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  • Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/31

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, January 31

    Good Luck on day #31 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    — Chiefs are trading QB Alex Smith to the Redskins; they get a 3rd round draft pick and CB Kendrick Fuller- they save $17M by trading Smith.

    — Smith gets $94M for four years from Washington, $71M of it guaranteed, but is he better than Kirk Cousins?

    — Rockets 114, Magic 107— James Harden had 60 points, 11 assists, 10 rebounds.

    — Cavaliers’ Kevin Love broke his left hand, is out 6-8 weeks.

    — Syracuse is down to six healthy scholarship basketball players.

    — Miami Hurricanes’ Bruce Brown had foot surgery, is out 6-8 weeks.


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……

    13) West Virginia’s basketball team got thrown under the bus by their athletic department when the school joined the Big X six years ago.

    You look at their nine basketball road trips; the closest Big X rival to Morgantown is Iowa State, which is 860 miles away. Lot of long road trips in the cold of winter, all so the football team would have a good league to play in. Hope it is worth it.

    Basketball team would’ve been fine playing in the Big East or the A-14, or even the ACC. Look at a map and plot the 10 teams in the Big X; it is weird to see how far West Virginia is from everyone else.

    12) Two things about the Blake Griffin-to-Detroit trade:
    a) I wouldn’t be too eager to trade with any team Jerry West works for (Clippers)
    b) Blake Griffin has missed 84 games the last three years, and this year isn’t over.

    11) 18 players on the Patriots’ 53-man roster are undrafted players, which is a lot. Eagles have nine undrafted players on their roster.

    10) There is a new Arena Football team here in Albany this spring; 300 people showed up for an open tryout Saturday, at an indoor facility in Halfmoon. Wonder if any of them will make the squad, which starts play April 14.

    Think it might actually be harder to make an Arena League team as a walk-on, since there really aren’t special teams the way there are in the NFL.

    9) Jacksonville QB Blake Bortles played all season with a wrist injury that needs surgery; the team knew this before the season— looks like Bortles will play for $19M next year, the $$ the Jaguars to give him if he is on the roster March 14.

    8) Washington Wizards star John Wall is having his knee scoped, will be out 6-8 weeks. Right now, Wizards are #6 seed in the East- can they stay there?

    7) I’m a big fan of the TV show Suits on USA Network; one of the actresses on the show is a woman named Meghan Markle who will soon marry Prince Harry in England, so she’s leaving the show after this spring’s episodes.

    Read Tuesday that Patrick Adams will also leave the show after this season; his character (Mike) is one of the two main characters in the show, so interesting to see how they’ll proceed moving forward.

    6) Former New Mexico basketball player Hugh Greenwood now plays Australian Rules Football for the Adelaide Crows in the AFL. Tough sport.

    5) Carolina Hurricanes just got sold to a guy who says the team might play some games in Hartford Whalers throwback uniforms— the Hurricanes moved to Raleigh from Hartford 21 years ago. Whalers had green uniforms with an awesome logo; this is a good idea.

    4) Doug Pederson is bringing Brett Favre in to speak to the Eagles Saturday night. Pederson was Favre’s backup for seven years in Green Bay.

    3) Milwaukee is the smallest TV market in the major leagues; they averaged 31,282 fans a game last year because they were smart enough to build a retractable dome in a cold-weather city, so fans don’t have to suffer while they’re watching the game.

    2) Arkansas is paying former football coach Bret Bielema $11,395,000 as a going away present; if he gets 36 monthly payments thru 2020, that works out to $316,527.78 a month.

    1— I’d be remiss if I didn’t point out that Tuesday was the 18th anniversary of the greatest NFL game ever played: Rams 23, Titans 16 in Super Bowl XXXIV.

    Think about Falcons-Patriots last year and SB XXXIV was a similar game, except the team that stormed back from behind fell just short of winning……thank God.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Wednesday, January 31


      Memphis won six of last eight games with Indiana; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to Indiana. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games. Grizzlies lost three of their last five games; they are 9-7-1 as road underdogs. Six of last eight Memphis games went over. Pacers won four of their last five games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as home favorites. Under is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.

      Home side won last eight Laker-Magic games; Lakers are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to this building. Last seven series games stayed under the total. Los Angeles won seven of its last ten games, but lost three of last four road games; 11-11 vs spread on road. Orlando lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 8-14 vs spread at home. Six of their last eight games stayed under the total.

      76ers won five of last seven games with Brooklyn; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five games in the Barclays Center. Under is 7-2-1 in last ten series games. Sixers lost their last three road games; they’re 4-3 vs spread as road favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under total. Nets lost six of their last eight games; they’re 11-5-1 as home underdogs. Five of their last six games stayed under the total.

      Miami won five of last seven games with Cleveland; home side won nine of last ten series games. Heat is 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Ohio, four of which stayed under. Miami is 6-4 in its last ten games; they’re 7-1 vs spread in last eight games as road underdogs. Five of their last six games stayed under total. Cavaliers won their last two games after a 1-6 skid; they’re 7-16 as home favorites. Over is 3-0-1 in their last four games.

      Hornets won five of their last six games with Atlanta; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four games in this arena. Nine of last ten series games stayed under. Charlotte lost three of its last four games; they’re 2-1 as road favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. Hawks lost three of their last four games; they’re 7-2 in last nine games as home underdogs. Six of their last eight games stayed under.

      Knicks lost six of their last eight games with Boston; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Beantown. Six of last eight series games stayed under. New York is 4-7 in its last 11 games; they’re 9-13 as road underdogs, 2-6 vs spread on road if they played night before. Over is 9-2 in their last 11 games. Boston lost five of its last seven games; they’re 3-8-1 in last 12 games as home favorites. Three of their last four games went over.

      Portland won seven of last ten games with Chicago; road team won last five series games. Bulls are 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to Oregon. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Chicago lost five of its last six games; they’re 10-2 vs spread in last dozen road games. Five of their last six games stayed under. Portland won six of its last seven games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under.

      Suns won their last three games with Dallas; under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Mavericks are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to the desert. Dallas lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 8-1 vs spread in last nine road games. Under is 7-1 in their last eight games. Phoenix lost eight of its last nine games; they’re 8-17 vs spread at home. Six of their last nine games stayed under the total.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA

        Wednesday, January 31


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MEMPHIS @ INDIANA
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 5 games
        Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
        Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

        LA LAKERS @ ORLANDO
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Orlando
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Lakers's last 10 games when playing on the road against Orlando
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Orlando's last 10 games when playing at home against LA Lakers

        CHARLOTTE @ ATLANTA
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Charlotte's last 11 games when playing Atlanta
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing Charlotte

        PHILADELPHIA @ BROOKLYN
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing on the road against Brooklyn
        The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 13 games when playing Brooklyn
        The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Brooklyn's last 7 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia

        MIAMI @ CLEVELAND
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
        Cleveland is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
        Cleveland is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Miami

        NEW YORK @ BOSTON
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of New York's last 8 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 9 of New York's last 11 games
        Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against New York
        The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boston's last 5 games when playing at home against New York

        CHICAGO @ PORTLAND
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chicago's last 6 games
        Chicago is 11-3 ATS in its last 14 games on the road
        Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        Portland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

        DALLAS @ PHOENIX
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 8 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 5 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 7 of Phoenix's last 8 games when playing at home against Dallas


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-31-2018, 01:30 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Dunkel

          Wednesday, January 31



          Memphis @ Indiana

          Game 701-702
          January 31, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Memphis
          116.417
          Indiana
          120.977
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Indiana
          by 4 1/2
          200
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Indiana
          by 7
          205
          Dunkel Pick:
          Memphis
          (+7); Under

          LA Lakers @ Orlando


          Game 703-704
          January 31, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          LA Lakers
          115.673
          Orlando
          114.523
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          LA Lakers
          by 1
          206
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          LA Lakers
          No Line
          N/A
          Dunkel Pick:
          LA Lakers
          N/A

          Philadelphia @ Brooklyn


          Game 705-706
          January 31, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Philadelphia
          123.414
          Brooklyn
          113.021
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Philadelphia
          by 10 1/2
          216
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Philadelphia
          by 5 1/2
          210
          Dunkel Pick:
          Philadelphia
          (-5 1/2); Over

          Miami @ Cleveland


          Game 707-708
          January 31, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Miami
          116.761
          Cleveland
          122.338
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Cleveland
          by 5 1/2
          217
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Cleveland
          by 3
          213
          Dunkel Pick:
          Cleveland
          (-3); Over

          Charlotte @ Atlanta


          Game 709-710
          January 31, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Charlotte
          116.224
          Atlanta
          116.303
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Atlanta
          Even
          205
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Charlotte
          by 3
          211
          Dunkel Pick:
          Atlanta
          (+3); Under

          New York @ Boston


          Game 711-712
          January 31, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          New York
          115.246
          Boston
          120.318
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Boston
          by 5
          202
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Boston
          by 9
          208
          Dunkel Pick:
          New York
          (+9); Under

          Chicago @ Portland


          Game 713-714
          January 31, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Chicago
          112.878
          Portland
          121.769
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Portland
          by 9
          219
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Portland
          by 7
          214
          Dunkel Pick:
          Portland
          (-7); Over

          Dallas @ Phoenix


          Game 715-716
          January 31, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Dallas
          118.672
          Phoenix
          113.129
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Dallas
          by 5 1/2
          218
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Dallas
          No Line
          N/A
          Dunkel Pick:
          Dallas
          N/A
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-31-2018, 01:31 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Long Sheet

            Wednesday, January 31


            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MEMPHIS (18 - 31) at INDIANA (28 - 23) - 1/31/2018, 7:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MEMPHIS is 164-124 ATS (+27.6 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
            MEMPHIS is 53-33 ATS (+16.7 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            MEMPHIS is 3-2 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
            MEMPHIS is 3-2 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LA LAKERS (19 - 30) at ORLANDO (14 - 35) - 1/31/2018, 7:05 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            LA LAKERS is 3-1 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
            ORLANDO is 2-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
            4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            PHILADELPHIA (24 - 23) at BROOKLYN (18 - 33) - 1/31/2018, 7:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            BROOKLYN is 30-20 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
            BROOKLYN is 25-15 ATS (+8.5 Units) as an underdog this season.
            BROOKLYN is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
            BROOKLYN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
            PHILADELPHIA is 75-53 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
            PHILADELPHIA is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
            BROOKLYN is 26-41 ATS (-19.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
            PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
            6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            MIAMI (29 - 21) at CLEVELAND (29 - 20) - 1/31/2018, 7:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            MIAMI is 73-57 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
            MIAMI is 46-30 ATS (+13.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
            MIAMI is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
            MIAMI is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
            MIAMI is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
            MIAMI is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 14-34 ATS (-23.4 Units) in all games this season.
            CLEVELAND is 8-30 ATS (-25.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
            CLEVELAND is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) in home games this season.
            CLEVELAND is 6-22 ATS (-18.2 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
            CLEVELAND is 6-21 ATS (-17.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            CLEVELAND is 4-4 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
            MIAMI is 5-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
            5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CHARLOTTE (20 - 29) at ATLANTA (15 - 35) - 1/31/2018, 7:35 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            CHARLOTTE is 54-70 ATS (-23.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            CHARLOTTE is 7-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
            CHARLOTTE is 6-4 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
            9 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            NEW YORK (23 - 28) at BOSTON (36 - 15) - 1/31/2018, 8:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            BOSTON is 30-19 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games this season.
            BOSTON is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
            NEW YORK is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
            BOSTON is 55-84 ATS (-37.4 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            BOSTON is 6-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
            BOSTON is 7-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
            7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            CHICAGO (18 - 32) at PORTLAND (28 - 22) - 1/31/2018, 10:05 PM
            Top Trends for this game.
            CHICAGO is 28-19 ATS (+7.1 Units) in all games this season.
            CHICAGO is 51-37 ATS (+10.3 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
            CHICAGO is 89-53 ATS (+30.7 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
            CHICAGO is 159-122 ATS (+24.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
            CHICAGO is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
            PORTLAND is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
            3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            DALLAS (16 - 35) at PHOENIX (17 - 34) - 1/31/2018, 10:35 PM
            There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

            Head-to-Head Series History
            PHOENIX is 4-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
            PHOENIX is 4-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
            5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

            --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-31-2018, 01:31 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              NBA's Top 5 "Homer" Referees:

              1. Aaron Smith 22-9-1 ATS
              2. Mark Ayotte 25-12 ATS
              3. Jacyn Goble 20-10 ATS
              4. CJ Washington 17-9-2 ATS
              5. Gediminas Petraitis 21-13 ATS

              Comment

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