Announcement

**Udog** · 01-05-2018, 08:04 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

Super Bowl exacta odds: winner listed first

6-1— Patriots over Vikimgs

15-2— Vikings over Patriots

8-1— Vikings over Steelers

11-1— Patriots over Eagles, Patriots over Rams, Patriots over Saints

12-1— Steelers over Vikings

14-1— Saints over Patriots

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Random stuff with weekend here…….

13) Carson Palmer retired this week; he earned $174,148,722 in his NFL career, which means he can do whatever he wants the rest of his life, but lot of athletes have trouble finding something to do that is as stimulating/interesting as playing ball.

Former Phillies star Mike Schmidt talked about that after he retired, how he has struggled to find something that motivates him like baseball did. Schmidt does Phillies games on TV on the weekends; he tried managing in the minor leagues, but that didn’t last long.

12) This would be an interesting TV series; looking up retired athletes and seeing what they’re doing now. Anfernee Hardaway is an interesting person to look at— he coaches high school basketball in Memphis now, and has a really good team. Hardaway earned over $120M in his playing career.

11) TV ratings for the college football bowl games were up 7% from last year; yes, there are too many bowls, but yes, people are watching them.

10) Snowy day here today at Armadillo World HQ; it is a windy, snowy mess here, but was also a solid day of movies on TV. Bull Durham, Blue Chips, The Bodyguard, plus I found a Without a Trace marathon. Better than braving the elements outside on a cruddy winter day.

9) Kevin Durant donated $3M to the University of Texas to support the basketball program and the Center for Sports Leadership and Innovation. Durant only played one season at Texas, before heading on to the NBA.

8) RIP Rob Picciolo 64, who passed away this week. Picciolo played nine years in the majors, six of them for the A’s— he was a solid fielder who today would be a super-utility guy. He had been coaching in the major leagues, with the Angels and Padres.

7) Central Florida went 13-0 this year, joining this list of smaller-budget football programs that had an unbeaten season. Here is how the other four teams did the following season:

Utah, 2005— 7-5, won Emerald Bowl 38-10
Boise State, 2007— 10-3, lost Hawai’i Bowl 41-38
Utah, 2009— 10-3, won Poinsettia Bowl 24-13
TCU, 2011— 11-2, won Poinsettia Bowl 31-24

6) Lot of college basketball teams have almost no depth; Syracuse lost 73-67 at Wake Forest on Wednesday; they played two guys the whole 40:00, two others 37:00. Their subs played a total of only fifteen minutes.

5) Sign of the Times: In Tulsa’s 90-88 double OT win over UConn Wednesday, Golden Hurricane made 17-41 3-pointers, 25-36 on foul line, but only 7-23 inside the arc. Shooting has become a huge skill, since teams that don’t have much depth play more zone.

4) Guy named Briceton Branch won around $1.3M when he won this year’s Westgate SuperContest, where you pony up $1,500, then pick five NFL games a week against the spread. More than 2,700 handicappers were involved this season, the biggest one they’ve had.

3) Football coaches are gypsies; Giants’ offensive coordinator Mike Sullivan is the new QB coach in Denver. Rumors on the Interweb Thursday had the Broncos more interested in acquiring Kirk Cousins than Eli Manning- they’re desperate to upgrade their QB play from the last two years.

2) There are rumblings that Donald Trump is going to the Alabama-Georgia game Monday nite, raising the possibility that player(s) on either team might take a knee during national anthem; seeing how there will be roughly 200 players on the sidelines, what are the odds that we get thru the night without some politically-inspired drama?

1) Warm thought of the day: Dodgers’ spring training tickets go on sale Friday morning; tickets are $3 cheaper if you buy them in advance, as opposed to buying them the day of the game.

**Udog** · 01-05-2018, 08:18 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, January 5

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NEW YORK (18 - 20) at MIAMI (20 - 17) - 1/5/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 36-22 ATS (+11.8 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (20 - 16) at PHILADELPHIA (18 - 19) - 1/5/2018, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-3 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 6-3 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (24 - 15) at BOSTON (31 - 10) - 1/5/2018, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
BOSTON is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
BOSTON is 39-26 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.
MINNESOTA is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (26 - 10) at MILWAUKEE (20 - 16) - 1/5/2018, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 63-41 ATS (+17.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 129-165 ATS (-52.5 Units) after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 9-6 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 12-3 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (13 - 25) at DALLAS (13 - 26) - 1/5/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 85-51 ATS (+28.9 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.
CHICAGO is 158-121 ATS (+24.9 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-0 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (15 - 25) at SAN ANTONIO (26 - 13) - 1/5/2018, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1024-896 ATS (+38.4 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 820-697 ATS (+53.3 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in home games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 416-334 ATS (+48.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
PHOENIX is 162-117 ATS (+33.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
PHOENIX is 26-9 ATS (+16.1 Units) after allowing 130 points or more since 1996.
PHOENIX is 46-28 ATS (+15.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 6-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 8-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (16 - 22) at DENVER (20 - 17) - 1/5/2018, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 49-74 ATS (-32.4 Units) in road games in January games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 6-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 8-3 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
10 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (22 - 16) at MEMPHIS (12 - 26) - 1/5/2018, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 150-195 ATS (-64.5 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in January games over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 13-23 ATS (-12.3 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in home games this season.
MEMPHIS is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 3-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 3-2 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (10 - 27) at PORTLAND (19 - 18) - 1/5/2018, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 3-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 4-1 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (14 - 23) at LA LAKERS (11 - 26) - 1/5/2018, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 49-63 ATS (-20.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 23-39 ATS (-19.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
LA LAKERS are 157-203 ATS (-66.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 3-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 4-1 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 01-05-2018, 08:19 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, January 5

New York won three of last four games with Miami; road team won six of last seven series games. Knicks covered their last three visits here. Under is 7-1 in last eight series games. Knicks lost six of their last seven games; they’re 4-10 as road underdogs. Six of their last nine games stayed under total. Miami won seven of its last ten games; Heat is 3-7-1 vs spread as home favorites. Under is 9-4 in their last 13 games.

Pistons won six of their last nine games with Philly; Detroit covered three of its last four visits here. Four of last five series games stayed under the total. Pistons won six of their last nine games; they’re 11-8 vs spread on road. Three of their last four games went under total. 76ers won four of their last five games, are 9-7 vs spread at home. Three of their last four games went over total.

Celtics won five of last seven games with Minnesota; home side won nine of last ten series tilts. Wolves are 0-5 vs spread in last five visits here. Minnesota won seven of its last nine games; they’re 5-5 as road underdogs. Wolves’ last four games stayed under the total. Celtics won five of their last six games, are 2-5-1 in last eight tries as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under total.

Raptors won their last four games with Milwaukee; they’re 2-2 vs spread in their last four visits to Wisconsin. Six of last nine series games stayed under the total. Toronto won nine of its last 11 games; they’re 6-5 as road favorites. Three of their last four games went over total. Milwaukee won three of its last four games; they’re 9-8-2 vs spread at home. Over is 11-2 in Bucks’ last 13 games.

Mavericks won their last four games with Chicago; Bulls are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Dallas. Under is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Chicago lost its last three games; they’re 13-3 vs spread in their last 16 games, 10-7-1 as road underdogs. Over is 10-2 in their last dozen games. Dallas won four of its last five games; they’re 4-4 as home favorites. Six of their last eight games went over total.

Spurs won nine of last ten games with Phoenix (6-4 vs spread); Suns are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to the Alamo, four of which stayed under the total. Phoenix is 6-4 in its last ten games, 10-7 vs spread as road underdogs. Three of their last four games went over total. San Antonio won seven of its last ten games; they’re 5-1 in last six tries as home favorites. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Jazz won seven of last ten games with Denver; home side won nine of last ten series games. Utah is 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Denver. Under is 9-1 in last ten series games. Utah lost seven of last nine games; they’re 4-10 as road underdogs. Six of their last seven games stayed under total. Denver won four of last six games; they’re 9-6 as home favorites. four of their last six games stayed under total.

Home side won eight of last ten Washington-Memphis games; Wizards are 2-2 vs spread in last four visits here. Three of last four series games stayed under the total. Washington won five of its last six games; they’re 2-4 as road favorites. Over is 4-1-1 in their last six games. Memphis split its last six games after a 2-19 skid; they’re 3-5 as home underdogs. Five of their last six games went over total.

Hawks won six of last seven games with Portland; they covered last three games in Oregon. Last four series games stayed under total. Atlanta lost 8 of last 12 games; they’re 7-1 vs spread in last eight games as road underdogs. Last four Atlanta games stayed under the total. Portland lost by 15 in Atlanta Saturday; they’re 3-2 in last five games overall, 3-10-1 vs spread as home favorites. Three of their last four games went over total.

Lakers lost five of last six games with Charlotte; three of last four series games stayed under the total. Hornets are 2-1-1 vs spread in last four series games played here. Charlotte split its last eight games; they’re 6-8-3 vs spread on road. Three of their last four games stayed under total. Lakers lost their last eight games; they’re 6-9 as home underdogs. 10 of their last 12 games went over total.

**Udog** · 01-05-2018, 08:22 AM

NBA

Friday, January 5

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Trend Report
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DETROIT @ PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Detroit's last 15 games on the road
Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

MINNESOTA @ BOSTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Minnesota

NEW YORK @ MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of New York's last 8 games when playing Miami
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New York's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 8 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami's last 9 games at home

TORONTO @ MILWAUKEE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Toronto's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Milwaukee's last 10 games at home

CHICAGO @ DALLAS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Chicago's last 8 games
Dallas is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games at home

PHOENIX @ SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing on the road against San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Phoenix's last 13 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix

UTAH @ DENVER
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing on the road against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Utah's last 12 games when playing Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing at home against Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Denver's last 12 games when playing Utah

WASHINGTON @ MEMPHIS
Washington is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 8 games on the road
Memphis is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games

ATLANTA @ PORTLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing on the road against Portland
Atlanta is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Portland
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Portland's last 8 games when playing at home against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Portland's last 5 games when playing Atlanta

CHARLOTTE @ LA LAKERS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Charlotte's last 7 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
Charlotte is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games when playing at home against Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games at home

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**Udog** · 01-05-2018, 10:00 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, January 5

New York @ Miami

Game 801-802
January 5, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
116.505
Miami
118.199
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 5
203
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+5); Under

Detroit @ Philadelphia

Game 803-804
January 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
119.223
Philadelphia
118.334
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
N/A

Minnesota @ Boston

Game 805-806
January 5, 2018 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
117.231
Boston
123.409
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 6
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 4
206
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-4); Under

Toronto @ Milwaukee

Game 807-808
January 5, 2018 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
123.442
Milwaukee
120.319
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 3
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
Pick
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
Over

Chicago @ Dallas

Game 809-810
January 5, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
113.221
Dallas
121.727
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 8 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 4
214
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-4); Under

Phoenix @ San Antonio

Game 811-812
January 5, 2018 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
108.712
San Antonio
122.663
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 14
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 12
210
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-12); Over

Utah @ Denver

Game 813-814
January 5, 2018 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
117.989
Denver
120.422
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 2 1/2
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 6 1/2
205
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(+6 1/2); Over

Washington @ Memphis

Game 815-816
January 5, 2018 @ 9:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
118.616
Memphis
117.522
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+5); Under

Atlanta @ Portland

Game 817-818
January 5, 2018 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
110.223
Portland
119.812
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 9 1/2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 7
208
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-7); Under

Charlotte @ LA Lakers

Game 819-820
January 5, 2018 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
119.624
LA Lakers
114.209
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Charlotte
by 5 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Charlotte
by 2
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Charlotte
(-2); Over

Announcement

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/5

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 1/5

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