Announcement

**Udog** · 11-29-2017, 08:22 AM

Armadillo: Wednesday's six-pack

Some trends for Week 12 of the NFL

— Bears failed to cover last five games as a home favorite.

— Atlanta is 6-15 in its last 21 games as a home favorite.

— Bengals covered six of last seven tries as a home underdog.

— Denver is 0-7 vs spread the last seven weeks.

— Carolina covered six of its last eight games.

— Cowboys are 8-20 vs spread as a divisional home favorite.

**********

Armadillo: Wednesday's List of 13: Mid-week musings……..

13) Eli Manning will take a seat Sunday and Geno Smith will start for the Giants Sunday in Oakland. Last Giants’ QB to start instead of Manning? Hall of Famer Kurt Warner, in 2004.

12) Auburn beat Georgia a few weeks ago, now the teams meet again in SEC title game; the surprising fact is this— last six SEC title games that were rematches, the team that won the first meeting also won the second meeting. I wouldn’t have guessed that.

11) Duke football coach David Cutcliffe turned down Tennessee? Really? Cutcliffe was the Vols’ OC during the Peyton Manning years, the Ole Miss coach during the Eli Manning years, but he has found the Duke job as a good place to work.

Ole Miss ran Cutcliffe off despite the Rebels going 44-29 (25-23 in SEC games) under his tutelage. Tennessee is a bigger fishbowl than Ole Miss, so Cutcliffe said no thanks.

10) Dak Prescott will get very rich someday, in part because of the training he got playing for Dan Mullen at Mississippi State.

Dan Mullen just got really rich, in part of because of how well Prescott played for him at Miss State. Hopefully the two of them send each other Christmas cards and thank each other, maybe even exchange expensive gifts.

9) Blake Griffin sprained his MCL, is likely out 6-8 weeks for the Clippers, who are relieved the injury wasn’t worse.

8) Lonzo Ball shot 41.2% on 3’s last year, 67.3% on foul line, 73% inside the arc, so I refuse to say “He can’t shoot”, but he ain’t shooting well this year (24.5% of 3’s, 42.9% of FT’s, 30.9% inside arc). Whether his problem is mental or physical, who knows?

Don MacLean, who does studio work on Clipper games, was saying Monday night that Ball’s shooting problem is a mechanical flaw that won’t be easy to fix. Seeing how Ball’s father is also his trainer, we’ll see if the problem gets fixed.

7) Virginia 49, Wisconsin 37— Why would ESPN match these two teams for a TV game? They both play slowish, unattractive styles; at least they were smart enough to put the game up against Monday Night Football, so we could easily pass on watching it.

6) Actors Matt Damon/Edward Norton made the great poker movie Rounders in 1998; that summer, both actors played for real in the main event at the World Series of Poker in Las Vegas.

Damon got knocked out of the Main Event by poker legend Doyle Brunson; Damon had pocket kings, but Brunson had pocket aces. Would be fun if there was video of that hand.

5) Daytime TV is generally horrible, but SEC Network has an hour-long show called Thinking Out Loud which is worth watching. Think it is on Monday and Friday for an hour, with Greg McElroy and Marcus Spears talking mostly about college football.

If ESPN was smart, they’d give those two their own talk show on a regular basis; they’re smart, have a sense of humor and are fun to listen to.

4) I’m reading baseball articles and I see these names mentioned as trade chips this winter:

Stanton-Abreu-Ozuna-Santana. Good grief, they’re all on my fantasy team. Had a good season last year, I don’t need lot of guys changing teams, though if one or two of them got traded to the Phillies and that tiny ballpark, I wouldn’t mind.

3) Jimmy Garoppolo and Geno Smith will be the 50/51st QB’s to start an NFL game this year; all of last year, 54 different quarterbacks started a game.

2) ESPN’s Herm Edwards interviewed for the Arizona State coaching job, which is interesting and could signal that Herm is gone from ESPN when their next round of personnel cuts happen.

1) Ole Miss gave interim football coach Matt Luke the full-time head coaching job- they posted his contract on Twitter. Here are some particulars of his contract:

— Luke’s salary is $12.6M, over four years (2018-21)
— Luke gets $150,000 for SEC every win Ole Miss gets, starting with Rebels’ 3rd SEC win each year.
— $150,000 for getting to the SEC title game, $400,000 if he wins the title game.
— His bowl bonus is anywhere from $50,000-$250,000, depending on the bowl’s level.
— $500,000 for getting the national playoff semifinals, $1M for winning national title.

— Just for comedy, he gets $100,000 if Ole Miss players have an APR score of 975 or better. Getting to the SEC title game is worth $150,000.

— Ole Miss has a salary pool of $5,135,000 to pay ten assistant coaches.
— They have a salary pool of $2,100,000 to staff strength conditioning crew, video analysts, football operations and other miscellaneous support staff.

College sports is big business, for sure.

**Udog** · 11-29-2017, 08:36 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, November 29

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WASHINGTON (10 - 9) at PHILADELPHIA (11 - 8) - 11/29/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHILADELPHIA is 5-3 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 6-2 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (7 - 14) at DETROIT (13 - 6) - 11/29/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in all games this season.
DETROIT is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 3-1 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 3-1 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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OKLAHOMA CITY (8 - 11) at ORLANDO (8 - 13) - 11/29/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 42-59 ATS (-22.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ORLANDO is 17-31 ATS (-17.1 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA CITY over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 3-1 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (8 - 11) at TORONTO (12 - 7) - 11/29/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 2 seasons.
TORONTO is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHARLOTTE is 4-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 4-3 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (10 - 9) at NEW YORK (10 - 10) - 11/29/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 125-161 ATS (-52.1 Units) in November games since 1996.
NEW YORK is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in home games in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 56-43 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-3 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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INDIANA (12 - 9) at HOUSTON (16 - 4) - 11/29/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 3-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 3-2 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MINNESOTA (12 - 8) at NEW ORLEANS (11 - 9) - 11/29/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MEMPHIS (7 - 12) at SAN ANTONIO (13 - 7) - 11/29/2017, 8:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in November games this season.
MEMPHIS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 1014-888 ATS (+37.2 Units) in all games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 812-691 ATS (+51.9 Units) as a favorite since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 518-433 ATS (+41.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 410-329 ATS (+48.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 10-8 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 14-4 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BROOKLYN (7 - 13) at DALLAS (5 - 16) - 11/29/2017, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 2-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 4-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

GOLDEN STATE (15 - 6) at LA LAKERS (8 - 12) - 11/29/2017, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 5-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 6-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-29-2017, 08:37 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, November 29

Washington won 8 of last 10 games with Philly, but 76ers covered five of last six; Wizards lost last two games in this building, by 7-8 points. Three of last four series games went over. Washington lost four of last six games; they’re 6-2 as road underdogs. Eight of their last ten games stayed under total. 76ers won five of last seven games, are 5-2 as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under.

Pistons won four of last five games with Phoenix; under is 6-4 in last ten series games. Suns are 0-5 vs spread in last five visits to the Motor City. Phoenix lost three of last four games; they’re 5-3 as road underdogs. Five of their last seven games went over total. Detroit won three of last four games; they’re 5-3 vs spread as home favorites. Five of their last six games stayed under the total.

Thunder won eight of last ten games with Orlando; over is 5-2 in last seven series games. OKC is 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to the Magic Kingdom. Thunder lost their last five road games, four of last five games overall; they’re 2-7 as road favorites. Last three OKC games stayed under. Orlando lost its last nine games (2-6-1 vs spread); they’re 2-1 as home underdogs. Five of last six Magic games went over total.

Toronto won six of its last nine games with Charlotte; over is 5-5 in last ten series games. Hornets are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Canada. Charlotte lost 7 of last 10 games overall. five in row on road- they’re 2-4-1 as road underdogs. Raptors won four in a row at home, five of last seven games overall- they’re 4-3 as home favorites. Last five Toronto games stayed under the total.

Road team won last six Heat-Knick games; Miami won/covered its last five visits to Manhattan. Six of last seven series games stayed under the total. Miami won three of its last four games; they’re 7-4 vs spread on road. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. New York lost its last three games, by 12-15-12 points; they’re 10-3 vs spread at home. Four of their last six games stayed under the total.

Pacers won three of last four games with Houston; they’re 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Houston. Last four series games stayed under the total. Indiana won six of its last seven games; they’re 6-3 vs spread as road underdogs. Over is 5-5 in their last ten games. Rockets won their last five games; they’re 5-5 as home favorites. Three of their last four games stayed under the total.

Pelicans won three of last four games with Minnesota; seven of last eight series games went over the total. Wolves are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to Bourbon Street. Minnesota lost four of their last six games; they’re 2-4 vs spread as road underdogs. Under is 7-3 in their last 10 games. New Orleans won three of its last four games; they’re 2-4 as home favorites. Pelicans’ last three games all stayed under the total.

Memphis is playing first game under interim coach Bickerstaff; home side won nine of last ten Memphis-San Antonio games. Grizzlies are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to the Alamo. Last four series games went over total. Memphis lost its last eight games; they’re 3-3 as road underdogs. Last five Grizzlies games stayed under. Spurs won four of last five games; they’re 6-3 as home favorites. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games.

Dallas won its last four games with the Nets; four of last six series games stayed under the total. Nets covered four of last five visits to Dallas. Brooklyn lost four of its last five games but they covered their last six games, are 7-3 as road underdogs. Under is 3-1-1 in their last five games. Dallas won three of last five games; they’re 1-2 as home favorites. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games.

Golden State won its last three games with the Lakers, by 43-24-15 points; seven of last eight series games stayed under. Warriors are 2-3 vs spread in last five series games in Staples. Golden State won four of last six games; Curry/Durant sat out Monday’s loss to Sacramento. Warriors are 0-4 in last four tries as a road favorite. Lakers lost seven of last ten games; they’re 4-5 as a home underdog. Five of their last six games went over total.

**Udog** · 11-29-2017, 08:40 AM

NBA

Wednesday, November 29

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Trend Report
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PHOENIX @ DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoenix
Detroit is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Phoenix

OKLAHOMA CITY @ ORLANDO
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Orlando
Oklahoma City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Orlando
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games at home

WASHINGTON @ PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Washington's last 12 games
Philadelphia is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Philadelphia is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games

MIAMI @ NEW YORK
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New York
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of New York's last 14 games when playing at home against Miami
New York is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home

CHARLOTTE @ TORONTO
Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Charlotte is 13-4 ATS in its last 17 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

INDIANA @ HOUSTON
Indiana is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Indiana is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

MINNESOTA @ NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota's last 8 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota's last 7 games when playing on the road against New Orleans
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Orleans's last 8 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games when playing at home against Minnesota

BROOKLYN @ DALLAS
Brooklyn is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Brooklyn is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Dallas is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games at home

MEMPHIS @ SAN ANTONIO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing San Antonio
San Antonio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Memphis
San Antonio is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

GOLDEN STATE @ LA LAKERS
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Golden State's last 8 games when playing LA Lakers
Golden State is 19-4 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of LA Lakers's last 8 games when playing Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 6 games at home

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**Udog** · 11-29-2017, 07:54 PM

NBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, November 29

Washington @ Philadelphia

Game 701-702
November 29, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
120.000
Philadelphia
122.482
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2 1/2
202
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
by 5
213
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(+5); Under

Phoenix @ Detroit

Game 703-704
November 29, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
114.482
Detroit
118.520
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 4
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Detroit
by 12
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(+12); Over

Oklahoma City @ Orlando

Game 705-706
November 29, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma City
122.718
Orlando
109.964
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma City
by 13
224
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 5 1/2
211 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oklahoma City
(-5 1/2); Over

Charlotte @ Toronto

Game 707-708
November 29, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
116.336
Toronto
129.446
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 13
206
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 7 1/2
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-7 1/2); Under

Miami @ New York

Game 709-710
November 29, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
118.451
New York
119.525
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 1
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 1 1/2
203 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(+1 1/2); Under

Indiana @ Houston

Game 711-712
November 29, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
122.382
Houston
131.750
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 9 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 12
223
Dunkel Pick:
Indiana
(+12); Under

Minnesota @ New Orleans

Game 713-714
November 29, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
116.397
New Orleans
124.376
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 8
218
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 3 1/2
216
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-3 1/2); Over

Memphis @ San Antonio

Game 715-716
November 29, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
112.807
San Antonio
125.316
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Antonio
by 12 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Antonio
by 7
195
Dunkel Pick:
San Antonio
(-7); Over

Brooklyn @ Dallas

Game 717-718
November 29, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Brooklyn
115.005
Dallas
121.952
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Dallas
by 7
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Dallas
by 4 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Dallas
(-4 1/2); Under

Golden State @ LA Lakers

Game 719-720
November 29, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
131.362
LA Lakers
112.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 18 1/2
220
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 10
225
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-10); Under

Announcement

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/29

Wednesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/29

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