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  • Thursday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/30

    Trends and Indexes

    Thursday, November 30

    Good Luck on day #333 of 2017!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    NCAAB SAGARIN RATINGS

    NCAAB Matchups

    NCAAB Hot and Not

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    NASCAR Schedule

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

    Some trends for Week 13 of the NFL

    — Seahawks covered eight of last ten games as a home underdog.

    — 49ers are 3-16 vs spread in last 19 non-divisional games.

    — Oakland is 2-6-1 vs spread in its last seven games.

    — Chiefs covered 14 of last 18 games as a road favorite.

    — Minnesota Vikings covered their last six games.

    — New England is 2-8 vs spread as a divisional road favorite.


    **********

    Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Doing some thinking out loud…….

    13) University of Tennessee’s football team is still looking for a football coach, as they re-define the term “clusterfuck”. At this rate, they’ll be interviewing Al Pacino for the job; he was good as the football coach in Any Given Sunday.

    What a bunch of bumbling fools the Tennessee administration is; they offer Jeff Brohm a deal, he says yes, the AD takes it to the chancellor, who says no— they make changes, the AD takes it back to Brohm, who then says no. Oy.

    12) Since Les Miles doesn’t appear to be a candidate in Knoxville, how about Tee Martin, who is the offensive coordinator at USC now and was a QB in college who led Tennessee to the national title in 1998? Martin replaced Peyton Manning as the Vols’ QB- wouldn’t he be a good choice?

    11) I’m sure the NFL offices were thrilled that Sports Illustrated came out with an article saying that Browns’ WR Josh Gordon was making $10,000 a month in college selling weed.

    Gordon is playing this week for the first time in three years after various suspensions.

    10) There will be conference games in college basketball this weekend; the Big 14 is playing two games per team, because their conference season is a week shorter this year, with the conference tournament in Madison Square Garden in March.

    That means the Big 14 teams who make the NCAA tournament will have a week off before Selection Sunday, which is very unusual.

    9) March 17 will be Decision Day for Eli Manning and the Giants- they owe him a $5M bonus if he is still on the roster then. Chances seem pretty good that he will not be.

    8) Best red zone offenses in the NFL (when teams get inside the opponents’ 20-yard line): Eagles 6.11 points/drive, Packers 5.35, Saints/Raiders 5.29

    Worst red zone offenses: Browns 3.11, Colts 3.36, Jets 3.38, Cardinals 4.00

    7) Best black zone offenses in NFL (drives that start 75+ yards from goal line): Patriots 2.59 pts/drive, Saints 2.43 Eagles 2.21, Vikings 2.07

    Worst black zone offenses: Colts 0.64, Browns 0.78, Giants 0.92, Ravens 0.93

    6) Best ratios of 20+-yard plays, for/against: Vikings +24 (54-30), Eagles +17 (47-30), Falcons +16 (48-32)

    Worst ratios: Giants -26 (26-52), Colts -22 (36-58), Buccaneers -17 (38-55).

    5) East Carolina basketball coach Jeff Lebo resigned (got fired) Wednesday; Pirates are 2-4 in what was Lebo’s 8th year in charge at ECU- he is the second coach to leave his job this week, and it isn’t December yet.

    4) Dak Prescott has thrown six INT’s in 4th quarter, most of any QB in NFL this season.

    3) Nation-wide in college football conference title games that are rematches, the team that won the first game is 17-13 vs spread in the second meeting.

    2) You can’t make this stuff up: American Airlines says a computer glitch allowed all their pilots to take vacation over Christmas week. Now the pilots’ union says thousands of flights are in jeopardy of cancellation. Americans says they’re offering time and a half pay for pilots to fill in and expect (hope) to resolve the issue.

    1) Since Eli Manning has been the Giants’ starting QB, the three other NFC East teams have all had 10+ starting QB’s- Washington has had 10, Eagles/Dallas 12 each.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Dunkel

      Thursday, November 30



      Notre Dame @ Michigan State

      Game 511-512
      November 30, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Notre Dame
      75.321
      Michigan State
      77.249
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Michigan State
      by 2
      134
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Michigan State
      by 6
      140
      Dunkel Pick:
      Notre Dame
      (+6); Under

      Harvard @ Northeastern


      Game 513-514
      November 30, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Harvard
      52.166
      Northeastern
      52.514
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Harvard
      Even
      142
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Northeastern
      by 2 1/2
      137 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Harvard
      (+2 1/2); Over

      South Florida @ Elon


      Game 515-516
      November 30, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      South Florida
      45.447
      Elon
      57.175
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Elon
      by 11 1/2
      126
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Elon
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      Elon
      N/A

      NC-Wilmington @ East Carolina


      Game 517-518
      November 30, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      NC-Wilmington
      55.709
      East Carolina
      47.834
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      NC-Wilmington
      by 8
      167
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      NC-Wilmington
      by 1 1/2
      159
      Dunkel Pick:
      NC-Wilmington
      (-1 1/2); Over

      Memphis @ UAB


      Game 519-520
      November 30, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Memphis
      51.357
      UAB
      60.922
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      UAB
      by 9 1/2
      139
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      UAB
      by 4 1/2
      142 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      UAB
      (-4 1/2); Under

      North Texas @ Oklahoma


      Game 521-522
      November 30, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      North Texas
      42.203
      Oklahoma
      75.777
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Oklahoma
      by 33 1/2
      168
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Oklahoma
      by 28 1/2
      155 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Oklahoma
      (-28 1/2); Over

      Missouri @ UCF


      Game 523-524
      November 30, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Missouri
      69.611
      UCF
      59.371
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Missouri
      by 10
      139
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Missouri
      by 2
      136
      Dunkel Pick:
      Missouri
      (-2); Over

      San Diego St @ San Diego


      Game 525-526
      November 30, 2017 @ 11:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      San Diego St
      64.358
      San Diego
      53.643
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      San Diego St
      by 10 1/2
      152
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      San Diego St
      No Line
      N/A
      Dunkel Pick:
      San Diego St
      N/A

      Pacific @ Cal Riverside


      Game 527-528
      November 30, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Pacific
      49.196
      Cal Riverside
      52.514
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Cal Riverside
      by 3 1/2
      149
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Pacific
      by 2
      148
      Dunkel Pick:
      Cal Riverside
      (+2); Over

      Texas Tech @ Seton Hall


      Game 529-530
      November 30, 2017 @ 6:30 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Texas Tech
      71.029
      Seton Hall
      69.640
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Texas Tech
      by 1 1/2
      144
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Seton Hall
      by 1 1/2
      137 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Texas Tech
      (+1 1/2); Over

      South Carolina @ Temple


      Game 531-532
      November 30, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      South Carolina
      65.498
      Temple
      66.623
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Temple
      by 1
      148
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      South Carolina
      by 1
      143
      Dunkel Pick:
      Temple
      (+1); Over

      Western Carolina @ Coll of Charleston


      Game 533-534
      November 30, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Western Carolina
      45.612
      Coll of Charlesto
      55.542
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Coll of Charlesto
      by 10
      122
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Coll of Charlesto
      by 15 1/2
      141
      Dunkel Pick:
      Western Carolina
      (+15 1/2); Under

      North Dakota St @ Mississippi State


      Game 535-536
      November 30, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      North Dakota St
      56.966
      Mississippi State
      58.600
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Mississippi State
      by 1 1/2
      132
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Mississippi State
      by 10 1/2
      138
      Dunkel Pick:
      North Dakota St
      (+10 1/2); Under

      Weber State @ Fresno State


      Game 537-538
      November 30, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Weber State
      54.205
      Fresno State
      62.725
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Fresno State
      by 8 1/2
      146
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Fresno State
      by 10 1/2
      141
      Dunkel Pick:
      Weber State
      (+10 1/2); Over

      Northern Arizona @ Santa Clara


      Game 539-540
      November 30, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Northern Arizona
      37.029
      Santa Clara
      57.599
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Santa Clara
      by 20 1/2
      147
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Santa Clara
      by 13
      139
      Dunkel Pick:
      Santa Clara
      (-13); Over
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-30-2017, 12:23 PM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Thursday, November 30


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        NOTRE DAME (6 - 0) at MICHIGAN ST (5 - 1) - 11/30/2017, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MICHIGAN ST is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
        MICHIGAN ST is 39-12 ATS (+25.8 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
        MICHIGAN ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
        MICHIGAN ST is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        MICHIGAN ST is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        HARVARD (3 - 4) at NORTHEASTERN (2 - 4) - 11/30/2017, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        HARVARD is 3-19 ATS (-17.9 Units) as a road underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
        HARVARD is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
        NORTHEASTERN is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        NORTHEASTERN is 1-1 against the spread versus HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
        NORTHEASTERN is 1-1 straight up against HARVARD over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        S FLORIDA (4 - 3) at ELON (4 - 3) - 11/30/2017, 7:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        ELON is 1-0 against the spread versus S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
        ELON is 1-0 straight up against S FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        UNC-WILMINGTON (2 - 3) at E CAROLINA (2 - 4) - 11/30/2017, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        UNC-WILMINGTON is 33-16 ATS (+15.4 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        E CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        E CAROLINA is 1-1 straight up against UNC-WILMINGTON over the last 3 seasons
        2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MEMPHIS (3 - 1) at UAB (4 - 3) - 11/30/2017, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        UAB is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        UAB is 11-21 ATS (-12.1 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        UAB is 5-19 ATS (-15.9 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
        UAB is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        MEMPHIS is 1-0 against the spread versus UAB over the last 3 seasons
        MEMPHIS is 1-0 straight up against UAB over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        N TEXAS (4 - 3) at OKLAHOMA (4 - 1) - 11/30/2017, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        N TEXAS is 62-88 ATS (-34.8 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
        N TEXAS is 9-20 ATS (-13.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
        OKLAHOMA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MISSOURI (5 - 2) at UCF (4 - 2) - 11/30/2017, 9:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        UCF is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
        UCF is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as a home underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
        UCF is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        SAN DIEGO ST (5 - 2) at SAN DIEGO (5 - 0) - 11/30/2017, 11:00 PM
        There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        SAN DIEGO is 2-0 against the spread versus SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
        SAN DIEGO is 1-1 straight up against SAN DIEGO ST over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        PACIFIC (3 - 4) at UC-RIVERSIDE (2 - 3) - 11/30/2017, 10:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        PACIFIC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
        UC-RIVERSIDE is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
        UC-RIVERSIDE is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
        UC-RIVERSIDE is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
        UC-RIVERSIDE is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        UC-RIVERSIDE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        UC-RIVERSIDE is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
        UC-RIVERSIDE is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        TEXAS TECH (6 - 0) vs. SETON HALL (5 - 1) - 11/30/2017, 6:30 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TEXAS TECH is 133-177 ATS (-61.7 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
        TEXAS TECH is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.
        TEXAS TECH is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) after scoring 80 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        S CAROLINA (5 - 1) vs. TEMPLE (3 - 1) - 11/30/2017, 9:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        TEMPLE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
        TEMPLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
        TEMPLE is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
        S CAROLINA is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
        S CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 3 seasons.
        S CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
        S CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        S CAROLINA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 3 seasons.
        S CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
        S CAROLINA is 60-39 ATS (+17.1 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game since 1997.
        TEMPLE is 40-66 ATS (-32.6 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        W CAROLINA (2 - 5) at COLL OF CHARLESTON (4 - 2) - 11/30/2017, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        W CAROLINA is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
        W CAROLINA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a road underdog of 12.5 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
        W CAROLINA is 23-40 ATS (-21.0 Units) in road games in November games since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        COLL OF CHARLESTON is 1-1 against the spread versus W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        COLL OF CHARLESTON is 2-0 straight up against W CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        N DAKOTA ST (3 - 3) at MISSISSIPPI ST (5 - 0) - 11/30/2017, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        N DAKOTA ST is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        N DAKOTA ST is 21-36 ATS (-18.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        N DAKOTA ST is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
        N DAKOTA ST is 8-21 ATS (-15.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        N DAKOTA ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
        N DAKOTA ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
        N DAKOTA ST is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
        N DAKOTA ST is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
        MISSISSIPPI ST is 31-15 ATS (+14.5 Units) in a home game where the total is 135 to 139.5 since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        WEBER ST (4 - 2) at FRESNO ST (4 - 2) - 11/30/2017, 10:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WEBER ST is 23-41 ATS (-22.1 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
        FRESNO ST is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        FRESNO ST is 38-24 ATS (+11.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        FRESNO ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        N ARIZONA (0 - 6) at SANTA CLARA (1 - 5) - 11/30/2017, 10:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        N ARIZONA is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 2 seasons.
        SANTA CLARA is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
        SANTA CLARA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        N ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus SANTA CLARA over the last 3 seasons
        SANTA CLARA is 1-0 straight up against N ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-30-2017, 12:25 PM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Thursday, November 30


          Michigan State pounded North Carolina 63-45 Sunday night; Spartans are 5-1 vs schedule #58- 4 of their 6 games were on neutral floors. MSU has #3 eFG% defense in country, but has turned ball over 22.8% of time while playing a slowish pace. Notre Dame is 6-0; they haven’t played in 8 days since beating Wichita St 67-66 in Maui final, after trailing by 16 at one point. Irish play #37 pace, in bottom 15 in country. Big 14 home favorites are 19-14 vs spread; ACC underdogs are 5-7 away from home. ACC teams are 12-4 SU vs Big 14 this year (9-7 vs spread).

          Harvard won three of last four games with Northeastern, losing 80-71 in last visit here couple years ago. Huskies lost their last four games, allowing 80.5 ppg- they’ve turned ball over 24.3% of time vs schedule #65- they’re #268 experience team. Harvard lost four of last five games, with three of those losses to teams outside top 200; they’re shooting only 28.8% on arc, turning ball over 20.6% of time. CAA home favorites are 2-1 vs spread; Ivy League road underdogs are 6-7. Ivy League teams covered seven of last 10 games vs CAA teams.

          East Carolina coach Lebo quit/was fired earlier this week; Pirates lost three of last four games with NC-Wilmington, with only win two years ago. UNCW is 1-3 vs D-I teams, losing only true road game by 27 at Davidson; Seahawks have played schedule #78. UNCW is playing pace #11- they’ve been a terrible defensive team so far under new coach McGrath- their only win was over Campbell. CAA favorites are 3-4 vs spread away from home; AAC underdogs are 6-8. Last 2+ years, AAC teams are 8-6 vs spread when playing CAA squads.

          UAB lost 62-55 at Memphis LY, in brickfest where teams shot combined 4-25 on arc; Blazers went 0-3 at Cayman Islands tourney- they’re 2-3 vs D-I teams, 0-3 vs top 200 teams, losing by 13-5-10 points. Memphis is 3-1 vs schedule #272; Tigers are shooting only 26.9% on arc while turning ball over 21.7% of time. Memphis starts three juniors, one senior. C-USA home favorites are 5-3 vs spread; AAC underdogs are 6-8 away from home. Last 2+ years, AAC teams are 10-6 vs spread when facing a C-USA team.

          Central Florida’s best player Taylor is out hurt and UCF is turning ball over 24.6% of time; UCF is 4-2 but lost last two games in the Orlando tourney, scoring 45-43 points. Knights’ best win is over #109 Nebraska. Missouri won 2 of 3 in that same Orlando tourney; Tigers are without star freshman Porter- they’re turning ball over 22.3% of time, but are making 41.2% on the arc. SEC favorites are 15-6 vs spread away from home; AAC underdogs are 6-9. Last 2+ years, SEC teams are 11-7 vs spread when playing an AAC opponent.

          San Diego State won nine of last 10 games with San Diego, with only loss two years ago in a game played outdoors at Petco Park. Aztecs are 5-2 in Dutcher’s first year as coach, losing final of Fullerton tourney- they’re #222 experience team but their bench is 54th in minutes played. San Diego Toreros are 5-0 vs schedule #341; only top 150 team they’ve played is Grand Canyon, a good WAC team. Mountain West favorites are 7-5 vs spread away from home; WCC underdogs are 3-10. MW teams are 5-2 vs spread when playing WCC opponents this season.

          Pacific won three of last four games after an 0-3 start; 3-0 vs teams outside top 200, 0-4 vs top 200 teams. Riverside lost last three D-I games after upsetting Cal in its opener; UCR is turning ball over 23.1% of time, making just 24.6% on arc. Highlanders start three seniors, so they should be better. Pacific starts two sophs, three juniors- they’re #222 experience team. WCC favorites are 7-13 vs spread, 4-4 away from home; Big West underdogs are 19-13, 1-1 at home. Last 2+ years, Big West teams are 24-21 vs WCC teams (6-1 this year).

          Texas Tech starts five seniors, is 6-0 with top 100 wins over BC/Northwestern at Mohegan Sun- this is already their 2nd trip to the Northeast, long way from home. Red Raiders force turnovers 26.3% of time. Seton Hall is #96 team; they’re 5-1 with wins over Indiana/Vandy- they lost by a point to URI on neutral floor. Pirates force turnovers 24.1% of time. Big X favorites are 9-10 away from home; Big East underdogs are 3-6, 0-2 at home. Last 2+ years, Big X teams are 5-5 vs spread when playing a Big East opponent.

          South Carolina is 5-1 after winning at FIU Monday; Gamecocks are #273 experience team, also won at Wofford- their only loss was 69-65 to Illinois State in Myrtle Beach tourney. Temple got upset at LaSalle Sunday; Owls are 3-1 with three top 75 wins. over ODU-Auburn-Clemson (schedule #8). Temple starts two juniors, two seniors. Carolina led by 11 with 10:57 Sunday, were outscored 32-17 rest of way. SEC favorites are 15-6 vs spread away from home; AAC underdogs are 6-8. Last 2+ years, SEC teams are 11-7 vs spread when playing an AAC opponent.

          Charleston is 3-2 vs D-I teams after going 1-1 in Alaskan Shootout; Cougars are missing one of their better players- they are 3-1 vs teams ranked outside top 200- they’re forcing turnovers 23.3% of time. Western Carolina is 1-5 vs D-I teams with only win vs #349 Alabama A&M; WCU is turning ball over 24.6% of time- four of their five losses were to top 80 teams in nation. CAA favorites are 5-5 vs spread; SoCon underdogs are 8-15 away from home. Last 2+ years, SoCon teams are 8-4 vs spread when playing CAA squads.

          Mississippi State is 5-0 vs schedule #346; their best two wins are Jacksonville State, SF Austin. Bulldogs are shooting only 26.2% outside arc- they’re #332 experience team that is playing lot of subs. North Dakota State’s confidence should be helped by So Dakota St winning at Ole Miss the other day; Bison are 3-3, with only top 100 game a 10-point loss at USC. SEC home favorites are 8-11 vs spread; Summit League underdogs are 12-15 away from home. Last 2+ years, SEC teams are 6-3 vs spread when playing a Summit league foe.

          Weber State is 2-2 vs D-I teams, beating Mountain West’s Utah St by 6; this is their first D-I game in 11 days. Wildcats are #220 experience team that plays slow pace and doesn’t sub much. Fresno State is #19 experience team that is 4-2, losing to Arkansas/Evansville; Bulldogs don’t sub much either, but are making 39.1% of their 3-pointers. Mountain West home favorites are 15-5 vs spread; Big Sky underdogs are 18-21 away from home. Last 2+ years, Big Sky squads are 21-19 vs spread when playing a MW opponent.

          Santa Clara is 0-4 vs D-I teams, and even lost to Anchroage up in Alaska; Broncos protect ball well, but are shooting 32.1% on arc, 42.3% inside arc- they play pace #333. Northern Arizona is 0-6 with a loss to an NAIA school; Lumberjacks are turning ball over 25.6% of time, shooting 40.8% inside arc- when you’re 0-6, all the stats are dreadful. WCC home favorites are 3-9 vs spread; Big Sky underdogs are 18-21 away from home. Last 2+ years, WCC teams are 17-16-1 vs spread when playing a Big Sky opponent.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-30-2017, 12:27 PM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB

            Thursday, November 30


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            Trend Report
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            ALICE LLOYD @ MOREHEAD STATE
            ALICE LLOYD

            No trends to report
            MOREHEAD STATE

            Morehead State is 19-5 SU in its last 24 games at home
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Morehead State's last 6 games at home
            TEXAS TECH @ SETON HALL
            TEXAS TECH

            Texas Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            SETON HALL

            Seton Hall is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
            Seton Hall is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
            NOTRE DAME @ MICHIGAN STATE
            NOTRE DAME

            Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            Notre Dame is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            MICHIGAN STATE

            Michigan State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            Michigan State is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home
            SOUTH FLORIDA @ ELON
            SOUTH FLORIDA

            South Florida is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games
            South Florida is 1-12 SU in its last 13 games on the road
            ELON

            Elon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            Elon is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
            NJIT @ WEST VIRGINIA
            NJIT

            No trends to report
            WEST VIRGINIA

            West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            HARTFORD @ LIU-BROOKLYN
            HARTFORD

            No trends to report
            LIU-BROOKLYN

            No trends to report
            CAMPBELL @ STETSON
            CAMPBELL

            No trends to report
            STETSON

            No trends to report
            WESTERN CAROLINA @ COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON
            WESTERN CAROLINA

            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Western Carolina's last 5 games on the road
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Western Carolina's last 6 games when playing on the road against College of Charle
            COLLEGE OF CHARLESTON

            College of Charleston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Western Carolina
            College of Charleston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Western Carolina
            MOLLOY @ HOFSTRA
            MOLLOY

            No trends to report
            HOFSTRA

            No trends to report
            HARVARD @ NORTHEASTERN
            HARVARD

            Harvard is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Northeastern
            Harvard is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
            NORTHEASTERN

            Northeastern is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games at home
            Northeastern is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Harvard
            TEXAS SOUTHERN @ OAKLAND
            TEXAS SOUTHERN

            No trends to report
            OAKLAND

            Oakland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
            Oakland is 13-5 SU in its last 18 games
            NORTH CAROLINA A&T @ CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE
            NORTH CAROLINA A&T

            No trends to report
            CENTRAL CONNECTICUT STATE

            No trends to report
            INDIANA-KOKOMO @ IPFW
            INDIANA-KOKOMO

            No trends to report
            IPFW

            IPFW is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
            IPFW is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
            NORTH DAKOTA STATE @ MISSISSIPPI STATE
            NORTH DAKOTA STATE

            North Dakota State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            MISSISSIPPI STATE

            Mississippi State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            Mississippi State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            CENTRAL PENN COLLEGE @ HOWARD
            CENTRAL PENN COLLEGE

            No trends to report
            HOWARD

            No trends to report
            CARVER BIBLE @ SAVANNAH STATE
            CARVER BIBLE

            No trends to report
            SAVANNAH STATE

            No trends to report
            COLLEGE OF NEW ROCHELLE @ ST. FRANCIS-BROOKLYN
            COLLEGE OF NEW ROCHELLE

            No trends to report
            ST. FRANCIS-BROOKLYN

            No trends to report
            CHRISTENDOM COLLEGE @ NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL
            CHRISTENDOM COLLEGE

            No trends to report
            NORTH CAROLINA CENTRAL

            No trends to report
            BETHUNE-COOKMAN @ JACKSONVILLE
            BETHUNE-COOKMAN

            No trends to report
            JACKSONVILLE

            No trends to report
            ST. THOMAS-TEXAS @ SAM HOUSTON STATE
            ST. THOMAS-TEXAS

            No trends to report
            SAM HOUSTON STATE

            No trends to report
            UNC WILMINGTON @ EAST CAROLINA
            UNC WILMINGTON

            UNC Wilmington is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games when playing East Carolina
            UNC Wilmington is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games
            EAST CAROLINA

            East Carolina is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing at home against UNC Wilmington
            East Carolina is 5-14-1 ATS in its last 20 games when playing UNC Wilmington
            UTRGV @ TEXAS A&M
            UTRGV

            UTRGV is 2-10 SU in its last 12 games on the road
            UTRGV is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games
            TEXAS A&M

            Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            Texas A&M is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
            MEMPHIS @ UAB
            MEMPHIS

            Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against UAB
            Memphis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing UAB
            UAB

            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UAB's last 6 games when playing Memphis
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UAB's last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
            ALABAMA STATE @ JACKSONVILLE STATE
            ALABAMA STATE

            No trends to report
            JACKSONVILLE STATE

            Jacksonville State is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games
            Jacksonville State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
            SOUTH DAKOTA @ UMKC
            SOUTH DAKOTA

            South Dakota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of South Dakota's last 10 games on the road
            UMKC

            UMKC is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home
            UMKC is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
            NORTH TEXAS @ OKLAHOMA
            NORTH TEXAS

            North Texas is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
            North Texas is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games
            OKLAHOMA

            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma's last 5 games
            Oklahoma is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
            OTTAWA (AZ) @ UTSA
            OTTAWA (AZ)

            No trends to report
            UTSA

            UTSA is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home
            MISSOURI @ CENTRAL FLORIDA
            MISSOURI

            The total has gone OVER in 11 of Missouri's last 12 games on the road
            Missouri is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
            CENTRAL FLORIDA

            Central Florida is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
            Central Florida is 13-4 SU in its last 17 games
            SOUTH CAROLINA @ TEMPLE
            SOUTH CAROLINA

            South Carolina is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 games
            South Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
            TEMPLE

            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Temple's last 5 games
            Temple is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
            NEW MEXICO STATE @ UTEP
            NEW MEXICO STATE

            New Mexico State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing UTEP
            New Mexico State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
            UTEP

            UTEP is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
            UTEP is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing New Mexico State
            WEBER STATE @ FRESNO STATE
            WEBER STATE

            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Weber State's last 5 games on the road
            Weber State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
            FRESNO STATE

            Fresno State is 17-2 SU in its last 19 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Fresno State's last 5 games
            PACIFIC @ UC RIVERSIDE
            PACIFIC

            Pacific is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against UC Riverside
            The total has gone OVER in 8 of Pacific's last 9 games on the road
            UC RIVERSIDE

            UC Riverside is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Pacific
            UC Riverside is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games when playing Pacific
            MULTNOMAH UNIVERSITY @ PORTLAND
            MULTNOMAH UNIVERSITY

            No trends to report
            PORTLAND

            Portland is 2-9 SU in its last 11 games at home
            Portland is 3-21 SU in its last 24 games
            NORTHERN ARIZONA @ SANTA CLARA
            NORTHERN ARIZONA

            The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Northern Arizona's last 23 games on the road
            Northern Arizona is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            SANTA CLARA

            Santa Clara is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
            Santa Clara is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
            KENNESAW STATE @ SEATTLE
            KENNESAW STATE

            No trends to report
            SEATTLE

            Seattle is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home
            Seattle is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
            SAN DIEGO STATE @ SAN DIEGO
            SAN DIEGO STATE

            San Diego State is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Diego
            San Diego State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
            SAN DIEGO

            San Diego is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            San Diego is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing San Diego State


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            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-30-2017, 12:28 PM.

            Comment


            • #7
              College basketball's top ATS teams:

              Nevada 7-0 ATS
              Portland St. 6-0 ATS
              Washington St. 5-0 ATS
              Florida St. 5-0 ATS
              South Alabama 5-0 ATS
              Southern Utah 5-0 ATS
              Central Michigan 4-0 ATS
              Towson 4-0 ATS
              UC Davis 4-0-1 ATS

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