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Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/8

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  • Friday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 12/8

    Trends and Indexes

    Friday, December 8

    Good Luck on day #341 of 2017!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Last edited by BettorsChat; 12-09-2017, 02:26 AM.

  • #2
    Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

    Odds to win the college basketball national title in April:

    16-1: Florida, Wichita State

    14-1: Kentucky, Villanova

    12-1: Kansas

    11-1: Arizona

    9-2: Michigan State

    5-2: Duke


    **********

    Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Clearing out a cluttered mind…….

    13) Falcons 20, Saints 17— Strange game; both QB’s threw an INT in the end zone, with Brees’ critical turnover coming in the game’s last 2:00. Falcons were -2 in turnovers but won and are now 8-5, a game out of first place in NFC South. These teams meet again in Week 16.

    12) Tuesday night, St John’s beat Grand Canyon 68-60 in a sloppily-played game in Talking Stick Arena in Phoenix. Kid named Keonta Vernon played 30:00 for the Antelopes, who are eligible for the NCAA tournament for the first time this season.

    Vernon played his ass off; he had 15 rebounds; granted, the shooting in this game was awful so there were a lot of rebounds to be had, but Vernon looks like an NFL tight end. and goes after rebounds like he is one. Problem is, he shoots the basketball like a pro wrestler; he was 0-3 from the floor, 0-6 on the foul line.

    Not often a guy grabs 15 rebounds in a game and doesn’t score a point.

    11) Cleveland Browns fired GM Sashi Brown Thursday and announced that coach Hue Jackson will be back to coach the team next season.

    Browns have four extra draft picks in the 2018 draft, so the next GM has a shot to add a lot of talent. My advice: Draft a bleepin’ quarterback!!!!

    10) Washington State opened some eyes when they won the Wooden Legacy tournament over Thanksgiving weekend, but now the bubble has burst.

    Coogs were 6-0 after upsetting St Mary’s and San Diego State in Fullerton, but since then, they lost to Cal-Davis at home and by 27 at Idaho. No bueno.

    9) Tennessee hired Jeremy Pruitt as its new football coach; the 43-year old Pruitt has been a defensive coordinator the last five years, at Florida State-Georgia-Alabama.

    8) There are 14 football teams in the SEC; Nick Saban obviously coaches Alabama. Of the other 13 teams, four of them are now coached by former Saban assistants.

    7) Movie trivia: Did you ever see the 1976 movie Network, about a TV network trying for better ratings, starring Faye Dunaway, Robert Duvall and William Holden?

    A woman named Beatrice Straight played a character named Louise Schumaker in the movie. She was on camera for a total of five minutes, two seconds, but she earned the Academy Award for the best performance by a supporting actress.

    Hers was the briefest performance ever to win an Oscar.

    6) Senator Luther Strange, the man who has held a Senate seat in Alabama for the last ten months (his spot is being filled in next week’s special election), is 6-foot-9, making him the tallest US Senator ever.

    5) Angels/Mariners are both maneuvering to sign free agent Shohei Ohtani; they both sent a prospect from the 2017 Draft to Minnesota, each receiving money from the Twins’ international slot money. Both teams are in a bidding war to entice Ohtani to play for them- that international slot money is the key in that bidding war.

    4) Seattle Mariners traded for Dee Gordon and are going to move him to centerfield. Gordon is owed $40M+ over the next three years. Mariners also got international slot money from Miami, but they gave the Marlins three of their top 10 minor league prospects.

    3) Cubs signed P Tyler Chatwood to a 3-year contract; Chatwood has to be really happy, going to a better team and getting the hell away from hitter-happy Coors Field.

    2) I’ve got nothing against Roger Goodell, but $40M a year seems a little excessive.

    1) Baseball’s Winter Meetings start Sunday in Orlando. In reality, next week is the start of the 2018 baseball season, when lot of moves will be made that will shape next season’s rosters.

    Baseball season starts March 29, little earlier than usual, to create a few more days off during the season. March 31 figures to be a fun day, with the Final Four and a full day of baseball.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Dunkel

      Friday, December 8


      I'll add TCU/Nevada as soon as it's available.

      Air Force @ Cal Riverside

      Game 517-518
      December 8, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Air Force
      47.642
      Cal Riverside
      48.823
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Cal Riverside
      by 1
      127
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Air Force
      by 2
      133
      Dunkel Pick:
      Cal Riverside
      (+2); Under

      Colorado State @ Oregon


      Game 519-520
      December 8, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Colorado State
      56.452
      Oregon
      66.591
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Oregon
      by 10
      149
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Oregon
      by 14 1/2
      146 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Colorado State
      (+14 1/2); Over

      St John's @ Arizona State


      Game 521-522
      December 8, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      St John's
      62.756
      Arizona State
      70.669
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Arizona State
      by 8
      150
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Arizona State
      by 4 1/2
      161
      Dunkel Pick:
      Arizona State
      (-4 1/2); Under

      Oklahoma @ USC


      Game 523-524
      December 8, 2017 @ 10:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Oklahoma
      68.792
      USC
      72.457
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      USC
      by 3 1/2
      172
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      USC
      by 1
      165
      Dunkel Pick:
      USC
      (-1); Over

      LA-Monroe @ Jacksonville St


      Game 527-528
      December 8, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      LA-Monroe
      47.865
      Jacksonville St
      54.397
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Jacksonville St
      by 6 1/2
      129
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Jacksonville St
      by 10 1/2
      134 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      LA-Monroe
      (+10 1/2); Under
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-08-2017, 12:05 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Friday, December 8


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        AIR FORCE (5 - 4) at UC-RIVERSIDE (2 - 6) - 12/8/2017, 10:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        AIR FORCE is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) in December games since 1997.
        AIR FORCE is 55-35 ATS (+16.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
        AIR FORCE is 85-58 ATS (+21.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
        UC-RIVERSIDE is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        UC-RIVERSIDE is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        UC-RIVERSIDE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
        UC-RIVERSIDE is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        UC-RIVERSIDE is 2-11 ATS (-10.1 Units) against Mountain West conference opponents since 1997.
        UC-RIVERSIDE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
        UC-RIVERSIDE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        COLORADO ST (4 - 5) at OREGON (5 - 3) - 12/8/2017, 10:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        COLORADO ST is 121-155 ATS (-49.5 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
        COLORADO ST is 164-204 ATS (-60.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
        OREGON is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        OREGON is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        OREGON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
        OREGON is 23-11 ATS (+10.9 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ST JOHNS (8 - 1) vs. ARIZONA ST (7 - 0) - 12/8/2017, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        ST JOHNS is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.
        ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
        ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
        ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
        ARIZONA ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in non-conference games this season.
        ARIZONA ST is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games in December games since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OKLAHOMA (6 - 1) vs. USC (4 - 2) - 12/8/2017, 10:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OKLAHOMA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
        USC is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TCU (9 - 0) vs. NEVADA (8 - 1) - 12/8/2017, 1:00 AM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TCU is 169-221 ATS (-74.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
        NEVADA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all games this season.
        NEVADA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
        NEVADA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
        NEVADA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
        NEVADA is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
        TCU is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        LA-MONROE (3 - 4) at JACKSONVILLE ST (6 - 2) - 12/8/2017, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        JACKSONVILLE ST is 26-43 ATS (-21.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        LA-MONROE is 1-0 against the spread versus JACKSONVILLE ST over the last 3 seasons
        LA-MONROE is 1-0 straight up against JACKSONVILLE ST over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-08-2017, 12:06 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Friday, December 8


          Air Force lost four of its last five D-I games; they’re 1-2 on road, winning by a hoop in Denver, losing losing by 12 at Colorado, 10 at Indiana State. Falcons are 4-2 vs reams vs teams ranked outside top 200- they lost 62-58 at home to Abilene Christian Wednesday, going only 3-18 on the arc. Cal-Riverside upset Cal in its season opener, then lost its last six games against D-I teams. Highlanders are 0-2 at home vs D-I teams, losing by 12 to Portland State, by hoop to Pacific. Riverside is turning ball over 23.5% of time, shooting 26.1% on arc.

          Colorado State is 4-5 vs schedule #94; they’re 1-3 vs top 100 teams, beating Colorado by 9, with losses by 17-10-26 points to Florida St, Missouri St, Arkansas. Rams are 0-3 in true road games, with losses by 13-10-6 points- they’re shooting 30.2% on arc, turning ball over 20.6% of the time. Oregon lost three of its last four games, losing last game to Boise State when kid hit a shot from half-court at the buzzer. Ducks are 0-3 vs top 100 teams, but 5-0 vs everyone else, with four wins by 16+ points. Oregon is 5-3 vs schedule #287- they haven’t played a road game yet.

          UL-Monroe outscored Jacksonville State 27-14 on foul line in 88-83 OT win LY, after they blew a 10-point lead with 4:36 left in regulation. Warhawks are 2-4 vs schedule #160; they’re #67 experience team that plays pace #269. ULM are 0-3 vs teams in top 200, with losses by 10-18-3 points. Jacksonville State is 5-2 vs schedule #285; Gamecocks are #72 experience team that is playing pace #314- they’re 5-0 vs teams ranked outside top 200, with four wins by 8+ points. JSU’s only losses are to #64 Mississippi State, #131 Buffalo.

          Tripleheader at Staples Center
          St John’s is 8-1 vs schedule #214, losing 90-82 to Missouri on a neutral floor in game they led by 8 with 12:20 left. Red Storm is 3-1 in neutral floor games; they’ve got top 100 wins over UCF, Nebraska. Johnnies are forcing turnovers 28.2% of time (#3) vs schedule #214- they’re #227 experience team but Lovett didn’t play last two games. Arizona State is 7-0 vs schedule #227; they beat K-State/Xavier in Las Vegas, beat San Diego State by 22 at home. Sun Devils have the #92 experience team; their eFG% is #2 in country. ASU is shooting 42% on the arc.

          Oklahoma won six of its first seven games, losing by 9 to Arkansas on neutral floor in Portland. Sooners are experience team #298 that is playing pace #6- they’re 1-1 vs top 100 teams, beating Oregon by 10, losing to the Hogs. Oklahoma is shooting 61.7% on arc; their eFG% is #16 in the country. USC lost its last two games vs top 100 teams by 16-17 points after a 4-0 start; they won their other top 100 game by 4 in OT at Vanderbilt. Trojans also play fast (pace #79); they’re forcing turnovers 20.6% of time, but shooting only 44.9% inside the arc.

          Nevada is 8-1 after losing in OT at Texas Tech Tuesday; three Nevada guys played 42:00+ in a game where their bench played total of 32:00. Wolfpack led by 11 with 12:48 left in game; they were outscored 26-14 on foul line in the Tech game. Nevada is #49 experience team that is making 42.7% of its 3-pointers. TCU is 9-0 after beating local rival SMU 94-83 in its last game Tuesday; Horned Frogs scored 87+ points in their last four games- they’re #89 experience team. TCU has three top 100 wins (St Bonaventure, SMU, South Dakota)- they’ve played schedule #207 overall.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-08-2017, 12:07 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB

            Friday, December 8


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            LIFE PACIFIC COLLEGE @ CAL STATE-BAKERSFIELD
            LIFE PACIFIC COLLEGE

            No trends to report
            CAL STATE-BAKERSFIELD

            Cal State-Bakersfield is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
            Cal State-Bakersfield is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

            CONCORDIA NEBRASKA @ SOUTH DAKOTA STATE
            CONCORDIA NEBRASKA

            No trends to report
            SOUTH DAKOTA STATE

            South Dakota State is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home
            South Dakota State is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games

            ARMY @ WAKE FOREST
            ARMY

            No trends to report
            WAKE FOREST

            The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Wake Forest's last 7 games
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Wake Forest's last 6 games at home

            DARTMOUTH @ MAINE
            DARTMOUTH

            Dartmouth is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Maine
            Dartmouth is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
            MAINE

            No trends to report

            MARYLAND-EASTERN SHORE @ LIBERTY
            MARYLAND-EASTERN SHORE

            No trends to report
            LIBERTY

            No trends to report

            BOSTON UNIVERSITY @ BETHUNE-COOKMAN
            BOSTON UNIVERSITY

            No trends to report
            BETHUNE-COOKMAN

            No trends to report

            SOUTHERN WESLEYAN @ WESTERN CAROLINA
            SOUTHERN WESLEYAN

            No trends to report
            WESTERN CAROLINA

            Western Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
            Western Carolina is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games

            HAMPTON @ MISSOURI STATE
            HAMPTON

            No trends to report
            MISSOURI STATE

            Missouri State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            Missouri State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

            LOUISIANA-MONROE @ JACKSONVILLE STATE
            LOUISIANA-MONROE

            Louisiana-Monroe is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
            Louisiana-Monroe is 3-20 SU in its last 23 games on the road
            JACKSONVILLE STATE

            Jacksonville State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
            Jacksonville State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

            SOUTHERN NAZARENE @ ORAL ROBERTS
            SOUTHERN NAZARENE

            No trends to report
            ORAL ROBERTS

            No trends to report

            ST. JOHN'S @ ARIZONA STATE
            ST. JOHN'S

            St. John's is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
            ARIZONA STATE

            Arizona State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
            Arizona State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

            AIR FORCE @ UC RIVERSIDE
            AIR FORCE

            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Air Force's last 6 games on the road
            Air Force is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games
            UC RIVERSIDE

            UC Riverside is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games
            UC Riverside is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games at home

            COLORADO STATE @ OREGON
            COLORADO STATE

            Colorado State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
            Colorado State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            OREGON

            Oregon is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
            Oregon is 17-5 SU in its last 22 games

            OKLAHOMA @ USC
            OKLAHOMA

            The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oklahoma's last 8 games
            Oklahoma is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
            USC

            USC is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
            USC is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 12-08-2017, 12:08 PM.

            Comment

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