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  • Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/2

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, March 2

    Good Luck on day #61 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    More over/under betting propositions for home runs this season:

    30.5— Kyle Schwarber

    28.5— Charlie Blackmon

    25.5— Francisco Lindor

    25.5— Kyle Seager

    24.5— Corey Seager

    22.5— Greg Bird


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……

    13) We’ve entered the age of “guilty until proven innocent.”

    I’m talking now about Sean Miller and the situation at Arizona, where ESPN claimed that Miller was caught on an FBI wiretap talking about an illegal payoff for star player DeAndre Ayton.

    Problem is, there is no recording of this conversation, no transcript of it, and there isn’t 100% agreement on when this conversation supposedly took place, or whether the player being talked about on the tape in question was even Ayton.

    So Miller remains the coach at Arizona, but if he is indeed innocent, where does he go to get his reputation back, since there will always be people that believe he broke the rules?

    12) Arizona 75, Stanford 67— Allonzo Trier was cleared to play by the NCAA, so all-around, it was a solid day to be a Wildcat in Tucson.

    11) Bartolo Colon pitched for the Rangers Thursday; Luis Urias was the Padres’ 2B in the same game. Colon made his major league debut April 3, 1997, two months before Urias was born.

    10) Other than who the Rams take, the one thing I’ll be looking for when the NFL Draft rolls around is where Louisville QB Lamar Jackson winds up. My personal opinion is that there is a place for him in the NFL, but I’m just a guy typing on his laptop.

    One NFL personnel guy has to risk his career on Jackson being an NFL QB.

    9) When the Cleveland Browns interviewed Alabama RB Bo Scarbrough at the NFL Combine, one of the questions they asked him was if he thought God is an Auburn fan.

    What does that have to do with anything?

    8) Minnesota Vikings went 13-3 this past season, their best record in 19 years, but it is likely that none of their three QB’s from last year will be on their 2018 roster.

    Case Keenum had a great season, but it looks like Minnesota will let him test the free agent market; Sam Bradford’s knee is so bad that they’d be stupid to sign him- Mike Zimmer called it “degenerative”, and Teddy Bridgewater had a non-contact injury in 2016 that he still may not be fully recovered from. All three of those quarterbacks are free agents, and all three will likely be elsewhere in a few months.

    7) Bruins led Pittsburgh after the first period Thursday night; it was most goals scored in first period of an NHL game since Arizona led Nashville 6-3 after first period on March 28, 2013.

    6) RB’s Saquon Barkley, Nick Chubb did 29 bench press reps at the NFL Combine.

    Barkley and Chubb had more reps than all but five of the 36 offensive linemen to bench press at the Combine this year.

    5) No quarterback who played at USC has ever started a Super Bowl.

    QB’s from Fresno State, Arizona, Morehead State, Northern Iowa, Navy, Southern Miss and Grambling have all won Super Bowls.

    4) This from covers:
    “Nevada has seen explosive popularity in sports betting over the past decade. The annual handle rose from $2.8 billion in 2010 to $4.9 billion in 2017……”

    3) If you care about such things, Lee Westwood has the most career earnings at The Masters without ever having won the tournament. Justin Rose is 2nd, Ernie Els is 3rd on that list.

    2) University of Nevada has only seven healthy scholarship basketball players right now; they’ve added three walk-ons in the last month, including two WR’s from the football team. Adding the walk-ons allows them to practice 5-on-5 at least.

    1— Our thoughts/prayers go out to Hall of Fame QB Jim Kelly, who once again is battling cancer. He’s a tough guy; we wish him well in this latest battle.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Friday, March 2


      Orlando won four of last five games with Detroit; under is 4-2 in last six series games. Pistons are 0-3 vs spread in last three visits here. Detroit lost six of its last eight games; they’re 3-4 as road favorites. Under is 3-0-3 in their last six games. Magic lost their last seven games; they’re 7-3 in last ten games as home underdogs. Six of their last nine games stayed under the total.

      Hornets won six of last eight games with Philly; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five games in this building. Four of last five series games stayed under. Charlotte won five of its last six games; they’re 9-12-2 as road underdogs. Over is 3-0-1 in their last four games. 76ers won eight of their last ten games; they covered 10 of last 11 games as home favorites. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

      Golden State won nine of last ten games with the Hawks; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Atlanta. Four of last six series games went over. Warriors won seven of last eight games; they are 2-6 vs spread in last eight road games. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Hawks lost six of their last eight games; they’re 3-5 in last eight games as home underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under.

      Dallas won four of last five games with Chicago; they covered their last four visits to the Windy City, three of which stayed under the total. Mavericks lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 2-2 as road favorites. Six of their last eight games went over total. Bulls lost their last five games; they’re 11-9 as home underdogs. Four of their last five games went over the total.

      Denver won last two games with Memphis, after losing seven of previous eight; Nuggets covered three of last four visits to Memphis. Last three series games stayed under total. Denver won seven of its last ten games; they’re 4-5 as road favorites. Nine of Nuggets’ last ten games went over the total. Grizzlies lost their last ten games; they’re 7-10 as home underdogs. Four of their last six games went over.

      Raptors won seven of last ten games with Washington; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five games in this building. Seven of last ten series games stayed under. Toronto won nine of its last 10 games; they’re 11-8 as road favorites. Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Wizards won five of their last seven games; they’re 2-1 as home underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under the total.

      Home side won five of last six Pacer-Buck games; Indiana is 2-3 vs spread in last five visits in this arena. Three of last four series games stayed under. Pacers won four of their last six games; they’re 3-6 in last nine games as road underdogs. three of last four series games stayed under the total. Milwaukee lost four of its last five games; they’re 0-5 in last five games as home favorites. Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

      Home side won seven of last eight Thunder-Suns games; OKC is 2-4 vs spread in last six trips to the desert. Three of last four series games stayed under. Oklahoma City won four of its last five games; they’re 7-15 as road favorites. Five of their last seven games went over total. Phoenix lost nine of its last ten games; they’re 2-8 in last ten games as home underdogs. Four of their last six games stayed under.

      Timberwolves won three of last four games with Utah; they covered their last three visits to Salt Lake City. Under is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Minnesota split their last ten games; they’re 2-8 in last ten games as road underdogs. Eight of their last ten games went over. Utah won eight of its last ten games; they’re 2-11 in last 13 games as home favorites. Last four Jazz games went under the total.

      Clippers won nine of last ten games with the Knicks, who are 3-2 vs spread in last five series games played here. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. New York lost nine of its last 10 games; they’re 2-5 in last seven games as road underdogs. Last four Knick games went over the total. Clippers won seven of their last ten games; they’re 1-4 in last five games as home favorites. Four of their last five games went over total.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA

        Friday, March 2


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        DETROIT @ ORLANDO
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games
        Detroit is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Orlando
        Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Detroit
        Orlando is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Detroit

        CHARLOTTE @ PHILADELPHIA
        Charlotte is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
        Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Philadelphia is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home

        GOLDEN STATE @ ATLANTA
        Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
        Golden State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
        The total has gone OVER in 17 of Atlanta's last 23 games when playing at home against Golden State
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Golden State

        DALLAS @ CHICAGO
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
        Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 7 games when playing at home against Dallas

        DENVER @ MEMPHIS
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver's last 5 games on the road
        Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Denver
        Memphis is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing Denver

        TORONTO @ WASHINGTON
        Toronto is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 11 games on the road
        Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games

        INDIANA @ MILWAUKEE
        The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 11 games on the road
        Indiana is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Milwaukee's last 16 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Milwaukee's last 8 games at home

        OKLAHOMA CITY @ PHOENIX
        Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
        Oklahoma City is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games when playing Phoenix
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games at home
        Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City

        MINNESOTA @ UTAH
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 10 games
        Minnesota is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when playing on the road against Utah
        Utah is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games at home

        NEW YORK @ LA CLIPPERS
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
        LA Clippers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
        LA Clippers is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing New York


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-02-2018, 11:37 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Long Sheet

          Friday, March 2


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          DETROIT (29 - 32) at ORLANDO (18 - 43) - 3/2/2018, 7:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          DETROIT is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
          DETROIT is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
          DETROIT is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
          DETROIT is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season this season.
          DETROIT is 20-42 ATS (-26.2 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.
          DETROIT is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
          ORLANDO is 61-80 ATS (-27.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          ORLANDO is 25-44 ATS (-23.4 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
          ORLANDO is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ORLANDO is 5-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
          DETROIT is 5-4 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          CHARLOTTE (28 - 34) at PHILADELPHIA (33 - 27) - 3/2/2018, 7:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CHARLOTTE is 60-77 ATS (-24.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          CHARLOTTE is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
          CHARLOTTE is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
          PHILADELPHIA is 83-58 ATS (+19.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          PHILADELPHIA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in home games this season.
          PHILADELPHIA is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
          PHILADELPHIA is 36-20 ATS (+14.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
          PHILADELPHIA is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          CHARLOTTE is 4-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
          CHARLOTTE is 5-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          GOLDEN STATE (48 - 14) at ATLANTA (19 - 43) - 3/2/2018, 7:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          ATLANTA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
          ATLANTA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games in March games over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ATLANTA is 2-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
          GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          DALLAS (19 - 43) at CHICAGO (20 - 41) - 3/2/2018, 8:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          DALLAS is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) on Friday nights this season.
          DALLAS is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
          DALLAS is 499-418 ATS (+39.2 Units) in road games since 1996.
          DALLAS is 204-163 ATS (+24.7 Units) in road games revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
          CHICAGO is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          DALLAS is 4-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
          DALLAS is 4-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          DENVER (33 - 28) at MEMPHIS (18 - 42) - 3/2/2018, 8:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          DENVER is 5-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
          MEMPHIS is 6-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          TORONTO (43 - 17) at WASHINGTON (36 - 26) - 3/2/2018, 8:00 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TORONTO is 190-240 ATS (-74.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
          WASHINGTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
          TORONTO is 82-68 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          TORONTO is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
          TORONTO is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
          WASHINGTON is 402-470 ATS (-115.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
          WASHINGTON is 151-198 ATS (-66.8 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          WASHINGTON is 5-5 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
          TORONTO is 7-3 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
          7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          INDIANA (34 - 27) at MILWAUKEE (33 - 28) - 3/2/2018, 8:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MILWAUKEE is 5-5 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
          MILWAUKEE is 5-5 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          OKLAHOMA CITY (36 - 27) at PHOENIX (19 - 44) - 3/2/2018, 9:00 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MINNESOTA (38 - 27) at UTAH (31 - 30) - 3/2/2018, 10:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MINNESOTA is 364-427 ATS (-105.7 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
          UTAH is 40-25 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          UTAH is 5-5 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
          UTAH is 6-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
          6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          NEW YORK (24 - 38) at LA CLIPPERS (32 - 28) - 3/2/2018, 10:30 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          NEW YORK is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
          LA CLIPPERS are 34-25 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
          LA CLIPPERS are 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
          LA CLIPPERS are 164-206 ATS (-62.6 Units) in home games in the second half of the season since 1996.
          LA CLIPPERS are 224-274 ATS (-77.4 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          NEW YORK is 3-2 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
          LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
          3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-02-2018, 11:38 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Dunkel

            Friday, March 2


            I'll post 809/810, 813/814 and 815/816 once the lines are set.


            Detroit @ Orlando

            Game 801-802
            March 2, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Detroit
            117.186
            Orlando
            112.091
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Detroit
            by 5
            208
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Detroit
            by 2 1/2
            213 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Detroit
            (-2 1/2); Under

            Charlotte @ Philadelphia


            Game 803-804
            March 2, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Charlotte
            116.867
            Philadelphia
            122.908
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Philadelphia
            by 6
            209
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Philadelphia
            by 3 1/2
            215
            Dunkel Pick:
            Philadelphia
            (-3 1/2); Under

            Golden State @ Atlanta


            Game 805-806
            March 2, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Golden State
            125.298
            Atlanta
            115.108
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Golden State
            by 10
            232
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Golden State
            by 13
            226
            Dunkel Pick:
            Atlanta
            (+13); Over

            Dallas @ Chicago


            Game 807-808
            March 2, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Dallas
            113.287
            Chicago
            114.117
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Chicago
            by 1
            217
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Dallas
            by 1 1/2
            212 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Chicago
            (+1 1/2); Over

            Toronto @ Washington


            Game 811-812
            March 2, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Toronto
            124.154
            Washington
            118.203
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Toronto
            by 6
            212
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Toronto
            by 2 1/2
            216 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Toronto
            (-2 1/2); Under

            Minnesota @ Utah


            Game 817-818
            March 2, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Minnesota
            115.672
            Utah
            124.598
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Utah
            by 9
            205
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Utah
            by 5 1/2
            210
            Dunkel Pick:
            Utah
            (-5 1/2); Under

            New York @ LA Clippers


            Game 819-820
            March 2, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            New York
            112.309
            LA Clippers
            124.896
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            LA Clippers
            by 12 1/2
            221
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            LA Clippers
            by 9
            228
            Dunkel Pick:
            LA Clippers
            (-9); Under
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-02-2018, 11:39 AM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA
              Dunkel

              Friday, March 2



              Denver @ Memphis

              Game 809-810
              March 2, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Denver
              122.318
              Memphis
              112.457
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Denver
              by 10
              209
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Denver
              by 7 1/2
              215 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              Denver
              (-7 1/2); Under

              Indiana @ Milwaukee


              Game 813-814
              March 2, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Indiana
              119.109
              Milwaukee
              119.224
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Indiana
              Even
              217
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Milwaukee
              by 3 1/2
              210 1/2
              Dunkel Pick:
              Indiana
              (+3 1/2); Over

              Oklahoma City @ Phoenix


              Game 815-816
              March 2, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

              Dunkel Rating:
              Oklahoma City
              117.323
              Phoenix
              113.409
              Dunkel Team:
              Dunkel Line:
              Dunkel Total:
              Oklahoma City
              by 4
              227
              Vegas Team:
              Vegas Line:
              Vegas Total:
              Oklahoma City
              by 8
              223
              Dunkel Pick:
              Phoenix
              (+8); Over

              Comment

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