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  • Monday's NCAAB Trends and Indexes - 11/27

    Trends and Indexes

    Monday, November 27

    Good Luck on day #330 of 2017!

    NOTE: As information becomes available, we will attempt to post the trends and indexes as soon as possible.Information is posted from what we believe are reliable sources.Any opinions expressed are not necessarily those of the posting member or BettorsChat.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

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    NCAAB SAGARIN RATINGS

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    NASCAR Schedule

    -------------------------------------------------------------------------------

  • #2
    Armadillo: Monday's six-pack

    Six most popular picks for Week 12 in the Westgate Super Contest:

    6) Buffalo Bills, +9.5 (568)- W

    5) Jacksonville Jaguars+2.5 (609)- W

    4) Los Angeles Rams, -2.5 (640)- W

    3) Tennessee Titans, -3 (654)- W

    2) New Orleans Saints, +2.5 (696)- L

    1) Carolina Panthers -4.5 (967)- W

    Season record of top 6 picks: 32-40


    **********

    Armadillo: Monday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Sunday

    Bengals 30, Browns 16— Cleveland is first team since ’76-’77 Buccaneers to start 0-11 two years in a row, but Bucs were an expansion team. Bengals have won 7 games in a row vs Cleveland. Browns are 0-11, 2-9 vs spread- they did have eight plays of 20+ yards- they had total of 13 in their previous five games. 5-6 Bengals are only a game out of AFC’s second Wild Card.

    Eagles 31, Bears 3— Chicago is paying its two QB’s $36M this year; they didn’t have a first down in the first half, trailing 24-0. Eagles have now won nine games in a row, covered last eight, as they head out on an odd, late-season road swing (Seattle-Rams-Giants). Playing a rookie QB can get a coach fired; Bears had total of 8 first downs, only 140 yards- their longest play: 19 yards.

    Patriots 35, Dolphins 17— Patriots have a 3-game lead in AFC East with five games to play; they won their last seven games (6-1 vs spread). Miami lost its last five games (0-3-2 vs spread); they’ve made playoffs twice in last 16 years- last time they won a playoff game was after the ’00 season. Dolphins’ owner Stephen Ross is a Michigan alum; rough week for him all around.

    Bills 16, Chiefs 10— Third year in a row, a team that started out 5-0 went 1-5 or worse in its next six games (’15 Falcons/’16 Vikings). KC scored 32.8 pts/game in its 5-0 start; they’ve scored 18 pts/game in the 1-5 skid. Despite that, Chiefs lead an awful AFC West by a game over the surging Chargers. Bills won field position by 13 yards; they’re -7 in turnovers in their losses, +13 in wins.

    Falcons 34, Buccaneers 20— Julio Jones caught 15 passes for 253 yards; he caught 54 passes in his first ten games. Atlanta won four of its last five games overall; they’re tied with the Seahawks for 2nd Wild Card in NFC, and they beat the Seahawks. Falcons outgained Tampa 516-373; they had 10 plays of 20+ yards. Average total in last nine games with Tampa Bay is now 55.8.

    Panthers 35, Jets 27— Carolina scored TD’s on defense, special teams in this game. If playoffs started today (they don’t), NFC South would get three teams in playoffs, with Panthers being #5 seed. Carolina won/covered its last four games; they’re 5-1 on road, winning by 20-3-3-14-8 points away from home. Jets lost four of last five games; this was first time they trailed at half since Week 2.

    Titans 20, Colts 16— Indy had ball up 16-6 with 2:30 left in 3rd quarter, but lost fumble deep in their own territory and imploded from that point on. This was Tennessee’s first win in 10 visits to Lucas Oil Stadium; they swept the Colts this year. Titans are now tied for first with Jaguars in AFC South; they host Jacksonville on New Year’s Eve in the season finale.

    Seahawks 24, 49ers 13— Seahawks won their last four road games; they’re tied with Atlanta for last Wild Card spot and play Eagles-Rams-Jaguars the next three weeks. Seattle won last nine games against the 49ers, winning last four visits to Santa Clara, by 16-17-2-11 points. Niners finally put new QB Jimmy Garoppolo in a game- he was 2-2 passing and threw a TD pass- if they want fans to buy tickets for 2018, how about playing him the last five weeks?

    Rams 26, Saints 20— Rams threw for 354 yards despite their leading WR Woods being out; of course, it didn’t hurt that the Saints’ top two CB’s were also out.

    Here are Rams’ receiving numbers Sunday:
    Kupp caught 8 balls for 116 yards
    Watkins caught 4 balls for 82 yards
    Gurley caught 4 balls for 54 yards
    Reynolds caught 4 balls for 37 yards and a TD
    Higbee caught 3 balls for 48.

    Except for Gurley, none of those guys were on the Rams two years ago; kudos to GM Les Snead, who at this time last year was taking a ton of grief. Now he is the GM of a contending team.

    Cardinals 27, Jaguars 24— Blaine Gabbert went 5-22 as Jacksonville’s QB, from 2011-13; he dealt the Jaguars’ playoff hopes a blow here- Phil Dawson cranked a 57-yard FG as time expired to give Arizona the win. Jaguars are at home the next three weeks (Colts-Seattle-Texans); they are tied with Tennessee for first in AFC South. Jaguars visit Nashville in Week 17.

    Raiders 21. Broncos 14— There was a brawl in first quarter of this game; Talib/Crabtree both got tossed. Broncos lost their last seven games (0-7 vs spread); they’re 0-5 on road (0-5 vs spread) losing by 10-21-10-28-7 points. Paxton Lynch got hurt, so Denver is back to Siemian at QB. Raiders were only NFL team in 83 years to have zero INTs in their first 10 games- they finally got one in this game.

    Steelers 31, Packers 28— Green Bay scored four TD’s, three on plays of 39+ yards, but in the end, the Steelers kicked a 53-yard FG on last play of the game to move to 9-2. Pittsburgh hosts the Patriots in Week 15, with #1 seed in AFC likely at stake. Packers lost five of their last six games, are two games out of Wild Card.

    1) College hoop tournament finals—
    Wooden Legacy: Washington State 93, San Diego State 86
    PK80: Duke 87, Florida 84;
    Michigan State 63, North Carolina 45
    AdvoCare Tourney: West Virginia 83, Missouri 79

    Elsewhere, Texas A&M won 75-59 at USC.

    Comment


    • #3
      NCAAB
      Dunkel

      Monday, November 27


      Maryland @ Syracuse

      Game 717-718
      November 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Maryland
      71.521
      Syracuse
      67.888
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Maryland
      by 3 1/2
      137
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Syracuse
      by 3
      135
      Dunkel Pick:
      Maryland
      (+3); Over

      Cornell @ Duquesne


      Game 719-720
      November 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Cornell
      49.337
      Duquesne
      51.783
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Duquesne
      by 2 1/2
      154
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Duquesne
      by 5
      148
      Dunkel Pick:
      Cornell
      (+5); Over

      South Carolina @ FIU


      Game 721-722
      November 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      South Carolina
      72.379
      FIU
      50.569
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      South Carolina
      by 22
      138
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      South Carolina
      by 18 1/2
      132
      Dunkel Pick:
      South Carolina
      (-18 1/2); Over

      Yale @ Delaware


      Game 723-724
      November 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Yale
      60.121
      Delaware
      49.867
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Yale
      by 10
      151
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Yale
      by 2 1/2
      141
      Dunkel Pick:
      Yale
      (-2 1/2); Over

      Wisconsin @ Virginia


      Game 725-726
      November 27, 2017 @ 9:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Wisconsin
      69.196
      Virginia
      80.157
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Virginia
      by 11
      124
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Virginia
      by 8
      118 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Virginia
      (-8); Over

      Oakland @ Oral Roberts


      Game 727-728
      November 27, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Oakland
      56.409
      Oral Roberts
      46.192
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Oakland
      by 10
      145
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Oakland
      by 7
      151 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Oakland
      (-7); Under

      Eastern Illinois @ Marquette


      Game 729-730
      November 27, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Eastern Illinois
      50.235
      Marquette
      64.935
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Marquette
      by 14 1/2
      161
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Marquette
      by 17
      152 1/2
      Dunkel Pick:
      Eastern Illinois
      (+17); Over

      Alabama State @ Cincinnati


      Game 731-732
      November 27, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

      Dunkel Rating:
      Alabama State
      36.340
      Cincinnati
      72.744
      Dunkel Team:
      Dunkel Line:
      Dunkel Total:
      Cincinnati
      by 36 1/2
      165
      Vegas Team:
      Vegas Line:
      Vegas Total:
      Cincinnati
      by 38 1/2
      No Total
      Dunkel Pick:
      Alabama State
      (+38 1/2); N/A
      Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-27-2017, 11:32 AM.

      Comment


      • #4
        NCAAB
        Long Sheet

        Monday, November 27


        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        MARYLAND (6 - 1) at SYRACUSE (5 - 0) - 11/27/2017, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        MARYLAND is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        CORNELL (2 - 3) at DUQUESNE (2 - 1) - 11/27/2017, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CORNELL is 123-88 ATS (+26.2 Units) in road games since 1997.
        CORNELL is 123-88 ATS (+26.2 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
        DUQUESNE is 18-33 ATS (-18.3 Units) in home games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        S CAROLINA (4 - 1) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (2 - 3) - 11/27/2017, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        S CAROLINA is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in November games over the last 3 seasons.
        S CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
        S CAROLINA is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
        FLA INTERNATIONAL is 81-110 ATS (-40.0 Units) in all home games since 1997.
        FLA INTERNATIONAL is 81-110 ATS (-40.0 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
        FLA INTERNATIONAL is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-0 against the spread versus S CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
        S CAROLINA is 1-0 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        YALE (3 - 4) at DELAWARE (4 - 2) - 11/27/2017, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        YALE is 130-92 ATS (+28.8 Units) in road games since 1997.
        YALE is 130-92 ATS (+28.8 Units) in road lined games since 1997.
        YALE is 62-41 ATS (+16.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
        YALE is 60-40 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        YALE is 1-0 against the spread versus DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
        YALE is 1-0 straight up against DELAWARE over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        WISCONSIN (3 - 3) at VIRGINIA (6 - 0) - 11/27/2017, 9:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        WISCONSIN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games in November games over the last 3 seasons.
        VIRGINIA is 47-28 ATS (+16.2 Units) in November games since 1997.
        VIRGINIA is 26-14 ATS (+10.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.
        WISCONSIN is 150-112 ATS (+26.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        OAKLAND (2 - 3) at ORAL ROBERTS (1 - 5) - 11/27/2017, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        OAKLAND is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
        OAKLAND is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        OAKLAND is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
        OAKLAND is 20-9 ATS (+10.1 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
        ORAL ROBERTS is 86-121 ATS (-47.1 Units) in all games since 1997.
        ORAL ROBERTS is 86-121 ATS (-47.1 Units) in all lined games since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        OAKLAND is 1-0 against the spread versus ORAL ROBERTS over the last 3 seasons
        OAKLAND is 1-0 straight up against ORAL ROBERTS over the last 3 seasons
        1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        E ILLINOIS (2 - 3) at MARQUETTE (3 - 2) - 11/27/2017, 8:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        E ILLINOIS is 58-82 ATS (-32.2 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
        E ILLINOIS is 21-44 ATS (-27.4 Units) after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

        ALABAMA ST (0 - 6) at CINCINNATI (6 - 0) - 11/27/2017, 7:00 PM
        Top Trends for this game.
        CINCINNATI is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.

        Head-to-Head Series History
        There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

        --------------------------------------------------------------------------------
        Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-27-2017, 11:33 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          NCAAB
          Armadillo's Write-Up

          Monday, November 27


          Syracuse is 5-0, but best team they’ve played so far is #120 Oakland (schedule #305); Orange have #10 eFG% defense in country, holding teams to 36.1% inside arc- they’re #327 experience team in country, starting to sophs, two juniors and a frosh. Maryland is 6-1 after getting upset by the Bonnies in northwest Florida; Terrapins are #299 experience team that is turning ball over 25.1% of time (#338)- they start three sophs, one junior. ACC home favorites are 12-7 vs spread; Big 14 underdogs are 3-7 away from home.

          Duquesne hasn’t played in eight days; they’ve played easiest schedule in country so far this month. Dukes are 2-1 despite making only 24.3% of their 3’s- they start two seniors, appear to play only six guys, have a new coach. Cornell is 2-3, losing all three of its road games by 32-11-20 points; Big Red is #282 experience team that starts three juniors and a senior. A-14 home favorites are 8-10 vs spread; Ivy League underdogs are 6-6 vs spread away from home.

          Florida International is 0-3 vs D-I teams, losing to Stetson in OT, in 3OT’s to Elon; Panthers are shooting just 27.8% behind arc, 44.5% inside arc, 60% on foul line. FIU starts four juniors and a soph. South Carolina never trailed in 70-54 home win over FIU last year; Gamecocks are 4-1 this year, losing by 4 to Illinois State in Myrtle Beach tourney- Carolina hasn’t played in eight days. SEC favorites are 14-5 vs spread away from home.. C-USA underdogs are 10-15 vs spread.

          Yale’s two best players are out hurt; they start three juniors, no seniors, are 3-4 vs schedule #78 but all four losses are to top 100 teams- they’re 2-0 vs teams outside top 100. Bulldogs are turning ball over 21.5% of time, making just 30.1% on arc. #212 Delaware is 2-2 vs D-I teams; this is their first home game against a D-I team. Blue Hens are #298 experience team- they start two sophs and a freshman. Ivy League favorites are 1-3 vs spread away from home. CAA underdogs are 7-18.

          Virginia is 6-0 with five wins by 15 points; only close game was 76-67 win at VCU. Cavaliers have given up only 62.3 ppg so far this season. Tony Bennett’s dad led Wisconsin to 2000 Final Four. Cavaliers start two sophs, two seniors- they play slowest tempo in country. Wisconsin play tempo #332, also very slow- they’re 3-3, 0-3 vs top 100 teams, losing by 10-5-2 points- this is experience team #323 playing its first true road game. ACC home favorites are 12-7 vs spread; Big 14 underdogs are 3-7 away from home.

          Oakland lost its last three games, getting squashed in buy games at Syracuse/Kansas; Grizzlies beat Oral Roberts 92-64 at home LY- they’re playing pace #24 this year, with experience team #114, but they’re turning ball over 22.1% of time- they step way down in class here. ORU is 0-5 vs D-I teams, with three losses by 19+ points; Golden Eagles are turning ball over 23.5% of time. Horizon favorites are 3-2 vs spread away from home; Summit League underdogs are 17-10.

          Marquette is 3-2 vs schedule #28 so far this year; four of Eagles’ five games were against top 100 teams- they won by 21 in one game against a team outside the top 100. Marquette won two of three in Maui Classic; they’re #265 experience team in country. Eastern Illinois is 1-3 vs D-I teams, but lost to Nebraska by 4, beat Illinois in an exhibition game. EIU is #18 experience team in country- they’re turning ball over 22.8% of time. Big East home favorites are 8-5 vs spread; OVC road underdogs are 10-12.
          Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-27-2017, 11:38 AM.

          Comment


          • #6
            NCAAB

            Monday, November 27


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Trend Report
            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

            ST. MARY'S-MARYLAND @ TOWSON
            Towson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            Towson is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

            MARYLAND @ SYRACUSE
            Maryland is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
            Maryland is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games on the road
            Syracuse is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            Syracuse is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

            MARYLAND-EASTERN SHORE @ OLD DOMINION
            Old Dominion is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Maryland-Eastern Shor
            Old Dominion is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Maryland-Eastern Shore

            CORNELL @ DUQUESNE
            Cornell is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games
            Cornell is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
            Duquesne is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
            Duquesne is 3-15 SU in its last 18 games

            ALABAMA STATE @ CINCINNATI
            Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
            Cincinnati is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

            ALBANY @ MONMOUTH
            Monmouth is 16-4 SU in its last 20 games at home
            Monmouth is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games

            YALE @ DELAWARE
            Yale is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            Delaware is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
            Delaware is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

            ARMY @ NIAGARA
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Niagara's last 5 games
            Niagara is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games

            SOUTH CAROLINA @ FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
            South Carolina is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
            South Carolina is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games
            Florida International is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home
            Florida International is 5-18 SU in its last 23 games

            LIPSCOMB @ BELMONT
            Belmont is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Lipscomb
            Belmont is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Lipscomb

            EASTERN ILLINOIS @ MARQUETTE
            The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Eastern Illinois's last 5 games on the road
            Eastern Illinois is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
            Marquette is 14-5 SU in its last 19 games at home

            TEXAS-DALLAS @ TEXAS-ARLINGTON
            Texas-Arlington is 21-2 SU in its last 23 games at home
            The total has gone OVER in 5 of Texas-Arlington's last 6 games

            DELAWARE STATE @ TROY
            No trends to report
            Troy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
            Troy is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games

            STETSON @ WISCONSIN-GREEN BAY
            Wisconsin-Green Bay is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games at home
            Wisconsin-Green Bay is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

            OAKLAND @ ORAL ROBERTS
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Oral Roberts
            Oakland is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games when playing Oral Roberts

            MOREHEAD STATE @ CENTRAL ARKANSAS
            Morehead State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
            Morehead State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road

            BLUE MOUNTAIN @ NICHOLLS STATE
            No trends to report

            GRAMBLING STATE @ NORTH TEXAS
            North Texas is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games at home
            North Texas is 5-20 SU in its last 25 games

            WISCONSIN @ VIRGINIA
            The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin's last 6 games on the road
            Wisconsin is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
            Virginia is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
            Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

            LAMAR @ UTEP
            UTEP is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home
            UTEP is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games

            IDAHO STATE @ SEATTLE
            The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Idaho State's last 7 games on the road
            Idaho State is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
            Seattle is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games


            ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
            Last edited by StarDust Bum; 11-27-2017, 11:39 AM.

            Comment

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