Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/27

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, February 27

Good Luck on day #58 of 2018!

NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Six top prospects for the Chicago White Sox:

1) Eloy Jimenez, OF— Hit .353 in 18 games in the Southern League LY.

2) Michael Kopech, P— Has 344 strikeouts in 269 career IP

5) Dane Dunning, P— florida alum has 2.76 ERA in two years in A ball.

9) Zach Collins, C— Supposedly a good hitter, but hit .229 in first two years in the minors.

9) Gavin Sheets, 1B— Wake Forest alum is son of former big leaguer Larry Sheets

13) Carson Fulmer, P— Vandy alum was 3-1, 3.86 in seven big league games (5 starts) LY.


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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) There are reports out of Los Angeles that the Dodgers are having $$$ problems and are looking for minority investors (25%??). You’d think the Dodgers are one team that wouldn’t have money problems, but these are weird times– you never know.

Dodgers paid over $48M last year to players who never played for them, otherwise known as dead money.

12) Thinking ahead; since the NCAA’s went to 68 teams, the 11-seeds who advance with Tuesday/Wednesday play-in wins are 8-6 vs spread in their first-round games that they play on short rest. 13 of those 14 teams were underdogs; Tennessee (-4) covered as the lone favorite in the next round, back in 2014.

11) Red Sox were 15-3 in extra inning games last year, most extra inning games played in the major leagues last season.

10) Five major leaguers played every game last season:
Joey Votto, Freddy Galvis, Rougned Odor, Eric Hosmer and Alcides Escobar.

Galvis and Hosmer left their 2017 teams and will be teammates on the Padres this year.

9) Golfer Justin Thomas has won 7 of the last 31 PGA tournaments he entered.

7 of the last 15 PGA tournaments went to a playoff, but hey, Eldrick Woods finished 12th.

8) Quinnipiac lost seven of its last eight games heading into the MAAC tournament, but three of those seven losses were in double overtime. Mike Dunleavy’s son Baker is the coach there; this is his first season. Teams are shooting 40.8% behind the arc vs Quinnipiac this year, 4th-highest %age against any team in the country.

7) JD Martinez will make $22M a year for the Red Sox; he has played more than 123 games in a season ONCE in his career!!!!

If JD Martinez spends 120+ days on the DL with Boston, Red Sox will get some salary relief later in his contract. Martinez knocked in 104 runs in 119 games for Detroit/Arizona LY, which is a lot of production, but he does get hurt a lot.

6) Conference tournament knowledge: #1 seed has won the last seven Big Sky tournaments. Last four Atlantic 14 tournaments were won by teams seeded #3 or worse.

5) NC State won its last four basketball games; in those games, backup G Sam Hunt made 14-17 behind the arc. Hunt has had an interesting career; he played a year at Jacksonville, then two years at North Carolina A&T- in those three seasons, he made 34.3% of his 3-pointers. This year, playing as a senior in the ACC, Hunt is making 41.8% (46-110) behind the arc.

4) Los Angeles Rams got CB Marcus Peters from the Chiefs, sending 2nd/4th round picks to KC. Rams also get a 6th-round pick in the deal.

3) It is weird to me that the Big 14 tournament is this week instead of next week; having it in New York City doesn’t matter much to me, since TV is TV, but having it at the same time as Arch Madness and the MAAC tourney and the WCC is just so different.

2) Doing some conference tournament research: over the last six years, in the semis/finals of the OVC tournament, the underdogs are 12-5 vs spread- one game had no line. Favorites are 15-8-1 vs spread in the first two rounds.

1— Colleges who have already fired their basketball coach:
Charlotte
Colorado State
East Carolina
Eastern Kentucky
Ole Miss
Cal-Riverside
UTEP

[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 27


Chicago @ Charlotte

Game 501-502
February 27, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
112.813
Charlotte
120.775
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 8
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 10 1/2
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+10 1/2); Over

Brooklyn @ Cleveland

Game 503-504
February 27, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
113.458
Cleveland
122.516
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 9
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 11 1/2
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+11 1/2); Over

Philadelphia @ Miami

Game 505-506
February 27, 2018 @ 7:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
122.986
Miami
119.462
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 3 1/2
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
206
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-1); Under

Washington @ Milwaukee

Game 507-508
February 27, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
118.231
Milwaukee
123.187
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 5
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 3
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-3); Under

Sacramento @ Portland

Game 509-510
February 27, 2018 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
111.562
Portland
125.609
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 14
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 11 1/2
210 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-11 1/2); Under

LA Clippers @ Denver

Game 511-512
February 27, 2018 @ 10:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
117.231
Denver
123.764
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 6 1/2
227
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 4
232 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-4); Under

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 27

Bulls won their last four games with the Hornets; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Last four series games went over total. Chicago lost nine of its last 11 games; they’re 0-5 in last five tries as a road underdog. Three of their last four games went over total. Charlotte won its last four games; they’re 6-3 in last nine games as home favorites. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

Nets lost seven of last nine games with Cleveland; they’re 7-2-1 vs spread in last 10 series games. Under is 7-2-1 in last ten series games. Brooklyn lost eight of its last nine games; they’re 2-4 in last six games as road underdogs. Nets’ last three games stayed under total. Cleveland won five of its last seven games; they’re 2-5 in last seven games as home favorites. Cavaliers’ last three games stayed under.

Home side won last seven Philly-Miami games; 76ers are 2-2 vs spread in their last four visits here. Four of last five series games went over total. Sixers won seven of their last eight games; they’re 4-5 as road favorites. Three of their last four games went over the total. Heat lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 2-5 as home underdogs. Seven of last eight Miami games went over the total.

Road team won last four Milwaukee-Washington games; Wizards are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Wisconsin. Last five series games stayed under total. Washington won four of its last five games; they’re 11-3 as road underdogs. Over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Bucks won six of their last nine games; they’re 2-6 in last eight games as home favorites. Four of their last five games went over.

Portland won eight of last ten games with Sacramento; Kings are 2-2-1 vs spread in last five visits to Oregon. Seven of last ten series games stayed under total. Sacramento lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 7-2 in last nine games as road underdogs. Over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Portland won five of its last six games; they’re 4-2 in last six games as home favorites. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Denver won three of last four games with the Clippers; eight of last ten series games stayed under the total. LA is 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Denver. Clippers won six of their last eight games; they’re 10-3 vs spread in last 13 games as road underdogs. Last three LA games went over total. Nuggets won seven of their last nine games; they’re 4-6 in last 10 games as home favorites. Over is 9-1 in last ten Denver games.

[Udog]

NBA

Tuesday, February 27

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Trend Report
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BROOKLYN @ CLEVELAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games on the road
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn

CHICAGO @ CHARLOTTE
Chicago is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Chicago is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Charlotte is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

PHILADELPHIA @ MIAMI
Philadelphia is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

WASHINGTON @ MILWAUKEE
Washington is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Washington is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games

SACRAMENTO @ PORTLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Sacramento's last 17 games when playing on the road against Portland
Sacramento is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Portland is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

LA CLIPPERS @ DENVER
LA Clippers is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games at home


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[Udog]

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 27

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CHICAGO (20 - 40) at CHARLOTTE (27 - 33) - 2/27/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.
CHARLOTTE is 59-76 ATS (-24.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 5-4 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 5-4 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (20 - 41) at CLEVELAND (35 - 24) - 2/27/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after allowing 90 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 19-39 ATS (-23.9 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
CLEVELAND is 10-34 ATS (-27.4 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 20-34 ATS (-17.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 6-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 7-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (32 - 26) at MIAMI (31 - 29) - 2/27/2018, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 80-60 ATS (+14.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 51-32 ATS (+15.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 147-109 ATS (+27.1 Units) in February games since 1996.
MIAMI is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 41-25 ATS (+13.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 19-4 ATS (+14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 81-58 ATS (+17.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (35 - 25) at MILWAUKEE (33 - 26) - 2/27/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 398-468 ATS (-116.8 Units) in home games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 54-89 ATS (-43.9 Units) in home games in February games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 367-442 ATS (-119.2 Units) in the second half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-5 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-4 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (18 - 42) at PORTLAND (34 - 26) - 2/27/2018, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 5-4 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 8-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (31 - 27) at DENVER (33 - 27) - 2/27/2018, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 214-268 ATS (-80.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 33-24 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in road games in February games over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a division game this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
LA CLIPPERS are 22-11 ATS (+9.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LA CLIPPERS are 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 5-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 4-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA's Top ATS Teams:

1. Celtics 36-24-2
2. Clippers 33-24-1
3. 76ers 32-25-1
4. Raptors 33-26
5. Nets 34-27
t6. Pacers 33-27
t6. Lakers 33-27
8. Spurs 32-27-2