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**Udog** · 02-14-2018, 08:18 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Odds to win the Super Bowl next season:

5-1— New England Patriots

7-1— Pittsburgh Steelers, Philadelphia Eagles

12-1— Minnesota Vikings, Green Bay Packers

16-1— New Orleans Saints

18-1— Atlanta Falcons

20-1— Dallas Cowboys, Los Angeles Rams

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) I came down to the casino floor Monday to go to the sports book here at the Westgate, and 3/4 of the casino floor is empty, including the carpet. They’re tearing up the old carpet and laying new carpet— they moved out all the slot machines and pushed the gaming tables over by the theater— it just looks weird. I’m guessing everything will be back in place by the weekend.

12) Auburn is an 8.5-point favorite over Kentucky tonight; when these teams met LY, Kentucky was a 24-point favorite. Bruce Pearl has to get lot of votes for national Coach of the Year.

11) Over the last six seasons, Kentucky has been a road underdog in ten SEC games; would you be surprised to know that they’re 1-8-1 against the spread in those games?

10) Georgetown 87, Butler 83— 11-point underdog Hoyas are 5-9 in the Big East after playing the easiest pre-conference schedule in the country. When Patrick Ewing pulled his team out of the PK80 tournament in November, it was assumed that the talent there was so awful that they didn’t want to get clobbered early in Ewing’s first season as a head coach.

Georgetown’s kids play very hard and fact is, they’re better than most people thought they would be. Moving on, recruiting will be a huge question for Ewing, since he’s never done it before.

9) Persistence is important in sports and in life. Golfer Ted Potter Jr won the Pebble Beach tournament Sunday and earned $1,506,517 for his second career win.

When Potter was first starting out as a pro golfer, he entered 24 events on the web.com Tour, and he missed the cut in all 24 tournaments. Can you imagine how awful that must have been, not to mention how expensive? But Potter stuck it out, and now he is a 2-time Tour winner.

8) Pepperdine fired basketball coach Marty Wilson; in seven years in Malibu, the Waves are 42-76 in WCC games under Wilson, 1-13 this year. Pepperdine went 10-8 in league two and also three years ago, but then they fell off the cliff.

This means that in a league dominated by Gonzaga/St Mary’s, with BYU a steady third, LMU coach Mike Dunlap is the 4th-longest tenured coach in the WCC and he is 21-47 in WCC games. Five of the ten WCC teams have fired their coach in the last three years- Pacific’s coach retired.

7) Looks like the Los Angeles Angels will use a 6-man pitching rotation, which is what teams in Japan do (teams generally have Monday off in Japan). Halos spent a ton of money when they signed Shohei Ohtani, and he is used to pitching once a week. This will be an interesting thing to follow— if it works for them, you know more teams will do it.

6) Isaiah Thomas is in his 7th year in the NBA and he is already on his fifth team; what does that tell you? He is a career 19 ppg scorer. I’m guessing he may not be America’s best teammate.

5) Arizona Cardinals gave GM Steve Keim a 4-year contract extension; now he has to get together with his new coach and figure out who the Cardinals’ QB will be going forward.

4) Nebraska 70, Maryland 66— Cornhuskers have 20 wins for the first time since 1993.

3) Rhode Island 85, Richmond 67— Rams won their 16th straight game, but EC Matthews hurt his left knee and was dragged off the court. URI seemed hopeful that the injury isn’t serious- they went 4-2 when Matthews broke his wrist earlier this season.

2) What in God’s name is former major league pitcher Esteban Loaiza thinking? The guy made over $43M in his playing career and now he gets busted with 44 pounds of cocaine, which is worth $500,000? Hard to have any sympathy for the guy.

1) If you want someone else to hold your money for the next 50 weeks, you can bet Super Bowl LIII today; AFC is a 1-point favorite, with a total of 52. Game is in Atlanta’s domed stadium.

**Udog** · 02-14-2018, 08:29 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 14

Pistons won three of last four games with Atlanta; over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Hawks are 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to Detroit. Atlanta split its last six games; they’re 10-5 in last 15 games as road underdogs. Four of their last six games stayed under the total. Detroit lost its last three games; they’re 2-6 in last eight games as home favorites. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Home side won last six Miami-Philly games; Heat are 2-3 vs spread in last five games in this building. Three of last four series games went over. Miami lost its last four road games and six of last seven overall; they’re 8-3 in last 11 games as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over total. 76ers won their last four games, all at home; they covered their last nine games as home favorites. Five of their last six games stayed under.

Charlotte won its last nine games with Orlando (8-1 vs spread); they covered last three visits to Orlando, all of which went over total. Hornets lost their last four games; they’re 4-1 vs spread as road favorites. Five of their last seven games went over. Orlando is 4-3 in its last seven games overall; they’re 6-2 in last eight games as home underdogs. Three of their last four games went under the total.

Pacers won their last six games with Brooklyn; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five games in this arena. Seven of last ten series games went over the total. Indiana won six of its last eight games; they’re 5-2 as road favorites. Four of their last six games went over total. Brooklyn lost nine of its last ten games; they’re 7-4-1 in last 12 games as home underdogs. Three of their last four games went over.

Knicks lost their last seven games with Washington; six of last eight series games went over the total. Wizards covered two of last three visits to Manhattan. Washington won six of its last eight games; they covered four of last five games as road favorites. Three of their last four games went over total. New York lost its last seven games; they’re 7-7 as home underdogs. Eight of their last nine games stayed under.

Raptors won their last four games with the Bulls; they’re 1-4 vs spread in their last five visits to Chicago. Nine of last ten series games went over the total. Toronto won its last six games; they’re 9-8 as road favorites, 4-4 if they played night before. Over is 8-1 in their last nine road games. Chicago lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 9-5 in last 14 games as home underdogs. Seven of their last nine games stayed under.

Rockets won their last six games with Sacramento; over is 6-4 in last ten series games. Kings are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Houston. Sacramento lost four of its last six games; they’re 6-3 in last nine games as road underdogs, 4-3 vs spread on road if they played night before. Houston won its last nine games; they’re 3-7 in last ten games as home favorites. Four of their last five games went over.

Clippers won six of their last nine games with the Celtics; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits here (over 3-2). Clippers won six of their last eight games; they’re 8-3 in last 11 games as underdogs on road. LA’s last eight games stayed under total. Boston lost three of their last four games; they’re 2-7 in last nine games as home favorites. Under is 3-2 in their last five home games.

Lakers lost three of last four games with New Orleans; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Bourbon Street. Three of last four series games stayed under. Los Angeles won four of their last five games; they’re 3-5 in last eight games as road underdogs. Four of their last five games went under total. New Orleans split its last six games; they’re 1-7 in last eight games as home faves. Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

Thunder won their last five games with Memphis (4-1 vs spread); they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six games played here. Seven of last nine series games went over. Oklahoma City lost six of its last eight games; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four road games, 5-5 if they played night before. Memphis lost its last six games; they’re 8-2 vs spread in last ten home games. Three of their last four games stayed under.

Jazz won their last ten games (8-2 vs spread); they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine games as home favorites. Six of their last eight games went over. Utah won eight of last nine games with Phoenix; under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Suns are 1-2-1 vs spread in last four visits here. Phoenix lost its last six games; they’re 3-6 in last nine games as road underdogs. Four of their last six games went over.

Golden State won its last ten games with Portland (5-5 vs spread); they’re 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to Oregon, three of which went over. Warriors won/covered their last three games; they’re 5-8 vs spread in last 13 road games. Four of their last six games stayed under the total. Trailblazers lost four of their last six games; they’re 2-2 as home underdogs. Three of their last four home games went over.

**Udog** · 02-14-2018, 08:29 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, February 14

Pistons won three of last four games with Atlanta; over is 8-2 in last ten series games. Hawks are 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to Detroit. Atlanta split its last six games; they’re 10-5 in last 15 games as road underdogs. Four of their last six games stayed under the total. Detroit lost its last three games; they’re 2-6 in last eight games as home favorites. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Home side won last six Miami-Philly games; Heat are 2-3 vs spread in last five games in this building. Three of last four series games went over. Miami lost its last four road games and six of last seven overall; they’re 8-3 in last 11 games as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over total. 76ers won their last four games, all at home; they covered their last nine games as home favorites. Five of their last six games stayed under.

Charlotte won its last nine games with Orlando (8-1 vs spread); they covered last three visits to Orlando, all of which went over total. Hornets lost their last four games; they’re 4-1 vs spread as road favorites. Five of their last seven games went over. Orlando is 4-3 in its last seven games overall; they’re 6-2 in last eight games as home underdogs. Three of their last four games went under the total.

Pacers won their last six games with Brooklyn; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five games in this arena. Seven of last ten series games went over the total. Indiana won six of its last eight games; they’re 5-2 as road favorites. Four of their last six games went over total. Brooklyn lost nine of its last ten games; they’re 7-4-1 in last 12 games as home underdogs. Three of their last four games went over.

Knicks lost their last seven games with Washington; six of last eight series games went over the total. Wizards covered two of last three visits to Manhattan. Washington won six of its last eight games; they covered four of last five games as road favorites. Three of their last four games went over total. New York lost its last seven games; they’re 7-7 as home underdogs. Eight of their last nine games stayed under.

Raptors won their last four games with the Bulls; they’re 1-4 vs spread in their last five visits to Chicago. Nine of last ten series games went over the total. Toronto won its last six games; they’re 9-8 as road favorites, 4-4 if they played night before. Over is 8-1 in their last nine road games. Chicago lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 9-5 in last 14 games as home underdogs. Seven of their last nine games stayed under.

Rockets won their last six games with Sacramento; over is 6-4 in last ten series games. Kings are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Houston. Sacramento lost four of its last six games; they’re 6-3 in last nine games as road underdogs, 4-3 vs spread on road if they played night before. Houston won its last nine games; they’re 3-7 in last ten games as home favorites. Four of their last five games went over.

Clippers won six of their last nine games with the Celtics; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits here (over 3-2). Clippers won six of their last eight games; they’re 8-3 in last 11 games as underdogs on road. LA’s last eight games stayed under total. Boston lost three of their last four games; they’re 2-7 in last nine games as home favorites. Under is 3-2 in their last five home games.

Lakers lost three of last four games with New Orleans; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Bourbon Street. Three of last four series games stayed under. Los Angeles won four of their last five games; they’re 3-5 in last eight games as road underdogs. Four of their last five games went under total. New Orleans split its last six games; they’re 1-7 in last eight games as home faves. Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

Thunder won their last five games with Memphis (4-1 vs spread); they’re 2-4 vs spread in last six games played here. Seven of last nine series games went over. Oklahoma City lost six of its last eight games; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four road games, 5-5 if they played night before. Memphis lost its last six games; they’re 8-2 vs spread in last ten home games. Three of their last four games stayed under.

Jazz won their last ten games (8-2 vs spread); they’re 2-7 vs spread in last nine games as home favorites. Six of their last eight games went over. Utah won eight of last nine games with Phoenix; under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Suns are 1-2-1 vs spread in last four visits here. Phoenix lost its last six games; they’re 3-6 in last nine games as road underdogs. Four of their last six games went over.

Golden State won its last ten games with Portland (5-5 vs spread); they’re 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to Oregon, three of which went over. Warriors won/covered their last three games; they’re 5-8 vs spread in last 13 road games. Four of their last six games stayed under the total. Trailblazers lost four of their last six games; they’re 2-2 as home underdogs. Three of their last four home games went over.

**Udog** · 02-14-2018, 08:42 AM

NBA Betting Road Map: The Suns are a trainwreck heading into the break
Al McMordie

The All-Star Break is upon us, and the trade deadline last week certainly injected some drama into this season. The Cavaliers were the main culprit, as GM Koby Altman completely re-made the Cavs' roster. In the short term, at least, the moves have paid dividends and Cleveland served notice, with its 121-99 blowout of Boston, that reports of its demise were premature.

Let's take a look at this upcoming, abbreviated week.

Spread Watch

The Phoenix Suns are 18-40 straight-up, and 26-31-1 against the spread this season and they've dropped their last six games SU and their last four ATS.

Even worse: two of their three worst defeats have come in their last three games. San Antonio pounded them by 48 on February 7 and then Golden State won by 46 this past Monday. That loss was made even more ignominious by the fact that Golden State's Steve Kerr decided to not even coach his team for that game (Kerr let his players coach themselves), a fact that really rankled the Suns' staff. But, perhaps, that embarrassing, blowout loss will serve as "rock-bottom" for this Suns team.

This week, they'll travel to Salt Lake City for their final game before the All-Star Break. And I actually like them catching double-digits from the red-hot Jazz, who have won 10 in a row. And that's because rested road teams off losses by 40 plus points have gone 37-19-2 ATS since 1990. Take the Suns on Wednesday.

Total Watch

The hottest team in the league are Quin Snyder's Utah Jazz, who have won 10 straight games after Monday's comeback win vs. San Antonio. The primary reason for Utah's success has been on the offensive end, as they've averaged 112 points during their win streak (they had averaged just 101.5 prior to the start of the streak).

Not surprisingly, the Jazz have gone Over the total in six of their last eight games.

Will Utah's offense continue to roll? It's possible, given that the Jazz will face the defensively-challenged Suns (the league's worst defensive team) before the All-Star Break, and then take on Portland, at home, immediately after the break. Utah put up 129 points on the Suns earlier in February, and also toasted Portland for 112 and 115 points in their two previous meetings this season - and all of those games did go Over the total.

I especially like the Jazz/Blazers game to be relatively high scoring, as 14 of the last 21 meetings between these two clubs have gone Over the total.

Injury Watch

The New York Knicks suffered their worst nightmare when Kristaps Porzingis tore his ACL in his left knee against the Milwaukee Bucks on February 6. Porzingis was averaging 22.7 points, 6.6 rebounds and 2.4 blocks per game so his worth to a Knicks team largely bereft of talent cannot be overstated.

The Knicks went on to lose that game to Milwaukee, 103-89, and have lost every game since (both SU and ATS). Currently, the Knicks are on a seven-game losing streak, and have dropped five in a row ATS.

This week, the Knicks will host Washington on Valentine's Day, before resuming play after the break, on the road, against the Magic. And while it's certainly true that New York has struggled vs. Washington (0-7 SU; 1-6 ATS since 2016), teams like the Wizards, who are off a win and playing their last game before the All-Star Break on the road, have been poor vs. opponents off back to back losses. Since 1990, such road teams have gone 37% ATS.

Schedule Watch

The Portland Trail Blazers will surely come out with a vengeance on Wednesday vs. the Golden State Warriors.

Not only will the Blazers want to bounce back from their 19-point home loss to Utah, but they'll also want to snap their 11-game losing streak to Golden State (which encompassed a 4-0 playoff series sweep last season).
And, for technical support, we will note that winning teams, off a loss, have cashed 69.5 percent at home, if they had lost their previous 10 meetings against their opponent! We actually saw this situation occur back in November when the Knicks upset the Clippers, 107-85, as a two-point home underdog, to snap their 10-game losing streak to Los Angeles. Look for Portland to pull off a similar upset vs. Golden State. Take the Blazers plus the points.

**Udog** · 02-14-2018, 09:39 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, February 14

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ATLANTA (18 - 40) at DETROIT (27 - 29) - 2/14/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 6-4 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (30 - 27) at PHILADELPHIA (29 - 25) - 2/14/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 80-55 ATS (+19.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in home games this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 26-15 ATS (+9.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more this season.
PHILADELPHIA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MIAMI is 77-60 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 49-32 ATS (+13.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 45-26 ATS (+16.4 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 144-109 ATS (+24.1 Units) in February games since 1996.
MIAMI is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (23 - 33) at ORLANDO (18 - 38) - 2/14/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 21-31 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 59-77 ATS (-25.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 24-42 ATS (-22.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ORLANDO is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 8-2 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 9-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (32 - 25) at BROOKLYN (19 - 39) - 2/14/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 33-24 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
BROOKLYN is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) as an underdog this season.
BROOKLYN is 21-12 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BROOKLYN is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BROOKLYN is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 7-4 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 9-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (32 - 24) at NEW YORK (23 - 35) - 2/14/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 12-23 ATS (-13.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
WASHINGTON is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 18-3 ATS (+14.7 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 7-20 ATS (-15.0 Units) in February games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (40 - 16) at CHICAGO (20 - 36) - 2/14/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 8-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-4 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
9 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (18 - 38) at HOUSTON (43 - 13) - 2/14/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 to 18 points this season.
HOUSTON is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points this season.
HOUSTON is 49-68 ATS (-25.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in home games after a win by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 6-3 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 8-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (29 - 26) at BOSTON (40 - 18) - 2/14/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 93-124 ATS (-43.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
LA CLIPPERS are 212-268 ATS (-82.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 33-22 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 43-30 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-2 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA LAKERS (23 - 32) at NEW ORLEANS (30 - 26) - 2/14/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (32 - 26) at MEMPHIS (18 - 37) - 2/14/2018, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-3 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (18 - 40) at UTAH (29 - 28) - 2/14/2018, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 8-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (44 - 13) at PORTLAND (31 - 26) - 2/14/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 11-7 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 16-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
13 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 02-14-2018, 05:35 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, February 14

Atlanta @ Detroit

Game 701-702
February 14, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
114.516
Detroit
118.918
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 4 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 8 1/2
209
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+8 1/2); Over

Miami @ Philadelphia

Game 703-704
February 14, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
118.404
Philadelphia
123.526
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 5
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 7 1/2
201
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(+7 1/2); Over

Charlotte @ Orlando

Game 705-706
February 14, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
120.912
Orlando
113.011
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 8
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 5
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-5); Under

Indiana @ Brooklyn

Game 707-708
February 14, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
121.562
Brooklyn
115.209
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 6 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 4 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-4 1/2); Under

Washington @ New York

Game 709-710
February 14, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
120.873
New York
114.724
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 6
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 4 1/2
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-4 1/2); Under

Toronto @ Chicago

Game 711-712
February 14, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
127.392
Chicago
114.519
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 13
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 6 1/2
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-6 1/2); Under

Sacramento @ Houston

Game 713-714
February 14, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Sacramento
112.562
Houston
124.623
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 12
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 15 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+15 1/2); Over

LA Clippers @ Boston

Game 715-716
February 14, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
118.092
Boston
122.186
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 4
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 5 1/2
208
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+5 1/2); Over

LA Lakers @ New Orleans

Game 717-718
February 14, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Lakers
117.672
New Orleans
118.559
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 1
233
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 5 1/2
224
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(+5 1/2); Over

Oklahoma City @ Memphis

Game 719-720
February 14, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
118.737
Memphis
116.623
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 4
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+4); Over

Phoenix @ Utah

Game 721-722
February 14, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
109.215
Utah
125.112
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 16
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 11 1/2
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-11 1/2); Under

Golden State @ Portland

Game 723-724
February 14, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
130.913
Portland
121.452
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 9 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 5 1/2
226
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-5 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 02-14-2018, 05:57 PM

NBA

Wednesday, February 14

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NBA Game of the Day: Warriors at Trail Blazers betting preview and odds
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Golden State Warriors at Portland Trail Blazers (+5.5, 225.5)

The Portland Trail Blazers suffered their first home loss since late December when they fell to the Utah Jazz on Sunday, and avoiding a second straight setback will be difficult with the Golden State Warriors coming to town on Wednesday. The Trail Blazers have dropped 11 straight to the Warriors, including a first-round sweep in last season's playoffs.

Portland All-Star guard Damian Lillard followed up a 50-point effort in a win at Sacramento with 39 points against the Jazz on Sunday but could not get enough help as the team fell for the fourth time in six games overall and snapped a nine-game home winning streak. Lillard is averaging 25.8 points while shooting 92.1 percent from the free-throw line, just ahead of Golden State's Stephen Curry (91.5), who will captain Lillard in Sunday's All-Star Game. Curry got the chance to call some plays on Monday, when Warriors head coach Steve Kerr let his players run the huddles in a 129-83 domination of the Phoenix Suns. "I told them the other night after the last game (on Saturday) that we were going to do it," Kerr told reporters. "It's their team. I think that's one of the first things you have to consider as a coach. It's not your team, it's not (general manager) Bob Myers' team, it's not (owner) Joe Lacob's team -- although I'm not going to tell Joe that."

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN, NBCS Bay Area (Golden State), NBCS Northwest (Portland)

LINE HISTORY: The Warriors opened as seven-point road favorites and that number has been dropped slightly to 5.5. The total hit betting boards at 225.5 and has yet to move as of Wednesday morning.

INJURY REPORT:

Warriors - PF D. Green (Probable, Finger), SF K. Looney (Questionable, Knee), SG P. McCaw (Doubful, Wrist), PF J. Bell (Late Feb, Ankle).

Blazers - C J. Nurkic (Questionable, Back), SG C. Wilcox (Out Indefinitely).

POWER RANKINGS: Warriors (-12.1) - Blazers (-3.3) + home court (-3) = Warriors -5.8

MATCHUP CHART:

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (44-13 SU, 26-30-1 ATS, 29-28 O/U): Golden State's players seemed to enjoy the experiment on Monday, but Suns players felt the move showed a lack of respect, something Kerr did not intend. "I told (Phoenix coach Jay Triano) afterward that it had nothing to do with being disrespectful," Kerr told reporters. "It had to do with me reaching my team. I have not reached them for the last month. They're tired of my voice. I'm tired of my voice. It's been a long haul these last few years and I wasn't reaching them, and we just figured it was probably a good night to pull a trick out of the hat and do something different." The win was the third straight for the Warriors, who won each of the three by at least 17 points.

ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS (31-26 SU, 27-25-5 ATS, 24-33 O/U): Portland shooting guard CJ McCollum scored 22 points in Sunday's loss but committed five of his team's 13 turnovers and analyzed his performance after the game. "Sometimes over-dribbling, sometimes trying to make a pass and they deflect it or just read it," McCollum told the Oregonian. "I've just got to do a better job of finding the open man faster. A lot of times in some of those pick-and-rolls, there's a hard-hedge or they're waiting for us to pick up the ball and sometimes they're over-rotating. So, (I) just have to try to find the weak side. ... I've just got to do a better job of ball-faking and just being patient." McCollum totaled 12 turnovers in the last three games to bump his season average to 1.9.

TRENDS:

* Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
* Trail Blazers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
* Under is 10-2 in Warriors' last 12 games after scoring more than 125 points in their previous game.
* Under is 10-1 in Trail Blazers' last 11 games playing on 2 days rest.
* Over is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Portland.

CONSENSUS: Users are backing the Golden State Warriors in this matchup, with 77 percent of pointspread picks on the road favorite. When it comes to the total, 69 percent of wagers are on the Over.

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**Udog** · 02-14-2018, 06:02 PM

NBA

Wednesday, February 14

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Trend Report
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ATLANTA @ DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Atlanta

CHARLOTTE @ ORLANDO
Charlotte is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Orlando is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

MIAMI @ PHILADELPHIA
Miami is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Philadelphia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

INDIANA @ BROOKLYN
Indiana is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Brooklyn's last 16 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Brooklyn's last 22 games at home

WASHINGTON @ NEW YORK
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of New York's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games when playing Washington

LA CLIPPERS @ BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games at home
Boston is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games

TORONTO @ CHICAGO
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Toronto's last 13 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Chicago's last 13 games when playing Toronto
Chicago is 13-2 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Toronto

OKLAHOMA CITY @ MEMPHIS
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
Memphis is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

SACRAMENTO @ HOUSTON
Sacramento is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

LA LAKERS @ NEW ORLEANS
LA Lakers is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 14 of New Orleans's last 17 games at home
New Orleans is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

PHOENIX @ UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Phoenix's last 21 games when playing Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

GOLDEN STATE @ PORTLAND
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Portland
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Portland
Portland is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Portland's last 9 games when playing at home against Golden State

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Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/14

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/14

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