Announcement

**Udog** · 02-28-2018, 08:12 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Six over/under wagers for home run totals this season:

39.5— Giancarlo Stanton

35.5— Mike Trout

35.5— Nolan Arenado

34.5— Manny Machado

33.5— Josh Donaldson

33.5— Bryce Harper

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) Starting today, the first of some changes here at the website will take place.

No more daily NHL write-ups; I’ve decided to concentrate on basketball between football and baseball seasons. For now, everything else here stays the same.

12) I’m not making this up: A Pittsburgh-area family is suing Steelers’ safety Sean Davis because he posted a Snapchat video about how slow the service was at the drive-thru window at a Chick-fil-A, where their son works- the son was then “bullied” at school because of the video.

The lawsuit contains claims for libel, cyberbullying, intentional infliction of emotional distress and slander. Davis offered to invite the teenager and two friends to be his guest at a Steelers’ practice, and to go to Davis’ summer football camp in Washington, but the family declined.

Good grief, our country is getting soft.

11) I mentioned Sunday how Arizona State coach Bobby Hurley was going after the refs as they left the floor in Corvallis after the Sun Devils lost to Oregon State Saturday- the Pac-12 nailed him with a $10,000 fine for those shenanigans.

10) If Bronx Bombers’ GM Brian Cashman is so bleeping smart, let him go be the GM of the Pirates or the Rays or the A’s and see how many freakin’ games his team wins. Gets old hearing media types praise Cashman all the time— he is playing checkers with more pieces than most of his opponents- he should win. Since 2001, Cashman’s team has one World Series title, after a run of four titles in five years in the late 90’s.

9) Speaking of Tampa Bay, they may not have an excuse to be cheapskates for too much longer; Rays and Fox Sports Net are nearing a long-term extension to their broadcast deal. From CBSSports.com:

“Fox’s payout is expected to increase to around $50 million in 2019 under the new contract. Over the 15-year life of the deal, which would run through the 2033 season, Fox would pay, on average, around $82 million per year.”

8) Several NBA personnel types told ESPN’s Jeff Goodman that they would advise Missouri freshman Michael Porter Jr to play this season, rather than just sit out and wait for the NBA Draft. Porter played 2:00 in the opener and hasn’t played since because of a back problem.

7) Texas declined to sign free agent P Seung-hwan Oh because he failed his physical; Toronto then signed Oh- you wonder what the difference is in the physicals between the two teams.

6) Three US cities with the best TV ratings for the Winter Olympics: Salt Lake City, Denver and Minneapolis.

5) Former big league reliever Andrew Bailey retired from playing and will be the Angels’ instant replay coordinator this season. I’m a curious guy; wonder how much that job pays?

4) Why is Russell Wilson in spring training with the Bronx Bombers? How does his presence there help them prepare for this season? Does he still get paid by the Seahawks if he tears an ACL playing baseball?

3) 20 or so years ago, I bowled in a Thursday night league; had never done it before, haven’t done it since. It was kind of fun, but I was in over my head and didn’t do very well— I didn’t even own my own bowling ball, just used an alley ball every week. But hey, I could watch college games on TV and eat pizza in between my turns.

One night, a guy on the lanes to my right bowled a 300— it was a different league, really good bowlers, and I remember how casual the guy was about bowling a 300. I was excited, I mean the guy just bowled a freakin’ perfect game- couldn’t understand why he just smiled, and got ready for his next game. Best I ever did was a 212; anything over 170 was cause for celebration.

2) According to baseball-reference.com. San Francisco Giants already have $127M in salary obligations for 2020; Minnesota Twins have $0 on the books after 2019.

1— If you’re a kid in West Virginia this week, you were on an unscheduled vacation— teachers went on strike for better pay/benefits, but they’ll be back at work on Thursday.

When I was a junior in high school, our teachers were on strike when school started— problem is, teachers at two other local schools were also on strike, so the teachers would go to the other two schools and be subs to make some $$$, which kind of defeated the whole purpose.

We had a different teacher for every class every day for the whole week; it was chaotic; some kids marched to the district offices to “protest for the teachers” – they just didn’t want to go to class. For those lazy people like me who had no desire to walk anywhere, we just sat in class, did very little and stayed out of trouble. Good times.

**Udog** · 02-28-2018, 08:41 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 28

Home side won last five Milwaukee-Detroit games; Bucks are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to the Motor City. Under is 6-2-1 in last nine series games. Milwaukee lost three of its last four games; they’re 8-5 in last 13 games as road underdogs, 6-3-1 if they played night before. Four of their last five games went over. Pistons lost six of their last seven games; they’re 2-7 in last nine games as home favorites. Last three Detroit games pushed the total, which is odd.

Raptors won seven of last ten games with Orlando; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to the Magic Kingdom. Six of their last nine games stayed under. Toronto won eight of its last nine games; they’re 10-8 as road favorites. Over is 4-0-1 in their last five games. Magic lost their last six games; they’re 7-2 in last nine games as home underdogs. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Indiana won its last four games with the Hawks; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Atlanta. Last seven series games stayed under the total. Pacers won four of their last five games; they’re 6-3 as road favorites. Under is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Hawks lost six of their last seven games; they’re 2-5 vs spread in last seven home games. Six of their last nine games went under the total.

Celtics won nine of last ten games with Charlotte; four of last five series games stayed under. Hornets are 1-2-1 vs spread in last four visits to Boston. Charlotte won its last five games; they are 7-5-1 in last 13 games as road underdogs. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games. Celtics won their last three games; they’re 0-6 vs spread in last six games as home favorites. Over is 4-0-1 in their last five games.

Grizzlies won five of last seven games with Phoenix; over is 5-5 in last ten series games. Suns are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Phoenix lost its last ten games; they’re 1-4 in last five games as road underdogs. Four of their last five road games stayed under. Memphis also lost its last ten games, but they covered last four tries as home favorites. Four of their last five games went over the total.

Warriors won eight of last ten games with Washington; they covered three of last four games in this arena, three of which went over the total. Golden State won six of its last seven games; they are 2-5 vs spread in last seven road games. Five of their last seven games went over. Washington won four of its last five games; they’re 2-1 as home underdogs. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Spurs won six of last eight games with New Orleans; under is 6-2-1 in last nine series games. Pelicans covered once in their last four visits to the Alamo. New Orleans won its last six games, three of which went to OT; they covered five of last seven games as road underdogs. Seven of their last nine games went over. San Antonio lost six of its last eight games; they’re 2-4 in last six games as home favorites. Over is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Dallas won three of last five games with the Thunder; six of last nine series games went over the total. Thunder are 0-3 vs spread in last three games here. OKC won three of its last four games; they’re 1-4 in last five tries as road favorites. Four of their last six games went over. Mavericks lost six of their last eight games; they’re 1-3 in last four games as home underdogs. Five of their last seven games went over.

Clippers won five of last seven games with Houston; under is 3-1 in last four series games. Rockets are 2-3 vs spread in last five series games played here. Three of last four series games stayed under. Houston won its last 13 games; they covered six of last seven road games. Three of their last four games stayed under total. Clippers won four of last five games; they’re 3-5 as home underdogs, 5-4 if they played night before. LA’s last four games went over total.

**Udog** · 02-28-2018, 08:41 AM

NBA

Wednesday, February 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE @ DETROIT
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
Milwaukee is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games at home
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

TORONTO @ ORLANDO
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Toronto's last 10 games on the road
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

INDIANA @ ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Indiana's last 12 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 12 games when playing at home against Indiana

CHARLOTTE @ BOSTON
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Boston is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Charlotte

PHOENIX @ MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Phoenix's last 11 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games on the road
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Memphis's last 11 games when playing at home against Phoenix

GOLDEN STATE @ WASHINGTON
Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Washington
Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Washington is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

OKLAHOMA CITY @ DALLAS
Oklahoma City is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games when playing Dallas
Oklahoma City is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Dallas
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 7 games

NEW ORLEANS @ SAN ANTONIO
New Orleans is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 7 games

HOUSTON @ LA CLIPPERS
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
LA Clippers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 02-28-2018, 10:27 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 28

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (33 - 27) at DETROIT (28 - 32) - 2/28/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 367-443 ATS (-120.3 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.
DETROIT is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
DETROIT is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in February games this season.
DETROIT is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in the second half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-4 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
MILWAUKEE is 6-5 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (42 - 17) at ORLANDO (18 - 42) - 2/28/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ORLANDO is 61-79 ATS (-25.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 5-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-3 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

INDIANA (34 - 26) at ATLANTA (18 - 43) - 2/28/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 6-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHARLOTTE (28 - 33) at BOSTON (43 - 19) - 2/28/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 60-76 ATS (-23.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
CHARLOTTE is 6-19 ATS (-14.9 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 13-22 ATS (-11.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
BOSTON is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in home games in February games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 7-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (18 - 44) at MEMPHIS (18 - 41) - 2/28/2018, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 5-5 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-4 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (47 - 14) at WASHINGTON (36 - 25) - 2/28/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 65-47 ATS (+13.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 59-33 ATS (+22.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 402-470 ATS (-115.0 Units) in home games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 3-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (34 - 26) at SAN ANTONIO (36 - 25) - 2/28/2018, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1035-905 ATS (+39.5 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 826-703 ATS (+52.7 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 527-440 ATS (+43.0 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 50-33 ATS (+13.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 211-162 ATS (+32.8 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 183-140 ATS (+29.0 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 6-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-3 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (35 - 27) at DALLAS (19 - 42) - 2/28/2018, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-37 ATS (-16.7 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
DALLAS is 404-329 ATS (+42.1 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 8-7 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 11-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HOUSTON (47 - 13) at LA CLIPPERS (32 - 27) - 2/28/2018, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 5-4 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 02-28-2018, 11:46 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, February 28

Milwaukee @ Detroit

Game 701-702
February 28, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
117.814
Detroit
116.312
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 2
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+2); Over

Toronto @ Orlando

Game 703-704
February 28, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
122.616
Orlando
116.720
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 6
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 9 1/2
220
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+9 1/2); Over

Indiana @ Atlanta

Game 705-706
February 28, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
120.443
Atlanta
113.520
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 7
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 4
212
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-4); Under

Charlotte @ Boston

Game 707-708
February 28, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
116.534
Boston
126.712
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 10
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 6
209
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-6); Under

Phoenix @ Memphis

Game 709-710
February 28, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
114.312
Memphis
112.867
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 1 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
by 2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+2); Over

Golden State @ Washington

Game 711-712
February 28, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
126.236
Washington
120.845
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 5 1/2
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 9
226 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+9); Over

New Orleans @ San Antonio

Game 713-714
February 28, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
117.562
San Antonio
124.664
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 7
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 4 1/2
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-4 1/2); Under

Oklahoma City @ Dallas

Game 715-716
February 28, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
120.753
Dallas
112.342
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 8 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 5
214
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-5); Under

Houston @ LA Clippers

Game 717-718
February 28, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
128.652
LA Clippers
118.557
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 10
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 7
227
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-7); Under

Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/28

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/28

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment