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  • Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/23

    Trends and Indexes

    Tuesday, January 23

    Good Luck on day #23 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

    — Kentucky’s basketball team is out of the Top 25 for the first time in four years.

    — Nick Foles in the second half Sunday: 11-of-11, 159 yards, 2 TD. Not bad for a backup.

    — Eldrick Woods is playing golf this week in the PGA tournament at Torrey Pinex; over/under on worst round he shoots this week: 74.5

    — TCU 82, West Virginia 73— Big X schedule is tough travel for the Mountaineers.

    — Virginia Tech 80, North Carolina 69— Lethargic effort by the Tar Heels.

    — SF Giants signed OF Austin Jackson for two years, $6M.


    **********

    Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but…….

    13) Whats with NBA teams and drama? Milwaukee Bucks fired coach Jason Kidd, who was 139-152 in 3.5 years, but 22-21 this year. News of Kidd’s firing got out before the team told Kidd, and star Giannis Antetokounmpo isn’t happy about it, which is never good for an NBA team, when your star player is ticked off.

    Antetokounmpo called the coach and asked him if he wanted him to help save his job, which apparently was before Kidd knew he was losing his job. Oy.

    If the season ended as I type this, the Bucks would be the #8 seed in the East.

    12) Washington Wizards players recently had a players-only meeting; here are two quotes about that event:

    First, John Wall:
    “We had our team meeting. A couple guys took it the negative way and it hurt our team. Instead of taking it in a positive way like we did in the past and using it to build our team up, it kind of set us back a little bit.”

    Second, Bradley Beal:
    “It was tough. I try to keep all our stuff as personal as possible but I think in a way not everybody got a chance to speak whenever they wanted to. They didn’t want to bring up an issue or something they had a problem with on the team. Regardless of what may be going on, as men we’ve got to be able to accept what the next man says, be respectful about it and move on from it. I think it was one of those situations where we didn’t necessarily get everything that we wanted to get accomplished.”

    Coaching an NBA team is serious money, but it can’t be great fun.

    11) In the last 16 Super Bowls, underdogs are 11-5 against the spread.

    10) This will be 4th Super Bowl in last five years with two #1 seeds. From 1994-2012, #1 seeds met in only one of 19 Super Bowls.

    9) In their last five games, New England has been called for nine penalties for 110 yards; their opponents have been called for 29 penalties for 390 yards.

    8) Tom Brady has more wins (27) and passing TDs (68) in postseason than Nick Foles has wins (24) and passing TDs (66) in his entire NFL career.

    7) Minnesota Vikings last made the Super Bowl after the 1976 season, when I was a senior in high school; since then, they’re 0-6 in NFC championship games.

    6) Last years, $138.5M was wagered on the Super Bowl, just in Nevada- thats a record, one that is expected to be broken this year.

    5) Knicks/Rangers both played in Staples Center Sunday; it is first time Knicks/Rangers played road games in the same arena on the same day since 1957.

    4) Miami Heat’s James Johnson scored five points in 0:04 Sunday night, as Heat erased a 105-100 deficit in the last minute at Charlotte, eventually winning 106-105. Not easy to score five points in 0:04, but layup-steal-3-pointer did the trick.

    3) Carolina Panthers hired Carolina DC Steve Wilks as their new head coach; he was only a coordinator for one year, but has been a coach in college/NFL since 1995.

    Cleveland Browns hired Todd Haley as their new offensive coordinator; hopefully he got promised that the Browns will draft a quarterback in April.

    2) From Christopher Kamka, NBC Sports, Chicago: In 2017, Chris Gimenez was the first major leaguer to catch 5+ games and also pitch in 5+ games in the same season since the Phillies’ Bill Harman in 1941. Gimenez pitched in five games, caught in 59 games last year.

    1— New Jersey Giants hired Pat Shurmur as head coach; he’ll keep DC Steve Spagnuolo, since he was Spagnuolo’s OC in St Louis is 2009-10. Rams improved from 1-15 in ’09 to 7-9 in ’10, then Shurmur became the head coach of the Browns in ‘11, which obviously didn’t go well (9-23).

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Dunkel

      Tuesday, January 23



      Sacramento @ Orlando

      Game 501-502
      January 23, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Sacramento
      110.121
      Orlando
      118.598
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Orlando
      by 8 1/2
      210
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Orlando
      by 6
      214
      Dunkel Pick:
      Orlando
      (-6); Under

      Cleveland @ San Antonio


      Game 503-504
      January 23, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Cleveland
      116.212
      San Antonio
      119.785
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      San Antonio
      by 3 1/2
      204
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      San Antonio
      by 1
      208 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      San Antonio
      (-1); Under

      Brooklyn @ Oklahoma City


      Game 505-506
      January 23, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Brooklyn
      115.623
      Oklahoma City
      121.092
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Oklahoma City
      by 5 1/2
      221
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Oklahoma City
      by 10
      213 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Brooklyn
      (+10); Over

      New York @ Golden State


      Game 507-508
      January 23, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      New York
      116.315
      Golden State
      126.783
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Golden State
      by 10 1/2
      133
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Golden State
      by 14 1/2
      226 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      New York
      (+14 1/2); Over

      Boston @ LA Lakers


      Game 509-510
      January 23, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Boston
      119.745
      LA Lakers
      117.691
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Boston
      by 2
      215
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Boston
      by 4 1/2
      207 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      LA Lakers
      (+4 1/2); Over





      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Tuesday, January 23


      Magic won four of last six games with Sacramento; under is 3-1 in last four series games. Kings are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to the Magic Kingdom. Sacramento lost its last eight games; they’re 9-6 vs spread in last 15 games as road underdogs. Four of their last six games went over. Orlando lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 1-6 as home favorites. Seven of their last nine games stayed under total.

      Spurs won eight of last ten games with Cleveland; over is 6-3 in last nine series games. Cavaliers are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to the Alamo. Cleveland lost nine of its last 12 games; they’re 4-2 as road underdogs. Three of their last four games stayed under total. San Antonio lost three of last four games; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six home games. Spurs’ last six games all stayed under the total.

      Nets are 6-4 in last ten games with Oklahoma City; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five visits here. Under is 3-1 in Brooklyn’s last four visits to OKC. Nets split their last six games; they’re 14-3 vs spread in last 17 games as road underdogs- their last three games stayed under. Thunder won their last four games; they’re 7-13-1 as home favorites. Four of their last five games stayed under the total.

      Golden State won its last six games with the Knicks, who are 4-3 vs spread in last seven series games. New York is 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Oakland. Six of last seven series games stayed under. Knicks lost seven of their last ten games; they’re 5-3 vs spread in last eight games as road underdogs. Over is 9-1 in their last ten games. Warriors won eight of their last ten games; they’re 2-4-2 in last eight games as home favorites- their last three games stayed under.

      Lakers lost their last four games with Boston; Celtics are 1-4 vs spread in last five series games played here. Last four series games stayed under the total. Boston lost its last three games, by 8-9-3 points; under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Celtics are 8-5-1 as road favorites. Lakers won six of their last eight games; they’re 9-10 as home underdogs. Five of their last seven games stayed under total.




      NBA

      Tuesday, January 23


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      Trend Report
      ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

      SACRAMENTO @ ORLANDO
      The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 6 games
      Sacramento is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
      Orlando is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games

      BROOKLYN @ OKLAHOMA CITY
      Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
      Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
      Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
      The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games

      CLEVELAND @ SAN ANTONIO
      The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cleveland's last 9 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
      The total has gone OVER in 11 of Cleveland's last 15 games when playing San Antonio
      The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio's last 5 games
      San Antonio is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home

      BOSTON @ LA LAKERS
      Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
      Boston is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
      LA Lakers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home
      LA Lakers is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

      NEW YORK @ GOLDEN STATE
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
      The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games on the road
      Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
      Golden State is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games when playing at home against New York


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      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-23-2018, 12:23 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA
        Long Sheet

        Tuesday, January 23


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        SACRAMENTO (13 - 33) at ORLANDO (14 - 32) - 1/23/2018, 7:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        SACRAMENTO is 49-78 ATS (-36.8 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
        ORLANDO is 52-74 ATS (-29.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 21-39 ATS (-21.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
        ORLANDO is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
        ORLANDO is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
        ORLANDO is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ORLANDO is 2-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
        ORLANDO is 2-2 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
        3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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        CLEVELAND (27 - 18) at SAN ANTONIO (30 - 18) - 1/23/2018, 8:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CLEVELAND is 12-32 ATS (-23.2 Units) in all games this season.
        CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in January games this season.
        CLEVELAND is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.
        CLEVELAND is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more this season.
        CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after scoring 115 points or more this season.
        CLEVELAND is 201-259 ATS (-83.9 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=98 points/game since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 1028-899 ATS (+39.1 Units) in all games since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 823-700 ATS (+53.0 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games this season.
        SAN ANTONIO is 155-109 ATS (+35.1 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 347-273 ATS (+46.7 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 344-283 ATS (+32.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
        SAN ANTONIO is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
        SAN ANTONIO is 182-137 ATS (+31.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SAN ANTONIO is 2-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
        SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BROOKLYN (18 - 29) at OKLAHOMA CITY (26 - 20) - 1/23/2018, 8:05 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BROOKLYN is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games this season.
        BROOKLYN is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
        BROOKLYN is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) in road games this season.
        BROOKLYN is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 18-27 ATS (-11.7 Units) in all games this season.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 13-26 ATS (-15.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-14 ATS (-9.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        BROOKLYN is 3-2 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
        OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NEW YORK (21 - 26) at GOLDEN STATE (37 - 10) - 1/23/2018, 10:35 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        GOLDEN STATE is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
        GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        BOSTON (34 - 13) at LA LAKERS (17 - 29) - 1/23/2018, 10:35 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        BOSTON is 18-34 ATS (-19.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
        BOSTON is 27-18 ATS (+7.2 Units) in all games this season.
        BOSTON is 42-25 ATS (+14.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
        BOSTON is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LA LAKERS is 3-2 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
        BOSTON is 4-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
        4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-23-2018, 12:24 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA

          Tuesday, January 23


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          NBA Game of the Day: Cavaliers at Spurs betting preview and odds
          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          Cleveland Cavaliers at San Antonio Spurs (+1.5, 211.5)

          The Cleveland Cavaliers are spiraling in the wrong direction with nine losses in 12 games and attempt to shake out of their doldrums when they visit the San Antonio Spurs on Tuesday. The Cavaliers were blasted 148-124 by the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday and the points allowed matched the worst in franchise history in a regulation game.

          Cleveland has lost by margins of 34, 28 and 24 over the past six games and the defensive effort against Oklahoma City was lacking with the Thunder scoring at least 33 points in every quarter. "It's embarrassing. It's not acceptable," point guard Isaiah Thomas told reporters. "We can only go up from here, that's the only positive about that. We've got to really look in the mirror, look at ourselves and get some pride." The Spurs own the best home record in the NBA at 19-3 but dropped a 94-86 decision to the Indiana Pacers on Sunday while committing 20 turnovers as a 14-game home winning streak reached an end. "It happens a little too much with our team," center Pau Gasol told reporters afterward. "We get a little bit out of whack. We don't execute, we're a little sloppy at times and we pay the price."

          TV:
          8 p.m. ET, TNT

          LINE HISTORY:
          The Spurs opened as two-point home favorites but that pointspread jumped the fence and the Cavaliers are now 1.5-point road faves. The total hit betting boards at 207.5 and has been bet up to 211.5.

          INJURY REPORT:


          Cavaliers - PF K. Love (Probable, Illness), SG I. Shumpert (Early Feb, Knee).

          Spurs - SG M. Ginobili (Out, Thigh), C P. Gasol (Out, Wrist), SF R. Gay (Early Feb, Heel), SF K. Leonard (Out Indefinitely, Quadricep).

          POWER RANKINGS:
          Cavaliers (-3.5) - Spurs (-6.8) + home court (-3) = Spurs -6.3

          MATCHUP CHART:




          ABOUT THE CAVALIERS (27-18 SU, 12-32-1 ATS, 21-23-1 O/U):
          Forward LeBron James needs just seven points to become the seventh player in NBA history to reach 30,000 career points but the perennial star is more interested in figuring out his team's porous play. Speculation regarding the status of coach Tyronn Lue has arisen and that deeply concerns James, who doesn't see Lue as the problem but stopped short of giving his coach an endorsement. "I don't know what's going to happen with our team," James told reporters. "I have no idea what conversations have been going on. Me personally, I've been trying to stay as laser-sharp as I can to keep my guys ready to go out and play. Obviously, it hasn't resulted in wins, but I got to stay as fresh mentally as much I can with the struggles. I can't worry about job securities and trades and things of that nature."

          ABOUT THE SPURS (30-18 SU, 25-21-2 ATS, 18-30 O/U):
          San Antonio also hasn't played as sharp as its reputation in a season in which star forward Kawhi Leonard has played in just nine games due to a quadriceps injury that is reportedly causing issues between Leonard and the organization. Coach Gregg Popovich decided to shake things up on Sunday by moving veteran point guard Tony Parker (12 points and five assists in 20 minutes on Sunday) to the bench and starting Dejounte Murray, who had eight points and seven rebounds in 28 minutes. "A little different, so I guess we're figuring where we need certain things (with Parker) coming off the bench to start the game," Spurs shooting guard Danny Green told reporters. "Trying to get a happy medium of getting some fast pace, slower pace, getting it inside, working outside, but turn the ball over a little less, move it a little bit better."

          TRENDS:


          * Cavaliers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 road games.
          * Spurs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
          * Over is 5-1 in Cavaliers last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
          * Under is 6-0 in Spurs last 6 overall.
          * Over is 11-4 in the last 15 meetings.

          CONSENSUS:
          Users are backing San Antonio Spurs in this matchup, with 61 percent of pointspread picks on the home team. When it comes to the total, 56 percent of wagers are on the Under.


          ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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