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  • Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 3/1

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, March 1

    Good Luck on day #60 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Six highest-paid college basketball coaches:

    1) Mike Krzyzewski, Duke: $8,982,325

    2) John Calipari, Kentucky: $7,994,147

    3) Chris Holtmann, Ohio State: $7,149,849

    4) Bill Self, Kansas: $4,954,877

    5) Tom Izzo, Michigan State: $4,359,979

    6) Sean Miller, Arizona: $4,054,853


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…..

    13) St Bonaventure 117, Davidson 113, 3OT— Probably the best college hoop game this season was played Tuesday night; five players scored 30+ points. Six players fouled out. These teams are lined up to meet again in the A-14 semi-finals next week in Washington, DC.

    12) Speaking of which, this is a year where several conference tournaments are in unusual places; ACC is in Brooklyn, Big 14 is in Manhattan, A-14 is in Washington, SEC is in St Louis.

    11) One of the things about college basketball is that once you beat a team, you need that team to do well, so it helps your power rating.

    Case in point: Boise State will be a bubble team if they don’t win the Mountain West- they’ve got a win at Oregon, so it would greatly help the Broncos if Oregon could work its way into the top 60 or even higher.

    10) NIT will have some experimental rules this season; games will be four quarters, and 3-point arc will be moved out a little bit. The four-quarter thing looks like it will happen at some point in men’s basketball, maybe 2019-20— the women’s game already plays four quarters.

    9) All-time major league record for pinch-hit home runs:
    Matt Stairs 23, Cliff Johnson 20, Jerry Lynch 18.

    Stairs is the new hitting coach for San Diego- he was the Phillies’ hitting coach last year.

    8) Shareef O’Neal (Shaq’s son) quickly moved on from Arizona to UCLA for his college choice.

    4) Took the NFL about 90 minutes to move on from Papa John’s to Pizza Hut as official pizza of the league; best thing about this? Lot fewer Peyton Manning commercials.

    7) Mark Few makes $1,934,104 a year at Gonzaga; he is happy where he is, and you can’t buy happy, but he is leaving a lot of money on the table. If Few let it be known that he wanted to be a much higher-paid coach, lot of the big-money schools would be lining up pretty quickly.

    6) Chicago Bears will cut backup QB Mike Glennon after only one year and four starts; Glennon made $18.5M for his time in the Windy City, so hard to feel bad for the guy.

    5) There were two upsets in the NEC tournament last night; #2-seed Mt St Mary lost to Robert Morris, and #3-seed St Francis PA lost to FDU, first time since 2003 that the #2-3 seeds both lost in the first round.

    3) If you’re Sam Darnold, why wouldn’t you throw at the NFL Combine? Quarterbacks shouldn’t back away from any challenges/competition.

    2) Random question: if UConn hired Geno Auriemma to be its men’s basketball coach next year, how would he do? Huskies will probably make a coaching change; their program is a mess right now, going 30-33 the last two years.

    1— Someone ran a poll on Twitter the other day, asking who was the most influential teacher they have ever had. It got hundreds of responses, some of which were “none” but it was cool to see that most people were grateful to teachers who helped them when they were younger.

    Lot of time kids graduate and go on their way and never thank the people who helped them.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Thursday, March 1


      Home side won last five Laker-Miami games; Lakers are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Four of last six series games stayed under the total. LA won its last three games and seven of last ten; they’re 9-6 in last 15 games as road underdogs. Over is 5-0-1 in their last six games. Miami won its last three home games but is 3-7 in last ten games overall; they’re 3-5 in last eight games as home favorites. Seven of their last nine games went over.

      Cleveland won its last ten games with Philly, covered last three; 76ers are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Ohio. Five of last seven series games stayed under. Philly lost its last two games after a 7-game win streak; they’re 1-5 in last six games as road underdogs. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Cavaliers won six of their last eight games; they’re 5-10 in last 15 games as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under.

      Nets won five of last eight games with Sacramento; they covered their last three visits here. Five of last seven series games went over total. Brooklyn lost nine of its last ten games; they’re a road favorite for first time this year. Four of Nets’ last five games stayed under. Sacramento lost its last five games; they’re 1-7 in last eight games as home underdogs. Over is 6-2-1 in their last eight games.

      Home side won last six Minnesota-Portland games; Wolves are 0-3 vs spread in last three visits to Oregon. Four of last five series games went over the total. Minnesota won three of its last four games; they’re 2-6 in last eight games as road underdogs. Eight of their last nine games went over the total. Trailblazers won six of its last seven games; they’re 6-4 in last ten games as home favorites. Four of their last six games went over.




      NBA

      Thursday, March 1


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      LA LAKERS @ MIAMI
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games on the road
      Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
      Miami is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games

      PHILADELPHIA @ CLEVELAND
      Philadelphia is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Philadelphia's last 20 games when playing Cleveland
      Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
      Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Philadelphia

      BROOKLYN @ SACRAMENTO
      Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games
      The total has gone OVER in 6 of Sacramento's last 8 games
      Sacramento is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

      MINNESOTA @ PORTLAND
      The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Portland
      Portland is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
      Portland is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Minnesota


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-01-2018, 11:08 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Dunkel

        Thursday, March 1



        LA Lakers @ Miami

        Game 501-502
        March 1, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        LA Lakers
        116.342
        Miami
        122.769
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Miami
        by 6 1/2
        211
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Miami
        by 4
        215 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Miami
        (-4); Under

        Philadelphia @ Cleveland


        Game 503-504
        March 1, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Philadelphia
        118.231
        Cleveland
        123.768
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Cleveland
        by 5 1/2
        218
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Cleveland
        by 3 1/2
        223
        Dunkel Pick:
        Cleveland
        (-3 1/2); Under

        Brooklyn @ Sacramento


        Game 505-506
        March 1, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Brooklyn
        112.312
        Sacramento
        113.425
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Sacramento
        by 1
        219
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Brooklyn
        by 1
        214
        Dunkel Pick:
        Sacramento
        (+1); Over

        Minnesota @ Portland


        Game 507-508
        March 1, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

        Dunkel Rating:
        Minnesota
        121.345
        Portland
        122.421
        Dunkel Team:
        Dunkel Line:
        Dunkel Total:
        Portland
        by 1
        223
        Vegas Team:
        Vegas Line:
        Vegas Total:
        Portland
        by 4 1/2
        217 1/2
        Dunkel Pick:
        Minnesota
        (+4 1/2); Over





        NBA
        Long Sheet

        Thursday, March 1


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        LA LAKERS (26 - 34) at MIAMI (32 - 29) - 3/1/2018, 7:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        LA LAKERS are 139-178 ATS (-56.8 Units) in March games since 1996.
        MIAMI is 80-61 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        MIAMI is 28-15 ATS (+11.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        MIAMI is 38-25 ATS (+10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
        MIAMI is 32-18 ATS (+12.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
        LA LAKERS are 136-96 ATS (+30.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs since 1996.
        LA LAKERS are 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
        MIAMI is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
        MIAMI is 2-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PHILADELPHIA (32 - 27) at CLEVELAND (36 - 24) - 3/1/2018, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PHILADELPHIA is 82-58 ATS (+18.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 62-42 ATS (+15.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 42-29 ATS (+10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        PHILADELPHIA is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        CLEVELAND is 19-40 ATS (-25.0 Units) in all games this season.
        CLEVELAND is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
        CLEVELAND is 10-35 ATS (-28.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
        CLEVELAND is 6-23 ATS (-19.3 Units) in home games this season.
        CLEVELAND is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
        CLEVELAND is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
        CLEVELAND is 9-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BROOKLYN (20 - 42) at SACRAMENTO (18 - 43) - 3/1/2018, 10:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BROOKLYN is 35-26 ATS (+6.4 Units) in all games this season.
        BROOKLYN is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
        SACRAMENTO is 3-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MINNESOTA (38 - 26) at PORTLAND (35 - 26) - 3/1/2018, 10:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MINNESOTA is 364-426 ATS (-104.6 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
        MINNESOTA is 54-84 ATS (-38.4 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
        PORTLAND is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
        MINNESOTA is 32-16 ATS (+14.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        PORTLAND is 8-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        PORTLAND is 7-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 03-01-2018, 11:08 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          Eric Lewis is the NBA's top Over referee at 34-11 (75.56%) and the Over is 26-7 (78.79%) in his games with a betting total of 205 or higher.
          Lewis is working tonight's game between #HereTheyCome and #AllForOne.
          Spread: Cavs -3
          Total: 222.5

          Comment


          • #6
            JR Smith has been suspended by the team for one game for "detrimental conduct" and will miss tonight's game vs. 76ers.
            Spread: Cavs -2.5
            Total: 223

            Comment

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