Announcement

**Udog** · 02-20-2018, 08:24 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Six more baseball over/under win totals for this season:

San Francisco 81.5

St Louis, 81.5

Toronto 81

Tampa Bay 77.5

Pittsburgh 73

San Diego 69.5

**********

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

13) NBA should have an “ABA Day” once a year, a Friday night with a full schedule where all the games are played with red, white and blue basketballs and the four teams who came from the ABA (Nets-Pacers-Spurs-Nuggets) wear throwback uniforms from the mid-70’s.

12) One thing I saw on the Interweb when I was in Las Vegas but forgot to mention here; when the Eagles had their victory parade after winning the Super Bowl, a guy named Dennis who was 50 or so was there watching the parade while holding a metal urn.

Turns out the urn held the ashes of Dennis’ late wife, who was an avid Eagle fan.

“She was a diehard Eagles fan. I had to make sure she was here for this.” Pretty cool.

11) Pretty good weekend for golfer Bubba Watson; he played in the celebrity basketball game at the All-Star Game Friday night, then won the Genesis Open Sunday, his 10th PGA Tour win. Watson joins Phil Mickelson as the only lefties with 10+ Tour wins.

Watson’s wife played in the WNBA, therefore the connection to basketball; he lost 45 pounds last year with an undisclosed illness, dropped out of the top 100 ranking but obviously is doing better this year.

10) Bill Walton was saying on ESPN Saturday night that 27,000 people apply for the 800 spots in UCLA’s School of Engineering; you have to have a perfect 4.0 GPA to have a shot to get in.

9) St Mary’s PG Emmett Naar sprained his ankle in Portland Saturday night, didn’t play in the second half. If he cannot play, Gaels will have a short March, but one thing in their favor is the two weeks off they’ll have between the WCC tourney and the NCAA’s.

8) This from ESPN’s Tim Kurkjian:
Hank Aaron his 755 home runs but never hit 50 in a season.
Eddie Murray hit 504 homers but never hit 40 in a season.
Al Kaline hit 399 homers but never hit 30 in a season.
Ron Fairly hit 215 homers but never hit 20 in a season.

7) Memphis Tigers are last team to go undefeated in conference play two seasons in a row; they did it from 2007-09.

6) Looks like Seattle is going to get an NHL franchise; they never should’ve lost their NBA team, they got screwed over by the league because they wouldn’t be extorted into building a new arena, so the team moved to Oklahoma.

5) Six top 10 college basketball teams lost to unranked teams this past weekend. Strange season.

4) JD Martinez finally signs with the Red Sox for $22M a year for five years. Hope he can get by on that paltry sum.

3) Good news: there is spring training baseball on TV Friday. In three days.

2) How great a job is NBA commish Adam Silver doing? With all the issues the NFL had with national anthem-related issues, somehow the NBA kept all that under wraps and dodged that controversy. Has to be an interesting story behind how he did all that.

1— There are people on the Interweb who want teachers to carry guns: in 10th grade, I had a biology teacher who threw erasers at kids who weren’t paying attention (I’m old enough that I went to school when chalkboards were still a thing).

One day, the teacher throws an eraser at a kid named Nick who was screwing around, but instead he drills the girl sitting next to him, who breaks into tears as everyone else either laughed or stared in disbelief.

Would I have wanted this genius to have been packing heat? Ummmm……no.

**Udog** · 02-20-2018, 08:26 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 20

Boston College @ NC State

Game 501-502
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston College
57.643
NC State
68.590
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC State
by 11
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC State
by 8
159
Dunkel Pick:
NC State
(-8); Under

West Virginia @ Baylor

Game 503-504
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
West Virginia
69.398
Baylor
73.672
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 4 1/2
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baylor
by 1
143
Dunkel Pick:
Baylor
(-1); Under

Rutgers @ Ohio State

Game 505-506
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rutgers
58.734
Ohio State
71.692
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ohio State
by 13
135
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio State
by 16
128
Dunkel Pick:
Rutgers
(+16); Over

Rhode Island @ LaSalle

Game 507-508
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Rhode Island
62.334
LaSalle
58.421
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Rhode Island
by 4
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Rhode Island
by 7
147
Dunkel Pick:
LaSalle
(+7); Over

Creighton @ Butler

Game 509-510
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Creighton
66.122
Butler
67.098
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Butler
by 1
160
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Butler
by 5
157
Dunkel Pick:
Creighton
(+5); Under

Northern Illinois @ Ball State

Game 511-512
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Illinois
49.735
Ball State
54.627
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Ball State
by 5
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ball State
by 10
149
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Illinois
(+10); Over

Central Michigan @ Western Michigan

Game 513-514
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Central Michigan
50.512
Western Michigan
57.696
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
by 7
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Western Michigan
by 5 1/2
147 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Western Michigan
(-5 1/2); Under

Toledo @ Eastern Michigan

Game 515-516
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toledo
54.326
Eastern Michigan
57.445
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Eastern Michigan
by 3
136
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Eastern Michigan
Pick
141
Dunkel Pick:
Eastern Michigan
Under

Mississippi State @ Texas A&M

Game 517-518
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mississippi State
64.221
Texas A&M
73.176
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas A&M
by 9
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas A&M
by 6 1/2
138 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas A&M
(-6 1/2); Under

Illinois @ Michigan State

Game 519-520
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois
58.104
Michigan State
75.672
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan State
by 17 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 15 1/2
147 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan State
(-15 1/2); Under

Akron @ Bowling Green

Game 521-522
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Akron
48.434
Bowling Green
50.893
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Bowling Green
by 2 1/2
156
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Bowling Green
by 7
149 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Akron
(+7); Over

Buffalo @ Miami-OH

Game 523-524
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
57.197
Miami-OH
53.028
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 4
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 6
151
Dunkel Pick:
Miami-OH
(+6); Over

Kent State @ Ohio

Game 525-526
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kent State
53.447
Ohio
53.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kent State
Even
152
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Ohio
by 4
147 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Kent State
(+4); Over

Indiana @ Nebraska

Game 527-528
February 20, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
67.823
Nebraska
66.472
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 1 1/2
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nebraska
by 4
138 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+4); Over

St Louis @ Dayton

Game 529-530
February 20, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St Louis
52.449
Dayton
60.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dayton
by 8
131
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dayton
by 5
135
Dunkel Pick:
Dayton
(-5); Under

Ole Miss @ Missouri

Game 531-532
February 20, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ole Miss
57.423
Missouri
68.759
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Missouri
by 11 1/2
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Missouri
by 8 1/2
144 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Missouri
(-8 1/2); Under

Kentucky @ Arkansas

Game 533-534
February 20, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kentucky
66.297
Arkansas
71.674
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arkansas
by 5 1/2
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arkansas
by 3 1/2
153
Dunkel Pick:
Arkansas
(-3 1/2); Under

Vanderbilt @ LSU

Game 535-536
February 20, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vanderbilt
60.235
LSU
67.108
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LSU
by 7
140
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LSU
by 4 1/2
149
Dunkel Pick:
LSU
(-4 1/2); Under

New Mexico @ Wyoming

Game 537-538
February 20, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Mexico
56.734
Wyoming
57.823
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wyoming
by 1
161
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wyoming
by 4 1/2
157
Dunkel Pick:
New Mexico
(+4 1/2); Over

Northern Iowa @ Valparaiso

Game 539-540
February 20, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Northern Iowa
55.244
Valparaiso
54.137
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northern Iowa
by 1
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Valparaiso
by 4
129 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Iowa
(+4); Over

The Citadel @ E Tenn State

Game 541-542
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
The Citadel
42.219
E Tenn State
64.331
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
E Tenn State
by 22
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
E Tenn State
by 20
164
Dunkel Pick:
E Tenn State
(-20); Under

NC-Greensboro @ Wofford

Game 543-544
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NC-Greensboro
56.737
Wofford
51.246
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NC-Greensboro
by 5 1/2
133
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC-Greensboro
by 2
137 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NC-Greensboro
(-2); Under

Western Carolina @ Mercer

Game 545-546
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Western Carolina
46.723
Mercer
54.668
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mercer
by 8
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mercer
by 11 1/2
141
Dunkel Pick:
Western Carolina
(+11 1/2); Over

VMI @ Furman

Game 547-548
February 20, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
VMI
42.564
Furman
59.619
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Furman
by 17
145
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Furman
by 20 1/2
139
Dunkel Pick:
VMI
(+20 1/2); Over

**Udog** · 02-20-2018, 08:28 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, February 20

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON COLLEGE (16 - 11) at NC STATE (18 - 9) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 119-86 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road games since 1997.
BOSTON COLLEGE is 119-86 ATS (+24.4 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
NC STATE is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NC STATE is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON COLLEGE is 2-0 against the spread versus NC STATE over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-1 straight up against BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W VIRGINIA (19 - 8) at BAYLOR (17 - 10) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
W VIRGINIA is 3-2 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 4-1 straight up against BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RUTGERS (13 - 16) at OHIO ST (22 - 7) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RUTGERS is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) as a road underdog of 15.5 to 18 points over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
RUTGERS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO ST is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
OHIO ST is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 3-2 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
OHIO ST is 4-1 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RHODE ISLAND (21 - 4) at LASALLE (11 - 16) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RHODE ISLAND is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
RHODE ISLAND is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
RHODE ISLAND is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
RHODE ISLAND is 29-18 ATS (+9.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
RHODE ISLAND is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
RHODE ISLAND is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LASALLE is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all games this season.
LASALLE is 8-16 ATS (-9.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
LASALLE is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
LASALLE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.
LASALLE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
LASALLE is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
LASALLE is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LASALLE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LASALLE is 2-2 against the spread versus RHODE ISLAND over the last 3 seasons
RHODE ISLAND is 4-1 straight up against LASALLE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CREIGHTON (19 - 8) at BUTLER (18 - 10) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CREIGHTON is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
BUTLER is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all home games this season.
BUTLER is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) in home lined games this season.
BUTLER is 163-127 ATS (+23.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
BUTLER is 220-176 ATS (+26.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
CREIGHTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CREIGHTON is 4-1 against the spread versus BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
CREIGHTON is 4-1 straight up against BUTLER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

N ILLINOIS (11 - 15) at BALL ST (18 - 9) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ILLINOIS is 89-59 ATS (+24.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
N ILLINOIS is 50-26 ATS (+21.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
BALL ST is 12-29 ATS (-19.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 12-24 ATS (-14.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
BALL ST is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 2-2 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
BALL ST is 3-1 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

C MICHIGAN (16 - 11) at W MICHIGAN (15 - 12) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 2-2 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 3-1 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TOLEDO (19 - 8) at E MICHIGAN (16 - 11) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TOLEDO is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 this season.
TOLEDO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
TOLEDO is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 12-22 ATS (-12.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
E MICHIGAN is 113-154 ATS (-56.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
E MICHIGAN is 62-87 ATS (-33.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 3-2 against the spread versus TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN is 3-2 straight up against TOLEDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSISSIPPI ST (19 - 8) at TEXAS A&M (17 - 10) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS A&M is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
TEXAS A&M is 96-69 ATS (+20.1 Units) in home games after a conference game since 1997.
TEXAS A&M is 68-46 ATS (+17.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS A&M is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 3-0 against the spread versus TEXAS A&M over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS A&M is 2-1 straight up against MISSISSIPPI ST over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ILLINOIS (13 - 15) at MICHIGAN ST (26 - 3) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 93-62 ATS (+24.8 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in home games in February games since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 63-37 ATS (+22.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.
ILLINOIS is 42-22 ATS (+17.8 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
MICHIGAN ST is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 2-1 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

AKRON (11 - 15) at BOWLING GREEN (16 - 11) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AKRON is 5-12 ATS (-8.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
AKRON is 1-7 ATS (-6.7 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
BOWLING GREEN is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
BOWLING GREEN is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) after a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOWLING GREEN is 3-3 against the spread versus AKRON over the last 3 seasons
AKRON is 5-1 straight up against BOWLING GREEN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (20 - 7) at MIAMI OHIO (13 - 14) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI OHIO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) on Tuesday nights this season.
BUFFALO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 4-2 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

KENT ST (13 - 14) at OHIO U (11 - 15) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 147-111 ATS (+24.9 Units) in all home games since 1997.
OHIO U is 147-111 ATS (+24.9 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
OHIO U is 85-55 ATS (+24.5 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
OHIO U is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) after allowing 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO U is 87-58 ATS (+23.2 Units) after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
KENT ST is 119-89 ATS (+21.1 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 3-2 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 4-2 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (16 - 12) at NEBRASKA (20 - 9) - 2/20/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
INDIANA is 4-17 ATS (-14.7 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 113-150 ATS (-52.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
INDIANA is 70-96 ATS (-35.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all games this season.
NEBRASKA is 20-7 ATS (+12.3 Units) in all lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all home games this season.
NEBRASKA is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
NEBRASKA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against conference opponents this season.
NEBRASKA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) on Tuesday nights over the last 2 seasons.
NEBRASKA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
NEBRASKA is 66-39 ATS (+23.1 Units) in home games off a loss against a conference rival since 1997.
NEBRASKA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEBRASKA is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
INDIANA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
INDIANA is 17-9 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
INDIANA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents this season.
INDIANA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after a conference game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 2-1 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 2-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SAINT LOUIS (15 - 12) at DAYTON (12 - 14) - 2/20/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAINT LOUIS is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 2 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 25-9 ATS (+15.1 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
SAINT LOUIS is 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) in February games since 1997.
SAINT LOUIS is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a conference game this season.
SAINT LOUIS is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
DAYTON is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all games this season.
DAYTON is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAINT LOUIS is 3-2 against the spread versus DAYTON over the last 3 seasons
DAYTON is 4-1 straight up against SAINT LOUIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OLE MISS (11 - 16) at MISSOURI (18 - 9) - 2/20/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OLE MISS is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all games this season.
OLE MISS is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
OLE MISS is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
OLE MISS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games this season.
OLE MISS is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MISSOURI is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.
OLE MISS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSOURI is 4-1 against the spread versus OLE MISS over the last 3 seasons
OLE MISS is 5-1 straight up against MISSOURI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KENTUCKY (18 - 9) at ARKANSAS (19 - 8) - 2/20/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KENTUCKY is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.
KENTUCKY is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
KENTUCKY is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
ARKANSAS is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) in home games in February games since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 70-48 ATS (+17.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
ARKANSAS is 6-13 ATS (-8.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENTUCKY is 3-0 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
KENTUCKY is 3-0 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VANDERBILT (11 - 16) at LSU (15 - 11) - 2/20/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANDERBILT is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games this season.
VANDERBILT is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all lined games this season.
VANDERBILT is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
VANDERBILT is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
LSU is 33-48 ATS (-19.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
LSU is 33-48 ATS (-19.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
LSU is 19-32 ATS (-16.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
LSU is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANDERBILT is 2-1 against the spread versus LSU over the last 3 seasons
VANDERBILT is 2-1 straight up against LSU over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW MEXICO (13 - 14) at WYOMING (17 - 10) - 2/20/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
WYOMING is 48-30 ATS (+15.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
WYOMING is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WYOMING is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
WYOMING is 2-2 straight up against NEW MEXICO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N IOWA (13 - 15) at VALPARAISO (14 - 15) - 2/20/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N IOWA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all games this season.
N IOWA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
N IOWA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
N IOWA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
N IOWA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games this season.
N IOWA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road lined games this season.
N IOWA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in a road game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
N IOWA is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) against conference opponents this season.
N IOWA is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after a conference game this season.
N IOWA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
N IOWA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
N IOWA is 1-0 against the spread versus VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
N IOWA is 1-0 straight up against VALPARAISO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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THE CITADEL (9 - 18) at E TENN ST (23 - 5) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E TENN ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games this season.
E TENN ST is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all lined games this season.
E TENN ST is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
THE CITADEL is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
THE CITADEL is 3-2 against the spread versus E TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
E TENN ST is 5-0 straight up against THE CITADEL over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UNC-GREENSBORO (21 - 7) at WOFFORD (19 - 9) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all lined games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WOFFORD is 3-3 against the spread versus UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
UNC-GREENSBORO is 4-2 straight up against WOFFORD over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W CAROLINA (12 - 16) at MERCER (15 - 13) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W CAROLINA is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
W CAROLINA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MERCER is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
W CAROLINA is 3-2 against the spread versus MERCER over the last 3 seasons
W CAROLINA is 3-2 straight up against MERCER over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VMI (8 - 18) at FURMAN (19 - 9) - 2/20/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VMI is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
VMI is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
VMI is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
VMI is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
VMI is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
VMI is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1997.
FURMAN is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) as a favorite this season.
FURMAN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
FURMAN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
FURMAN is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
FURMAN is 5-0 against the spread versus VMI over the last 3 seasons
FURMAN is 5-0 straight up against VMI over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-20-2018, 08:30 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 20

NC State won five of its last seven games, working its way on bubble; Wolfpack is 4-2 in ACC home games, losing to Miami/UNC. Boston College is 3-2 in its last five games; they’re 1-5 on ACC road, with only win at winless Pittsburgh. Home side won last five BC-NC State games; Eagles lost their last six visits to Raleigh, losing by 5-12-14-18-1-10 points. BC is 10-12-1 in last 23 games as road underdogs, 2-3 this year; Wolfpack is is 9-7 in last 16 games as home favorites, 2-0 this year. ACC home favorites are 33-32 vs spread.

West Virginia was +10 (21-11) in turnovers, made 10-25 on arc in 57-54 home win over Baylor Jan 9; WV shot just 9-36 inside arc. Mountaineers won four of last five series games; they’re 2-3 in Waco in Big X games. West Virginia lost four of its last five road games, winning at Oklahoma by a hoop. Baylor won its last five games after a 12-10 start, winning their last two games by total of three points. Bears are 8-12 in last 20 games as home favorites, 3-1 this year; WVU is 6-4 in last 10 games as road underdogs, 2-1 this year. Big X home favorites are 25-25 vs spread.

URI had its 16-game win streak snapped Friday; Rams are 6-1 on A-14 road, with four wins by 13+ points. Home team won LaSalle’s last 11 games; Explorers won their last four home games, with three wins by 7+ points. Explorers turned ball over 19 times, lost 74-62 at Rhode Island Jan 3; Rams won six of last seven series games, winning last three visits to LaSalle, by 3-17-11 points. LaSalle is 3-7 in last 10 games as home underdogs, 0-1 this year; URI is 10-4 in last 14 games as road favorites, 4-3 this year. A-14 home underdogs are 10-12 vs spread.

Creighton shot 67.6% inside arc in 85-76 home win over Butler Jan 9, Bluejays’ third straight series win. Teams split four Big East meetings in Hinkle Fieldhouse. Creighton lost three of last four games overall, three of last five on road; they’re 3-4 on Big East road, beating three worst teams on road. Butler lost three of last four games overall; they’re 5-3 at home in league, losing two of last three at home. Butler is 13-10 in last 23 games as home favorites, 4-3 this year; Creighton is 0-4 vs spread as road underdogs this season. Big East home favorites are 22-19.

Texas A&M is 5-2 vs Mississippi State in SEC play, winning all three meetings here, by 20-4-2 points. Bulldogs won five of last seven games, but lost last two road games by total of 5 points, at Mizzou/Vandy. A&M is just 6-8 in SEC but they won their last five home games, with wins over Arkansas/Kentucky. Under Howland, MSU is 11-12-1 as road underdogs- they covered last three tries. A&M is 6-9 in last 15 games as home favorites, but they did cover last four home games. SEC home favorites are 39-30 against the spread.

Toledo won 11 of its last 13 games but lost last game at Ball State; Rockets are shooting 40.9% on arc in MAC games. Eastern Michigan is best defensive team in MAC, forcing turnovers 20.6% of time; they won four of last five games, are 4-3 in MAC home games, winning last two. Toledo is 6-5 in last 11 games with EMU, sweeping Eagles by 16-4 points LY. Rockets lost three of last four visits to Ypsilanti. Eagles are 4-11-1 vs spread in last 16 MAC home games, 2-4-1 this year; Toledo is 10-6 in last 16 road games, 5-2 this season. MAC home teams are 44-36 vs spread.

Nebraska won six of its last seven games but is just 6-7 vs top 100 teams; they’re a bubble team. Huskers are 7-0 in Big 14 home games, Indiana won its last four games after starting 5-7 in Big 14 games; Hoosiers are 3-4 on Big 14 road, but wins were at Iowa, Rutgers, Minnesota, nothing too impressive. Nebraska is 5-3 vs Indiana in Big 14 games; Hoosiers lost three of four visits to Lincoln. Indiana is 4-8-1 in last 13 games as road underdogs, 1-4-1 this year; Nebraska is 17-9-1 in last 27 games as home favorites, 4-1 this year. Big 14 home favorites are 35-30 vs spread.

Saint Louis outscored Dayton 20-9 on foul line in 75-65 home win over the Flyers Jan 27, first series win for Billikens in last eight series games- they lost last three visits to Dayton, by 16-36-21 points. SLU won three of its last four road games; they’re 7-2 in last nine games overall. Dayton lost six of its last nine games, but they did win their last three home games. Dayton is 8-5 in last 13 games as home favorites, 2-2 this year; Billikens are 10-4-1 in last 15 games as road underdogs, 4-2 this year. A-14 home favorites are 31-25 vs spread.

This is first game for Ole Miss’ interim coach; Rebels lost their last seven games, are 0-9 in true road games this season. Missouri won five of its last six games, winning last three home games, by 9-4-4 points. Missouri made 10-23 on arc, won 75-69 at Ole Miss Feb 6, just 2nd win in 11 SEC games in this series. Rebels won their last three visits to Columbia, by 20-3-4 points. Mizzou is 4-2 vs spread this season as home favorites; Ole Miss is 9-12 in last 21 games as road underdogs, 3-4 this season. SEC home favorites are 39-30 vs spread.

Arkansas won four in row, seven of last nine games; they won last six home games, last three by 16-18-19 points. Kentucky lost four of its last five games overall, losing last three road tilts, by 9-11-10 points. Hogs are shooting 39% on arc in SEC play; Kentucky defends arc well (26.3% in SEC play). Arkansas lost its last five games with Kentucky, but won three of last four series games played here. Over last six years, Kentucky is 1-9-1 as road underdogs, 0-4 this year; Arkansas is 12-9 in last 21 games as home faves, 3-4 this year. SEC home favorites are 39-30.

Vanderbilt won three of last four games; they’re 0-7 on SEC road, with four of last six road losses by 11+ points. LSU won three of its last five games; they won last four home games, three by 8+ points. LSU lost 77-71 at Vanderbilt Jan 20, Commodores’ 2nd straight series win after five losses. Vandy won four of last six visits to Baton Rouge. LSU is 2-4-1 in last seven games as home favorites, 2-2-1 this year; under Drew, Vandy is 11-4 as road underdogs, 4-3 this season. SEC home favorites are 39-30 against the spread.

New Mexico made 10-24 on arc, survived 20 turnovers (-2) in 75-66 home win over Wyoming Jan 10. Teams split last six series games; Lobos lost last two visits to Laramie, by 1-11 points. New Mexico lost three of last five games; they’re 2-5 on MW road, winning at UNLV/San Jose. Cowboys are 5-2 at home in conference, losing to Colorado State/Fresno State. Lobos are 10-14 in last 24 games as road underdogs, 2-3 this year; under Edwards, Wyoming is 5-7 as home favorites, 1-3 this year. Mountain West home favorites are 29-19 vs spread.

NC-Greensboro won 10 of last 12 games, with two losses by total of 5 points; they’re 5-3 on SoCon road. Wofford is 7-1 at home in SoCon, with only loss by 13 to East Tennessee State. Wofford lost 71-67 in Greensboro Dec 30, after leading by 14 early in second half. Spartans won four of last five series games, but lost last three visits to Wofford, by 15-11-19 points. UNCG is 5-3 in last eight games as road favorites, 3-2 this year; Wofford is 4-2 in last six games as home underdogs, 1-1 this year. SoCon home underdogs are 12-20 vs spread.

**Udog** · 02-20-2018, 08:31 AM

NCAAB

Tuesday, February 20

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Trend Report
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ILLINOIS @ MICHIGAN STATE
ILLINOIS

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Illinois's last 9 games when playing on the road against Michigan State
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Illinois's last 18 games on the road
MICHIGAN STATE

Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Michigan State is 23-1 SU in its last 24 games at home
RUTGERS @ OHIO STATE
RUTGERS

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rutgers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Rutgers's last 9 games
OHIO STATE

Ohio State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Ohio State's last 6 games
BOSTON COLLEGE @ NORTH CAROLINA STATE
BOSTON COLLEGE

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston College's last 7 games when playing North Carolina State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston College's last 7 games
NORTH CAROLINA STATE

North Carolina State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Boston College
North Carolina State is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Boston College
CREIGHTON @ BUTLER
CREIGHTON

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Creighton's last 8 games when playing Butler
Creighton is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Butler
BUTLER

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Butler's last 8 games when playing Creighton
Butler is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home
RHODE ISLAND @ LA SALLE
RHODE ISLAND

Rhode Island is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games
Rhode Island is 8-0-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against La Salle
LA SALLE

La Salle is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of La Salle's last 9 games at home
AKRON @ BOWLING GREEN
AKRON

Akron is 18-1 SU in its last 19 games when playing Bowling Green
Akron is 13-1 SU in its last 14 games when playing on the road against Bowling Green
BOWLING GREEN

Bowling Green is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Bowling Green is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
NORTHERN ILLINOIS @ BALL STATE
NORTHERN ILLINOIS

The total has gone OVER in 7 of Northern Illinois's last 8 games when playing Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games on the road
BALL STATE

Ball State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Ball State's last 8 games when playing Northern Illinois
BUFFALO @ MIAMI-OHIO
BUFFALO

Buffalo is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Buffalo's last 6 games
MIAMI-OHIO

The total has gone OVER in 11 of Miami-Ohio's last 15 games when playing at home against Buffalo
Miami-Ohio is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games when playing at home against Buffalo
CENTRAL MICHIGAN @ WESTERN MICHIGAN
CENTRAL MICHIGAN

The total has gone OVER in 6 of Central Michigan's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Central Michigan's last 5 games
WESTERN MICHIGAN

Western Michigan is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Central Michigan
Western Michigan is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Central Michigan
TOLEDO @ EASTERN MICHIGAN
TOLEDO

Toledo is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games
Toledo is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
EASTERN MICHIGAN

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Eastern Michigan's last 5 games at home
Eastern Michigan is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing at home against Toledo
KENT STATE @ OHIO
KENT STATE

The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ohio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Kent State's last 5 games when playing Ohio
OHIO

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio's last 5 games when playing Kent State
THE CITADEL @ EAST TENNESSEE STATE
THE CITADEL

The Citadel is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against East Tennessee St
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of The Citadel's last 5 games when playing East Tennessee State
EAST TENNESSEE STATE

No trends to report
VMI @ FURMAN
VMI

No trends to report
FURMAN

Furman is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing VMI
Furman is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing VMI
WESTERN CAROLINA @ MERCER
WESTERN CAROLINA

Western Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Mercer
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Western Carolina's last 8 games when playing Mercer
MERCER

No trends to report
UNC GREENSBORO @ WOFFORD
UNC GREENSBORO

UNC Greensboro is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
UNC Greensboro is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
WOFFORD

Wofford is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games at home
Wofford is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against UNC Greensboro
WEST VIRGINIA @ BAYLOR
WEST VIRGINIA

West Virginia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Baylor
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of West Virginia's last 5 games
BAYLOR

Baylor is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
MISSISSIPPI STATE @ TEXAS A&M
MISSISSIPPI STATE

Mississippi State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Mississippi State is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Texas A&M
TEXAS A&M

Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Texas A&M is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Mississippi State
SAINT LOUIS @ DAYTON
SAINT LOUIS

Saint Louis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Saint Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
DAYTON

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dayton's last 5 games
Dayton is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Saint Louis
INDIANA @ NEBRASKA
INDIANA

Indiana is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Nebraska
NEBRASKA

Nebraska is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Nebraska is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
KENTUCKY @ ARKANSAS
KENTUCKY

Kentucky is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Arkansas
Kentucky is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arkansas
ARKANSAS

Arkansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arkansas's last 6 games when playing Kentucky
VANDERBILT @ LSU
VANDERBILT

Vanderbilt is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against LSU
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Vanderbilt's last 6 games when playing LSU
LSU

The total has gone OVER in 5 of LSU's last 6 games when playing Vanderbilt
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LSU's last 5 games when playing at home against Vanderbilt
MISSISSIPPI @ MISSOURI
MISSISSIPPI

Mississippi is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Missouri
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Mississippi's last 6 games when playing Missouri
MISSOURI

The total has gone OVER in 5 of Missouri's last 6 games when playing Mississippi
Missouri is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
NORTHERN IOWA @ VALPARAISO
NORTHERN IOWA

The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northern Iowa's last 5 games
Northern Iowa is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games
VALPARAISO

Valparaiso is 20-4 SU in its last 24 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Valparaiso's last 11 games at home
NEW MEXICO @ WYOMING
NEW MEXICO

The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Mexico's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Mexico's last 5 games when playing Wyoming
WYOMING

Wyoming is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wyoming's last 5 games when playing at home against New Mexico

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**Udog** · 02-20-2018, 08:39 AM

Defense a better barometer for ATS success in college basketball
Ashton Grewal

The Virginia Cavaliers owe their 17-5-1 ATS record, and top spot in the AP poll, to their unrivaled defense this season. The Cavaliers allow 4.4 fewer points per game than any other team in the country.

The best defense is a good offense or so the saying goes in sports - although the Oklahoma Sooners are putting that theory to test.

The Sooners are first in the nation in points per game (87.5) and their freshman point guard Trae Young leads the country in scoring and assists. And yet Oklahoma is one of the worst bets in college basketball with an ugly 9-17 ATS record heading into Monday’s matchup with Kansas.

The Sooners are 0-5 straight up in their last five games and 1-10 against the spread in their last 11 games after an outright loss at home to Texas on Saturday as 6.5-point favorites. OU fans downplaying their team’s poor run would fit perfectly in a meme featuring a house fire and a talking dog seating at the kitchen table claiming everything is fine.

Meanwhile, Virginia, the best defensive team in college hoops, is first in the AP Poll rankings and is covering the spread at a 77 percent rate. The Cavaliers aren’t the only D-orientated team making money for their backers this season. Michigan, Texas Tech and Cincinnati are a combined 43-30-2 ATS and all near locks to receive invites to the NCAA Tournament.

Team Points Per Game Season ATS
Oklahoma 87.5 8-17
Villanova 87.4 18-9
Duke 87.4 16-9
Gonzaga 85.2 11-14-11
Creighton 85.1 12-13
Xavier 85.1 19-9
Auburn 84.7 18-7
UNLV 84.7 12-14-1
Savannah State 84.5 0-1
TCU 84.4 13-12-1

What does this mean to college basketball bettors? Which dominant trait (offense or defense) is a more profitable one when it comes to betting on college basketball? The 10 teams allowing the fewest points per game this season are covering the spread at a 56.7 percent clip while the 10 squads averaging the most points are winning ATS at 54.7 percent.

Team Points Allowed Per Game Season ATS
Virginia 52.7 17-5-1
Cincinnati 57.1 13-10-1
Central Florida 60.3 13-8
Old Dominion 62 11-13
Texas Tech 62.5 13-10
Southern Methodist 63.1 7-13-2
Syracuse 63.4 11-14
Michigan 63.5 17-10-1
Loyola-Chicago 63.5 16-7-1
Grand Canyon 63.8 1-1

Looking at the top 10 in offense and defense in college basketball in each of the last five seasons we found the slight wagering edge goes to elite defenses over high-quality offenses. Top-10 defensive teams in points per game are covering the spread in 55.2 percent of their games since the beginning of the 2012-2013 campaign whereas top-offenses own a 53.7 percent ATS win rate.

“There’s a high variance in 3-point shooting which makes it difficult to predict from a game-to-game basis,” Covers Expert Steve Merril says. “I prefer to lean on slow-paced defensive teams like Virginia rather than the up-tempo, 3-point shooting teams like North Carolina and Duke."

The strategy shouldn’t be followed on the way to the futures book. Eight of the last 10 national champions have ranked inside Ken Pomerory’s adjusted offensive efficiency. North Carolina won last season with the ninth highest-scoring offense and the 127th ranked defense in points allowed per game.

Teams like Virginia might be better for regular season betting but come tournament time it’s important to identify sides that can score against solid defensive teams.

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Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/20

Tuesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/20

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