Announcement

**Udog** · 02-12-2018, 09:53 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Odds for the 2018 American League:

5-2– Houston Astros

3-1— Bronx Bombers

7-2— Cleveland Indians

6-1— Boston Red Sox

10-1— Los Angeles Angels

12-1— Toronto, Minnesota

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Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports weekend

13) I don’t like the Winter Olympics; I despise everything about winter except basketball, but there is this one weird sport where people ski around for a while, then they lay on the ground and fire a rifle at targets, and their skiing time gets penalized if they miss targets— then they get up, ski some more, and then shoot more targets.

Apparently it started out as a training exercise for soldiers in Norway or Finland, before it became an actual competition.

12) Pitt Panthers are 8-18 this year, 0-13 in the ACC; they’re starting four freshmen in a brutal league. Pitt fans ran former coach Jamie Dixon out of town after he went 40-32 in conference play his last four years at Pitt. Be careful what you wish for…….

11) Indianapolis Colts signed Frank Reich as their new coach, even running a pic of him signing his contract on Twitter, in a good-natured response to cynical fans on social media, after the debacle with Josh McDaniel weaseling out of his commitment to Indianapolis.

10) Chicago Cubs gave P Yu Darvish $126M for six years. Darvish was 10-12, 3.86 in 31 starts LY for Texas/Dodgers; he’s been an All-Star in four of his five big league seasons.

9) Good to see NASCAR races on TV Sunday; once you see NASCAR, that means spring training ain’t too far away.

8) California’s insurance commissioner has launched an investigation into Aetna after learning a former medical director for the insurer admitted under oath he never looked at patients’ records when deciding whether to approve or deny care.

Oy.

7) Arizona Cardinals’ WR Larry Fitzgerald teamed with pro Kevin Streelman to win the pro-am at the Pebble Beach golf tournament this weekend.

6) Cavaliers 121, Celtics 99— Its obviously way too early to grade the NBA trades made last week, but Cleveland has to be giddy about their first two games after the trades— Addition by Subtraction would be a good way to sum things up so far.

5) Jazz 115, Trailblazers 96— Utah won its last eight games, is now 1.5 games out of the 8th and final playoff spot in the Western Conference.

4) Cincinnati 76, SMU 51— Mustangs got crushed and still only played seven guys- the 7th guy played only 8:00. Security at SMU games must be pretty tight; former President George Bush (43) sits at half court most games. Kind of like SMU’s version of Jack Nicholson or Billy Crystal.

3) I’m not a fan of these “mock brackets” being put out— in four weeks, we’ll have the real brackets and they’re the only ones that matter. I suppose it gets people talking about college basketball and thats good, but it is useless chatter. Upsets will happen, teams will slide or surge and the committee will most likely get the right 68 teams in.

2) Kentucky lost its last three games, first time that has happened in John Calipari’s tenure; no pundits will pick them to make the Final Four but no coaches will want to see the Wildcats in their bracket.

1— Happy birthday to Abraham Lincoln, who would’ve turned 209 years old today.

**Udog** · 02-12-2018, 09:56 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, February 12

Notre Dame @ North Carolina

Game 713-714
February 12, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Notre Dame
63.227
North Carolina
77.623
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
North Carolina
by 14 1/2
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
North Carolina
by 9 1/2
150 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
North Carolina
(-9 1/2); Over

TCU @ West Virginia

Game 715-716
February 12, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
TCU
66.203
West Virginia
76.589
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
West Virginia
by 10 1/2
165
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
West Virginia
by 6
158 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
West Virginia
(-6); Over

Baylor @ Texas

Game 717-718
February 12, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Baylor
66.525
Texas
71.698
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 5
128
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
by 3
133 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-3); Under

Iona @ Siena

Game 719-720
February 12, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iona
55.422
Siena
46.519
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Iona
by 9
137
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iona
by 8
143
Dunkel Pick:
Iona
(-8); Under

Fairfield @ Canisius

Game 721-722
February 12, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Fairfield
50.855
Canisius
56.389
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Canisius
by 5 1/2
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Canisius
by 7 1/2
150
Dunkel Pick:
Fairfield
(+7 1/2); Over

E Tenn State @ NC-Greensboro

Game 723-724
February 12, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
E Tenn State
62.413
NC-Greensboro
60.923
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
E Tenn State
by 1 1/2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NC-Greensboro
by 1 1/2
130
Dunkel Pick:
E Tenn State
(+1 1/2); Over

Mercer @ Samford

Game 725-726
February 12, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Mercer
52.551
Samford
45.409
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Mercer
by 7
153
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Mercer
by 4
159
Dunkel Pick:
Mercer
(-4); Under

Colgate @ Bucknell

Game 727-728
February 12, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colgate
48.737
Bucknell
63.668
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Bucknell
by 15
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Bucknell
by 11 1/2
154 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Bucknell
(-11 1/2); Under

Delaware State @ Norfolk State

Game 729-730
February 12, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Delaware State
31.224
Norfolk State
47.672
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Norfolk State
by 16 1/2
131
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Norfolk State
by 12
136
Dunkel Pick:
Norfolk State
(-12); Under

Jackson State @ Prairie View

Game 731-732
February 12, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Jackson State
36.404
Prairie View
46.812
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Prairie View
by 10 1/2
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Prairie View
by 8 1/2
139 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Prairie View
(-8 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 02-12-2018, 10:00 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, February 12

North Carolina outscored Notre Dame 9-2 over final 5:58 of a 69-68 win in South Bend Jan 13, in game Irish PG Farrell missed- he’s back now. Carolina is 5-3 vs ND in ACC play, winning last three meetings by 31-1-7 points. Irish are 1-2 in Chapel Hill, losing by 2-7 points. Tar Heels beat Duke/NC State in last four days; quick turnaround here. Irish lost last four road games, by 7-9-22-18 points. UNC is 10-5 in last 15 games as home favorite, 3-3 this year; Notre Dame is 10-8 in last 18 games as road underdogs, but is only 1-4 this year. ACC home favorites are 30-24.

TCU beat West Virginia 82-73 at home Jan 22, breaking an 0-11 series skid. Horned Frogs lost all five visits to Morgantown, with four of five losses by 12+ points. West Virginia lost six of last nine games after a 15-1 start; they lost two of last three home games. TCU lost five of last six road games, with all five losses by 7 or fewer points- the one win was at Oklahoma State. Under Dixon, TCU is 4-7-2 as road underdogs, 1-1-2 this year; West Va is 6-8 in last 14 games as home favorites, 2-3 this season. Big X home favorites are 19-22 vs spread.

Texas was outscored 16-4 on foul line in 69-60 loss at Baylor Jan 6; Bears won last five series games, winning last two visits to Austin, by 14-11 points. Longhorns lost three of last four games; they won five of last six home games, with only loss by 3 to K-State. Bears won last three games, by 14-11-16 points, after a 2-8 skid; Baylor lost six of its last seven road games, with lone win at Oklahoma State. Baylor is 10-5 in last 15 games as road underdogs, 4-1 this year; under Smart, Longhorns are 5-6-1 as home favorites. Big X home favorites are 19-22 vs spread.

Siena lost 71-69 at Iona Jan 11, after leading by 12 with 10:09 left; Saints are 2-12 in last 14 series games. Iona won four of last five regular season visits to Albany, but last three were all decided by 4 or fewer points. Gaels are 4-3 in their last seven games; this is their 3rd game in five nights- they’re 4-2 on MAAC road. Siena is 3-10 in MAAC, 3-3 at home- they haven’t played since loss at Canisius Thursday. Iona is 14-8 in last 22 games as road favorites, 4-2 this year; under Patsos, Saints are 4-9 as home underdogs, 2-2 this year. MAAC home underdogs are 9-11 vs spread.

Fairfield won three of its last four games; Stags are 1-5 on MAAC road, with one win by a point at Monmouth. Canisius won eight of last nine games, is tied for 1st in MAAC with win here. Griffins are 6-1 at home in MAAC, losing to local rival Niagara. Fairfield won three of last four games with Canisius, winning last two visits here, by 3-3 points. Under Witherspoon, Canisius is 6-5-1 as home favorites, 3-1-1 this year; Fairfield 21-15-1 in last 37 games as road underdogs, 1-3 this year. MAAC home favorites are 21-21 against the spread.

East Tennessee State won its last 16 games; they’re 7-0 on SoCon road, with five wins by 13+ points. NC-Greensboro won eight of last nine games, with loss in double OT; Spartans are 6-0 at home in SoCon. ETSU shot 58.3% inside arc, beat UNCG 68-58 at home Jan 11; Bucs are 5-3 vs UNCG in series games, winning two of three visits here- they lost by 6 in Greensboro LY. ETSU is 6-3 in last nine games as road underdogs, 2-0 this year; Spartans are 15-10 in last 25 games as home favorites, 3-2 this year. SoCon home favorites are 13-11 vs spread.

Mercer shot 60% inside arc, 10-29 on arc in 81-50 win over Samford Jan 13; Bears are 7-0 vs Samford in SoCon play, winning three visits here, by 1-15-3 points. Mercer is 5-7 in SoCon, 2-4 on road, with wins at VMI/Chattanooga. Bears won their last two games after an 0-4 skid. Samford lost seven of last nine games, but they won last two home games, over VMI/Citadel. Mercer is 10-6 in last 16 games as road favorites, but are 0-2 this year; Samford is 1-7-1 in last nine games as home underdogs, 0-2-1 this year. SoCon home underdogs are 8-12 vs spread.

**Udog** · 02-12-2018, 10:05 AM

NCAAB

Monday, February 12

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Trend Report
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NOTRE DAME @ NORTH CAROLINA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games when playing North Carolina
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Notre Dame's last 5 games
North Carolina is 19-2 SU in its last 21 games at home
North Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Notre Dame

FAIRFIELD @ CANISIUS
Fairfield is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Canisius
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Fairfield's last 8 games
Canisius is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Canisius is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

IONA @ SIENA
Iona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Siena
Iona is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Siena
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Siena's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Siena's last 10 games

EAST TENNESSEE STATE @ UNC GREENSBORO
UNC Greensboro is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
UNC Greensboro is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games

MERCER @ SAMFORD
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Samford's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Samford's last 5 games at home

TCU @ WEST VIRGINIA
The total has gone OVER in 10 of TCU's last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of TCU's last 8 games when playing West Virginia
West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against TCU
West Virginia is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing TCU

BAYLOR @ TEXAS
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Texas
Baylor is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas
Texas is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Texas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

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**Udog** · 02-12-2018, 10:08 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, February 12

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NOTRE DAME (15 - 10) at N CAROLINA (19 - 7) - 2/12/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N CAROLINA is 305-249 ATS (+31.1 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
N CAROLINA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in home games off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
N CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 3-2 against the spread versus N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
N CAROLINA is 4-1 straight up against NOTRE DAME over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TCU (17 - 8) at W VIRGINIA (18 - 7) - 2/12/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 156-198 ATS (-61.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
TCU is 176-227 ATS (-73.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
TCU is 109-146 ATS (-51.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
TCU is 4-2 against the spread versus W VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
W VIRGINIA is 5-1 straight up against TCU over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BAYLOR (15 - 10) at TEXAS (15 - 10) - 2/12/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) revenging a road loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
TEXAS is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
BAYLOR is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 4-2 against the spread versus TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 5-1 straight up against TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IONA (16 - 10) at SIENA (7 - 19) - 2/12/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 7-16 ATS (-10.6 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
IONA is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
IONA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games in February games over the last 3 seasons.
IONA is 16-5 ATS (+10.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
SIENA is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) against conference opponents this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SIENA is 4-3 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
IONA is 5-2 straight up against SIENA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FAIRFIELD (10 - 14) at CANISIUS (17 - 9) - 2/12/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CANISIUS is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all games this season.
CANISIUS is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
CANISIUS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in all home games this season.
CANISIUS is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in home lined games this season.
FAIRFIELD is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
FAIRFIELD is 44-20 ATS (+22.0 Units) in road games in February games since 1997.
CANISIUS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
FAIRFIELD is 3-1 against the spread versus CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
FAIRFIELD is 3-1 straight up against CANISIUS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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E TENN ST (22 - 4) at UNC-GREENSBORO (19 - 6) - 2/12/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
UNC-GREENSBORO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
E TENN ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all games this season.
E TENN ST is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
E TENN ST is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
E TENN ST is 53-31 ATS (+18.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
UNC-GREENSBORO is 3-3 against the spread versus E TENN ST over the last 3 seasons
E TENN ST is 4-2 straight up against UNC-GREENSBORO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MERCER (12 - 13) at SAMFORD (9 - 18) - 2/12/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MERCER is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
SAMFORD is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) as an underdog this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MERCER is 5-0 against the spread versus SAMFORD over the last 3 seasons
MERCER is 5-0 straight up against SAMFORD over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COLGATE (14 - 10) at BUCKNELL (17 - 9) - 2/12/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUCKNELL is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in February games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUCKNELL is 2-0 against the spread versus COLGATE over the last 3 seasons
BUCKNELL is 3-2 straight up against COLGATE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DELAWARE ST (2 - 23) at NORFOLK ST (8 - 17) - 2/12/2018, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORFOLK ST is 1-1 straight up against DELAWARE ST over the last 3 seasons

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JACKSON ST (10 - 15) at PRAIRIE VIEW A&M (9 - 17) - 2/12/2018, 8:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
JACKSON ST is 1-0 against the spread versus PRAIRIE VIEW A&M over the last 3 seasons
JACKSON ST is 5-1 straight up against PRAIRIE VIEW A&M over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/12

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 2/12

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