Announcement

**Udog** · 12-10-2017, 08:45 AM

Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Top 6 picks in Week 14 in the Westgate Super Contest:

6) San Francisco 49ers +3 (572)

5) Baltimore Ravens +5 (583)

4) Green Bay Packers -3 (619)

3) Seattle Seahawks +2.5 (700)

2) Minnesota Vikings, -2.5 (757)

1) Philadelphia Eagles, +2 (782)

Record of top 6 picks each week: 38-40

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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday

13) Boston College 89, Duke 84— Eagles made 15-26 on arc, 11-16 in first half. BC played only seven players, and the 2nd sub played only 4:00. Eagles were a 15-point underdog.

12) Looks like Giancarlo Stanton is getting traded to the Bronx, in a total salary dump by the new owners of the Marlins, who apparently want their home games to be played in an empty stadium next year.

Conservative estimate: I’ve seen 80% of Stanton’s at-bats the last three years. Now he plays in a way smaller stadium, so he should at least put up similar numbers to 2017, but he will be playing on a team I can’t stand so it’ll be harder to root for him.

11) If you care about such things, the two minor leaguers the Marlins get in the Stanton trade are:

— Jose Devers, an 18-year old SS who hit .246 in A-ball last year.
— Jorge Guzman, a 21-year old P who is 11-11, 3.67 in 33 starts in A ball over three years.

10) Army 14, Navy 13— Cadets win Commander-in-Chief trophy for first time since 1996 on a snowy day in Philadelphia. Navy missed a 48-yard FG at the end that would’ve won it.

9) Middle Tennessee State 77, Ole Miss 58— Anytime a Conference USA team beats an SEC team, it is a big deal for them and their league. Helps raise the whole league’s profile.

8) California 63, San Diego State 62— Opposite side of that; this score is bad for the whole Mountain West, especially Nevada. 2015 was last time the Mountain West got multiple bids to the NCAA tournament.

7) Michigan 78, UCLA 69 OT— Bruins led by 15 in second half, but Michigan rallied for the win. You wonder if the two UCLA kids who are still suspended after the China incident would’ve made a difference here, and you wonder if the two of them will play at all this season (I’m guessing no).

6) Upsets of the Day:
Boston College (+15) 89, Duke 84
California (+14.5) 63, San Diego State 62
Tulsa (+10.5) 61, Kansas State 54
SE Missouri St (+10) 75, Southern Illinois 69
Marquette (+7) 63, Wisconsin 62
Miami OH (+6.5) 81, Fort Wayne 73
Penn (+6) 78, Dayton 70

5) Interesting thing on MLB Network on why Shohei Ohtani wanted to play on west coast; if he played in the east, his games would air in Japan in the middle of the night, instead of early in the morning, when people in Japan could watch them live.

If Ohtani DH’s three days a week, does that mean Albert Pujols plays 1B three days a week?

4) Albany 74, Siena 69— This is a local rivalry game here in Albany; they drew 9,071 fans on a snowy night. Great Danes have now won this game five of the last six years.

3) UNLV 89, Illinois 82— Rebels were 33-48 on foul line, Illini 11-15; 48 FT’s in a college game is an awful lot. Illinois stayed in game going 11-25 on arc, but they had seven guys finish game with four or five fouls.

Lot of Illinois fans made the trip out west for this game, which was played in the MGM Arena because the rodeo is in the Thomas & Mack Center.

2) Was surprised by this: looking at SEC football records fro 2013-17, conference games only. Alabama is obviously strong (36-4), Georgia 27-13……..worst records are Vanderbilt at 10-30, then Arkansas at 11-29. Wouldn’t have guessed the Razorbacks to have the 2nd-worst record.

1) Arkansas 95, Minnesota 79— Surprisingly easy win for the basketball Razorbacks; Big 14 is having a rough time in their pre-conference games.

**Udog** · 12-10-2017, 09:47 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, December 10

Toronto @ Sacramento

Game 501-502
December 10, 2017 @ 3:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
124.779
Sacramento
112.324
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 13 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 7 1/2
208
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-7 1/2); Under

Boston @ Detroit

Game 503-504
December 10, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
125.667
Detroit
120.673
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 5
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 1
201
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-1); Over

Denver @ Indiana

Game 505-506
December 10, 2017 @ 5:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
117.745
Indiana
121.322
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Indiana
by 3 1/2
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Indiana
by 6 1/2
217 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(+6 1/2); Over

Dallas @ Minnesota

Game 507-508
December 10, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
118.764
Minnesota
123.512
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 5
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 8
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(+8); Under

Philadelphia @ New Orleans

Game 509-510
December 10, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
116.232
New Orleans
123.788
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 7 1/2
231
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 4 1/2
223 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-4 1/2); Over

Atlanta @ New York

Game 511-512
December 10, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
113.303
New York
120.812
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 7 1/2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 5 1/2
206 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-5 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 12-10-2017, 09:49 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, December 10

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TORONTO (16 - 7) at SACRAMENTO (8 - 17) - 12/10/2017, 3:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 33-21 ATS (+9.9 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) in road games versus poor offensive teams - scoring <=98 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 4-0 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 4-0 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON (22 - 5) at DETROIT (14 - 11) - 12/10/2017, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 55-37 ATS (+14.3 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 39-21 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) in road games against Central division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 140-106 ATS (+23.4 Units) in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent since 1996.
BOSTON is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-4 against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 5-4 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (14 - 11) at INDIANA (15 - 11) - 12/10/2017, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after a win by 10 points or more this season.
INDIANA is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
DENVER is 42-27 ATS (+12.3 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 4-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DALLAS (7 - 19) at MINNESOTA (15 - 11) - 12/10/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 388-322 ATS (+33.8 Units) as an underdog since 1996.
DALLAS is 487-411 ATS (+34.9 Units) in road games since 1996.
DALLAS is 78-49 ATS (+24.1 Units) in road games in December games since 1996.
DALLAS is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) on Sunday games over the last 3 seasons.
DALLAS is 179-135 ATS (+30.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1996.
DALLAS is 269-220 ATS (+27.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 390-455 ATS (-110.5 Units) in home games since 1996.
MINNESOTA is 15-29 ATS (-16.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 18-30 ATS (-15.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 5-4 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 5-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHILADELPHIA (13 - 12) at NEW ORLEANS (13 - 13) - 12/10/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 64-42 ATS (+17.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 56-34 ATS (+18.6 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
PHILADELPHIA is 29-14 ATS (+13.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 2-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ATLANTA (6 - 19) at NEW YORK (12 - 13) - 12/10/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games this season.
NEW YORK is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in home games in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-3 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 6-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 12-10-2017, 09:50 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, December 10

Kings won/covered their last four games with Toronto, all of which stayed under the total. Kings are 3-2 vs spread in their last five visits to Canada. Toronto won its last five games; they’re 3-3 vs spread as road favorites. Raptors’ last four games went over the total. Sacramento lost three of last four home games; they’re 6-3 vs spread as home underdogs. Seven of their last nine games went over total.

Boston won four of its last six games with Detroit; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five visits to the Motor City. Three of last four series games went over. Celtics won 22 of their last 25 games; they’re 5-2 as road favorites. Nine of their last 11 games went over total. Detroit lost its last five games, the last four by 5 or less points; Pistons are 7-3-1 vs spread at home, 1-1 as home underdogs. Last five Detroit games stayed under total.

Nuggets won eight of their last ten games vs Indiana; they’re 5-0-1 vs spread in last six series games. Seven of last nine series games went over total. Denver lost seven of last nine road games; they’re 2-5 vs spread as road underdogs. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Indiana won its last three games; they’re 4-2 vs spread as home favorites- under is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

Minnesota won four of its last five games with Dallas; under is 8-1-1 in last ten series games. Mavericks are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Indiana. Dallas lost four of its last six games; they’re 3-0-1 in last four games as a road underdog. Four of their last six games went over total. Minnesota split its last six home games; they’re 3-7 as a home favorite. Four f their last five games went over the total.

Pelicans won six of last nine games with the 76ers, who are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Bourbon Street. Five of last six series games stayed under the total. Philly lost three of its last four games; they’re 5-4 as road underdogs. Five of their last six games stayed under the total. New Orleans lost five of its last seven games; they’re 3-6 as home favorites. Pelicans’ last six games went over the total.

Hawks won their last four games with the Knicks; they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four visits to Manhattan. eight of last ten series games went over the total. Atlanta lost seven of its last nine games; they’re 6-6 as a road underdog. Hawks’ last five road games stayed under the total. Knicks lost five of their last seven games; they’re 6-0 as home favorites. Under is 4-1-1 in their last six games.

**Udog** · 12-10-2017, 09:52 AM

NBA

Sunday, December 10

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Trend Report
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TORONTO @ SACRAMENTO
Toronto is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Toronto's last 5 games
Sacramento is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games when playing at home against Toronto
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 6 games

BOSTON @ DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Boston's last 5 games on the road
Boston is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 5 games
Detroit is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

DENVER @ INDIANA
Denver is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Denver is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Denver

DALLAS @ MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Dallas's last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games when playing Dallas

PHILADELPHIA @ NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games at home

ATLANTA @ NEW YORK
Atlanta is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing New York
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Atlanta's last 10 games when playing New York
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games at home
New York is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Atlanta

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Announcement

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/10

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 12/10

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