Announcement

**Udog** · 12-18-2017, 08:57 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top 6 picks in Week 15 in the Westgate Super Contest:

6) Dallas Cowboys, -3 (595)- T

5) Los Angeles Rams, +2 (621)- W

4) New England Patriots, -3 (670)- T

3) Los Angeles Chargers, even (719)- L

2) Kansas City Chiefs, even (750)- W

1) San Francisco 49ers, -2 (765)- T

Record of top 6 picks each week: 44-43-3

**********

Armadillo: Monday's Den: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Patriots 27, Steelers 24— NFL needs to fix its catch rule; it lacks common sense, but lets be real- Steelers could’ve kicked a FG on the next play and gone to OT. They gambled on the last play and it blew up on them the same way it blew up on Seattle in their Super Bowl loss to NE.

Steelers converted 10-16 on 3rd down, outgained Patriots 413-360; they had 63 penalty yards, New England had 4 penalty yards. Four. This was the 3rd time in their last five games that New England had either one or two accepted penalties. Go figure.

Patriots are now 13-2 vs spread coming off their last fifteen losses.

Rams 42, Seahawks 7— Rams scored five TDs in this game, none on scoring drives longer than 47 yards; LA won field position by 24 yards, ran ball for 244 yards and totally dominated Seahawks’ offensive line. This was the Rams’ biggest game since 2003, and they came up huge.

Rams haven’t clinched anything yet, but they look to be headed to the #3 seed in NFC. As for the Seahawks, Pete Carroll has to get them ready to play in Dallas Sunday- they’ll need help to make the playoffs, but they ain’t dead yet. Carroll has a lot of coaching to do this week.

Jaguars 45, Texans 7— Jacksonville is in the playoffs for the first time in 10 years, outgaining Houston 464-186 in this game. Jaguars won seven of last eight games, are right now the #3 seed in AFC- they visit Chargers, Titans in last two games.

As for Houston, games like this get coaches fired, but O’Brien/Watson were a potent combo when the rookie QB was healthy. Will be interesting to see if Texans bring O’Brien back in 2018, seeing how they’re 1-7 in their last eight games.

Cowboys 20, Raiders 17— In what was basically an elimination game between storied franchises, Dallas survived, thanks to winning a 4th down measurement by a millimeter, and then when Oakland QB Carr fumbled trying to stretch the ball over the goal line in the last minute- the ball went into the end zone for a touchback.

Favorites are 13-0 SU this week (Chiefs/Rams closed as pick ‘em), 10-2-1 vs spread.

Eagles 34, Giants 29— Eli Manning passed for 434 yards, but Philly won for 11th time in last 12 games, with two short TD drives of 20-18 yards. Eagles clinch a first-round bye in the playoffs; they were outgained 504-331 here, but they won field position by 11 yards and Nick Foles won his first start this season- he is 21-16 as an NFL starter. Philly is now 9-2 in its last 11 games vs the Giants in the Garden State.

49ers 25, Titans 23— Niners won four of last five games after an 0-9 start; Garoppolo is first QB since Ben Roethlisberger to win his first five NFL starts. Titans-Bills-Ravens are in 3-way tie for the two AFC Wild Card slots- the last two weeks are going to be fun.

Titans close with Rams/Jaguars at home; Ravens close with Colts/Bengals, Buffalo plays New England and Miami. Six of last eight Tennessee games were decided by 5 or less points.

Next summer, 49ers will be a fashionable Cinderella pick in the NFC- the media loves John Lynch, the 49ers’ new GM. And now SF has its quarterback of the future.

Panthers 31, Packers 24— Broken collarbones take 12 weeks to heal, whether its Aaron Rodgers’ collarbone or your collarbone or mine. He came back in eight weeks, was 26-45/290, with 3 TD’s, 3 INTs. You throw three INTs, you usually lose.

Carolina has won six of its last seven games; they close with the Bucs/Falcons. With Green Bay pretty much out of it now, do they play Rodgers the last two games, or let his collarbone heal fully and let Brett Hundley play the last two games?

Speaking of the Panthers, 81-year old owner Jerry Richardson will sell the team after news got out that he has paid off a few Panthers’ employees after they were harassed by Richardson, who has had a heart transplant and is the only NFL owner who also played in the league.

Steph Curry tweeted that he is interested in buying into the Panthers.

Vikings 34, Bengals 7— Minnesota clinches the NFC North by clubbing a disinterested Bengals team that will have a new coach next season. Cincy was outscored 67-14 in their last two games.

It is easy to criticize Marvin Lewis because he never won a playoff game (0-7) in Cincinnati, but he is also 123-119-3 as coach of the Bengals. Cincinnati’s three coaches before Lewis combined to go 52-124 from 1992-2002.

Wonder what odds you could’ve gotten in August for Case Keenum as NFL’s MVP?

Bills 24, Dolphins 16— Tennessee’s loss to the 49ers is a big boost to Buffalo’s playoff chances; Bllls were +3 in turnovers here, allowed only one TD in Miami’s three red zone drives and now they are 8-6. Miami came to western New York on a short work week and now they’ve been outscored 144-54 in their last four road games.

Home teams are 7-1-1 vs spread in AFC East divisional games this season.

Buffalo might want to practice clock management; they led 24-6 in 4th quarter, but Miami had the ball with 0;35 left near midfield, down 24-16, in what would’ve been an epic choke by Buffalo, which was snapping the ball with 0:10-0:20 left on play clock with 7-8 minutes left in the 4th quarter. Need to milk that play clock for every second you can when you’re protecting a 4th quarter lead.

Saints 31, Jets 19— Saints/Carolina are tied atop NFC South, but Saints swept Carolina. so they control own destiny. New Orleans has rematch with the Falcons this week; they’ve won their last six home games. Jets lost seven of last nine games. Saints had 7 plays of 20+ yards; they have 41 in their last six games.

Redskins 20, Cardinals 15— Hard to win when you don’t score a touchdown; Arizona is only team this week not to score an offensive TD- they had ball in the red zone six times, kicked five FG’. Cardinals ran 80 plays to Washington’s 47, but only gained 286 yards, completing only 16-41 passes. Washington was out-rushed 497-192 in its last three games.

Ravens 27, Browns 10— Baltimore won four of last five games; they’re in 3-way tie for two AFC Wild Cards, but right now, they’re odd team odd. Good news is that they close with couple of lame duck coaches, playing Colts/Bengals to finish season out.

Baltimore had a 17-yard edge in field position, as Browns are now 1-29 the last two years- they are 3-11 vs spread this year. From sounds of things, USC’s coaches should be happy Cleveland is so terrible; USC QB Sam Darnold doesn’t want to play there, may stay in school another year.

**Udog** · 12-18-2017, 09:25 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Monday, December 18

New York @ Charlotte

Game 701-702
December 18, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
118.762
Charlotte
116.599
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 2
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
New York
N/A

Boston @ Indiana

Game 703-704
December 18, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
122.204
Indiana
123.785
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 1 1/2
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 3
206
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+3); Over

Miami @ Atlanta

Game 705-706
December 18, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
119.872
Atlanta
112.498
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 7 1/2
208
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 2 1/2
201 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-2 1/2); Over

Philadelphia @ Chicago

Game 707-708
December 18, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
120.905
Chicago
113.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 7 1/2
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 1 1/2
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-1 1/2); Under

Denver @ Oklahoma City

Game 709-710
December 18, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
120.498
Oklahoma City
119.017
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 1 1/2
198
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
N/A

Utah @ Houston

Game 711-712
December 18, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
122.446
Houston
128.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 6
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
N/A

Portland @ Minnesota

Game 713-714
December 18, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
115.398
Minnesota
123.896
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 8 1/2
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
N/A

Phoenix @ Dallas

Game 715-716
December 18, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
110.786
Dallas
119.673
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 9
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 6
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-6); Under

LA Clippers @ San Antonio

Game 717-718
December 18, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
115.677
San Antonio
122.564
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 7
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 11 1/2
202 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+11 1/2); Over

Golden State @ LA Lakers

Game 719-720
December 18, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
124.566
LA Lakers
120.416
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 4
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
N/A

**Udog** · 12-18-2017, 09:26 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 18

Home side won eight of last nine Knick-Hornet games; New York covered three of last four games in Charlotte. Last five series games went over the total. New York won its last four games, is 2-8 vs spread on road, 0-2 as a favorite. Knicks’ last five games went over the total. Charlotte lost 10 of last 12 games; they’re 8-6 vs spread at home, 1-3 as an underdog. Under is 7-2 in Hornets’ last nine games.

Celtics won their last four games with Indiana; they’re 4-2 vs spread in last six visits here. Last three series games went over the total. Boston split its last six games; they’re 7-3 vs spread as road favorites. Over is 11-4-1 in their last 16 games. Pacers won five of their last seven games; they’re 3-3 vs spread as home underdogs. Five of their last six games stayed under the total.

Miami won six of last eight games with the Hawks; they covered their last four games in this building. Eight of their last ten games stayed under the total. Miami won four of its last five games; they’re 2-3 as road favorites. Heat’s last five games went under the total. Atlanta lost eight of its last ten games; they’re 4-6 as home underdogs. Four of their last six games went over the total.

76ers lost nine of last ten games with Chicago; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to the Windy City. Eight of last ten series games went over total. 76ers lost five of their last six games; they’re 2-1 as road favorites. Last three Philly games went over the total. Chicago won its last five games, covered its last six; they’re 6-2 vs spread in last eight tries as a home underdog. Four of Bulls’ last five games went over total.

Nuggets won last two games with the Thunder after losing previous eight; 2-3 vs spread in last five visits here. Last three series games stayed under total. Denver is 3-4 in its last seven games; they’re 3-5-1 as road underdogs. Five of their last seven games went over the total. Oklahoma City won six of its last nine games; they’re 0-5-1 vs spread in last six games as a home favorite. Four of their last five games went over.

Houston is 6-4 in its last ten games with Utah; over is 7-1 in last eight series games. Jazz is 2-4 vs spread in last six visits here. Utah lost five of last six games and now Goobers is hurt; they’re 4-2 in last six games as a road underdog. Four of last five Jazz games went over the total. Houston won its last 13 games; they are 6-7 as home favorites. Five of their last six games went over total.

Portland won seven of its last nine games with Minnesota; they’re 4-0 vs spread in last four trips to Twin Cities. Under is 5-1 in last six series games. Portland won its last three games, by 7-7-2 points; they’re 4-2-1 as road underdogs. Seven of their last nine games stayed under total. Minnesota is 7-8 in its last 15 games; they’re 1-8 vs spread in last nine games as a home favorite. Six of their last nine games went over.

Suns won three of last four games with Dallas; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits here. Four of last six series stayed under the total. Phoenix lost five of its last six games; they’re 5-2 vs spread in last seven games as a road dog. Four of their last five games stayed under the total. Dallas lost five of its last six games; they’re 3-3 as home favorites. Six of their last eight games stayed under the total.

Clippers are 6-4 in their last ten games with the Spurs; they’re 3-3 vs spread in last six visits to the Alamo. Over is 5-5 in last ten series games. Clippers lost six of their last nine games; they covered last five games, are 5-6 vs spread as road underdogs. LA’s last four games stayed under the total. San Antonio won five of its last seven games; they’re 8-6 as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under.

Lakers lost their last four games with Golden State; Warriors are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits here. Seven of their last nine games stayed under the total. Golden State won its last eight games; they’re 8-8 as road favorites. Warriors’ last four games all stayed under the total. Lakers lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 5-6 vs spread as home underdogs. Four of their last six games stayed under.

**Udog** · 12-18-2017, 09:29 AM

NBA

Monday, December 18

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Trend Report
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BOSTON @ INDIANA
Boston is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Boston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games at home

NEW YORK @ CHARLOTTE
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games when playing Charlotte
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New York's last 5 games
Charlotte is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New York
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing New York

MIAMI @ ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami's last 9 games on the road
Atlanta is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Atlanta's last 11 games when playing Miami

PHILADELPHIA @ CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Philadelphia's last 11 games when playing Chicago
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
Chicago is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games

DENVER @ OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 12 games when playing Oklahoma City
Oklahoma City is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Denver
Oklahoma City is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing Denver

UTAH @ HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Utah's last 6 games when playing on the road against Houston
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 5 games when playing Utah
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

PORTLAND @ MINNESOTA
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Portland
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota's last 11 games when playing at home against Portland

PHOENIX @ DALLAS
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games
Dallas is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

LA CLIPPERS @ SAN ANTONIO
LA Clippers is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games on the road
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games

GOLDEN STATE @ LA LAKERS
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Golden State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 9 games when playing Golden State

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**Udog** · 12-18-2017, 10:08 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Monday, December 18

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NEW YORK (16 - 13) at CHARLOTTE (10 - 19) - 12/18/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-2 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 4-4 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (25 - 7) at INDIANA (17 - 13) - 12/18/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 57-39 ATS (+14.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games this season.
BOSTON is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BOSTON is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (15 - 14) at ATLANTA (6 - 23) - 12/18/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 34-22 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 30-17 ATS (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
ATLANTA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-1 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 6-3 straight up against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (14 - 14) at CHICAGO (8 - 20) - 12/18/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 65-44 ATS (+16.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 30-14 ATS (+14.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 32-20 ATS (+10.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHICAGO is 271-324 ATS (-85.4 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 63-97 ATS (-43.7 Units) in home games off an upset win as an underdog since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 6-2 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 7-1 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (16 - 13) at OKLAHOMA CITY (14 - 15) - 12/18/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 183-140 ATS (+29.0 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent since 1996.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) vs. division opponents this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 27-44 ATS (-21.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 5-4 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 7-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH (14 - 16) at HOUSTON (24 - 4) - 12/18/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 5-4 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 5-4 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PORTLAND (16 - 13) at MINNESOTA (17 - 13) - 12/18/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 6-2 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 6-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (10 - 21) at DALLAS (8 - 22) - 12/18/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 34-52 ATS (-23.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 4-3 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CLIPPERS (11 - 17) at SAN ANTONIO (20 - 10) - 12/18/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 90-121 ATS (-43.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 1018-893 ATS (+35.7 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 815-695 ATS (+50.5 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 520-435 ATS (+41.5 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 57-37 ATS (+16.3 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 413-332 ATS (+47.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 4-4 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 4-4 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (23 - 6) at LA LAKERS (10 - 17) - 12/18/2017, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-3 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 7-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Announcement

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/18

Monday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/18

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