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  • Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/20

    Trends and Indexes

    Saturday, January 20

    Good Luck on day #20 of 2018!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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  • #2
    Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

    Longshots to win The Masters in April:

    110-1– JB Holmes

    135-1— Jason Dufner

    150-1— Ian Poulter

    165-1— Ollie Schneiderjans

    200-1— Patton Kizzire

    225-1— Charles Howell III


    **********

    Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…….

    13) There is too much anger and bad news in the world, so I give you this:

    Former NFL running back Warrick Dunn’s mom was a policewoman in Baton Rouge; she was killed by a gunman when Dunn was 18. Dunn went on to star at Florida State, and then played for 12 years in the NFL.

    To honor his late mother, Dunn started a foundation that built homes with Habitat for Humanity for single-parent families. He is still doing that.

    Last month, Dunn’s foundation gave away their 158th and 159th homes, one in Detroit, one in Atlanta. You don’t think this makes a difference?

    12) In 2006, Dunn’s foundation built a home in Gainesville, Ga; the family had an 11-year old boy who you may have heard of.

    Deshaun Watson, now QB for the Houston Texans.

    Who knows what would’ve happened to that family if they hadn’t been given a home in 2006. Sometimes all people need is a chance.

    11) 106 college football players are leaving school early to apply for the NFL Draft- there were 74-95-95 such players the last three years. 26 of the players come from SEC schools, 24 more from ACC schools.

    Florida State, LSU, Texas all lost six players each.

    10) If JD Martinez can’t play ball for $25M a year, then the Red Sox should tell him to take a hike and Martinez should go find a real job, where he won’t make $25M a year.

    Enough already; he’s had only two great years and will be 31 in August. Martinez has played more than 123 games in a season twice in his career.

    9) They re-sodded the middle of the field in Philadelphia this week, after lot of players slipped in last week’s game. Re-sodding a field in the Northeast in January can be dicey, but Doug Pederson said the field is in great shape, so we’ll take his word for it.

    8) There are murmurs on the Interweb that Tom Brady has multiple stitches in his passing hand, which is why he wore gloves to his news conference Friday.

    Betting line has dropped from 9 to 7.5 points; if somehow Brady didn’t play Sunday, the line with Brian Hoyer playing QB for New England would be Patriots, -2.

    7) Alabama hired former New Mexico coach Mike Locksley as its offensive coordinator; he was OC at both Illinois and Maryland, but is considered a better recruiter than a tactician.

    6) Michigan State 85, Indiana 57— For some reason Alex Rodriguez was at this game last night, sitting in the student section, wearing an “Izzone” t-shirt. He’s been on TV a lot lately; he was at a Laker game with JLo and the kids, and was also at another game with his famous wife. Haven’t heard if ARod is going to get the Sunday Night Baseball gig on ESPN, but he’d be good at it.

    5) Eagles-Jaguars will meet in London next fall; game could be a Super Bowl rematch, if both underdogs win Sunday. NFL fans in London deserve better games than they gotten recently.

    4) NFL has an interesting way of staying in the news 24/7; ESPN started the other day with Mel Kiper’s first mock draft for 2018— he had the Browns taking Wyoming QB Josh Allen with the #1 pick, and then the Giants taking UCLA QB Josh Rosen with the #2 pick.

    3) Le’Veon Bell showed up five minutes before the END of the Steelers’ walk-through the day before their playoff game, which may be part of why some of the limited partners in the team want a coaching change. Apparently he wasn’t the only player who had a trouble with being on time, and also an assistant coach or two was in that group.

    Can remember Troy Aikman telling Joe Buck in an interview program how he retired from the NFL because discipline on the Cowboys slipped badly under Barry Switzer, and it drove him nuts. Aikman was a perfectionist, and he couldn’t stand sloppy preparation.

    2) Have you seen the commercial on TV where the guy in the baseball cap adopts a dog at the shelter and brings him home in his truck? Didn’t notice until about the 70th time it was on, but the guy who adopts the dog has an artificial left leg. Just noticed it, thats all.

    1) I’ve been scolded by some for talking about politics on here, but I will say this: if the government shuts down, then no politician should receive a penny of pay until it starts up again, and then no retroactive paychecks. If you want to get paid, do your damn job.

    Comment


    • #3
      NBA
      Armadillo's Write-Up

      Saturday, January 20


      Cavaliers won/covered four of last five games with Oklahoma City; under is 5-2 in last seven series games. OKC is 0-5 vs spread in its last five visits to Ohio. Thunder won its last three games; they’re 3-2 as road underdogs. Five of their last six games stayed under total. Cleveland lost four of its last five games; they’re 3-17-1 vs spread at home. Cavaliers’ last three games stayed under total.

      Bulls won last two games with Atlanta, after losing previous seven; they’re 0-4 vs spread in last four visits here. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Chicago won three of its last four games; they’re 8-1 in last nine tries as road underdogs. Over is 16-4 in their last 20 games. Atlanta won three of last four games; they’re 2-2 vs spread as home favorites. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

      Grizzlies won eight of last ten games with New Orleans; they’re 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to Bourbon Street. Last four series games stayed under total. Memphis won four of its last five games; they’re 8-7-1 as road underdogs, 3-4 if they played night before. Over is 4-1 in their last five road games. New Orleans won three of its last four games; they’re 7-9 as home favorites. Three of last four Pelican games went over.

      Heat won their last four games with Charlotte; they’re 3-1 vs spread in last four visits here. Eight of last ten series games stayed under the total. Miami won eight of its last ten games; they’re 10-5 as road underdogs, 2-5 if they played night before. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Charlotte won three of its last four games; they’re 11-6 as home favorites. Under is 9-4 in their last 13 home games.

      Milwaukee won 8 of last 10 games with Philly; road team won last five. Bucks are 4-1 vs spread in last five visits here. Six of last nine series games went over. Milwaukee lost three of its last four games; they’re 6-3 in last nine tries as road underdogs. Five of their last six games stayed under total. 76ers won six of their last seven games; they’re 8-6 as home favorites. Four of their last six games went over total.

      Warriors won six of last eight games with Houston; they covered their last four games in this building. Six of last nine series games stayed under. Golden State won nine of its last ten games; they’re 8-5 in last 13 games as road favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under total. Rockets won four of last five games; they’re 10-12 vs spread at home, 0-1 as home dogs. Last three Houston games stayed under total.

      Jazz won four of last six games with the Clippers; LA covered two of its last three visits here. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games. Clippers won their last six games, covered last five; they’re 11-8 vs spread on road. Over is 11-3 in their last 14 games. Utah lost nine of last 12 games (4-8 vs spread); they’re 3-1 vs spread at home, if they played night before. Four of their last six games went over.

      Raptors won eight of last ten games with Minnesota; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits here. Last five series games went over the total. Toronto won 8 of its last 11 games; they’re 6-3 as road underdogs. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games. Minnesota lost its last two games after winning five in row before that; they covered last four tries as home favorites. Under is 9-3 in their last dozen games.

      Dallas is 5-3 in its last eight games with Portland; road team won last four. Mavericks are 4-1 vs spread in last five visits here. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Dallas lost five of its last seven games; they covered last seven games as road underdogs. Four of their last five games stayed under total. Portland is 5-3 in its last eight games; they’re 5-12-1 as home favorites. Six of Trailblazers’ last seven games went over total.

      Comment


      • #4
        NBA

        Saturday, January 20


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Trend Report
        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OKLAHOMA CITY @ CLEVELAND
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 6 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Oklahoma City's last 12 games when playing on the road against Cleveland
        Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma City
        Cleveland is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games at home

        CHICAGO @ ATLANTA
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Chicago's last 9 games on the road
        Chicago is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
        Atlanta is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago
        Atlanta is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

        MIAMI @ CHARLOTTE
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 10 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Miami's last 11 games when playing Charlotte
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 10 games when playing at home against Miami
        The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Charlotte's last 11 games when playing Miami

        MEMPHIS @ NEW ORLEANS
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
        Memphis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
        The total has gone OVER in 10 of New Orleans's last 11 games at home
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Memphis

        MILWAUKEE @ PHILADELPHIA
        Milwaukee is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
        Milwaukee is 11-2 SU in its last 13 games when playing Philadelphia
        Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
        Philadelphia is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

        GOLDEN STATE @ HOUSTON
        Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
        Golden State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
        The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston's last 9 games at home
        Houston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

        LA CLIPPERS @ UTAH
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 5 games on the road
        LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
        The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 7 games when playing at home against LA Clippers

        TORONTO @ MINNESOTA
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games on the road
        The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Toronto
        Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

        DALLAS @ PORTLAND
        Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
        Dallas is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Portland
        Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
        The total has gone OVER in 6 of Portland's last 7 games


        ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-20-2018, 12:35 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NBA
          Long Sheet

          Saturday, January 20


          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          OKLAHOMA CITY (25 - 20) at CLEVELAND (27 - 17) - 1/20/2018, 3:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 17-27 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all games this season.
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 over the last 3 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 220 since 1996.
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
          OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
          CLEVELAND is 12-31 ATS (-22.1 Units) in all games this season.
          CLEVELAND is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when the total is greater than or equal to 220 this season.
          CLEVELAND is 6-27 ATS (-23.7 Units) as a favorite this season.
          CLEVELAND is 3-17 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games this season.
          CLEVELAND is 4-19 ATS (-16.9 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
          CLEVELAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in non-conference games this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          CLEVELAND is 3-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
          CLEVELAND is 3-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
          2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          CHICAGO (17 - 28) at ATLANTA (13 - 31) - 1/20/2018, 5:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CHICAGO is 26-16 ATS (+8.4 Units) in all games this season.
          CHICAGO is 49-35 ATS (+10.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
          CHICAGO is 87-52 ATS (+29.8 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
          CHICAGO is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) against Southeast division opponents this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          ATLANTA is 7-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
          ATLANTA is 7-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MEMPHIS (16 - 28) at NEW ORLEANS (23 - 21) - 1/20/2018, 7:05 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MEMPHIS is 7-3 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
          MEMPHIS is 8-2 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
          5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MIAMI (26 - 19) at CHARLOTTE (18 - 25) - 1/20/2018, 7:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          CHARLOTTE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
          MIAMI is 44-30 ATS (+11.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
          MIAMI is 39-25 ATS (+11.5 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
          MIAMI is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
          MIAMI is 219-177 ATS (+24.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
          CHARLOTTE is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
          CHARLOTTE is 26-39 ATS (-16.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MIAMI is 10-7 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
          MIAMI is 10-7 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
          10 of 16 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          MILWAUKEE (23 - 21) at PHILADELPHIA (21 - 20) - 1/20/2018, 7:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          MILWAUKEE is 151-190 ATS (-58.0 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
          PHILADELPHIA is 72-50 ATS (+17.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
          PHILADELPHIA is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
          PHILADELPHIA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
          PHILADELPHIA is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
          PHILADELPHIA is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
          MILWAUKEE is 131-96 ATS (+25.4 Units) in road games against Atlantic division opponents since 1996.
          MILWAUKEE is 40-18 ATS (+20.2 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          PHILADELPHIA is 4-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
          MILWAUKEE is 5-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          GOLDEN STATE (37 - 9) at HOUSTON (31 - 12) - 1/20/2018, 8:35 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          HOUSTON is 113-83 ATS (+21.7 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
          GOLDEN STATE is 35-21 ATS (+11.9 Units) against Southwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
          GOLDEN STATE is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
          GOLDEN STATE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
          GOLDEN STATE is 98-68 ATS (+23.2 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
          GOLDEN STATE is 58-29 ATS (+26.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
          HOUSTON is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) in home games revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          GOLDEN STATE is 9-4 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
          GOLDEN STATE is 11-3 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
          8 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          LA CLIPPERS (23 - 21) at UTAH (18 - 27) - 1/20/2018, 9:05 PM
          There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          UTAH is 8-8 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
          LA CLIPPERS is 9-7 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
          8 of 16 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          TORONTO (31 - 13) at MINNESOTA (29 - 18) - 1/20/2018, 9:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          TORONTO is 188-235 ATS (-70.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
          MINNESOTA is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
          MINNESOTA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in non-conference games this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          MINNESOTA is 3-1 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
          MINNESOTA is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

          DALLAS (15 - 30) at PORTLAND (24 - 21) - 1/20/2018, 10:05 PM
          Top Trends for this game.
          PORTLAND is 143-110 ATS (+22.0 Units) in home games after allowing 90 points or less since 1996.
          DALLAS is 398-323 ATS (+42.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
          DALLAS is 494-414 ATS (+38.6 Units) in road games since 1996.
          DALLAS is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

          Head-to-Head Series History
          DALLAS is 6-1 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
          DALLAS is 4-3 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
          4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

          --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-20-2018, 12:35 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NBA
            Dunkel

            Saturday, January 20



            Oklahoma City @ Cleveland

            Game 501-502
            January 20, 2018 @ 3:35 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Oklahoma City
            121.609
            Cleveland
            120.554
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Oklahoma City
            by 1
            214
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Cleveland
            by 4
            222
            Dunkel Pick:
            Oklahoma City
            (+4); Under

            Chicago @ Atlanta


            Game 503-504
            January 20, 2018 @ 5:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Chicago
            117.523
            Atlanta
            116.462
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Chicago
            by 1
            209
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Atlanta
            by 2
            215
            Dunkel Pick:
            Chicago
            (+2); Under

            Memphis @ New Orleans


            Game 505-506
            January 20, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Memphis
            112.386
            New Orleans
            124.785
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            New Orleans
            by 12 1/2
            221
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            New Orleans
            by 8 1/2
            211
            Dunkel Pick:
            New Orleans
            (-8 1/2); Over

            Miami @ Charlotte


            Game 507-508
            January 20, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Miami
            115.512
            Charlotte
            121.698
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Charlotte
            by 6
            210
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Charlotte
            by 4
            204 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Charlotte
            (-4); Over

            Milwaukee @ Philadelphia


            Game 509-510
            January 20, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Milwaukee
            117.823
            Philadelphia
            121.397
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Philadelphia
            by 3 1/2
            208
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Philadelphia
            by 7
            213
            Dunkel Pick:
            Milwaukee
            (+7); Under

            Golden State @ Houston


            Game 511-512
            January 20, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Golden State
            127.323
            Houston
            125.719
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Golden State
            by 1 1/2
            225
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Golden State
            by 4 1/2
            234
            Dunkel Pick:
            Houston
            (+4 1/2); Under

            LA Clippers @ Utah


            Game 513-514
            January 20, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            LA Clippers
            114.621
            Utah
            119.501
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Utah
            by 5
            217
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Utah
            by 2
            211 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Utah
            (-2); Over

            Toronto @ Minnesota


            Game 515-516
            January 20, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Toronto
            120.412
            Minnesota
            125.856
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Minnesota
            by 5 1/2
            219
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Minnesota
            by 3
            214 1/2
            Dunkel Pick:
            Minnesota
            (-3); Over

            Dallas @ Portland


            Game 517-518
            January 20, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

            Dunkel Rating:
            Dallas
            117.239
            Portland
            118.743
            Dunkel Team:
            Dunkel Line:
            Dunkel Total:
            Portland
            by 1 1/2
            202
            Vegas Team:
            Vegas Line:
            Vegas Total:
            Portland
            by 5
            209
            Dunkel Pick:
            Dallas
            (+5); Under
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 01-20-2018, 12:36 PM.

            Comment

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