Announcement

**Udog** · 01-16-2018, 08:36 AM

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

Odds to win the 2018 World Series

9-2— Bronx Bombers

5-1— Los Angeles Dodgers

7-1— Cleveland Indians, Houston Astros

8-1— Chicago Cubs

10-1— Washington Nationals

12-1— Boston Red Sox

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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

13) I’ve never coached football, I’m not qualified to analyze play calls or to think I know more than NFL coaches. Guess what? Neither are 99% of writers around the country who are killing the Falcons or Steelers coaches for their play calling this weekend.

Someone texted me Sunday night: “What did you think of the Pittsburgh play calls?”

I answered: “They didn’t work.”

It is easy to criticize the Steelers for running a sweep on 4th and 1, but if the guy runs for a TD on that sweep, then Todd Haley is a play-calling genius.

12) Sad day for Pittsburgh Pirate fans; Bucs traded Andrew McCutchen for P Kyle Crick, some international pool money and a prospect. The financial realities of small market teams reared their ugly head here; McCuthen will make $14.8M this year, then he’ll be a free agent.

McCutchen is 31 and is still very productive, but with Gerrit Cole getting dealt to Houston, the Pirates are in a rebuild, and McCutchen wouldn’t re-sign with a losing team anyway, so Pirates got something for him. As an A’s fan, I know days like this suck for the team that deals its star.

Crick allowed only 22 hits in 32.1 IP (30 games) out of the Giants’ bullpen LY.

11) Fact that surprised me: Drew Brees is the only QB to start a Super Bowl who went to high school in Texas. That will change Sunday, since Case Keenum/Nick Foles are both from Texas.

10) Final Four of the NFL: Tom Brady and his five Super Bowl rings, then Blake Bortles, Keenum and Foles, who before this month, were a combined 0-1 in NFL playoff games.

9) Last four years, favorites are 7-1 vs spread in conference championship games.

8) James Madison’s basketball team is 17-38 the last two years, 7-17 in CAA games, after they fired Matt Brady, who was 139-127 in eight years at JMU, 68-74 in CAA games.

Why fire Brady, who was 40-25 his last two years? Are boosters that hungry for an NCAA bid? JMU had only one in Brady’s eight years, but not all change in positive.

7) There have already been 17 teams in the college basketball top 5 this season, the 2nd-most ever in a season and it is only mid-January.

6) Golfer Rory McIlroy caught some kind of viral infection in China a while back, and it resulted in his heart having an irregular beat. He says it isn’t a big deal, but that has to be scary. If it was my heart that had an irregular beat, I’d consider it to be a big deal.

5) South Carolina gave football coach Will Muschamp a 6-year, $28M extension last week.

4) Duke 83, Miami 75— Blue Devils ended game on a 30-9 run. Solid road win.

3) Seahawks hired Ken Norton Jr as their new DC; Norton was fired by the Raiders during the season, then hooked up with the 49ers couple weeks ago, but Seattle gave him a coordinator’s job, so he is off to the Seahawks.

2) Colleges have to end this trend of court storming after big wins, before something terrible happens. You never know if a fan is drunk or just a jerk and says something or instigates a player and the player hauls off and starts a melee.

Few years ago in a high school game out west, I think in Arizona, kids stormed the court after a game and one of the star players wound up getting knocked down and broke a bone in his neck, which ended his playing career.

1) Kansas 71, West Virginia 66— Jayhawks trailed by 12 with 8:54 left, rallied for an impressive road win; Mountaineers were only 5-27 on arc. Kansas only turned ball over 13 times- hard for West Virginia to score when they don’t create turnovers.

**Udog** · 01-16-2018, 08:49 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, January 16

Minnesota @ Orlando

Game 501-502
January 16, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
122.398
Orlando
108.226
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 14
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 7
216
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-7); Over

New Orleans @ Boston

Game 503-504
January 16, 2018 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
117.476
Boston
124.502
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 7
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 4 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-4 1/2); Over

Dallas @ Denver

Game 505-506
January 16, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
117.185
Denver
119.732
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 2 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 5 1/2
212
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+5 1/2); Under

Phoenix @ Portland

Game 507-508
January 16, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
114.204
Portland
118.433
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 4
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
N/A

NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, January 16

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MINNESOTA (29 - 16) at ORLANDO (12 - 31) - 1/16/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 52-77 ATS (-32.7 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 52-79 ATS (-34.9 Units) after scoring 115 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 16-26 ATS (-12.6 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 38-56 ATS (-23.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 20-39 ATS (-22.9 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 130-169 ATS (-55.9 Units) in January games since 1996.
ORLANDO is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
ORLANDO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 3-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (22 - 20) at BOSTON (34 - 10) - 1/16/2018, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 67-94 ATS (-36.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.
BOSTON is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
BOSTON is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
NEW ORLEANS is 70-42 ATS (+23.8 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
BOSTON is 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) in home games against Southwest division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (15 - 29) at DENVER (22 - 21) - 1/16/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 397-323 ATS (+41.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 493-414 ATS (+37.6 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (16 - 28) at PORTLAND (22 - 21) - 1/16/2018, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-4 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, January 16

Timberwolves won last three games with Orlando; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Four of last five series games went over the total. Minnesota won/covered its last five games; they’re 6-3 vs spread as road favorites. Three of their last four games went over total. Orlando lost its last seven games; they’re 5-7 as home underdogs. Six of their last nine games stayed under the total.

Celtics won five of last six games with New Orleans; under is 3-1 in their last four games. New Orleans is 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Beantown. Pelicans won four of their last six games; they’re 6-7 as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over the total. Boston won its last seven games; they’re 10-8-2 as home favorites. Five of their last seven games stayed under total.

Nuggets won three of last four games with Dallas; over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Mavs are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Denver. Dallas won its last four road games; they’re 10-2 vs spread in last 12 tries as road underdogs. Three of their last four games stayed under. Denver lost four of its last five games; they’re 9-4 vs spread in last 13 games as home favorites. Five of their last six games stayed under.

Trailblazers won their last five games with Phoenix; four of last six series games went over total. Suns are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Oregon. Phoenix lost four of its last five games; they’re 10-8 as road underdogs. Five of last six games stayed under total. Portland won its last three home games but lost last three games overall; they’re 4-11-1 as home favorites this year. Seven of last eight Trailblazer games went over total.

NBA

Tuesday, January 16

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Trend Report
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MINNESOTA @ ORLANDO
Minnesota is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Orlando is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

NEW ORLEANS @ BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Orleans's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of New Orleans's last 18 games when playing on the road against Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

DALLAS @ DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games on the road
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games

PHOENIX @ PORTLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games on the road
Portland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games

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Announcement

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/16

Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/16

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