Announcement

**Udog** · 02-06-2018, 08:18 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Odds to win the Eastern Conference of the NBA:

7-4— Cleveland Cavaliers

2-1— Boston Celtics, Toronto Raptors

20-1— Washington, Milwaukee, Philadelphia

40-1— Indiana, Miami, Detroit

Odds to win the NBA title:

-$250— Golden State Warriors

+$200— Everyone else

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Can baseball thoughts make you warmer?

It was 75 degrees when I got off the plane in Las Vegas Monday; problem is, I had been on that plane for 11 hours— more on that tomorrow.

Spring training starts next week; here are some baseball notes to keep you warm.

13) Houston Astros led MLB with a .478 slugging percentage LY and struck out only 1,087 times; they’re only second team since 1948 (’95 Indians) to lead league in SP while striking out the least amount of times in the league.

12) Atlanta Braves used nine 3rd basemen LY; with Chipper Jones getting in Hall of Fame this summer, it has been five years since he left Atlanta and they still haven’t found a replacement.

11) Chicago Cubs are 27-15 in their last 42 games against their rivals from St Louis.

10) Cubs had 100 quality starts in 2016, when they won the World Series; that number slipped to 77 last year, which put a big strain on their bullpen.

9) Speaking of which, Toronto’s bullpen threw 596.2 innings LY- thats 11 outs a game, which is just too much. If your starting pitchers can’t finish the 6th inning consistently, you’re in trouble.

8) Seattle Mariners made 219 player transactions last season; they used 61 different players, 15 of whom weren’t in Seattle’s organization when the season started.

7) Red Sox hit 168 homers last year, least in the American League.

6) Texas Rangers had three guys LY who hit 25+ homers while batting less than .210; they’re first team ever to do that.

5) Baltimore’s starting pitchers had a 5.70 ERA last year, which helps explain why they won 14 fewer games than in 2016.

4) Cincinnati Reds used 10 different ROOKIE starting pitchers LY; playing in their small home ballpark, thats just too many.

3) Angels’ first basemen hit a combined .231 LY; their second basemen hit .206, which is why they got Ian Kinsler. Albert Pujols is going to have to play a decent amount of 1B this year if Shotei Ohtani, is going to DH.

2) Detroit Tigers owe Miguel Cabrera $184M over the next six years; Cabrera is going to be 35 in April, so it is doubtful they’ll be able to get out from under that back-loaded contract.

1) Oakland A’s allowed 82 unearned runs LY, most in baseball; they made 121 errors, which is unacceptable. Maybe they shouldn’t have let infield coach Ron Washington bolt to Atlanta.

**Udog** · 02-06-2018, 08:33 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, February 6

Cleveland won nine of last ten games with Orlando, but Magic covered last three; Cavaliers are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here, with last three going over total. Cleveland lost its last five road games; their last road win was here, on Jan 6. Cavaliers are 0-8 vs spread in last eight tries as road favorites. Orlando lost four of its last six games; they’re 4-1 in last five games as home dogs. Over is 4-1 in their last five games. Magic is 4-5 vs spread if they played night before.

Rockets won their last three games with Brooklyn; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five games in the Barclays Center. Three of last four series games went over. Houston won eight of its last nine games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as road favorites. Nine of their last ten games went under the total. Brooklyn lost six of its last seven games; they’re 12-6-1 as home underdogs. Eight of their last ten games stayed under.

Knicks lost five of last seven games with Milwaukee; they lost by hoop in Milwaukee Friday nite. Four of last five series games stayed under. Bucks won six of their last seven games; they’re 14-11 vs spread on road. Last seven Milwaukee games stayed under total. New York lost six of its last eight games; they’re 17-10 vs spread at home. Knicks’ last five games stayed under the total. Bucks’ star Antetokounmpo tweaked his right ankle Sunday (check status).

Memphis/Atlanta split their last ten games; Grizzlies are 3-2 vs spread in last five games in this arena. Seven of last eight series games stayed under. Memphis lost five of its last six games; they are 11-8-1 as road underdogs. Six of Grizzlies’ last eight games went over. Hawks lost five of their last seven games; they’re 2-3 vs spread as home favorites. Four of their last six games went over the total.

Home side won seven of last eight Boston-Toronto games; Celtics are 0-4 vs spread in last four visits to Canada. Six of last seven series games stayed under total. Boston won its last four games; they’re 8-1 vs spread as road underdogs. Four of their last five road gams went over the total. Raptors won four of their last five games; they covered three of last four home games. Under is 6-4 in their last ten games.

Home side won last five Wizard-76er games; Wizards are 3-3 vs spread in last six visits here. Four of last five series games went over. Washington won its last five games; they’re 10-3 vs spread as road underdogs. Six of their last nine games went over total. Philadelphia lost four of its last five games; they’re 5-0 in last five games as home favorites. Five of their last seven games stayed under.

Road team won last four Phoenix-Laker games; Suns are 3-2 vs spread in last five series games in Staples. Seven of last eight series games went over. Phoenix lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 9-5 in last 14 games as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over total. Lakers won six of their last eight games; they’re 4-3 as home favorites. Over is 7-4 in their last eleven home games.

Golden State won/covered seven of last eight games with Oklahoma City; Thunder are 0-4 vs spread in last four visits to Oakland. Six of last seven series games stayed under. OKC lost its last four games; they’re 4-2-1 as road underdogs. Three of last four Thunder games stayed under the total. Warriors lost two of last three games; they’re 1-3-2 vs spread in last six home games. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

**Udog** · 02-06-2018, 08:33 AM

NBA

Tuesday, February 6

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Trend Report
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CLEVELAND @ ORLANDO
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Cleveland is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

BOSTON @ TORONTO
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
Toronto is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home

MEMPHIS @ ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis

HOUSTON @ BROOKLYN
Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Houston is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games

MILWAUKEE @ NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 11 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

PHOENIX @ LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing LA Lakers
Phoenix is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

OKLAHOMA CITY @ GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

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**Udog** · 02-06-2018, 10:00 AM

NBA

Tuesday, February 6

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Trend Report
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CLEVELAND @ ORLANDO
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Cleveland is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games when playing Orlando
Orlando is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

BOSTON @ TORONTO
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Toronto
Toronto is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Boston
Toronto is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home

MEMPHIS @ ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Memphis's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 6 games when playing at home against Memphis

HOUSTON @ BROOKLYN
Houston is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Houston is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games when playing Brooklyn
Brooklyn is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games

MILWAUKEE @ NEW YORK
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
Milwaukee is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of New York's last 11 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA
Washington is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

PHOENIX @ LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing LA Lakers
Phoenix is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

OKLAHOMA CITY @ GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Oklahoma City's last 9 games when playing on the road against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oklahoma City's last 7 games when playing Golden State
Golden State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City

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**Udog** · 02-06-2018, 12:07 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, February 6

Cleveland @ Orlando

Game 501-502
February 6, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
119.561
Orlando
115.872
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 4
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 7
221
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+7); Over

Houston @ Brooklyn

Game 503-504
February 6, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
123.229
Brooklyn
116.197
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 7
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 11
217
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+11); Over

Milwaukee @ New York

Game 505-506
February 6, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
120.902
New York
116.784
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 4
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 1 1/2
205
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-1 1/2); Under

Memphis @ Atlanta

Game 507-508
February 6, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
113.228
Atlanta
117.392
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 4
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 2
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-2); Under

Boston @ Toronto

Game 509-510
February 6, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
118.737
Toronto
125.328
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 6 1/2
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 5
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-5); Under

Washington @ Philadelphia

Game 511-512
February 6, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
115.236
Philadelphia
124.985
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 9 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 6
213 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-6); Under

Phoenix @ LA Lakers

Game 513-514
February 6, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
113.425
LA Lakers
117.895
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 4 1/2
226
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 8
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+8); Over

Oklahoma City @ Golden State

Game 515-516
February 6, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
121.378
Golden State
128.491
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 7
235
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 10
229
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(+10); Over

**Udog** · 02-06-2018, 12:13 PM

NBA

Tuesday, February 6

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NBA Game of the Day: Thunder at Warriors betting preview and odds
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Oklahoma City Thunder at Golden State Warriors (-10, 230)

Head coach Steve Kerr called the Golden State Warriors "mentally fried" even before they went into Denver and suffered a rare loss in which they led entering the fourth quarter on Saturday. The Warriors will hope two days off and a return home gives them a boost when they host the struggling Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday.

Golden State was enduring the second night of a back-to-back and its third road game in five days on Saturday, when it was outscored 38-25 in the fourth quarter and suffered a 115-108 loss at the Nuggets. "We've got to make sure we're not building bad habits, and we're starting to," Kerr told reporters after the latest setback. "You can't win at the highest level and, game on the line, we're just not locking in." The Thunder and point guard Russell Westbrook are always highly motivated to play the Warriors and ex-teammate Kevin Durant, but they are looking just as weary after a 108-104 home loss to the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday marked their fourth consecutive defeat. "It's fun, man. Adversity is great," Westbrook told reporters. "Me personally, I love adversity. It gives you an opportunity to bring your teammates together, bring everybody together and look forward to positive things. Throughout the season, there's going to be a lot of ups and downs, but we never flinch. That's one thing about this organization, about our team: We never flinch based on what's going on. We always stay together."

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: The Warriors opened as big 10.5-point home favorites and as of Tuesday morning that number was down to -10. The total hit betting boards at 227.5 and has been bumped up to 230.

INJURY REPORT:

Thunder - SG A. Roberson (Out For Season, Knee).

Warriors - PF D. West (Probable, Personal), PF J. Bell (Mid Feb, Ankle).

POWER RANKINGS: Thunder (-6.9) - Warriors (-13.5) + home court (-3) = Warriors -9.6

MATCHUP CHART:

ABOUT THE THUNDER (30-24 SU, 22-32 ATS, 24-30 O/U): Oklahoma City is 1-4 since losing shooting guard Andre Roberson -- the team's best perimeter defender -- to a season-ending knee injury. The Thunder allowed each of their last three opponents to make at least 13 3-pointers and are about to go up against a Golden State squad that leads the NBA in 3-point percentage (.392). "I'm most concerned about defensively, to be honest, is our 3-point defense," Thunder coach Billy Donovan told reporters after Sunday's loss. "I'm really, really concerned about that. You want to protect the deep paint, and you don't want to give up layups, but when the ball gets kicked back out, we have got to have more urgency to run people off the line. That's where Andre Roberson is great, maybe the best I've ever seen, is being able to close down on shooters and get them to bounce it and then also guard them."

ABOUT THE WARRIORS (41-12 SU, 23-29-1 ATS, 27-26 O/U): Golden State was just 8-of-31 from beyond the arc at Denver and the tired legs showed up on the defensive end in the fourth quarter as well. "The whole fourth quarter was rough," Stephen Curry told reporters. "We had some 50-50 balls go the other way, giving extra possessions. ... We just didn't make those timely plays to keep that separation. On a back-to-back, those 12 minutes, it's going to be tough to get through, and we didn't do enough to win." Durant was the bright spot in the loss, scoring 31 points on 12-of-16 shooting to improve to 24-of-33 from the floor in two games this month.

TRENDS:

* Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
* Warriors are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
* Under is 9-1 in Thunder last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Over is 5-1 in Warriors last 6 home games.
* Under is 8-1 in the last 9 meetings in Golden State.

CONSENSUS: Contest users are backing the Oklahoma City Thunder in this matchup, with 59 percent of pointspread picks on the road underdog. When it comes to the total, 60 percent of wagers are on the Over.

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**Udog** · 02-06-2018, 05:29 PM

NBA

Tuesday, February 6

NBA's Top ATS Teams:

1. Celtics 33-19-2
2. Nets 31-23
3. Bulls 29-23-1
4. 76ers 27-22-1
5. Clippers 28-23-1
6. Jazz 29-24
7. Raptors 28-24
8. Hawks 27-24-2
9. Spurs 28-25-2
10. Pacers 29-26

NBA's Worst ATS Teams:

30. Cavs 14-36-1
29. Thunder 22-32
28. Kings 22-28-3
27. Warriors 23-29-1
26. Hornets 22-27-4
25. Magic 23-28-1
24. Grizzlies 23-27-2
23. Bucks 22-25-5
22. Wizards 25-28

NBA's Top OVER Teams:

1. Pelicans 31-22
t2. Bulls 28-25
t2. Kings 28-25
4. 76ers 26-24
t5. Raptors 27-25
t5. Clippers 27-25
t5. Lakers 27-25
8. Knicks 28-26

**Udog** · 02-06-2018, 05:34 PM

NBA's Top UNDER Teams:

1. Heat 33-21
2. Mavs 32-21-1
3. Nets 31-21-2
4. Blazers 32-22
5. Spurs 32-23
6. Nuggets 31-23
7. Rockets 28-22-1
8. Wizards 29-23-1

Cavs are the worst ATS team in the NBA (and it's not even close) at 14-36-1 & are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 road games. Magic are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games overall & 5-0 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.
Spread: Cavs -6.5
Total: 225.5

Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/6

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 2/6

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