Announcement

**Udog** · 12-27-2017, 08:34 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Odds to win their first World Series title before these other teams do:

7-5— Washington Nationals

3-1— Colorado Rockies

8-1— Seattle Mariners

8-1— Tampa Bay Rays

8-1— Texas Rangers

15-1— Milwaukee Brewers

20-1— San Diego Padres

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Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings…….

13) If you bet the San Francisco 49ers over/under win total for this season, your mood turned when Jimmy Garoppolo became the Niners’ starting QB.

When the 49ers were 0-9, under 4.5 wins looked golden; now they’re 5-10 and under is a loser, over is a surprising winner, which is a good example of how season-long prop bets can be dicey, since Garoppolo was in Foxboro for the first half of this season.

12) If you have Showtime on your TV and are looking for some good binge-watching, Season 2 of Billions will run all day Sunday, starting at 7am. Season 1 ran all day Christmas Eve; got to see some episodes of this terrific program before and after football, which was fun.

11) In their last five games, Arizona Cardinals have held their opponents to 10-58 on third down, which is really good defense. Redbirds are only 7-8, but they’re still playing hard.

10) Speaking of the Cardinals, reports are out that Bruce Arians won’t be back as coach next year. Arians is 48-30-1 in Arizona, but is 65 and has had some health issues recently. Redbirds have an older roster (11 players are older than Sean McVay)- they’re going to miss Arians.

9) I mentioned Artis Gilmore briefly last week; the former Jacksonville center played 17 years in the NBA/ABA— he played 80+ games in 13 times, including his first eight years in ABA, where teams didn’t own their own airplanes, and teams sometimes played three nights in a row.

Gilmore averaged 18.7 ppg, 12.3 rpg in his career; he played 41+ mpg in his first four years, 37.4+ mpg in seven of his first eight years, 34.1+ mpg in his first 11 years. In other words, he wasn’t soft like some of today’s stars, who whine about every little inconvenience while making eight figure salaries.

8) If you didn’t see DeAndre Hopkins’ TD catch against the Steelers Monday night, go find it on ESPN.com on YouTube— just a great catch.

7) Surprising fact: This is first time since 2010 the Steelers have a first round bye in the playoffs.

6) US Presidents are not allowed to accept gifts from foreign governments that are worth more than $390; am wondering how they came up with that amount as a limit, but thats the rule.

5) I was wondering about this so I looked it up; in NFL games this season where turnovers were even, the favorite is 27-28-2 vs spread this season. Was hoping for a more dramatic %age that would tell me something, but we don’t always get what we want.

4) Miami Dolphins have only three rushing TD’s this year; only team in last 20 years with fewer than that? The 2005 Arizona Cardinals had only two rushing TD’s all season.

3) Paxton Lynch will start at QB for the Broncos this week………I’m really not sure why, other than they want to take one more look at Lynch before the offseason. Denver has to make a move for a franchise quarterback this winter— it is hard to believe that their 2018 starter is currently on their roster, but I said the same thing about them at this time last year.

2) New England Patriots signed LB James Harrison for the rest of the season, after the Steelers surprisingly cut him last week. The 39-year old Harrison lost his starting job this season- he played a total of 40 snaps the whole season.

1) Isaiah Thomas is going to be ready to play pretty soon, which is going to change some things for the Cavaliers; Thomas was the #3 scorer in the NBA last year for Boston; he played 33.8 mpg LY, so that is 33 minutes a game that current Cavaliers are going to sit.

Cleveland is 24-10, so the guys who’ve been playing now are doing well; going to take selfless guys to accept a “demotion” with Thomas returning, and it will take a few games for everyone to get used to playing together, with some guys taking a lot fewer shots, and even Thomas having the ball a lot less than he is used to having it.

**Udog** · 12-27-2017, 09:39 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, December 27

Boston @ Charlotte

Game 701-702
December 27, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
121.562
Charlotte
116.231
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 5 1/2
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 1
206
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-1); Over

Dallas @ Indiana

Game 703-704
December 27, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
114.677
Indiana
123.719
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 9
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 5 1/2
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(-5 1/2); Over

Washington @ Atlanta

Game 705-706
December 27, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
117.422
Atlanta
115.506
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 6
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(+6); Under

Brooklyn @ New Orleans

Game 707-708
December 27, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
113.221
New Orleans
120.418
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 7
214
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 10
220 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+10); Under

New York @ Chicago

Game 709-710
December 27, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
118.342
Chicago
114.897
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 3 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
Pick
207
Dunkel Pick:
New York
Over

Toronto @ Oklahoma City

Game 711-712
December 27, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
118.723
Oklahoma City
123.619
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 5
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 2 1/2
211
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-2 1/2); Over

Denver @ Minnesota

Game 713-714
December 27, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
117.894
Minnesota
119.342
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
219
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 5
214 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+5); Over

Cleveland @ Sacramento

Game 715-716
December 27, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
121.498
Sacramento
114.557
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 7
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 10
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+10); Over

Memphis @ LA Lakers

Game 717-718
December 27, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
112.148
LA Lakers
116.559
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Lakers
by 4 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Lakers
by 1 1/2
198 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Lakers
(-1 1/2); Over

Utah @ Golden State

Game 719-720
December 27, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
114.129
Golden State
129.633
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 15 1/2
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 12
205 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-12); Over

**Udog** · 12-27-2017, 09:42 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, December 27

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BOSTON (27 - 10) at CHARLOTTE (12 - 21) - 12/27/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 22-13 ATS (+7.7 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
CHARLOTTE is 47-61 ATS (-20.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 7-15 ATS (-9.5 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (9 - 25) at INDIANA (19 - 14) - 12/27/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 391-323 ATS (+35.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 489-414 ATS (+33.6 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 80-52 ATS (+22.8 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 271-222 ATS (+26.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-1 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-1 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (19 - 15) at ATLANTA (8 - 25) - 12/27/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 8-7 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 10-5 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
8 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (12 - 20) at NEW ORLEANS (17 - 16) - 12/27/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 3-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (17 - 16) at CHICAGO (10 - 22) - 12/27/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 58-41 ATS (+12.9 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 26-11 ATS (+13.9 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 6-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (23 - 8) at OKLAHOMA CITY (19 - 15) - 12/27/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-21 ATS (-11.1 Units) in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-2 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-2 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DENVER (18 - 15) at MINNESOTA (21 - 13) - 12/27/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 23-37 ATS (-17.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 39-58 ATS (-24.8 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-33 ATS (-20.3 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CLEVELAND (24 - 10) at SACRAMENTO (11 - 21) - 12/27/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-21 ATS (-18.1 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-22 ATS (-13.2 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-14 ATS (-12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 3-2 against the spread versus SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 4-1 straight up against SACRAMENTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (10 - 23) at LA LAKERS (11 - 21) - 12/27/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 10-21 ATS (-13.1 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
MEMPHIS is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
LA LAKERS are 157-201 ATS (-64.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA LAKERS is 4-4 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 4-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (15 - 19) at GOLDEN STATE (27 - 7) - 12/27/2017, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 6-5 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 10-1 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-27-2017, 09:45 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, December 27

Hornets lost nine of their last ten games with Boston; Celtics covered their last five visits to North Carolina- three of last four series games stayed under the total. Celtics lost three of their last four games; they’re 7-5 as road favorites. Over is 5-2-1 in their last eight games. Charlotte lost 12 of last 16 games; they’re 1-4 as home underdogs. Last three Hornet games stayed under the total.

Pacers won five of their last six games with Dallas; six of last seven series games went over. Mavericks are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits here. Dallas lost 8 of its last 11 games; they’re 5-2 in last seven games as road underdogs, 2-4 vs spread if they played night before. Last three Maverick games went over total. Pacers are 3-4 in last seven games; they’re 1-4 in last five games as home favorites, 4-3 vs spread if they played night before. Under is 8-3 in their last 11 games.

Washington won eight of its last ten games with Atlanta; they’re 2-2 vs spread in their last four games in this arena. Under is 6-3-1 in last ten series games. Wizards won five of their last seven games; they’re 2-3 vs spread as road favorites. Three of their last four games went over total. Atlanta lost six of its last eight games; they’re 5-8 as home underdogs. Over is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Pelicans won six of last seven games with Brooklyn; Nets are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Bourbon Street. Over is 7-3 in last ten series games. Brooklyn lost six of its last seven games; under is 11-2 in their last 13 games. Nets are 9-3 vs spread in last 12 games as road underdogs. New Orleans split its last 12 games; they’re 5-6 vs spread as home favorites. Over is 11-2 in their last 13 games.

Knicks won five of last six games with Chicago; they’re 3-3 vs spread in last six visits here. Over is 6-4 in last ten series games. Knicks lost three of their last four games; they’re 3-9 vs spread on road. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. Chicago won eight of its last ten games; they’re 10-5 vs spread at home, 3-2 vs spread if they played night before. Six of Bulls’ last seven games went over.

Road team won seven of last nine Raptor-Thunder games; Toronto covered its last four visits to OKC. Last three series games went over total. Toronto won won six of last seven games; they’re 5-2 as road underdogs, 3-1 vs spread if they played night before. Six of their last nine games stayed under. Oklahoma City won its last five games; they’re 1-7-1 vs spread in last nine games as home favorites. Four of their last five games stayed under the total.

Minnesota won its last three games with Denver; under is 5-1 in last six series games. Nuggets covered their last five visits to the Twin Cities. Denver won/covered its last three games; they’re 5-0-1 vs spread in last six games as road dogs, 2-2 if they played night before. Minnesota won seven of its last nine games; they’re 1-9 vs spread in last ten games as home favorites. Six of their last seven games went over the total.

Cavaliers won five of their last six games with Sacramento; they’re 2-2-1 vs spread in last five visits here. Four of last five series games went over the total. Cleveland won 19 of its last 22 games; they’re 5-6 vs spread as road favorites. Under is 8-2 in their last ten road games. Sacramento lost four of its last six games; they’re 6-4 as home underdogs. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Lakers won four of last five games with Memphis; over is 6-1-1 in last eight series games. Grizzlies are 1-5 vs spread in last six series games played here. Memphis lost 20 of its last 23 games; they’re 6-5 vs spread as road underdogs, 1-4 vs spread they played night before. Lakers lost six of their last seven games; they’re 2-2 as home favorites. Six of their last seven games went over total.

Warriors won nine of last ten games with Utah (6-4 vs spread); Jazz covered their last three games in Oakland. Under is 7-2-1 in last ten series games. Utah lost nine of its last 11 games; they’re 4-10 as road underdogs, 5-3 vs spread if they played night before. Five of their last six games stayed under. Golden State won 13 of its last 14 games; they’re 8-9 vs spread as home favorites. Seven of their last nine games stayed under total.

**Udog** · 12-27-2017, 09:49 AM

NBA

Wednesday, December 27

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Trend Report
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DALLAS @ INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Dallas's last 7 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Indiana's last 7 games when playing Dallas
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Dallas

BOSTON @ CHARLOTTE
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Charlotte
Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Charlotte
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Charlotte's last 10 games when playing at home against Boston

WASHINGTON @ ATLANTA
Washington is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Washington's last 16 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
Atlanta is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games when playing at home against Washington

NEW YORK @ CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New York's last 7 games when playing on the road against Chicago
New York is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Chicago
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games at home

TORONTO @ OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 7 games when playing on the road against Oklahoma City
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Oklahoma City is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Oklahoma City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

DENVER @ MINNESOTA
Denver is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Denver is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

BROOKLYN @ NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games when playing at home against Brooklyn

CLEVELAND @ SACRAMENTO
Cleveland is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Sacramento is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

MEMPHIS @ LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of LA Lakers's last 7 games

UTAH @ GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Utah's last 21 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Golden State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Utah

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Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/27

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/27

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