Announcement

**Udog** · 12-11-2017, 08:29 AM

Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

Top 6 picks in Week 14 in the Westgate Super Contest:

6) San Francisco 49ers +3 (572)- W

5) Baltimore Ravens +5 (583)- W

4) Green Bay Packers -3 (619)- W

3) Seattle Seahawks +2.5 (700)- L

2) Minnesota Vikings, -2.5 (757)- L

1) Philadelphia Eagles, +2 (782)- W

Record of top 6 picks each week: 42-42

**********

Armadillo: Monday's List of 14: Wrapping up an NFL Sunday

Steelers 39, Ravens 38— Roethlisberger is now first NFL QB with three 500+-yard passing games; Steelers converted 12-18 on 3rd down, overcame 31-20 deficit in 4th quarter, kicking GW FG with 0:42 left. Pitt won its last eight games; five of their last six wins were by 5 or less points. Ravens are +20 in turnovers in their wins, -7 in losses. Antonio Brown caught 11 balls for 213 yards for the Steelers, who host New England next week.

Steelers led this game 14-0 early; in their history, Pittsburgh is 216-0-2 at home when they lead by 14+ points in the first half.

Eagles 43, Rams 35— Both teams lost here; Rams lost the game, Eagles fear they lost QB Wentz with a torn ACL. Backup QB Foles led three drives for Eagles; two of them ended in FG’s, but he is no Wentz. Philly led 21-7 early, but LA blocked a punt for a TD to take a 28-24 lead. Rams are only 11 of last 43 on 3rd down; they lost both starting CB’s to injury.

Pet Peeve Department: This was a really good game between two really good teams; there were 130 plays in this game, plus 15 kickoffs— can you imagine the amount of trash talking going on, in a game with over 67,000 fans, many of whom were Eagle fans?

Yet only one taunting penalty was called the whole game, a huge penalty on Rams’ CB Trumaine Johnson after an incomplete pass on a 3rd-and-10 with 5:56 left in third quarter, that turned an Eagles’ FG attempt into an Eagles’ TD. You call a taunting penalty in that spot, you’re determining who wins the game.

Panthers 31, Vikings 24— Cam Newton threw an INT on a tipped ball with 4:36 left that gave Minnesota great field position for tying FG, but then he led Carolina 75 yards on five plays for the game-winning TD with 1:47 left, snapping Minnesota’s 8-game win streak. In their last five games, Minnesota is 34-66 (51.5%) on 3rd down, their opponents 17-61 (27.9%). Panthers won five of last six games, are tied with Saints for first place in NFC South.

Jaguars 30, Seahawks 24— Game was 3-0 at the half; if you bet the under, yikes. Seattle scored three TD’s in this game, on drives of 2-1-2 plays, on plays of 26-61-74 yards, but Wilson threw three INTs and Jaguars had TD drives of 42-1-75 yards, and averaged 9.9 yards/pass attempt.

With three games left, Jacksonville leads AFC South by a game; Seattle trails the Rams by a game in NFC West, but they host LA this coming week.

Bills 13, Colts 7 OT— Game was played during a blizzard; as much as a foot of snow fell during the game. Carts couldn’t come on the field to take injured players off the field, because they’d get stuck in the snow. Colts tied game with 1:16 left, but then Buffalo scored on a 21-yard run by McCoy to improve to 7-6. Buffalo somehow converted 10-18 on 3rd down, with 3rd-string QB Webb playing second half after rookie starter Peterman got hurt.

Cardinals 12, Titans 7— Arizona won without scoring a TD; NFL teams are 5-26 this season when they don’t score an offensive TD- in three of other four wins, the losing team didn’t score an offensive TD either, making that stat effectively 2-23.

Tennessee was -2 in turnovers; this week, teams that were -2 or worse in turnovers are 2-9. Titans are game behind Jacksonville in AFC South but are still in Wild Card race too.

Lions 24, Buccaneers 21— Matthew Stafford is making around $28M a year now, so when you make $28M and you hurt your hand, you play anyway, and you go 36-44/381 passing, and lead the team to the game-winning FG with 0:20 left.

This was an ugly game; Bucs turned ball over five times. Detroit three, but there are no ugly wins and the Lions are now 7-6 and have life in the Wild Card chase.

Packers 27, Browns 21 OT— Cleveland led 21-7 after three quarters; Packers tied game with 0:17 left, then won it in OT and are now 7-6, with Rodgers expected at QB in next week or two. Last three weeks, Green Bay opponents converted 24 of 42 third down plays.

Browns are now 3-10 vs spread; if you bet Cleveland +3, this was a brutal beat, but if you bet on the Browns +3, you deserve a brutal beat or two. Don’t wager on terrible teams.

Chiefs 26, Raiders 15— KC and Chargers are now tied atop AFC West after this surprisingly easy win by the Chiefs over their longtime rivals, just their second win in last eight games overall.

Dismal effort by the Raiders, who ran the ball only 11 times, threw it 41- they were outgained 408-268.

Chargers 30, Redskins 13— Washington went 3/out on five of 11 drives; they were outgunned 488-201. This is a small point, but with 2:34 left in game, Jay Gruden committed coaching malpractice- here’s how:

Chargers led 30-6 in last 3:00, but Redskins scored on a pick-6 to make it 30-12 with 2:34 left. This is a about a 1,000-1 shot, but if Washington gets a 2-point conversion, then it is 30-14 and a two-score game. You try the onside kick and who knows?

To me it is inexcusable not to at least TRY the 2-point conversion; it is called giving up.

Bears 33, Bengals 7— Cincy had a hangover from blowing a 17-0 lead to their rival Steelers Monday night; Chicago outgained them 482-234 with a rookie QB playing on the road. Since 2005, Cincy is 5-10-1 vs spread in game the week following a loss to Pittsburgh.

Cowboys 30, Giants 10— Game was tied 10-10 with 8:00 left, but then Dallas scored three TD’s in a 4:41 span to win going away. Giants scored TD/FG on their first three drives, but for rest of the game, they ran 48 plays for 176 yards, as they dropped to 1-5 at home.

49ers 26, Texans 16— Houston QB Savage got knocked goofy, 3rd-stringer TJ Yates finished up for Texan squad that lost six of its last seven games. 49ers won three of last four games after a 0-9 start; Garoppolo is now 4-0 as an NFL starter.

Broncos 23, Jets 0— Denver snaps an 8-game skid by blanking Jets squad that lost QB McCown to injury; Gang Green didn’t any plays longer than 14 yards, was held to 100 total yards for the game. Jets are 1-5 on the road and the only win was in Cleveland.

**Udog** · 12-11-2017, 08:32 AM

NCAAB
Dunkel

Monday, December 11

FIU @ South Florida

Game 713-714
December 11, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
FIU
51.334
South Florida
52.786
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
South Florida
by 1 1/2
129
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
South Florida
by 5
121
Dunkel Pick:
FIU
(+5); Over

Drake @ Minnesota

Game 715-716
December 11, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Drake
56.409
Minnesota
70.552
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 14
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 19 1/2
158
Dunkel Pick:
Drake
(+19 1/2); Under

Bryant @ Louisville

Game 717-718
December 11, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Bryant
38.707
Louisville
72.665
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Louisville
by 34
143
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Louisville
by 28 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Louisville
(-28 1/2); N/A

Chicago State @ Northwestern

Game 719-720
December 11, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago State
34.775
Northwestern
68.619
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Northwestern
by 31
144
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Northwestern
by 27
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Northwestern
(-27); N/A

Alabama A&M @ DePaul

Game 721-722
December 11, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Alabama A&M
37.335
DePaul
57.409
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
DePaul
by 20
148
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
DePaul
by 24 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Alabama A&M
(+24 1/2); N/A

Texas Southern @ Oregon

Game 723-724
December 11, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas Southern
48.607
Oregon
62.554
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oregon
by 14
157
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oregon
by 18 1/2
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Texas Southern
(+18 1/2); N/A

**Udog** · 12-11-2017, 08:35 AM

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, December 11

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FLA INTERNATIONAL (4 - 4) at S FLORIDA (4 - 5) - 12/11/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) in December games since 1997.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 38-21 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DRAKE (5 - 4) at MINNESOTA (8 - 3) - 12/11/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DRAKE is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BRYANT (1 - 9) at LOUISVILLE (6 - 2) - 12/11/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO ST (2 - 10) at NORTHWESTERN (5 - 4) - 12/11/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NORTHWESTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO ST over the last 3 seasons
NORTHWESTERN is 2-0 straight up against CHICAGO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ALABAMA A&M (0 - 8) at DEPAUL (5 - 4) - 12/11/2017, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ALABAMA A&M is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all games since 1997.
ALABAMA A&M is 9-21 ATS (-14.1 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
ALABAMA A&M is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
DEPAUL is 21-41 ATS (-24.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS SOUTHERN (0 - 8) at OREGON (6 - 3) - 12/11/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 47-31 ATS (+12.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
OREGON is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 12-11-2017, 08:37 AM

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, December 11

South Florida is 4-5 vs schedule #322, losing its last three games; they’re 4-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200, winning by 1-3-23-11 points. Bulls have 1st-year coach, experience team #57- they’re playing really slow (pace #346). Florida International hasn’t played in nine days; they are 1-4 vs D-I teams (schedule #290), with three non-D-I wins; they’re shooting 29.4% on arc, 59.6% on foul line. Panthers are also playing a slow (#300) pace. AAC non-conference home favorites are 9-11 vs spread; C-USA road underdogs are 13-9.

Minnesota is 8-3 vs schedule #115; they’re #120 experience team playing pace #30. Gophers got hammered by 16 at Arkansas Saturday; they’ve lost three of last four games, are 6-0 vs teams ranked outside the top 100, with all six wins by 15+ points. Drake is 5-4 vs schedule #196; they are #6 experience team in country. Bulldogs are 0-3 in true road games, losing by 2-7-28 points, at Omaha, Wyoming, South Dakota. Drake is shooting 40.7% on the arc. Big 14 home favorites are 25-18 vs spread; MVC road underdogs are 8-10.

**Udog** · 12-11-2017, 08:41 AM

NCAAB

Monday, December 11

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Trend Report
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FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL @ SOUTH FLORIDA
Florida International is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games
Florida International is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Florida
South Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida International
South Florida is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games at home

SIENA @ VERMONT
Siena is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games
Siena is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road

CHICAGO STATE @ NORTHWESTERN
Chicago State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Chicago State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northwestern
Northwestern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Chicago State
Northwestern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago State

BRYANT @ LOUISVILLE
Louisville is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Louisville is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

DRAKE @ MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Drake's last 6 games on the road
Drake is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games
Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 5 games

ALABAMA A&M @ DEPAUL
DePaul is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games
DePaul is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL @ GRAND CANYON
Grand Canyon is 20-3 SU in its last 23 games at home
Grand Canyon is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games

TEXAS SOUTHERN @ OREGON
Oregon is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
Oregon is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games

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**BettorsChat** · 12-11-2017, 07:57 PM

Northwestern is up 55-8 at halftime!

Announcement

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/11

Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/11

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