Announcement

**Udog** · 12-16-2017, 08:45 AM

Armadillo: Saturday's six-pack

Week 15 NFL trends to ponder……..

— Bears are 5-1-1 in their last seven games as an underdog.

— Kansas City covered eight of last ten divisional games.

— Browns are 3-13 in last 16 games as a home underdog.

— Arizona is 7-16-1 vs spread in its last 24 games.

— New England covered six of its last seven games.

— Ravens covered 11 of their last 13 divisional games.

**********

Armadillo: Saturday's Den: Random stuff with weekend here…….

13) When I was 7 years old, back in the mid-60’s, my parents went to a Christmas party at this restaurant so I went too. I’m sitting at the bar with a bunch of grown men and the Rams-Colts game was on TV— it was the last week of the NFL season.

Colts were 11-0-2, Rams were 10-1-2; for some reason, they were in the same division, and had tied in their first meeting. Johnny Unitas was the Colts’ QB, a legendary figure— all the men at the bar were rooting for the Colts. 7-year old me was rooting for the Rams, drinking a Coke with a cherry in it (the bartender was a friend of my parents).

First play of the game: Roman Gabriel to Jack Snow, 80-yard TD. I can’t remember, but there is almost no chance I wasn’t really annoying. Hell, I was 7 and I loved the team with the cool horns on their helmets. The adults at the bar tolerated me.

Rams won 34-10, won the division, and the Colts missed the playoffs, despite being unbeaten going into the last weekend of the season. I’m guessing thats when the whole Wild Card idea began to be look like a good idea.

12) Pitcher Zach Greinke makes so much money; he eats up 27% of Arizona’s payroll, which is why the Diamondbacks are rumored to be trading him. Greinke is owed $138M over the next four seasons; Arizona’s whole payroll was $93M last year.

Arizona’s 2nd-highest paid player is OF Yasmany Tomas, who is owed $46M over the next three years. Tomas hit only .241 last year— his season ended on June 2, with a groin injury.

11) Phillies gave 1B Carlos Santana $60M for three years.
— SS/3B Zack Cozart signed with the Angels

10) Jets have so much faith in backup QB Bryce Petty that they “ran up the white flag” in the last 10:00 of the Denver game, figuring they had no chance to win anyway. Strange thing to admit, but if they have that little faith in Petty, how are 2-3 practices during the week going to help him all that much?

9) ESPN2 had a high school basketball game on Thursday night, with a team from Memphis playing a team from St Louis. Memphis East is coached by former NBA star Penny Hardaway, whose team is ranked #1 in the country.

Former NBA players Brandon Roy, Mike Bibby are also coaching high school ball, putting their post-playing years to good use.

Hardaway’s team was playing Webster Grove HS from St Louis, whose most famous alum is the great baseball announcer, the late Harry Caray.

8) Denver Broncos led 14-13 late in 3rd quarter Thursday, then scored a TD to make it 20-13- they go for two, make it and now they led 22-13, by two scores. This is brilliant strategy; even if the try for 2 points fails, you still have a full 7-point lead. Well worth the risk; I’ve never seen an NFL team try this before— saw the Minnesota Gophers try it in college.

7) Rhode Island gets guard EC Matthews back from injury this weekend; Matthews is one of their best players, so this really helps the Rams.

6) Oklahoma State (7-0), Manhattan (6-0) are only college hoop teams with 5+ lined games who have yet to go over the total this season.

5) Actor/former pro wrestler Dwayne Johnson, better known as The Rock, got a star on the Hollywood Walk of Fame this week.

4) When the Charlotte Hornets moved to New Orleans in 2002, apparently they wanted to move to Louisville first, but Rick Pitino/former AD Tom Jurich blocked the move.

Think about U of Memphis; what college hoop team wants to share a city with an NBA team?

3) According to SI.com, Colts’ QB Jacoby Brissett saved around $100,000 in agents’ fees by negotiating his own contract. Rookie contracts are pretty much scripted, wth the NFL setting a value for every pick in the draft.

2) Why are there medical treatments available in Europe that aren’t available here? Andrew Luck is in Europe getting treatment for his injured shoulder; others have done the same thing- Kobe Bryant, Alex Rodriguez. Why is that?

1) Closer Fernando Rodney signed up wth the Minnesota Twins for 2018. Rodney wears his hat crooked in honor of his late father, who was a fisherman who wore his hat crooked to protect his face from the sun when he was fishing. The elder Rodney passed away six days before Fernando made his major league debut.

**Udog** · 12-16-2017, 09:50 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, December 16

Portland won seven of last ten games with Charlotte; home side won eight of last nine series games. Blazers are 1-3 vs spread in last four visits here. Last four series games stayed under the total. Portland won five of its last six road games; they’re 3-2-1 as road underdogs. Five of their last seven games stayed under. Charlotte lost nine of its last 11 games; they’re 6-5 as home favorites. Six of their last eight games stayed under.

Home side won last seven Utah-Cleveland games; Jazz is 1-3-1 vs spread in last five visits to Ohio. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Utah lost four of last five games but beat Celtics in Boston Friday; they’re 4-5 as road underdogs. Last four Utah games went over the total. Cavs won 16 of last 17 games; they’re 3-13 vs spread as a home favorite. Four of their last six games stayed under the total.

Carmelo Anthony returns to NYC; Thunder won its last four games with New York, winning by 9-6 points in last two visits here. Five of last seven series games stayed under. Oklahoma City won in triple OT in Philly last nite; they won six of last eight games, are 4-11 vs spread on road. Three of their last four games went over total. Knicks won four of last five games; they’re 13-5 vs spread at home. Five of their last six games went over the total.

Clippers won four of last five games with Miami; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five trips to South Beach. Last six series games stayed under total. Clippers won three of last four games, covered five of last six; they’re 4-6 as road underdogs. LA’s last three games stayed under the total. Heat won three of its last four games; they’re 1-5 as a home favorite. Ten of last eleven Miami games stayed under the total.

Minnesota won five of last six games with Phoenix; three of last four series games went over the total. Suns are 1-2-1 vs spread in last four visits here. Phoenix lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 7-5 vs spread as road underdogs. Three of their last four games stayed under the total. Minnesota won three of last four games; they’re 1-7 vs spread in last eight games as a home fave. Six of their last eight games went over the total.

Home side won last five Milwaukee-Houston games; Bucks are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Houston. Four of last six series games went over total. Milwaukee lost its last two games after a 6-1 run; they’re 3-6 vs spread as road underdogs. Over is 9-1-1 in their last 11 games. Rockets won their last 11 games (6-4-1 vs spread); they’re 7-7 as home favorites. Four of their last five games went over the total.

Spurs won eight of last ten games with Dallas, but lost by 6 to them Tuesday; last three series games played here went over the total. Mavericks covered their last three visits to the Alamo. Dallas lost four of its last five games; they’re 6-7 as a road underdog. Four of their last five games stayed under the total. San Antonio lost its last two games; they’re 8-5 as home faves. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Celtics won their last three games with Memphis; they’re 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Tennessee. Six of last seven series games went over total. Boston lost three of last five games; they’re 6-3 as road favorites. Over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. Grizzlies lost nine of last 11 games; they’re 3-4 vs spread as home underdogs. Four of their last six games stayed under the total.

**Udog** · 12-16-2017, 09:52 AM

NBA

Saturday, December 16

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND @ CHARLOTTE
Portland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Portland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games when playing Portland

UTAH @ CLEVELAND
Utah is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Utah's last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Utah

OKLAHOMA CITY @ NEW YORK
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
New York is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New York's last 5 games

MILWAUKEE @ HOUSTON
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

LA CLIPPERS @ MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Clippers's last 6 games when playing Miami
LA Clippers is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Miami's last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Miami's last 6 games when playing LA Clippers

PHOENIX @ MINNESOTA
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Phoenix is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
Minnesota is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix

DALLAS @ SAN ANTONIO
Dallas is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing San Antonio
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Antonio is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Dallas

BOSTON @ MEMPHIS
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Boston's last 10 games when playing on the road against Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Boston's last 7 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Memphis's last 10 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Memphis's last 7 games when playing Boston

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-16-2017, 11:15 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Saturday, December 16

Portland @ Charlotte

Game 501-502
December 16, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
120.505
Charlotte
115.498
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 5
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
N/A

Utah @ Cleveland

Game 503-504
December 16, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Utah
115.712
Cleveland
128.332
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 12 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 8 1/2
210
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-8 1/2); Under

Oklahoma City @ New York

Game 505-506
December 16, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
119.219
New York
121.332
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 2
203
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
New York
N/A

LA Clippers @ Miami

Game 507-508
December 16, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Clippers
116.557
Miami
119.665
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 3
212
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 6
205
Dunkel Pick:
LA Clippers
(+6); Over

Phoenix @ Minnesota

Game 509-510
December 16, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
113.717
Minnesota
121.615
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 8
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 11 1/2
210
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+11 1/2); Over

Milwaukee @ Houston

Game 511-512
December 16, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
122.622
Houston
129.543
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 7
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 11 1/2
219 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+11 1/2); Under

Dallas @ San Antonio

Game 513-514
December 16, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
114.617
San Antonio
126.988
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 12 1/2
193
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 8 1/2
197
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-8 1/2); Under

Boston @ Memphis

Game 515-516
December 16, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
123.677
Memphis
117.239
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 6 1/2
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
N/A

**Udog** · 12-16-2017, 11:19 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Saturday, December 16

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PORTLAND (15 - 13) at CHARLOTTE (10 - 18) - 12/16/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 2-2 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
CHARLOTTE is 2-2 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UTAH (14 - 15) at CLEVELAND (21 - 8) - 12/16/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 5-18 ATS (-14.8 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games in the first half of the season this season.
CLEVELAND is 15-26 ATS (-13.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more this season.
CLEVELAND is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-0 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 2-2 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA CITY (14 - 14) at NEW YORK (15 - 13) - 12/16/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA CLIPPERS (11 - 16) at MIAMI (14 - 14) - 12/16/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA CLIPPERS are 89-121 ATS (-44.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
MIAMI is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) when playing on back-to-back days over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 128-176 ATS (-65.6 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA CLIPPERS is 3-2 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
LA CLIPPERS is 4-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PHOENIX (9 - 21) at MINNESOTA (17 - 12) - 12/16/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHOENIX is 6-18 ATS (-13.8 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 3 seasons.
PHOENIX is 160-117 ATS (+31.3 Units) after allowing 115 points or more since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 39-56 ATS (-22.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 16-31 ATS (-18.1 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 5-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 6-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MILWAUKEE (15 - 12) at HOUSTON (23 - 4) - 12/16/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 149-190 ATS (-60.0 Units) on Saturday games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 260-315 ATS (-86.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
HOUSTON is 38-23 ATS (+12.7 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 36-17 ATS (+17.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.
HOUSTON is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 2-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (8 - 21) at SAN ANTONIO (19 - 10) - 12/16/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SAN ANTONIO is 1018-892 ATS (+36.8 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 815-694 ATS (+51.6 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 520-434 ATS (+42.6 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 57-36 ATS (+17.4 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in home games after a loss by 10 points or more since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 413-331 ATS (+48.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
DALLAS is 390-323 ATS (+34.7 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 488-412 ATS (+34.8 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 79-50 ATS (+24.0 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 248-200 ATS (+28.0 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.
DALLAS is 33-19 ATS (+12.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 270-221 ATS (+26.9 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 7-4 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 9-2 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (24 - 7) at MEMPHIS (9 - 20) - 12/16/2017, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 3-1 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 3-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Announcement

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/16

Saturday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/16

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment