Announcement

**Udog** · 01-06-2018, 08:30 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Longshot Super Bowl exacta odds: winner listed first

1,250-1— Titans over Panthers

1,000-1— Falcons over Titans, Falcons over Bills

800-1— Bills over Falcons

600-1— Eagles over Titans, Eagles over Bills

500-1— Rams over Titans, Rams over Bills

250-1— Jaguars over Panthers

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here……

13) Did some research today: as far as NFL teams meeting for third time in season in playoffs; in Super Bowl era, the home team is 34-25 in the third meeting. Teams that swept first 2 meetings are 11-5 in third meeting.

Carolina lost to the Saints twice this year, so they fit this scenario Sunday.

12) Jon Gruden is going to get a 10-year, $100M contract to coach the Oakland/Las Vegas Raiders, which seems excessive, but now ESPN needs to come up with someone to replace Gruden interviewing college QB prospects before the NFL Draft, because that was some of their best programming.

College basketball notes from last few days:
11) Western Kentucky’s 4-star recruit Josh Anderson became eligible this week, and will play at Marshall Saturday. Anderson is an athletic defender at guard who gives the Hilltoppers needed depth- they used seven players in their last three games.

10) North Texas won two of its first three games in C-USA; the three games were decided by total of four points.

9) Stanford 107, UCLA 99 2OT— Bruins went 19-35 on foul line in this double OT game, a game Bruins led by 13 with 9:31 to play. Six players fouled out of this game, three on each side.

8) Over last seven years, Big West has put seven different teams into the NCAA tournament; in these one-bid leagues, all that really matters in the conference tournament in March, not sure if thats a good thing, but it is what it is.

7) Best college basketball studio show is on FS1, with Steve Lavin/Jim Jackson analyzing games and Rob Stone. Good banter where you can learn stuff, and laugh at same time.

6) Mike Dunleavy Sr has coached 1,329 NBA games; quite a coup for Tulane to hire him as their basketball coach. Green Wave was 33-63 the last three years, 6-25 in Dunleavy’s first season last year, but they’re 11-4 this year, and 2-1 in the AAC with wins over Temple/SMU.

Big improvement for Tulane, who last finished over .500 in conference 11 years ago.

5) Cal Poly 80, Cal-Santa Barbara 79 OT— Gauchos led this game 23-2 on road Thursday nite, but let it slip away down the stretch. Not too many teams that are down 21 come back to win.

4) Colorado 90, Arizona State 81 OT— Sun Devils were unbeaten, ranked #4 in country, but now they’re 0-2 in Pac-12, after losing to Arizona/Colorado. ASU was 9-33 on arc in this game, was +7 in turnovers. Conference play is tough, much more competitive.

3) UNLV 82, San Jose State 76 OT— UNLV coaches dodged a bullet here; down a point with 0:16 left, Rebels called timeout, but star player McCoy didn’t check in quick enough during the timeout, so he had to stay on the bench, and since UNLV was out of timeouts, they played the most important possession of the game without their best player. No bueno.

UNLV tied the game, McCoy came back in and played the OT, and the Rebels survived to win a game that would’ve been a hideous loss. San Jose State is rebuilding- there was almost no one there— there had been a power outage on campus during the day. UNLV did its walk-thru in a mostly dark gym— seriously. TV announcer Drew Goodman filmed part of it with his phone.

2) Tennessee State 67, Jacksonville State 60— Gamecocks were 0-3 on foul line for the game; you don’t see that a lot- they were 10-24 on the arc. Tennessee State was 15-15 on the line; they shot 61% inside the arc. JSU may have been looking ahead to its game with Belmont Saturday.

1) Texas A&M scored 61.5 ppg in losing its first two SEC games, after an 11-1 start to their season, but think they get leading scorer Hogg back from suspension for their home game with LSU today. Hogg was 5th (and hopefully last) Aggie to be suspended this season- they just got couple guys back from knee injuries- they’re very good if they can just get back to full strength.

**Udog** · 01-06-2018, 08:40 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, January 6

Warriors won their last 10 games with the Clippers; they’re 5-1 vs spread in last six series games played here. Last four Warrior games went over the total. Golden State won its last 16 of its last 18 games; they’re 9-10 as road favorites. Four of their last five games went over total. Clippers won six of their last eight games; they’re 4-5 as home dogs. Six of their last seven games went over total.

Celtics won their last seven games with Brooklyn, but Nets are 6-3 vs spread in last nine series games. Under is 5-3 in last eight series games. Celtics won their last five games; they’re 8-5 vs spread as road favorites. Four of their last five games went under the total. Brooklyn won three of its last four games; they’re 8-4 vs spread as home underdogs. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

Pacers won three of last four games with Chicago; bulls are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Four of last six series games stayed under. Chicago scored 47 points in 4th quarter in win at Dallas Friday; Bulls lost three of last four games, are 8-1 vs spread in last nine games as road underdogs. Eight of their last nine games went over total. Indiana lost its last five games; they’re 5-6 as home favorites. Under is 6-3 in their last nine home games.

Cavaliers won nine of last ten games with Orlando (7-3 vs spread); they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five visits here. Over is 3-1 in their last four games in Orlando. Cavaliers lost four of their last five games; they’re 5-8 as road favorites. Four of their last five games stayed under the total. Orlando lost 12 of its last 13 games; they’re 1-6 vs spread in last seven tries as home underdogs. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

Pistons won three of last four games with Houston; Rockets are 3-2 vs spread in last five trips to Detroit. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games. Houston lost six of its last eight games; they’re 0-5 vs spread in last five road games and Harden is out hurt. Over is 7-3-1 in Rockets’ last 11 games. Detroit lost by 36 in Philly Friday; they lost three of last four games, are 2-6 vs spread in their last eight games. Four of Pistons’ last five games stayed under total.

Wizards won seven of last nine games with Milwaukee; Bucks are 1-3 vs spread in last four trips to Washington. Five of last seven series games stayed under total. Milwaukee is 5-7 in its last 12 games; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five tries as road underdogs. Over is 17-4 in their last 21 games. Washington won its last four games; they’re 7-4 in last 11 games as home favorites. Over is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

Pelicans are 5-3 in last eight games with Minnesota; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits to the Twin Cities. Eight of last nine series games went over. New Orleans won four of its last six games; they’re 6-6 as road underdogs. Four of their last six games stayed under the total. Minnesota lost three of last five games; they’re 2-10 vs spread in last 12 games as home favorites. Wolves’ last five games stayed under total.

Nuggets won their last four games with Sacramento; they’re 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here. Four of last five series games stayed under the total. Denver won five of its last seven games; they’re they’re 8-10-1 vs spread on road. Five of their last seven games stayed under total. Sacramento lost five of its last six games; they’re 7-6 as home underdogs. Five of their last six games went over the total.

**Udog** · 01-06-2018, 08:42 AM

NBA

Saturday, January 6

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Trend Report
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GOLDEN STATE @ LA CLIPPERS
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing LA Clippers
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against LA Clippers
LA Clippers is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home
LA Clippers is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

BOSTON @ BROOKLYN
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home
Brooklyn is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

HOUSTON @ DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Houston's last 8 games when playing on the road against Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Detroit's last 8 games when playing at home against Houston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games

CHICAGO @ INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Indiana's last 9 games when playing at home against Chicago
Indiana is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Chicago

CLEVELAND @ ORLANDO
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Orlando
Cleveland is 17-1 SU in its last 18 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Orlando's last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Orlando's last 5 games

MILWAUKEE @ WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Milwaukee's last 17 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Washington is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee

NEW ORLEANS @ MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 8 of New Orleans's last 9 games when playing Minnesota
New Orleans is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Minnesota's last 9 games when playing New Orleans

DENVER @ SACRAMENTO
Denver is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Denver is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Denver

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**Udog** · 01-06-2018, 09:33 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, January 6

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GOLDEN STATE (31 - 8) at LA CLIPPERS (17 - 20) - 1/6/2018, 3:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-3 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 9-0 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (32 - 10) at BROOKLYN (15 - 23) - 1/6/2018, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
BOSTON is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
BROOKLYN is 10-24 ATS (-16.4 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 6-4 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 8-2 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
5 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (14 - 25) at INDIANA (19 - 19) - 1/6/2018, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 6-5 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 6-5 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CLEVELAND (25 - 13) at ORLANDO (12 - 27) - 1/6/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 6-23 ATS (-19.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-16 ATS (-14.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
ORLANDO is 13-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all games this season.
ORLANDO is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) as an underdog this season.
ORLANDO is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games this season.
ORLANDO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) on Saturday games over the last 3 seasons.
ORLANDO is 62-92 ATS (-39.2 Units) in home games when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.
ORLANDO is 22-34 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game this season.
ORLANDO is 14-26 ATS (-14.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 7-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (27 - 10) at DETROIT (20 - 17) - 1/6/2018, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (20 - 17) at WASHINGTON (23 - 16) - 1/6/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 150-190 ATS (-59.0 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 38-17 ATS (+19.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 8-17 ATS (-10.7 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-3 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 7-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW ORLEANS (19 - 18) at MINNESOTA (24 - 16) - 1/6/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 40-69 ATS (-35.9 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.
NEW ORLEANS is 69-40 ATS (+25.0 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 25-39 ATS (-17.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 40-59 ATS (-24.9 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (21 - 17) at SACRAMENTO (12 - 25) - 1/6/2018, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 174-221 ATS (-69.1 Units) when playing on back-to-back days since 1996.
DENVER is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in January games over the last 3 seasons.
SACRAMENTO is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in home games on Saturday games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 5-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 5-4 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 01-06-2018, 12:45 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, January 6

Golden State @ LA Clippers

Game 501-502
January 6, 2018 @ 3:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
127.239
LA Clippers
121.421
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 6
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 8 1/2
226
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+8 1/2); Over

Boston @ Brooklyn

Game 503-504
January 6, 2018 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
119.727
Brooklyn
117.654
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 2
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 5
208
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+5); Under

Chicago @ Indiana

Game 505-506
January 6, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
113.202
Indiana
120.199
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 7
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 4 1/2
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-4 1/2); Under

Cleveland @ Orlando

Game 507-508
January 6, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
124.766
Orlando
110.812
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 14
228
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 8 1/2
221
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-8 1/2); Over

Houston @ Detroit

Game 509-510
January 6, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
125.762
Detroit
115.398
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 10 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 4
213
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-4); Under

Milwaukee @ Washington

Game 511-512
January 6, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
117.312
Washington
124.786
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 7 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 4
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-4); Over

New Orleans @ Minnesota

Game 513-514
January 6, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
120.404
Minnesota
118.919
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 1 1/2
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 2
218 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(+2); Under

Denver @ Sacramento

Game 515-516
January 6, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
117.823
Sacramento
115.702
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 5 1/2
207
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+5 1/2); Over

Announcement

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/6

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/6

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