATS in its last 18 games when playing on the road against Toronto
Toronto is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

NEW ORLEANS @ DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
Dallas is 14-3 SU in its last 17 games when playing at home against New Orleans

PHILADELPHIA @ MILWAUKEE
Philadelphia is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 12-3 SU in its last 15 games when playing Philadelphia
Milwaukee is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

NEW YORK @ SACRAMENTO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
New York is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 7 games when playing at home against New York

BROOKLYN @ LA CLIPPERS
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Brooklyn's last 11 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
Brooklyn is 9-3 ATS in its last 12 games when playing LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
LA Clippers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

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**Udog** · 03-04-2018, 10:00 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, March 4

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PHOENIX (19 - 45) at ATLANTA (19 - 44) - 3/4/2018, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 41-58 ATS (-22.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
PHOENIX is 37-25 ATS (+9.5 Units) after allowing 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-0 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (35 - 27) at WASHINGTON (36 - 27) - 3/4/2018, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 64-46 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
WASHINGTON is 402-471 ATS (-116.1 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (28 - 35) at TORONTO (44 - 17) - 3/4/2018, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 25-34 ATS (-12.4 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in road games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent this season.
CHARLOTTE is 13-24 ATS (-13.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
TORONTO is 35-26 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
TORONTO is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
TORONTO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 6-4 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 7-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (35 - 26) at DALLAS (19 - 44) - 3/4/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 405-329 ATS (+43.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) on Sunday games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 251-201 ATS (+29.9 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-5 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (34 - 27) at MILWAUKEE (33 - 29) - 3/4/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 149-112 ATS (+25.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 35-26 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 57-38 ATS (+15.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 43-29 ATS (+11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 65-80 ATS (-23.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in home games this season.
MILWAUKEE is 367-445 ATS (-122.5 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (24 - 39) at SACRAMENTO (19 - 44) - 3/4/2018, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 4-1 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (20 - 43) at LA CLIPPERS (33 - 28) - 3/4/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 35-25 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 20-6 ATS (+13.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
BROOKLYN is 29-20 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
BROOKLYN is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 165-206 ATS (-61.6 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/4

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/4

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