Announcement

**Udog** · 12-14-2017, 08:33 AM

Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

— Wisconsin 81, Western Kentucky 80— Hilltoppers will make noise in C-USA.

— LSU 80, Houston 77— Highly entertaining game; Tigers are 6-2.

— Detroit traded 2B Ian Kinsler to the Angels for minor leaguers.

— Loyola, Chi G Clayton Custer will miss 3-to-5 weeks (ankle). Good player.

— RP Joe Smith signed with the Astros; they’ll be his 8th team in a 12-year career.

— In 4th quarter of Steelers’ last three games, Antonio Brown has caught 13 balls for 268 yards and two TD’s- thats in only three quarters.

**********

Armadillo: Thursday's Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….x

13) How would you like to be a season ticket salesman for the Miami Marlins? They’ve traded Stanton, Gordon and now Marcell Ozuna, who heads to St Louis. Maybe the ushers in Miami’s ballpark will get fired too, since there won’t be many fans to lead to their seats next year.

12) I mentioned last month how the Marlins fired TV announcer Rich Waltz, who had been in Miami for 13 years. Now it doesn’t matter to me anymore; I have Stanton/Ozuna in my fantasy league, so now I have zero reason to watch the Marlins anyway.

11) I’m watching the 76ers-Wolves game on ESPN Tuesday night; good game, it is 94-94 in the 4th quarter and then I realize, Ben Simmons hasn’t scored a point in this game. 33 minutes, 0-4 from the floor, no foul shots. How can this be?

76ers won in OT; Simmons wound up with 7 points, 8 assists, 7 turnovers. He is an unusual player, almost seems to dislike shooting, but he is a great passer.

10) Twitter can be fun; I posted something about “How can Simmons play 33:00 and not score?” during the 4th quarter. I get one reply, from a 76ers’ fan in Texas:

“Good (bleep)ing question.”

9) Arizona State media relations director Doug Tammaro made a promise to his daughter this summer, that if ASU beat Kansas in basketball the year, he’d give her $500 to spend at a ****. Unknown to him, she taped the promise on her phone.

Sun Devils won 95-85 in Lawrence Sunday and Tammaro’s daughter posted the video of her dad’s promise on Twitter. He says he will happily pay up.

8) Sounds like no matter who Manny Machado plays for next season, he will be a shortstop and not a third baseman.

7) Couple years ago, I rent a car in Las Vegas in July; it is freakin’ hot in the desert in July. So I go to the hotel’s parking garage to pick up the car, and I realize it is a push-button ignition— had never seen one of those.

So I’m sitting in the car and I push the button and nothing happens. I’m looking around- no idea what to do. No owner’s manual, nothing. Push the button again, nothing happens. It is too damn hot to walk back into the hotel and ask them, but it is getting really hot in the car too and I’m sweating and getting aggravated.

Finally I realized that if I pushed the button while stepping on (kicking) the brake pedal, the freakin’ car will start. Not one of my finer moments.

6) With bowl season starting Saturday, keep in mind that since 2013, the MAC is 5-18 in bowl games. No bueno.

5) I’m looking forward to when kids can jump from high school to the NBA again; think it will be healthier for everyone; the NBA, college ball and the G-League.

4) Twins signed Michael Pineda to a 2-year, $10M contract, but Pineda had Tommy John surgery in July and figures to miss most of the 2018 season.

3) Lookalikes: Cincinnati Reds’ manager Bryan Price and Phil Mickelson.

2) Daytime TV gets a huge positive jolt this week, with baseball’s winter meetings on MLB Network. Actual interesting stuff.

1) It is so difficult to win a championship; you have to dance thru a minefield of potential disasters, avoiding injuries in addition to playing well enough to win.

Think about the Eagles; they lose their starting QB for the year, moments after they got the benefit of a terrible taunting penalty against Trumaine Johnson. Had that penalty not been called, Eagles try a 50-yard FG on next play and Wentz is on the sidelines, healthy.

Wentz didn’t get hurt when he was hit, by the way. Apparently the injury happened earlier on that play when he planted his foot and cut. Kind of like Teddy Bridgewater’s injury.

**Udog** · 12-14-2017, 08:33 AM

Guys,

Monte has fixed the matchup links in the header. I have to turn off my ad blocker to use them. If they won't open up for you, turn ad blockers off and the links will work perfectly.

Thanks, Monte!!!!!!!

**Udog** · 12-14-2017, 08:38 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Thursday, December 14

Valparaiso @ Northwestern

Game 511-512
December 14, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Valparaiso
55.232
Northwestern
68.687
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northwestern
by 13 1/2
134
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northwestern
by 9
141 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northwestern
(-9); Under

Santa Clara @ USC

Game 513-514
December 14, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Santa Clara
49.557
USC
70.612
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
USC
by 21
150
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
USC
by 16 1/2
141
Dunkel Pick:
USC
(-16 1/2); Over

South Dakota @ Northern Arizona

Game 515-516
December 14, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
South Dakota
53.224
Northern Arizona
44.769
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Dakota
by 8 1/2
154
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Dakota
by 13 1/2
145 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Northern Arizona
(+13 1/2); Over

Texas Southern @ Baylor

Game 517-518
December 14, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Southern
48.638
Baylor
66.642
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baylor
by 18
147
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baylor
by 20
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Southern
(+20); N/A

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, December 14

Northwestern is 6-4 vs schedule #155; they haven’t won consecutive games in over a month. Wildcats are #40 experience team that is 1-4 vs top 100 teams, with only win over Illinois in OT two weeks ago. Northwestern is forcing turnovers 21.6% of time. Valparaiso lost its last couple games after an 8-0 start; Crusaders are #258 experience team that has played schedule #213- they’re 1-2 in true road games, with only win at #315 SI-Edwardsville. Valpo lost at Purdue by 30, in their only game vs a Big 14 team this season.

Santa Clara is 2-5 vs D-I teams (schedule #344), with an additional loss to a D-II team; their only wins are vs teams ranked #337/348. Teams have shot 45.7% on arc vs Broncos so far this season. Santa Clara lost by 30 at home to Nevada, in their only top 100 game so far. USC lost its last three games after a 4-0 start, but all three losses are to top 30 teams; Trojans are playing without Melton, one of their best guys- USC’s bench is #305 in minutes played. Pac-12 teams are 22-21 vs spread as non-conference home favorites. WCC road underdogs are 8-8.

South Dakota is 9-3 vs schedule #271; they’re 2-2 in true road games, with wins by 9 at Bowling Green, 9 at UMKC- the losses were at top 20 teams (TCU/Duke). Coyotes are forcing turnovers 21.7% of time. Northern Arizona is 1-7 vs D-I teams with a loss to an NAIA team; Lumberjacks are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 34-35-22 points. NAU is turning ball over 27.2% of time, worst in while country- they’re shooting only 28.7% on arc. Summit League favorites are 3-2 vs spread away from home; Big Sky home underdogs are 3-1.

NCAAB

Thursday, December 14

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

This source is showing "no trends to report" for all of today's matchups.

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-14-2017, 10:44 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, December 14

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

VALPARAISO (8 - 2) at NORTHWESTERN (6 - 4) - 12/14/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NORTHWESTERN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
NORTHWESTERN is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in December games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SANTA CLARA (3 - 6) at USC (4 - 3) - 12/14/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
USC is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

S DAKOTA (9 - 3) at N ARIZONA (2 - 8) - 12/14/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
N ARIZONA is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
S DAKOTA is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA is 27-11 ATS (+14.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
S DAKOTA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
S DAKOTA is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
N ARIZONA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS SOUTHERN (0 - 9) at BAYLOR (7 - 2) - 12/14/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BAYLOR is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
BAYLOR is 9-19 ATS (-11.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS SOUTHERN is 1-0 against the spread versus BAYLOR over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 2-0 straight up against TEXAS SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-14-2017, 11:02 AM

NCAAB

Thursday, December 14

College Basketball's Top ATS Teams (min 5 lined games):

1. Portland St. 9-0
t2. Florida St. 7-0
t2. S. Utah 7-0
4. C. Michigan 6-0
5. UC Davis 5-0-2
6. NC-Greensboro 4-0-1
7. Xavier 9-1
8. Arizona St. 8-1
9. Virginia Tech 7-1
t10. S. Alabama 6-1
t10. Evansville 6-1

College Basketball's Top OVER Teams (min 5 lined games):

1. Duke 10-0
2. Niagara 7-0
3. Ohio 6-0-1
4. Coastal Carolina 5-0
5. UNLV 9-1
t6. Fresno St. 7-1
t6. Oklahoma 7-1
t6. Pennsylvania 7-1
t6. SIU-Edwardsville 7-1
t10. Rider 6-1
t10. North Dakota 6-1

College Basketball's Top UNDER Teams (min 5 lined games):

1. Oklahoma St 7-0
2. Manhattan 6-0
3. Bradley 8-1-1
t4. C Florida 6-1
t4. Pitt 6-1
t6. C Mich 5-1
t6. Towson 5-1
t6. Evansville 5-1
t6. San Diego 5-1
t6. Georgia St 5-1
t6. Tulane 5-1
t6. Chattanooga 5-1
t6 Weber St 5-1

**Udog** · 12-14-2017, 11:39 AM

Originally posted by Udog View Post

Guys,

Monte has fixed the matchup links in the header. I have to turn off my ad blocker to use them. If they won't open up for you, turn ad blockers off and the links will work perfectly.

Thanks, Monte!!!!!!!

Add bettorschat.com/forums/ to your adblocker white list.

Announcement

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/14

Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/14

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment

Comment