Announcement

**Udog** · 12-15-2017, 08:45 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

— Broncos 25, Colts 13— QB Brock Osweiler came off bench and played really well.

— Knicks 111, Nets 104— Knicks are now 2-8 on the road; this was a very short road trip.

— Northwestern 84, Valparaiso 50— Crusaders were 8-0, but now have lost three in a row, with two 30+-point losses against Big 14 teams.

— Giants’ CB Eli Apple was fined by the team for tweeting during last Sunday’ game; he was not active for the game, the 4th game he’s been inactive for this year.

— Oregon’s senior RB Royce Freeman is sitting out the Las Vegas Bowl Saturday so he doesn’t get hurt, as he prepares for the NFL Draft in April.

— Charlotte fired basketball coach Mark Price, nine games into his third season. Way to be patient— if you cut/pasted Mike Krzyzewski’s Duke tenure into this modern era, he might’ve been fired before he ever got to the NCAA tournament.

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Armadillo: Friday's Den: Ranking the months of the year…….

12) January— Keep in mind that I live in upstate New York, where the weather sucks from Thanksgiving to St Patrick’s Day. January is a long, cold month; conference games in college basketball are the thing that makes it tolerable; that and the NFL playoffs.

11) February— Same as January, only three days shorter; there is something about watching golf on TV that makes you feel warmer. Super Bowl is in February and college hoop and baseball is starting in Florida and Arizona.

10) December— Today, the sun sets at 4:22; next week, the days start getting longer, but this is a long, cold, dark month. Most of the good pre-conference college basketball games are November games— Saturdays are the best basketball days in December. Christmas, bowl games and the NFL help December’s rating, but not a lot.

9) November— Steep drop-off after October; it snows sometime in November- I don’t like snow. This is a better college basketball month than December, since Thanksgiving Week is one of the best sports weeks of the year. When I was working for New York State, I had three days off in November— days off were a good thing. Now I have every day off.

8) May— 20 or so years ago, I coached Little League, which seems like a shaky decision now. Practice every weekday, couple of games a week. Kids were fine; the parents? Not so much. Nowadays, social media would make Little League easier. Could just have a Twitter page and post if practices/games were rained out. Back then? Every rainout was 12 phone calls.

7) June— I got married in June; despite that, it gets a middle-of-pack ranking because of the great weather and six hours of baseball every day.

When I was a kid, June was the best month, with school ending for the year. Little did I know back that the teachers were probably more anxious for the school year to end than we were.

6) July— If you really like the NBA, I would strongly recommend you go to Las Vegas one year and go to the NBA Summer League at UNLV. For $28 or $30 for a full day, you can watch 3-4 games, and rub elbows with NBA owners, coaches, players— lot of them are there.

Later in July, AAU basketball invades Las Vegas, with lot of tournaments— almost all the college coaches show up at events at either Cashman Center or Bishop Gorman HS or the convention center.

5) August— Here in the Albany area, August is the best social month of the year, with the horse racing in Saratoga and concerts at Saratoga Performing Arts Center and nice weather every day. Baseball’s pennant races are going on and the college football magazines are out.

4) April— Baseball season starts, the Final Four takes place and I almost always spend ten days in Las Vegas every April. Watching the Final Four in Vegas is something you should do; great fun.

Couple years ago, was sitting next to a guy who had lot of money on Villanova/under in the national title game. When Paige hits the jumper for North Carolina, the guy slumps; his under bet is a loser, but when Villanova wins at the buzzer, he was damn glad to get out of there with a split. Didn’t ask how much, but seemed like he had a lot of money riding on it.

3) October— Baseball playoffs, football is in full swing, college basketball magazines come out and I almost always spend some time in the desert.

Few years ago, I’m sitting in the theater at the Westgate Hotel in Las Vegas, watching the NFL; they have the best set-up, all the games up on a screen, with the audio up on one main game. There are betting windows in the back, food off to the left.

I’m talking to this guy who is wearing a Cardinals’ jersey; all of a sudden it dawns on me that this guy is betting thousands of dollars on the games. Serious money and he doesn’t seem like he is stressed out at all. Good guy, but I would’ve been having a nervous breakdown.

Las Vegas is the big leagues when it comes to that stuff; I forget that sometimes.

2) March— Best month of year for college basketball, spring training baseball on TV every day, the weather is getting better. Still snows sometimes, but March is usually excellent.

1) September— When I was a kid, there was September/January were by far the worst months of the year. Nothing worse than the first day of school every year, but now, September is still really a summer month, and football starts during the baseball pennant races.

I went to private grade school, but then to public high school, where 9th grade was in a building by itself. I was painfully shy, and had never ridden a school bus before; my 8th grade class had 24 kids, my 9th grade class had 730 kids. Will never forget how terrified I was those first few days of 9th grade changing classes and having a locker for the first time.

Everything turned out fine, but boy I hated September back then; it never would’ve made it above #11 on my ranking back then.

**Udog** · 12-15-2017, 08:53 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Friday, December 15

Dartmouth @ Illinois-Chicago

Game 823-824
December 15, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dartmouth
45.447
Illinois-Chicago
50.102
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Illinois-Chicago
by 4 1/2
151
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Illinois-Chicago
by 7 1/2
142 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dartmouth
(+7 1/2); Over

Cal Davis @ San Francisco

Game 825-826
December 15, 2017 @ 11:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cal Davis
52.317
San Francisco
54.862
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 2 1/2
124
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
by 6
130
Dunkel Pick:
Cal Davis
(+6); Under

South Dakota St @ Colorado

Game 827-828
December 15, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Dakota St
56.546
Colorado
60.622
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 4
155
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
by 2 1/2
149
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-2 1/2); Over

Denver @ Stanford

Game 829-830
December 15, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
45.472
Stanford
60.897
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Stanford
by 15 1/2
139
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Stanford
by 11
147
Dunkel Pick:
Stanford
(-11); Under

MD-Eastern Shore @ Creighton

Game 831-832
December 15, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
MD-Eastern Shore
39.675
Creighton
68.422
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Creighton
by 29
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Creighton
by 35 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
MD-Eastern Shore
(+35 1/2); N/A

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Friday, December 15

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DARTMOUTH (3 - 4) at IL-CHICAGO (3 - 6) - 12/15/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DARTMOUTH is 158-197 ATS (-58.7 Units) in all games since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 158-197 ATS (-58.7 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
DARTMOUTH is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
DARTMOUTH is 30-50 ATS (-25.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 77-53 ATS (+18.7 Units) in December games since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
IL-CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
IL-CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
IL-CHICAGO is 5-15 ATS (-11.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
IL-CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
IL-CHICAGO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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CAL DAVIS (7 - 2) at SAN FRANCISCO (5 - 3) - 12/15/2017, 11:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CAL DAVIS is 4-18 ATS (-15.8 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
CAL DAVIS is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CAL DAVIS is 23-13 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 87-125 ATS (-50.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 85-124 ATS (-51.4 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 53-77 ATS (-31.7 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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S DAKOTA ST (9 - 4) at COLORADO (7 - 3) - 12/15/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S DAKOTA ST is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA ST is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 16-27 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 16-27 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DENVER (5 - 6) at STANFORD (4 - 6) - 12/15/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 37-57 ATS (-25.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
DENVER is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
STANFORD is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all games this season.
STANFORD is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
STANFORD is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MD-EAST SHORE (3 - 8) at CREIGHTON (7 - 2) - 12/15/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CREIGHTON is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
CREIGHTON is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, December 15
Dartmouth is 2-4 vs schedule #335; they’re 1-2 vs teams in top 300, losing by 18 to Albany, 13 at Canisius- they beat Loyola, MD by a hoop. Teams are shooting 57% inside the arc against the Big Green. Ill-Chicago lost their last five D-I games; they’re 2-6 vs schedule #195. Flames are turning ball over 22.7% of time, shooting only 29.5% on the arc. UIC is #282 experience team that plays pace #55, Dartmouth is #275 experience team that plays pace #229. Ivy League road underdogs are 8-15 vs spread; Horizon League home favorites are 1-4.

Cal-Davis is 6-2 vs schedule #202; Aggies are 3-2 on road, with win at Washington State- they lost by 9 at Utah Valley, 7 at Washington. Davis is 3-2 vs top 200 teams. San Francisco is 4-3 vs schedule #325; they’re 1-2 vs top 200 teams, with their best win over #192 St Francis PA. Dons are shooting only 29.9% on arc, 44.4% inside arc. Davis is #40 experience team that is playing pace #332. USF is #274 experience team that is playing pace #206. Big West road underdogs are 16-13 vs spread; WCC home favorites are 9-14.

South Dakota State is 6-4 vs schedule #73, with three other non-D-I wins; Jackrabbits are 2-4 vs teams in top 120, with wins over Iowa, Ole Miss- all four of their losses are by 10+ points. South Dakota State is #38 experience team that is shooting 39.7% on arc. Colorado lost three of last four games after a 6-0 start; they lost last game at home to U of San Diego. Buffs are 3298 experience team that is turning ball over 20.3% of the time. Summit League road underdogs are 14-19 vs spread; Pac-12 home favorites are 23-21.

Stanford hasn’t played in 12 days; they’ve lost five of last six games, with only win over Montana by 16. Cardinal is #304 experience team that is turning ball over 22.1% of time- they’re 2-2 vs teams outside top 200, with home loss to Eastern Washington. Denver is 4-6 vs schedule #307; Pioneers #123 experience team that is turning ball over 23.4% of time. Denver is 1-2 vs teams in top 125, losing by 27 at Colorado, 8 at Florida Gulf Coast. Summit League road underdogs are 14-19 vs spread; Pac-12 home favorites are 23-21.

NCAAB

Friday, December 15

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Trend Report
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TENNESSEE STATE @ NORTH CAROLINA A&T
Tennessee State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Tennessee State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road

EASTERN KENTUCKY @ CHARLESTON SOUTHERN
Eastern Kentucky is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Eastern Kentucky is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

ARKANSAS-LITTLE ROCK @ SAM HOUSTON STATE
Arkansas-Little Rock is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games
Arkansas-Little Rock is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

MARYLAND-EASTERN SHORE @ CREIGHTON
Creighton is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Creighton is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

DARTMOUTH @ UIC
Dartmouth is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games
Dartmouth is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
UIC is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

THOMAS @ SAMFORD
Samford is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Samford is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games

SOUTH DAKOTA STATE @ COLORADO
The total has gone OVER in 4 of South Dakota State's last 5 games on the road
South Dakota State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
Colorado is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home
Colorado is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games

DENVER @ STANFORD
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 10 games on the road
Denver is 5-10 SU in its last 15 games
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
Stanford is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Denver

SIMON FRASER @ IDAHO
Idaho is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Idaho is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

UC DAVIS @ SAN FRANCISCO
UC Davis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
San Francisco is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

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Announcement

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/15

Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/15

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