Announcement

**Udog** · 01-19-2018, 08:23 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

— St Mary’s 74, Gonzaga 71— Huge win for Gaels’ NCAA resume

— Belmont 79, Murray State 72— Bruins are 6-1 in OVC, alone in first place

— East Tennessee State 62, Furman 61— Bucs win battle of leaders in SoCon.

— USC 75, Oregon 70— Trojans snap an 0-14 skid against Oregon.

— Nebraska 72, Michigan 52— Impressive home win for the Cornhuskers.

— TCU guard Jaylen Fisher (knee) is out for the season. Bad news for the Frogs.

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Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind……..

13) Bill Belichick got his first NFL head coaching job in 1991, when he was 39; he interviewed 85 coaches for assistants’ jobs that winter- the first one he hired?

Guy named Nick Saban. Wonder whatever happened to him?

12) Six of the top 21 college basketball teams lost Wednesday night. Been a weird year.

11) I see that they’re moving up the start of college basketball season next year, up three days to November 6, which will also be Election Day. They’re trying to get the start of college hoop out of football’s shadows— hopefully there won’t be any MAC football games on TV that Tuesday.

10) NBC television is advertising the Olympics a lot- one of the ads has an athlete saying how every kid’s dream is to be in the Olympics. I can honestly say, not once did I ever dream of being in the Olympics, especially the Winter Olympics. Good thing, since I was a lousy athlete, but my idea of fun isn’t slalom skiing or anything to do with cold weather.

9) Funny story on Twitter this week about how a Vikings fan named Sara Zeigler got so excited when Stefon Diggs caught that pass at the end of the game Sunday night, she jumped on her couch and landed on her remote control, which changed the station on the TV before Diggs scored, so she didn’t see the winning TD she was so excited about, until one of the 1,000 replays after the game.

Moral of story: Remote controls are very valuable; never jump on them.

There have been numerous stories about people waiting for the PAT to be tried/not tried after that Minnesota touchdown, since the pointspread hung in the balance. Had to be fun to be in Las Vegas sportsbook for that.

8) Philadelphia Eagles went for it on 4th down 26 times this year, most in the NFL- they made the first down/TD on 17 of those 26 tries.

7) Shohei Ohtani is both a pitcher and a hitter; the Angels’ newest free agent acquisition has caused the folks at CBSSports.com some grief this winter, as they worked to figure out how Ohtani will be dealt with in the fantasy league website’s stats column.

Apparently the problem has been resolved; doesn’t sound like Ohtani will be in the lineup enough to merit his inclusion as a fantasy league hitter. Albert Pujols DH’s for the Angels, so it Ohtani is the DH, Pujols has to play first base? Not ideal.

6) Cavaliers 104, Magic 103— Cavaliers blew a 23-point lead but survived the dismal Magic. Cleveland is 16-5 at home, 3-17-1 against the spread.

5) Surprising stat: Of the last eight Stanley Cup champs, only one of the eight (’17 Penguins) finished higher than 15th in NHL in power play efficiency during the regular season.

4) Creighton F Martin Krampelj will miss the rest of the season with a major knee injury; he’s started every game for the Bluejays, scoring 11.9 ppg, grabbing 8 rebounds a game- a big loss.

3) When I was a little kid 100 or so years ago (late 60’s), they built a restaurant near our house— Valle’s Steakhouse. Place had this huge, Vegas-like sign in front of it, and it was a fancy place. Cloth napkins, all that.

Valle’s went out of business a long time ago; the building is a college now, Bryant & Stratton College, and I found out this week that Bryant & Stratton is starting a basketball program. They haven’t said where they’re going to play their games. If I remember right, Bryant & Stratton used to be called Albany Business College, and it was located in the city of Albany.

I’m not 100% sure that ABC became Bryant & Stratton, but one came to being when the other closed its doors.

2) Anyway, Albany Business College had a good junior college basketball team back in the day; Willard Rice was the coach— I went to a camp once run by Coach Rice and his son Steve. They had a team when I was in college (late 70’s)- they used to play the Albany JV team every year, so this is life coming full circle. From looks of things, Bryant & Stratton is a 4-year school now.

1) One last story about Valle’s Steakhouse; one summer, my dad’s family was in town to visit and we all went to Valle’s for dinner. Probably 12-14 people, so a big group. The waitress brings a lot of dinners out at the same time, and a small dish slipped at the top of her load— she went to grab it………and there was a very loud noise. Food scattered everywhere.

I’m pretty sure the waitress was fired before the dishes stopped spinning around; as an annoying 10-year old, I was sure it was the funniest thing I’d ever seen, even if I did have to wait to eat a while longer. It was tremendous- stuff like that didn’t happen at Carroll’s Hamburgers. my preferred place to eat when I was 10.

**Udog** · 01-19-2018, 08:24 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, January 19

St Bonaventure @ Davidson

Game 815-816
January 19, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St Bonaventure
56.711
Davidson
61.823
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Davidson
by 5
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Davidson
by 4
142 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Davidson
(-4); Over

Indiana @ Michigan State

Game 817-818
January 19, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
59.427
Michigan State
78.905
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Michigan State
by 19 1/2
149
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Michigan State
by 14 1/2
140
Dunkel Pick:
Michigan State
(-14 1/2); Over

Buffalo @ Western Michigan

Game 819-820
January 19, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
56.737
Western Michigan
56.662
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Western Michigan
Even
150
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
by 4
155 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Western Michigan
(+4); Under

Yale @ Brown

Game 821-822
January 19, 2018 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Yale
50.225
Brown
51.310
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brown
by 1
146
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Yale
by 1 1/2
153
Dunkel Pick:
Brown
(+1 1/2); Under

Illinois @ Wisconsin

Game 823-824
January 19, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Illinois
56.501
Wisconsin
63.981
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Wisconsin
by 7 1/2
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Wisconsin
by 4 1/2
135
Dunkel Pick:
Wisconsin
(-4 1/2); Over

Canisius @ Manhattan

Game 825-826
January 19, 2018 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Canisius
55.735
Manhattan
52.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Canisius
by 3 1/2
142
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Canisius
by 1
134 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Canisius
(-1); Over

Iona @ Monmouth

Game 827-828
January 19, 2018 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Iona
53.763
Monmouth
54.623
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Monmouth
by 1
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Iona
by 2 1/2
153
Dunkel Pick:
Monmouth
(+2 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 01-19-2018, 08:25 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, January 19

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ST BONAVENTURE (12 - 5) at DAVIDSON (9 - 7) - 1/19/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DAVIDSON is 192-140 ATS (+38.0 Units) against conference opponents since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 188-143 ATS (+30.7 Units) after a conference game since 1997.
DAVIDSON is 93-58 ATS (+29.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
ST BONAVENTURE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after allowing 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DAVIDSON is 2-1 against the spread versus ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
DAVIDSON is 2-1 straight up against ST BONAVENTURE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (11 - 7) at MICHIGAN ST (16 - 3) - 1/19/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 35-56 ATS (-26.6 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
INDIANA is 113-148 ATS (-49.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 90-59 ATS (+25.1 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 since 1997.
MICHIGAN ST is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 18-9 ATS (+8.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in home games after a conference game over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BUFFALO (13 - 5) at W MICHIGAN (11 - 7) - 1/19/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 52-31 ATS (+17.9 Units) in home games in January games since 1997.
W MICHIGAN is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
BUFFALO is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
BUFFALO is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
W MICHIGAN is 1-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
W MICHIGAN is 1-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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YALE (8 - 9) at BROWN (7 - 7) - 1/19/2018, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
YALE is 132-95 ATS (+27.5 Units) in road games since 1997.
YALE is 132-95 ATS (+27.5 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
YALE is 84-60 ATS (+18.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1997.
YALE is 87-60 ATS (+21.0 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
YALE is 88-59 ATS (+23.1 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
YALE is 82-58 ATS (+18.2 Units) in road games after a conference game since 1997.
YALE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROWN is 3-2 against the spread versus YALE over the last 3 seasons
YALE is 5-0 straight up against BROWN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ILLINOIS (10 - 9) at WISCONSIN (9 - 10) - 1/19/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 29-50 ATS (-26.0 Units) in road games in January games since 1997.
ILLINOIS is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997.
WISCONSIN is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WISCONSIN is 2-1 against the spread versus ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 3-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CANISIUS (11 - 8) at MANHATTAN (9 - 9) - 1/19/2018, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CANISIUS is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CANISIUS is 3-1 against the spread versus MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
CANISIUS is 3-1 straight up against MANHATTAN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IONA (11 - 7) at MONMOUTH (5 - 12) - 1/19/2018, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IONA is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
IONA is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) in road games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
IONA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONMOUTH is 3-2 against the spread versus IONA over the last 3 seasons
MONMOUTH is 3-2 straight up against IONA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 01-19-2018, 08:26 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, January 19

St Bonaventure is 2-3 in A-14; 0-3 on road,2-0 at home, beating UMass by 20, Fordham by 16. Bonnies lost three of last four games, but are 4-2 vs top 100 teams- they’re playing fastest pace in A-14 games, Davidson the slowest. Davidson won last four games; they’re 2-1 on A-14 road, 0-4 vs top 100 teams- their best win is over #171 Saint Louis. Davidson/Bonnies split their four A-14 meetings; Wildcats lost 97-85 (+1) in their only visit here two years ago. Three of four series games were decided by 5 or less points. A-14 home faves are 16-6 vs spread this season.

Michigan State hasn’t been playing well, losing two of last three games, with an OT win over Rutgers in between; Spartans are 3-0 in Big 14 home games, winning by 29-30-4 points- they’re 4-3 vs top 100 teams. Indiana won its last three games, with a win at Minnesota; Hoosiers are 5-5 vs top 100 teams- their Big 14 losses are by 14-10-10 points. Indiana forced turnovers 21.7% of time in league games. State won five of its last six games with Indiana, which lost its last three visits to East Lansing, by 17-2-7 points. Big 14 home favorites are 16-14 vs spread this season.

Yale survived 20 turnovers and beat Brown 78-72 (-8) in their Ivy opener last week; Brown was 18-31 on line- Yale shot 59% inside arc. Bulldogs won last six series games. Bruins lost their last seven visits to New Haven. Yale is 4-7 in true road games; they’re 7-0 this season vs teams ranked outside top 200. Brown is 0-4 vs teams in top 200; their best win is over #234 NJIT. Bruins are #328 experience team that is turning ball over 20% of time and shooting only 33.1% on arc. Ivy League home teams are 3-4 vs spread this season.

Illinois is 0-6 in Big 14, with three OT losses, another by one point; Illini’s four road losses in league are by 4-1-10-10 points- they’re 1-9 vs top 100 teams, with only win over Missouri on a neutral floor. Wisconsin lost its last three games, by 4-4-28 points; they split pair of Big 14 home games, beating Indiana, losing to Ohio State. Badgers are 3-9 vs top 100 teams- they won their last 11 games with Illinois; Illini lost its last six visits to Madison, all by 9+ points. Big 14 home favorites are 16-14 vs spread this season. Illini is shooting 28.6% on arc in conference games.

Manhattan is 4-2 in MAAC after a 5-7 pre-conference mark; Jaspers are 2-1 at home in league, beating Fairfield/Siena- they’re 2-6 vs teams in top 200, beating Harvard, Hofstra. Manhattan is forcing turnovers 24.4% of time in league games. Canisius won seven of its last eight games; they’re 2-1 on MAAC road, with only loss by 3 at Siena. Griffins are 5-3 vs teams ranked outside top 200. Canisius won its last three games with Manhattan, by 3-1-14 points; they won last two visits to Draddy Gym. MAAC home teams are 18-13-2 vs spread this season.

Iona won its last four games after a 7-7 start, but those four were all at home; Gaels are 4-5 in true road games, 1-1 in league, winning in OT at Niagara. Iona is 4-6 vs top 200 teams. Iona/Monmouth split their last eight meetings; Gaels split their four MAAC visits here. Hawks won both series games LY, by 18-6 points. Monmouth is 1-4 in MAAC; they beat Manhattan at home, lost all four road games. Hawks are 1-4 vs teams ranked in top 150- their best win was by 1 over Bucknell. MAAC home underdogs are 7-6 vs spread this season.

**Udog** · 01-19-2018, 08:28 AM

NCAAB

Friday, January 19

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Trend Report
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INDIANA @ MICHIGAN STATE
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games on the road
Michigan State is 19-1 SU in its last 20 games at home
Michigan State is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Indiana

ST. BONAVENTURE @ DAVIDSON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Bonaventure's last 5 games
St. Bonaventure is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Davidson's last 5 games
Davidson is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

BUFFALO @ WESTERN MICHIGAN
Buffalo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Buffalo's last 7 games when playing on the road against Western Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Western Michigan's last 7 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Michigan's last 6 games when playing Buffalo

IONA @ MONMOUTH
Iona is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Monmouth's last 5 games
Monmouth is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home

YALE @ BROWN
Yale is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brown
Yale is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Brown
Brown is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Brown's last 9 games when playing at home against Yale

CANISIUS @ MANHATTAN
Canisius is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Canisius is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Manhattan is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games when playing at home against Canisius
Manhattan is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games

ILLINOIS @ WISCONSIN
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Illinois's last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Illinois's last 5 games when playing Wisconsin
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 5 games
Wisconsin is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Illinois

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Announcement

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/19

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 1/19

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