Announcement

**Udog** · 12-21-2017, 08:34 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

— Bulls 112, Magic 94— Chicago was 3-20; now all of a sudden they’ve won 7 in a row.

— Jazz rookie Donovan Mitchell is scoring 17.7 ppg; he doesn’t own a car yet.

— Indians replace 1B Carlos Santana with Yonder Alonso (2 years, $16M).

— Lakers 122, Rockets 116— Houston’s 14-game winning streak ends.

— Louisville 70, Albany 68— Great Danes were up 3 at the last TV timeout; they were +15 on boards, but McMahon scored 15 points off bench for Louisville.

— USC declared sophomore De’Anthony Melton ineligible, a big blow to the Trojans’ hopes this season.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

13) Sad day for baseball fans in Tampa Bay/St Pete; Rays traded 3B Evan Longoria to the Giants Wednesday, for Denard Span, Christian Arroyo and two minor leaguers.

Longoria is one of the two best players in Rays’ history (Carl Crawford being the other); he helped lead the underdog Rays to the 2008 World Series.

Wouldn’t be stunned if the Rays wound up moving to Montreal and becoming the Expos.

12) Tampa Bay’s final 2017 payroll was $81,346,870; only three MLB teams had a payroll lower than that. Of the other four AL East teams, the next lowest payroll was $165,179,831.

11) Also in the AL East, Orioles’ closer Zach Britton ruptured his achilles tendon and will miss the next 6-8 months, and possibly the whole 2018 season.

10) Los Angeles Rams average 4.73 points/red zone drive, which ranks 18th in NFL in ppp, but the thing is, Rams have been in the red zone 64 times this year, six more times than anyone else in the NFL. Patriots are second, with 58 red zone drives. Bears are last, with only 28. (Red zone drives are when you get inside the other team’s 20-yard line)

9) Why are Rams’ punter Johnny Hekker and PR Pharoh Cooper in the Pro Bowl? Because field position is important, and these two guys have helped the Rams win field position most every week.

This season, Rams have started 85 drives 75+ yards from goal line; their opponents have started 123 drives on their own 25 or worse. Thats a difference of almost three drives per game.

8) One more piece of Rams’ news and it isn’t good news; kicker Greg Zuerlein has a herniated disc in his back, is done for the season. Zuerlein had a great year, is the NFC’s Pro Bowl kicker, but he is having back surgery today. Rams signed Sam Ficken, who kicked in college at Penn State.

7) If ESPN insists on showing so many of Duke’s pre-conference games, could they at least play good teams? As I’m typing this, they’re beating banged-up Evansville 53-18. Play a true road game now and then; it won’t kill you. Might even help you play better in March.

6) A legislative election in Virginia wound up being a tie, and that election could’ve swung which party holds the majority in the state. If you’re unhappy with how the government is doing, register and vote every November. You never know how much of a difference you might make.

5) Former Cowboys’ RB Darren McFadden sued his former agent for screwing up a Bitcoin deal that cost McFadden $3M, amongst other shenanigans that cost the RB another $12M.

Someone came out this week and said that if McFadden’s $3M Bitcoin investment had gone thru back in 2008, it would be worth $237M now. Whoops.

4) Louisiana Tech 51, SMU 10— SMU’s play-caller in this game is a grad assistant; you NEVER see that in big time college football, but Sonny Dykes just got hired by the Mustangs and he isn’t 100% up to speed on the team’s playbook yet. Two nights in a row, though, terrible bowl games.

Louisiana Tech alum Terry Bradshaw was an honorary captain for this game, which was played at a soccer stadium in Frisco, TX that seats around 20,000 people.

3) Wofford 79, North Carolina 75— Terriers were a 24.5-point underdog, but held Tar Heels to 36.4% from floor, and survived being outscored 28-16 on foul line. .

2) When the Miami Marlins were crying poor so they could get their new domed stadium 10 years ago, they actually made $35.6M profit in 2007, 2nd-most in the major leagues that season. Going to be a lot of bitter people in south Florida next summer, with that beautiful stadium hosting the worst team in the major leagues, because new owners are dumping all the good players to save $$$

1) DirecTV calls me the other day and tries to get me to buy even more premium channels; the problem is, the person on the phone? I can’t understand what she is saying- she talks really fast and well.…I just couldn’t understand her.

I’ve hit my ceiling on how much I’m spending for TV anyway, but you’d think they’d put people on the phone who you can understand when they speak.

**Udog** · 12-21-2017, 09:40 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 21

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TORONTO (21 - 8) at PHILADELPHIA (14 - 16) - 12/21/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 7-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 8-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (10 - 20) at CLEVELAND (23 - 9) - 12/21/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in December games this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in all games this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-20 ATS (-17.0 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 11-20 ATS (-11.0 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 8-2 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-3 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
6 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (26 - 8) at NEW YORK (16 - 14) - 12/21/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 6-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 7-2 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (9 - 22) at PHOENIX (11 - 22) - 12/21/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
MEMPHIS is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.
PHOENIX is 45-28 ATS (+14.2 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 35-53 ATS (-23.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 5-2 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (22 - 10) at UTAH (14 - 18) - 12/21/2017, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 5-2 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 21

Embiid (back) is a ?? here- check status. 76ers lost nine of last ten games with Toronto; over is 8-2 in those games. Raptors are 4-1 vs spread in last five visits here. Raptors won nine of last 11 games; they’re 9-7 vs spread on road, 5-2 as an underdog. Four of their last six games stayed under total. 76ers lost seven of last eight games; they’re 6-5 as a home favorite. Four of their last five games went over total.

Bulls are 7-3 in last ten games with Cleveland, but Cavaliers won last two; Chicago is 5-0 vs spread in last five visits here. Under is 6-4 in last ten series games. Chicago won its last seven games, covered last eight; they’re 8-6-1 as road underdogs. Five of their last seven games went over total. Cleveland is 18-2 in its last 20 games; they’re 4-13 as home favorites. Under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Celtics won eight of their last ten games with New York; they covered last three visits to Madison Square Garden. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Celtics split their last eight games; they’re 11-4 vs spread on road. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games. New York won four of its last five games; they’re 14-5 vs spread at home. Five of their last six games went over the total.

Memphis won eight of its last ten games with Phoenix; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits here. Four of last six series games went over the total. Memphis lost 18 of its last 20 games; they’re 7-6 vs spread on road, 0-2 as favorites. Under is 4-0-1 in their last five games. Phoenix lost six of last eight games; they’re 4-8 as home dogs. Six of their last seven games stayed under total.

Spurs won six of last eight games with Utah; they’re 2-2-1 vs spread in last five visits to SLC. Six of last eight series games went over the total. Spurs won seven of last nine games; they’re 2-5 vs spread if they played the night before. Four of their last six games stayed under total. Banged-up Utah lost seven of last eight games; they’re 3-2 as home underdogs. Five of their last seven games went over.

NBA

Thursday, December 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO @ CLEVELAND
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Chicago is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 18-2 SU in its last 20 games

TORONTO @ PHILADELPHIA
Toronto is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games when playing Philadelphia
Toronto is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto

BOSTON @ NEW YORK
Boston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing New York
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against New York
New York is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 6 games

MEMPHIS @ PHOENIX
Memphis is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Memphis is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Phoenix's last 12 games when playing at home against Memphis

SAN ANTONIO @ UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of San Antonio's last 10 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Antonio's last 5 games when playing Utah
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Utah is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-21-2017, 01:48 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Thursday, December 21

Toronto @ Philadelphia

Game 501-502
December 21, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
119.704
Philadelphia
120.632
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 1
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 3
216
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+3); Over

Chicago @ Cleveland

Game 503-504
December 21, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
118.023
Cleveland
124.655
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 6 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 11 1/2
214
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+11 1/2); Under

Boston @ New York

Game 505-506
December 21, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
124.856
New York
117.423
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 7 1/2
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 2 1/2
202
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-2 1/2); Under

Memphis @ Phoenix

Game 507-508
December 21, 2017 @ 9:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
117.985
Phoenix
112,432
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 5 1/2
211
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Memphis
Pick
201
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
Over

San Antonio @ Utah

Game 509-510
December 21, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Antonio
118.504
Utah
120.104
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 1 1/2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 3 1/2
197
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(+3 1/2); Over

Announcement

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/21

Thursday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/21

Comment

Comment

Comment