Tuesday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/28

[Udog]

Trends and Indexes

Tuesday, November 28

Good Luck on day #331 of 2017!
NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

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[Udog]

Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

— Michael Crabtree/Aqib Talib both got suspended for two games after Sunday’s fight in Oakland.

— Ravens 23, Texans 16— Baltimore is 6-5, with five wins over backup QB’s.

— Lamar 66, UTEP 52— Miners’ coach Tim Floyd retired after the game.

— Syracuse upset Clemson 27-24 October 13; they went 0-5 from that point on.

— Marquette 86, Eastern Illinois 83 OT— Panthers let Marquette off the hook in regulation.

— Memphis Grizzlies fired coach David Fizdale during an 8-game losing streak, even though PG Mike Conley is currently hurt. Fizdale was 50-51 in Memphis, 7-12 this season


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Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but……

13) Thanksgiving Week is our busiest week of the year on this site, so much stuff going on, with pro/college football, NBA, NHL and taking a crash course on college basketball as their season cranks up. I’m a little bleary-eyed today, so I apologize for any typos here today.

How weird is college football?
— Texas A&M fired Kevin Sumlin (51-26, 25-23 in SEC games); he was also 35-17 at Houston, 24-8 in conference games.
— Arizona State ousted Todd Graham (46-31, 31-23 in Pac-12 games); he is 49-29 at three other coaching stops, 32-17 in conference games.

When guys with winning conference records get fired, things are a little too strange.

12) Tennessee let it be known they were going to hire former Rutgers/Bucs’ coach Greg Schiano, but the backlash on social media was so severe, the school backed down and now won’t hire Schiano, who was 68-67 at Rutgers, 28-48 in league games (25-24 the last six years).

My suggestion to the fine folks in Nashville? Give Les Miles a call; he’s a pretty good coach.

11) Dan Mullen bolts from Mississippi State to Florida, both SEC schools; do you realize what a kick in the teeth it is to bolt to a school in the same league?

I can only remember this happening twice before:
After the 1991 season, Arizona State hired Bruce Snyder away from Cal.
After the 1997 season, Tommy Tuberville jumped from Ole Miss to Auburn.

10) Nebraska Cornhuskers went 4-8 this season, first time they lost eight football games in a season since 1957.

9) Northern Iowa lost 64-50 to Villanova in the Bahamas Friday; UNI didn’t take a free throw, none, zero, bupkis. Last year, only three D-I teams all season didn’t take a foul shot in a game.

8) Underrated accomplishment; Central Florida’s football team is 11-0; two years ago, they were 0-12. How is that not blasted over ESPN every day?

7) South Florida QB Quinton Flowers threw for over 500 yards Saturday, ran for 100+ more, but the Bulls lost 49-42 to UCF. Quite a performance.

6) New England Patriots have started 14 drives in enemy territory this season; their opponents have started one drive in Patriot territory.

5) Fresno State upset Boise State Saturday; their reward? They play Boise State again this week in the Mountain West title game. Not often football teams meet two weeks in a row.

4) If Derrick Rose does indeed walk away from the NBA, he leaves $80M from adidas on the table. You have to be pretty freakin’ miserable to quit a job that pays you that much cash. Rose skipped town on the Knicks last year, too; hope the guy finds happiness.

3) Arizona went 0-3 at the Battle of Atlantis, and became the first basketball team ever to go from #2 in the top 25 to unranked, all in one week.

2) Speaking of which, Jay Bilas said on ESPN Sunday night that he expects a tournament with a format similar to the PK80 event to surface in the future. No one mentioned a prospective site, but Las Vegas makes perfect sense, with MGM, Thomas-Mack, Mandalay Bay arenas all in town, plus the bigger T-Mobile Arena and the smaller Orleans and SouthPoint arenas.

1) Still hard to believe that Alabama was +8 in a 10:41 stretch of their basketball game with Minnesota Saturday, while the Crimson Tide was playing 3-on-5. Freshman PG Collin Sexton scored 19 of his 40 points while his team was shorthanded. Gophers won 79-74, but they were up 13 when the game turned into 5-on-3.

[Udog]

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, November 28

Miami won five of last six games with Cleveland; home side won nine of last ten series games. Heat is 1-4 vs spread in its last five visits to Ohio. Miami won four of its last five games; they are 5-2 vs spread as road underdogs. Four of their last six game stayed under total. Cleveland won their last eight games; they’re 0-3 vs spread if they played nite before; they’re 1-9 vs spread as home favorites. Under is 4-2-1 in their last seven games.

Wizards-Wolves split their last ten games; home side won eight of those the games. Washington is 1-4 vs spread in their last five visits to the Twin Cities. Over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Washington lost four of last five games; they’re 5-2 vs spread as a road underdog. Eight of their last ten games stayed under total. Minnesota lost three of last five games, split last four at home; they’re 3-5 as home favorites. Three of their last four games went over.

Suns won three of last four games with Chicago; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to the Windy City. Three of last four series games went over total. Phoenix lost last three games, are 3-6-1 vs spread in last ten; they’re 4-3 as road underdogs. Five of their last six games went over the total. Bulls lost five games in row, nine of last ten; Chicago is 4-3 vs spread at home, 1-0 a a favorite. Three of their last four games stayed under.

Jazz won eight of last ten games with Denver; under is 9-1 in last ten series games. Nuggets are 1-5 vs spread in last six visits to Utah. Denver lost three of last four road games; they’re 2-7 vs spread on road, 0-3 as an underdog. Over is 5-5 in their last ten games. Jazz won three of last four games; they’re 1-5 vs spread in last six games as a home favorite. Four of their last six games went over the total.

Bucks won four of last six games with Sacramento; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five games in this building. Last nine series games went over the total. Milwaukee lost three of last four games; they’re 4-5 vs spread on road, 2-1 as a favorite. Under is 5-3 in their last eight games. Kings beat Golden State Monday (w/o Curry/Durant); they split last six games, are 6-2 vs spread a a home underdog. Three of their last four games went over total.

[Udog]

NBA

Tuesday, November 28

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Trend Report
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MIAMI @ CLEVELAND
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Miami

PHOENIX @ CHICAGO
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Chicago's last 12 games at home
Chicago is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Phoenix

WASHINGTON @ MINNESOTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 11 games
Minnesota is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington
Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Washington

DENVER @ UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Denver's last 10 games when playing Utah
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Denver's last 7 games when playing on the road against Utah
Utah is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Denver
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Utah's last 10 games when playing Denver

MILWAUKEE @ SACRAMENTO
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 5 games when playing on the road against Sacramento
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Sacramento's last 5 games when playing Milwaukee


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[Udog]

NHL
Long Sheet

Tuesday, November 28

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MIAMI (10 - 9) at CLEVELAND (13 - 7) - 11/28/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 125-161 ATS (-52.1 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 56-43 ATS (+8.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 32-19 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) as a favorite this season.
CLEVELAND is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games this season.
CLEVELAND is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) in home games in the first half of the season this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 4-3 against the spread versus CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-2 straight up against CLEVELAND over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (10 - 9) at MINNESOTA (12 - 8) - 11/28/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PHOENIX (7 - 14) at CHICAGO (3 - 15) - 11/28/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 3-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 3-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (11 - 8) at UTAH (9 - 11) - 11/28/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 12-25 ATS (-15.5 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 5-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 7-2 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
8 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MILWAUKEE (9 - 9) at SACRAMENTO (6 - 14) - 11/28/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 256-313 ATS (-88.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 74-48 ATS (+21.2 Units) in road games on Tuesday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 2-2 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 2-2 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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[Udog]

NBA
Dunkel

Tuesday, November 28

Miami @ Cleveland

Game 501-502
November 28, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
118.451
Cleveland
129.086
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 10 1/2
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
by 3 1/2
210
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-3 1/2); Under

Washington @ Minnesota

Game 503-504
November 28, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
113.939
Minnesota
125.458
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 11 1/2
216
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 5 1/2
213
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-5 1/2); Over

Phoenix @ Chicago

Game 505-506
November 28, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
108.598
Chicago
111.981
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago
by 2 1/2
222
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago
Pick
213
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
Over

Denver @ Utah

Game 507-508
November 28, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
118.144
Utah
122.549
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Utah
by 4 1/2
209
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Utah
by 1
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Utah
(-1); Over

Milwaukee @ Sacramento

Game 509-510
November 28, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
114.182
Sacramento
117.172
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Sacramento
by 3
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
by 7
199
Dunkel Pick:
Sacramento
(+7); Over

[Udog]

NBA

Tuesday, November 28



Under is 9-2 in Wizards' last 11 overall & 5-1 in their last 6 on the road. Under is 8-0 in Twolves' last 8 games following a straight up win.
WAS/MIN Total: 213