Announcement

Collapse
No announcement yet.

Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/13

Collapse
X
 
  • Filter
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts

  • Wednesday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/13

    Trends and Indexes

    Wednesday, December 13

    Good Luck on day #347 of 2017!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    Matchup Links

    NCAAB SAGARIN RATINGS

    NCAAB Matchups

    NCAAB Hot and Not

    NCAAB Database


    SPORTS MATCHUPS
    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by BettorsChat; 12-13-2017, 08:56 PM.

  • #2
    Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

    Some prop bets for whether teams will make the NFL playoffs:

    — Will Green Bay make playoffs? No, -$3,000, Yes, +$1,150

    — Dallas? No, -$6,000, Yes +$1,500

    — Detroit? No, -$600, Yes, +$420

    — Kansas City? Yes, -$320, No, +$250

    — Tennessee? Yes, -$80, No +$250

    — Chargers? No, -$220, Yes, +$175


    **********

    Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……

    13) In 2004, there were 31 unbeaten college basketball teams on December 10; 12 of them were at least 10-0. This year, there were only seven unbeaten teams on December 10, five of whom were 10-0 or better.

    College basketball season starts earlier now than it did in ’04, but still, there don’t seem to be any great teams this year.

    12) Aaron Rodgers was medically cleared to play in the Packers’ game in Carolina this week. Rodgers broke his collarbone in a game against the Vikings October 15- he has 13 screws in his collarbone. It hasn’t been announced if he’ll play, but you figure if they cleared him, he will.

    11) Philadelphia Eagles were 6-1 to win the Super Bowl before last Sunday’s game; had Carson Wentz not gotten hurt, they would’ve been 4-1 after the game. Instead, they’re going to wind up around 14-1 to win the Super Bowl with Nick Foles playing QB.

    10) ESPN’s Fran Fraschilla tweeted Tuesday that the Lithuanian coach the Ball brothers will soon be playing for:

    1) Doesn’t speak any English
    2) Sells meat to his players out of the trunk of his car after practice.

    This should go really well.

    9) Rams LT Andrew Whitworth celebrated his birthday Tuesday by giving bicycles to 550 elementary students in the Watts section of Los Angeles. Thats a lot of bikes to give away.

    8) Wyoming QB Josh Allen is probably the #3 QB prospect in next April’s NFL Draft, but he hurt his shoulder against Air Force and missed Wyoming’s last two games. Allen says his shoulder is now 90% healed and he expects to play in Wyoming’s bowl game. Playing well in that game will quiet lot of questions about his health heading into the draft.

    7) OF Marcell Ozuna can be a free agent in two years; his agent is Scott Boras, so you know the Miami Marlins are trading him, too. Christian Yelich is owed $43M over the next four years, so he is affordable and Miami might keep him.

    6) Texas Longhorns loses their top scorer Andrew Jones for a while with a broken wrist; he is averaging 15.3 ppg. Longhorns’ first Big X game is December 29 at home vs Kansas.

    5) SMU hired former Cal coach Sonny Dykes to replace Chad Morris, who is the new football coach at Arkansas. Dykes went 22-15 as coach at Louisiana Tech, 19-30 at Cal.

    4) Patriots signed WR Kenny Britt to a 2-year contract, which will be interesting; Rams, Browns were both starved for talent when they had Britt, but they both let him walk, and New England gobbles him up. Want to see Belichick’s reaction the first time Britt gets a taunting penalty after one of his teammates scores a touchdown.

    3) Set-up guy Bryan Shaw gets $9M for three years from Colorado; Shaw appeared in 79 games for Cleveland last year, the most games pitched in the big leagues. Colorado must’ve outbid the other teams by a lot; why else would a pitcher sign to pitch in the Mile High City?

    2) Knicks 113, Lakers 109 OT— Kristaps Porzingis had 37 points, 11 rebounds, 5 blocked shots and 5 made 3-pointers as Knicks beat LA in overtime.

    1) Angels just signed P/DH Shohei Ohtani; now there are reports the Ohtani has a sprained UCL in his elbow, and got one of those platelet-rich injections in his arm to help fix the injury. Oy.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Dunkel

      Wednesday, December 13


      Villanova @ Temple

      Game 719-720
      December 13, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Villanova
      71.819
      Temple
      67.398
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Villanova
      by 4 1/2
      159
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Villanova
      by 8 1/2
      145
      Dunkel Pick:
      Temple
      (+8 1/2); Over

      AR-Little Rock @ Bradley


      Game 721-722
      December 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      AR-Little Rock
      45.662
      Bradley
      53.209
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Bradley
      by 7 1/2
      122
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Bradley
      by 13
      130 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      AR-Little Rock
      (+13); Under

      Western Kentucky @ Wisconsin


      Game 723-724
      December 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Western Kentucky
      52.332
      Wisconsin
      62.907
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Wisconsin
      by 10 1/2
      132
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Wisconsin
      by 7 1/2
      138 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Wisconsin
      (-7 1/2); Under

      Houston @ LSU


      Game 725-726
      December 13, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Houston
      66.404
      LSU
      60.233
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Houston
      by 6
      162
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Houston
      by 1 1/2
      154
      Dunkel Pick:
      Houston
      (-1 1/2); Over

      NC-Wilmington @ NC-Greensboro


      Game 727-728
      December 13, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      NC-Wilmington
      54.662
      NC-Greensboro
      58.409
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      NC-Greensboro
      by 4
      166
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      NC-Greensboro
      by 10
      157
      Dunkel Pick:
      NC-Wilmington
      (+10); Over

      WI-Milwaukee @ Belmont


      Game 729-730
      December 13, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      WI-Milwaukee
      49.554
      Belmont
      55.602
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Belmont
      by 6
      148
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Belmont
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      Belmont
      N/A

      Arkansas St @ NE-Omaha


      Game 731-732
      December 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Arkansas St
      46.553
      NE-Omaha
      51.988
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      NE-Omaha
      by 5 1/2
      149
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      NE-Omaha
      by 1 1/2
      155
      Dunkel Pick:
      NE-Omaha
      (-1 1/2); Under

      Denver @ Northern Colorado


      Game 733-734
      December 13, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Denver
      48.764
      Northern Colorado
      55.668
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Northern Colorado
      by 7
      146
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Northern Colorado
      by 4
      140
      Dunkel Pick:
      Northern Colorado
      (-4); Over

      Portland St @ Oregon


      Game 735-736
      December 13, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Portland St
      52.335
      Oregon
      68.983
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Oregon
      by 16 1/2
      162
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Oregon
      by 13
      168
      Dunkel Pick:
      Oregon
      (-13); Under

      Longwood @ Illinois


      Game 737-738
      December 13, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Longwood
      37.841
      Illinois
      66.774
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Illinois
      by 29
      159
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Illinois
      by 25 1/2
      149
      Dunkel Pick:
      Illinois
      (-25 1/2); Over

      Grand Canyon @ Boise State


      Game 739-740
      December 13, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Grand Canyon
      55.609
      Boise State
      62.946
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Boise State
      by 7 1/2
      139
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Boise State
      by 12
      134
      Dunkel Pick:
      Grand Canyon
      (+12); Over
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-13-2017, 12:34 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Wednesday, December 13


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        VILLANOVA (10 - 0) at TEMPLE (6 - 2) - 12/13/2017, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TEMPLE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
        VILLANOVA is 27-15 ATS (+10.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
        VILLANOVA is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
        VILLANOVA is 257-209 ATS (+27.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        VILLANOVA is 2-0 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
        VILLANOVA is 2-0 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ARK-LITTLE ROCK (2 - 7) at BRADLEY (7 - 2) - 12/13/2017, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 10-20 ATS (-12.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        BRADLEY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
        BRADLEY is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        BRADLEY is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        W KENTUCKY (6 - 3) at WISCONSIN (4 - 7) - 12/13/2017, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        W KENTUCKY is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) in a road game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
        WISCONSIN is 150-115 ATS (+23.5 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        HOUSTON (8 - 1) at LSU (5 - 2) - 12/13/2017, 9:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        HOUSTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game since 1997.
        LSU is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        LSU is 25-41 ATS (-20.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        LSU is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LSU is 1-1 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
        LSU is 1-1 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        UNC-WILMINGTON (2 - 5) at UNC-GREENSBORO (6 - 3) - 12/13/2017, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        UNC-WILMINGTON is 12-27 ATS (-17.7 Units) as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
        UNC-WILMINGTON is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in road games on Wednesday games since 1997.
        UNC-GREENSBORO is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
        UNC-WILMINGTON is 33-17 ATS (+14.3 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.
        UNC-WILMINGTON is 164-129 ATS (+22.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
        UNC-GREENSBORO is 59-89 ATS (-38.9 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
        UNC-GREENSBORO is 52-83 ATS (-39.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        WI-MILWAUKEE (6 - 4) at BELMONT (5 - 5) - 12/13/2017, 7:30 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        WI-MILWAUKEE is 1-0 against the spread versus BELMONT over the last 3 seasons
        BELMONT is 1-0 straight up against WI-MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ARKANSAS ST (3 - 6) at NEBRASKA-OMAHA (1 - 10) - 12/13/2017, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ARKANSAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all games this season.
        ARKANSAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
        ARKANSAS ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
        ARKANSAS ST is 19-37 ATS (-21.7 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        DENVER (5 - 5) at N COLORADO (7 - 3) - 12/13/2017, 9:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        N COLORADO is 2-0 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
        DENVER is 2-0 straight up against N COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PORTLAND ST (8 - 2) at OREGON (7 - 3) - 12/13/2017, 10:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OREGON is 47-32 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        OREGON is 47-32 ATS (+11.8 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        OREGON is 22-9 ATS (+12.1 Units) when the total is 160 to 169.5 since 1997.
        OREGON is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
        OREGON is 24-12 ATS (+10.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        OREGON is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) in a home game where the total is 160 to 169.5 since 1997.
        OREGON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
        PORTLAND ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all games this season.
        PORTLAND ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
        PORTLAND ST is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when the total is 160 to 169.5 over the last 3 seasons.
        PORTLAND ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog this season.
        PORTLAND ST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
        PORTLAND ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
        PORTLAND ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after scoring 80 points or more this season.
        PORTLAND ST is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        LONGWOOD (3 - 6) at ILLINOIS (7 - 4) - 12/13/2017, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ILLINOIS is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in home games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        GRAND CANYON (7 - 2) at BOISE ST (9 - 1) - 12/13/2017, 9:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-13-2017, 12:37 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Wednesday, December 13


          Villanova won its last four games with crosstown rival Temple, all by 16+ points; they won last two visits here, by 16 points each. Villanova is 9-0 this season vs schedule #126; they won only true road game by 41 at St Joe’s, but like this game, that was also in Philly. Temple is 6-2 vs schedule #14; they’re 5-0 vs top 100 teams, 1-2 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with losses by 4 to LaSalle, 4 to George Washington. Big East favorites are 13-8 vs spread away from home; AAC underdogs are 9-18.

          Ark-Little Rock is 2-7 vs schedule #293; they’re shooting 24.4% on arc, 5th-worst in country. Trojans are 0-4 on road, with losses by 8-25-14-15 points; they’re 0-3 on road, with losses at Memphis, Grand Canton, San Diego. Little Rock is #286 experience team that is playing tempo #241. Bradley is 6-2 vs schedule #238; they’re turning ball over 24.1% of time, 11th-worst in country. Braves are experience team #242- their defensive eFG% is #6 in country, holding teams to 25.1% on arc. Bradley is 5-0 vs teams outside top 100, winning by 15-8-2-6-11 points.

          Wisconsin lost seven of last nine games, has couple of starters out hurt right now; Badgers are 4-7 vs schedule #5- they’re experience team #336 that is playing tempo #345. Wisconsin in 3-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, winning by 35-28-22 points. Western Kentucky is 6-3 against schedule #78; Hilltoppers are #168 experience team that is playing tempo #101. WKU split its four top 100 games, beating both Purdue/SMU, losing by 5 to Missouri State, 8 to Villanova. Big 14 home favorites are 26-19 vs spread; C-USA road underdogs are 14-9.

          Home side won Houston-LSU games last couple years; Cougars lost 84-65 in Baton Rouge LY. Houston won its last seven games overall with road wins at Liberty/Saint Louis; Cougars are the #26 experience team that is forcing turnovers 21.7% of time. LSU is 5-2 vs schedule #204; they’re 1-2 vs top 100 teams, beating Michigan by hoop, losing to Notre Dame by 39, Marquette by 10. AAC favorites are 9-9 vs spread away from home; SEC underdogs are 9-14. LSU is making 63.7% of time inside arc, best in country.

          NC-Wilmington is 1-5 vs schedule #65; their defensive eFG% is #339 in country. Seahawks are experience team #179 that is playing pace #10. Four of UNCW’s five losses are to top 100 teams; they split two games with teams outside the top 100, the two games were decided by total of 9 points. UNCG is 4-3 vs schedule #229; they’re 1-3 vs top 200 teams, with only win in triple OT over Liberty. Spartans are forcing turnovers 23.9% of time. SoCon home favorites are 7-3 vs spread this season; CAA road underdogs are 8-12.

          Belmont won 62-56 at Milwaukee LY despite going 7-34 on arc; they shot 68% inside arc. Bruins lost four of last five games overall; they’re 5-5 vs schedule #90. Belmont is #41 experience team that is playing pace #221- they’re 2-5 vs top 200 teams, with best wins over Vandy/Middle Tennessee. Milwaukee is 5-3 vs schedule #247; they also lost to a D-II team. Panthers are on third coach in three years; they’re 3-2 on the road, including a win at Iowa State. OVC home favorites are 3-3 vs spread; Horizon road underdogs are 10-18.

          Neb-Omaha is 1-10 vs schedule #48; they lost last three games by 13-7-19 points. Omaha is experience team #150 that is turning ball over 20.9% of time- their defensive eFG% is #301. Only team they’ve beaten is #181 Drake (75-73). Arkansas State is 2-6 vs schedule #290; they lost last four D-I games, but did beat a D-II team in last game. Red Wolves are #48 experience tam that is playing pace #57- they’re turning ball over 23.1% of time. Summit League home favorites are 5-9 vs spread; Sun Belt road underdogs are 15-12.

          Denver beat Northern Colorado last two years, by total of seven points. Pioneers won three of last four games overall, are turning ball over 23.1% of time while playing pace #218. Denver is experience team #318 that has played schedule #318. Northern Colorado is 4-3 vs schedule #236; they also have three non-D-I wins. Bears are 3-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, with wins by 2-13-14 points. Sun Belt home favorites are 3-8 vs spread; Summit League road underdogs are 14-18. Northern Colorado is shooting 26% on the arc (#344).

          Portland State is 6-2 vs D-I teams, with losses by 18 to Duke, 2 to Butler; Vikings are #28 experience team in country that is forcing turnovers 25.5% (#9) of time. State is 4-0 in true road games, with three wins at WCC schools. Oregon is 7-3 vs schedule #306; they’re 0-3 vs top 100 teams, 7-0 vs teams ranked outside top 100, with five wins by 16+ points. Ducks’ defensive eFG% is #14 in country; they’re #295 experience team that plays pace #89. Pac-12 home favorites are 22-20 vs spread; Big Sky road underdogs are 20-16.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-13-2017, 12:38 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB

            Wednesday, December 13


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            This source is showing "no trends to report" for all 11 matchups


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            Comment

            Working...
            X