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  • Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/25

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, January 25

    Good Luck on day #25 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    11 quarterbacks who started games for the Eagles since their last Super Bowl:

    63— Donovan McNabb

    40— Michael Vick

    29— Carson Wentz

    27— Nick Foles

    14— Sam Bradford

    10— Mark Sanchez

    7— Mike McMahon, Kevin Kolb

    6— Jeff Garcia

    3— Vince Young

    2— AJ Feeley


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

    13) ESPN officially named Matt Vasgersian and Alex Rodriguez to join their Sunday Night Baseball crew; unusual that they went outside ESPN for their play-by-play guy, but they did. My initial reaction: think A-Rod will do a fine job. Vasgersian is very good, though Jon Sciambi is an ESPN guy who is just as good.

    12) Golden State has played 48 games this year; they’re 38-10. Kevin Durant sat eight of those games out with injuries; he’s been thrown out of four other games, most in the NBA.

    So he was thrown out of 10% of his team’s games, finished only 75% of their games. $25 million doesn’t buy as much as it used to.

    Just seems like there are an awful lot of unhappy people in the NBA, and yet everybody makes a boatload of money. Its not a good look for the league.

    11) Dick LeBeau has been in the NFL for 59 consecutive years, but now that Mike Vrabel is the new head coach in Tennessee, LeBeau is out of a job and he’s 80- kind of doubtful he’s going to get another job. End of an era, for sure.

    Funny thing is, Titans hired Vrabel as their new head coach- he was Houston’s DC this past season and Tennessee had a better defense than Houston, but is LeBeau is the guy out of a job. Go figure.

    10) Last three years, the NFC champ was a team that was at .500 or under the year before.

    9) Think about how great a year Jacksonville Jaguars had; they were up 10 in 4th quarter in AFC title game— Jags were 22-74 the last six years before this one. Quite a leap they made.

    8) Disappointing that Lou Williams didn’t make the NBA All-Star Game; he deserves it.

    7) Irrelevant Stat of the Day: 12 of the last 13 Super Bowl winners wore white jerseys; Patriots chose to wear white next week- Brady is 3-0 in Super Bowls with white jerseys.

    6) Oklahoma’s Trae Young has an irrational fear of birds, otherwise known as Ornithophobia.

    5) With the Senior Bowl this week and NFL Network devoting most of the next three months to the 2018 NFL Draft, keep in mind that Antonio Brown was the 195th player taken in the 2010 Draft. Tom Brady was also a 6th round pick. Kurt Warner wasn’t drafted.

    In other words, despite all the man-hours spent on this important part of the league, it is still an inexact science and it always will be, which is a big part of why it is so fascinating.

    4) Alabama’s football program made a $45.9M profit last year; I feel sorry for the poor bastard who replaces Nick Saban when he leaves Tuscaloosa.

    3) Villanova loses one of its starters, Phil Booth with a broken hand. Booth is shooting 43% on the arc this season. Wildcats’ bench is #289 in minutes played; this is a big blow.

    2) In the first minute the Super Bowl odds were up on the board, Golden Nugget took a $10K money line bet on the Eagles. Spread is 5 right now, though there are 4.5 and 5.5’s out there.

    1— Richmond 77, Duquesne 73 OT— Third Dukes home game in a row that went to overtime.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Thursday, January 25


      Miami won nine of last ten games with Sacramento; over is 9-1 in those games. Kings are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to South Beach. Sacramento lost eight of its last nine games; they’re 10-12-1 as road underdogs. Four of their last six road games stayed under. Miami is off a 2-3 road trip; they’re 5-9-1 as home favorites, but did won last three home games. Over is 6-4 in their last ten games.

      Thunder won seven of last nine games with Washington; Wizards are 1-3-1 vs spread in last five visits here. Five of last six series games went over total. Washington lost three of its last four games; they’re 9-3 vs spread as road underdogs. Five of their last seven games went over total. Oklahoma City won its last five games; they’re 3-12 vs spread in last 15 games as home favorites. Four of their last six games stayed under.

      Knicks lost five of last six games with Denver; they’re 1-4 vs spread in last five games in this arena. Last three series games went over total. New York lost six of its last eight games; they’re 6-3 in last nine games as road underdogs. Knicks’ last eight games went over the total. Denver lost six of its last nine games; they’re 9-6 in last 15 games as home favorites. Nine of last ten Nugget games stayed under total.

      Golden State won eight of last ten games with Minnesota; under is 4-1 in last five series games. Wolves are 3-1-1 vs spread in last five visits to Oakland. Minnesota lost three of last five games; they’re 6-8 vs spread as road underdogs. Five of their last seven games went over total. Golden State won eight of its last ten games; they’re 2-5-2 vs spread in last nine home games. Three of their last four games stayed under total.




      NBA

      Thursday, January 25


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Trend Report
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      SACRAMENTO @ MIAMI
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing on the road against Miami
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Miami
      Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games when playing at home against Sacramento

      WASHINGTON @ OKLAHOMA CITY
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
      Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
      Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington

      NEW YORK @ DENVER
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games on the road
      Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games

      MINNESOTA @ GOLDEN STATE
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Golden State
      The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota's last 8 games on the road
      Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota
      Golden State is 18-3 SU in its last 21 games when playing Minnesota


      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-25-2018, 12:40 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Long Sheet

        Thursday, January 25


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SACRAMENTO (14 - 33) at MIAMI (27 - 20) - 1/25/2018, 7:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SACRAMENTO is 50-78 ATS (-35.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
        MIAMI is 71-56 ATS (+9.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
        MIAMI is 4-0 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        WASHINGTON (26 - 21) at OKLAHOMA CITY (27 - 20) - 1/25/2018, 8:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WASHINGTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-28 ATS (-12.8 Units) in all games this season.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after a non-conference game this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        NEW YORK (21 - 27) at DENVER (24 - 23) - 1/25/2018, 9:05 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        DENVER is 4-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
        DENVER is 4-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        MINNESOTA (31 - 19) at GOLDEN STATE (38 - 10) - 1/25/2018, 10:35 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
        GOLDEN STATE is 6-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
        5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-25-2018, 12:41 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Dunkel

          Thursday, January 25



          Sacramento @ Miami

          Game 501-502
          January 25, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Sacramento
          110.428
          Miami
          122.908
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Miami
          by 12 1/2
          196
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Miami
          by 10
          201 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Miami
          (-10); Under

          Washington @ Oklahoma City


          Game 503-504
          January 25, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Washington
          116.912
          Oklahoma City
          125.887
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Oklahoma City
          by 9
          208
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Oklahoma City
          by 4 1/2
          213 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          Oklahoma City
          (-4 1/2); Under

          New York @ Denver


          Game 505-506
          January 25, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          New York
          116.482
          Denver
          118.575
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Denver
          by 2
          220
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Denver
          by 4 1/2
          212 1/2
          Dunkel Pick:
          New York
          (+4 1/2); Over

          Minnesota @ Golden State


          Game 507-508
          January 25, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

          Dunkel Rating:
          Minnesota
          118.708
          Golden State
          127.412
          Dunkel Team:
          Dunkel Line:
          Dunkel Total:
          Golden State
          by 8 1/2
          232
          Vegas Team:
          Vegas Line:
          Vegas Total:
          Golden State
          by 12 1/2
          227
          Dunkel Pick:
          Minnesota
          (+12 1/2); Over

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA

            Thursday, January 25


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            NBA Game of the Day: Timberwolves at Warriors betting preview and odds
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            Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors (-12, 228)

            The Golden State Warriors are once again loaded with All-Stars and look to stymie the challenge of the visiting Minnesota Timberwolves in Thursday's nationally televised contest. The rising Timberwolves have two All-Stars of their own in shooting guard Jimmy Butler and center Karl-Anthony Towns as they attempt to silence the Warriors' star quartet.

            Point guard Stephen Curry and small forward Kevin Durant were voted as All-Star starters while power forward Draymond Green and shooting guard Klay Thompson joined the contest as reserves. "We're obviously really lucky to have these guys all together at once on the roster," Golden State coach Steve Kerr told reporters. "What I love is they're so unselfish, they play together so well. That's why they're all All-Stars. It wouldn't work if they were selfish and looking for their own shot, looking for their own points." Minnesota has won seven of its past 10 games but one of the defeats occurred Wednesday when the defense was suspect in a 123-114 road loss against the Portland Trail Blazers. Butler has missed the past three games with an injured right knee and is questionable at best to play against the Warriors.

            TV:
            10:30 p.m. ET, TNT, NBCS Bay Area (Golden State)

            LINE HISTORY:
            The Warriors opened as huge 13-point home favorites and early action on the Timberwolves pushed that number down to -12. The total hit betting boards at 227 and was bumped up slightly to 228.

            INJURY REPORT:


            Timberwolves - SG J. Butler (Questionable, Knee), C J. Patton (Out Indefinitely, Toe).

            Warriors - SG K. Thompson (Probable, Buttocks), SG P. McCaw (Questionable, Back), PF J. Bell (Early Feb, Ankle).

            POWER RANKINGS:
            Timberwolves (-6.9) - Warriors (-13.4) + home court (-3) = Warriors -9.5

            MATCHUP CHART:



            ABOUT THE TIMBERWOLVES (31-19 SU, 24-24-2 ATS, 26-23-1 O/U):
            Minnesota allowed Portland to make 17-of-31 3-point attempts and coach Tom Thibodeau expressed his ire afterward as he was highly disappointed in what he saw on defense. "The times we did things correctly with the proper amount of intensity and concentration and discipline was very effective," Thibodeau told reporters. "The times that we didn't and took shortcuts, we fell short." Towns had 16 points and nine rebounds against Portland and downplayed his All-Star berth prior to the game by saying, "I don't really feel like I'm an All-Star. I feel like my team is an All-Star."

            ABOUT THE WARRIORS (38-10 SU, 21-26-1 ATS, 25-23 O/U):
            Curry drained eight 3-pointers and scored 32 points Monday as Golden State posted a 123-112 victory over the feisty New York Knicks. Curry's outing left him two points shy of becoming the fifth player in franchise history to reach 14,000 career points behind Wilt Chamberlain (17,783), Rick Barry (16,447), Paul Arizin (16,266) and Chris Mullin (16,235). Durant impersonated a playmaker against the Knicks by registering a career-best 14 assists while scoring a season-low 14 points on 4-of-10 shooting.

            TRENDS:


            * Timberwolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
            * Warriors are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 10 points.
            * Under is 4-0 in Timberwolves last 4 games playing on 0 days rest.
            * Under is 6-0 in Spurs last 6 overall.
            * Timberwolves are 5-1-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

            CONSENSUS:
            The betting odds were late hitting the board but 81 percent of the early action was on the road underdog Timberwolves and 69 percent of totals wagers were on the Over.


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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