Announcement

**Udog** · 11-24-2017, 09:34 AM

Armadillo: Friday's six-pack

NFL trends for Sunday’s Week 12 games

— Jets covered their last six games as a home underdog.

— Philadelphia won/covered its last seven games.

— Denver is 0-6 vs spread in its last six games.

— Falcons are 5-15 in last 20 games as a home favorite.

— Arizona is 5-15-1 vs spread in its last 21 games.

— Cleveland is 4-16 vs spread in its last 20 games.

**********

Armadillo: Friday's List of 13: Wrapping up a terrific Turkey Day…….

13) For as long as I could remember, TV on Thanksgiving Day was two NFL games, and then a college game at night; NFL then added a third game at night, but ESPN has really juiced up Turkey Day wth the addition of several college basketball tournaments, giving you a ton of stuff to watch all day and into the evening.

Orlando-Fullerton-Atlantis-Las Vegas-Portland-Brooklyn all hosted tournaments Thursday and thats not even counting the Alaskan Shootout, which isn’t on TV anymore and is in its last year.

ESPN takes a lot of grief for many reasons, but this is a good thing.

12) Duke 99, Portland State 81— Score looks like an easy win; it wasn’t. Duke was 31-42 on foul line, Vikings were 9-12. Portland State led 49-45 at the half. But it was more than that.

Duke led by 5 with 8:38 left when the refs gave up Portland State’s Deontae North a technical foul for something he said, which was highly unusual. Why was it unusual/damaging?

a) North had scored 24 points in 20:00 for Portland State
b) The technical is also a personal foul and it was North’s 5th foul of the game
c) North was sitting at the scorer’s table when he got the technical, waiting to check in.

I’ve never seen a guy foul out while sitting at the scorer’s table.

11) Chargers 28, Cowboys 6— Dallas is a mess; in their last three games, Cowboys have been outscored 72-6 in second half. 72. to. 6. Major problems.

This score could’ve been a lot worse; Chargers had ball in red zone four times, and only scored 10 points on those four drives, plus they missed a couple PAT’s.

10) Vikings 30, Lions 23— Case Keenum is inching into the conversation for MVP of the freakin’ league, but you still read how Keenum still has to be confirmed every week as the starting QB. How many games does Minnesota have to win before Keenum becomes the permanent starter, at least for the rest of this season?

9) Redskins 20, Giants 10— Only Giants’ TD was scored by the defense on a tipped ball/INT. Boy do they have some questions to face in the offseason:

a) Who will the next coach be?
b) Who will the QB be next year?
c) Do you give Odell Beckham a big-money contract?
d) Will they make the new coach keep Steve Spagnuolo as defensive coordinator?

8) Cris Collinsworth told an interesting story on TV near the end of the Redskins’ game:

Jay Gruden played in the Arena League, then was a head coach, then quit coaching and played again for a while. In his second stint as a player, a guy hit Gruden and broke his leg— Gruden had cut the guy when he was coaching.

The guy looked down on Gruden, who was on the ground in pain and said “I got ya back.”

7) Western Kentucky 77, Purdue 73— Boilermakers headed to Atlantis as a top 10 team, but now they’ve lost to Tennessee/WKU this week. Good win for Rick Stansbury’s Hilltoppers.

6) SMU 66, Arizona 60— Much like Purdue, Wildcats headed to Atlantis as a top 10 team- they were ranked 2nd in country, but now they’re 0-2 this week, also losing to NC State. Arizona is a very young team; talented, but young. We’ll see how they respond to this.

The 7th-place game in the Battle of Atlantis: Purdue-Arizona, two ex-top-10 teams.

5) West Virginia 84, Marist 78— West Virginia led by 15, then winless Red Foxes got hot and tied game 67-67- at one point they were 15-18 in 2nd half, 6-8 behind the arc.

Marist’s first three losses: Lehigh, Mass-Lowell, Army. They looked better than that here.

4) Ole Miss 31, Mississippi State 28— State QB Fitzgerald broke his leg, ending his fine season. Rebels finish 6-5, but can’t go to a bowl because they’re on double secret probation.

3) Arizona State 92, Kansas State 90— K-State scored 1.32 points/possession, which is huge, but they lost. ASU was 29-44 on foul line, Wildcats were 7-9. K-State was 15-32 on arc. Sun Devils are 5-0; Bobby Hurley played four of his starters 37:00+ in this game.

2) Florida 108, Stanford 85— Gators looked like world-beaters in this game- they had 96 points with 6:18 left in game. Stanford isn’t very good.

1) Arkansas 92, Oklahoma 83— Bill Walton did this game and the Carolina-Portland game; at one point, apparently he wasn’t happy with the officials, so he said “…….the referees need to go back to Foot Locker” because, you know, employees at Foot Locker wear referee’s shirts.

It is great to read Twitter when fans have never heard Walton do a game before, because they get all indignant because Walton is different. It is television; if you don’t like him, hit the damn mute button and watch the game. I enjoy listening to him, I always learn something, but it is rarely about basketball.

People actually get mad because he doesn’t always talk about basketball; get over it.

**Udog** · 11-24-2017, 09:48 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Friday, November 24

Portland @ Brooklyn

Game 501-502
November 24, 2017 @ 12:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Portland
122.662
Brooklyn
114.097
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Portland
by 8 1/2
221
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Portland
by 3 1/2
210 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Portland
(-3 1/2); Over

New York @ Atlanta

Game 503-504
November 24, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New York
120.458
Atlanta
114.969
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New York
by 5 1/2
207
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New York
by 2
209
Dunkel Pick:
New York
(-2); Under

Orlando @ Boston

Game 505-506
November 24, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Orlando
117.568
Boston
121.916
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 4 1/2
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
by 8 1/2
208
Dunkel Pick:
Orlando
(+8 1/2); Over

Detroit @ Oklahoma City

Game 507-508
November 24, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
120.830
Oklahoma City
120.280
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
199
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma City
by 8
204
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+8); Under

Miami @ Minnesota

Game 509-510
November 24, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
116.087
Minnesota
122.989
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 7
200
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 4
207 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-4); Under

Toronto @ Indiana

Game 511-512
November 24, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
128.577
Indiana
120.555
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 8
210
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
by 1
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-1); Under

Charlotte @ Cleveland

Game 513-514
November 24, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Charlotte
119.236
Cleveland
126.159
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 7
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
N/A

Memphis @ Denver

Game 515-516
November 24, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
119.788
Denver
116.283
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
by 3 1/2
201
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 6
208 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+6); Under

New Orleans @ Phoenix

Game 517-518
November 24, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New Orleans
124.297
Phoenix
110.951
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 13 1/2
225
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 6
229 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-6); Under

Chicago @ Golden State

Game 519-520
November 24, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
107.826
Golden State
130.489
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 22 1/2
204
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 18 1/2
216 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Golden State
(-18 1/2); Under

**Udog** · 11-24-2017, 09:51 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Friday, November 24

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PORTLAND (10 - 8) at BROOKLYN (6 - 11) - 11/24/2017, 12:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PORTLAND is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
PORTLAND is 19-31 ATS (-15.1 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PORTLAND is 3-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
PORTLAND is 4-1 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NEW YORK (10 - 7) at ATLANTA (3 - 15) - 11/24/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 31-19 ATS (+10.1 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 24-10 ATS (+13.0 Units) after a division game over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-2 against the spread versus ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 5-3 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ORLANDO (8 - 10) at BOSTON (16 - 3) - 11/24/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ORLANDO is 42-56 ATS (-19.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in all games this season.
BOSTON is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in November games over the last 2 seasons.
BOSTON is 15-3 ATS (+11.7 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
BOSTON is 34-20 ATS (+12.0 Units) against Southeast division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-3 against the spread versus ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-2 straight up against ORLANDO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (11 - 6) at OKLAHOMA CITY (8 - 9) - 11/24/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-2 against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 2-2 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (8 - 9) at MINNESOTA (11 - 7) - 11/24/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 124-160 ATS (-52.0 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 55-42 ATS (+8.8 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 36-23 ATS (+10.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
MIAMI is 31-18 ATS (+11.2 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 27-42 ATS (-19.2 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 2-13 ATS (-12.3 Units) in home games after scoring 115 points or more over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 29-52 ATS (-28.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 3-1 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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TORONTO (11 - 6) at INDIANA (10 - 8) - 11/24/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 212-160 ATS (+36.0 Units) on Friday nights since 1996.
INDIANA is 53-36 ATS (+13.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
TORONTO is 30-18 ATS (+10.2 Units) in the first half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 7-7 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 9-5 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
9 of 14 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHARLOTTE (8 - 9) at CLEVELAND (11 - 7) - 11/24/2017, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 7-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 8-1 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
7 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MEMPHIS (7 - 10) at DENVER (10 - 8) - 11/24/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 7-21 ATS (-16.1 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MEMPHIS is 4-3 against the spread versus DENVER over the last 3 seasons
MEMPHIS is 6-1 straight up against DENVER over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW ORLEANS (10 - 8) at PHOENIX (7 - 12) - 11/24/2017, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 38-68 ATS (-36.8 Units) in road games after a win by 10 points or more since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 4-4 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
NEW ORLEANS is 5-3 straight up against PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO (3 - 13) at GOLDEN STATE (13 - 5) - 11/24/2017, 10:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 263-321 ATS (-90.1 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
CHICAGO is 10-22 ATS (-14.2 Units) on Friday nights over the last 3 seasons.
CHICAGO is 154-118 ATS (+24.2 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 3-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

**Udog** · 11-24-2017, 09:52 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, November 24

Portland won seven of last nine games with the Nets (6-3 vs spread); Four of last five series games went over total. Blazers are 3-1 vs spread in last four visits to Brooklyn. Portland won four of its last six games; they’re 2-2 as road favorites. Last nine Blazer games stayed under the total. Nets lost four of their last five games; they’re 3-2 as home underdogs. Over is 3-1-1 in their last five games.

Hawks won their last three games with New York, but Knicks covered last six series games. Over is 7-2 in last nine series game. Knicks are 4-1 vs spread in last five visits to Atlanta. Knicks won seven of their last ten games; they’re 1-4 vs spread on road (all as an underdog). Four of their last five games stayed under total. Atlanta lost seven of its last eight games; they’re 2-4 as a home underdog. Three of their last four games went over total.

Celtics won their last five games with Orlando (4-1 vs spread); over is 5-2 in last seven series games. Magic is 1-4 vs spread in their last five visits to Boston. Orlando lost its last six games (2-3-1 vs spread); they’re 2-1 as a home underdog. Under is 4-1 in their last five home games. Boston won 16 of its last 17 games; they’re 4-1-1 as a home favorite. Four of their last five games went over the total.

Thunder won seven of last ten games with Detroit; last six series games stayed under the total. Pistons are 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to OKC. Detroit lost three of its last four games; they are 5-1 as a road underdog- last four Piston games stayed under total. Oklahoma City won four of its last six games; they’re 4-2-1 as home favorites. Four of their last six games went over the total.

Miami is 6-4 in its last ten games with Minnesota; road team won seven of last ten series games, with last three going over total. Heat covered its last five visits to the Twin Cities. Miami lost three of last five games, but beat Celtics in last game; they’re 4-2 as a road underdog. Under is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Wolves won four of last five home games; they’re 3-4 as a home favorite. Under is 8-2 in their last eight games.

Home side won seven of last ten Toronto-Indiana games; Raptors are 0-3 vs spread in last three visits to Indiana. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Toronto won four of its last five games; they’re 1-2 as a road favorite. Raptors’ last three games stayed under the total. Indiana won/covered its last four games; they’re 1-2 as a home underdog. Four of Pacers’ last six games stayed under the total.

Cavaliers won their last seven games with Charlotte (6-0-1 vs spread); seven of last eight series games went over total. Hornets are 0-4-1 vs spread in last five games in this building. Charlotte is off a 3-0 homestead but they’ve lost five in a row on road, are 2-4-1 as a road underdog. Cavaliers won their last six games (3-3 vs spread), are 1-8 as home favorites. Over is 6-3-1 in Cleveland’s last ten games.

Memphis won eight of its last nine games with Denver; three of last four series games went over total. Grizzlies covered their last three games in this building. Memphis lost its last six games (0-6 vs spread), last four of which were at home; Grizzlies are 3-2 as road underdogs. Under is 5-2 in their last seven games. Nuggets won their last four home games, are 4-3 vs spread as home favorites. Three of their last four games went over total.

Pelicans won their last three games with Phoenix; they’re 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to the desert. Over is 5-3 in last eight series games. New Orleans won seven of its last ten games; they are 3-0 as road favorites. Three of their last four games went over total. Phoenix split its last six games; they’re 3-5 vs spread as a home underdog. Six of Suns’ last eight games went over total.

Warriors won/covered three of last four games with Chicago (under 3-1); Bulls are 2-3 vs spread in last five visits to Oakland. Chicago lost eight of last nine games; Bulls are 0-4-1 vs spread in last five games as a road underdog. Under is 3-1 in their last four road games. Golden State won eight of last ten games, are 3-5 as home favorites. Six of Warriors’ last eight games stayed under the total.

**Udog** · 11-24-2017, 09:57 AM

NBA

Friday, November 24

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Trend Report
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PORTLAND @ BROOKLYN
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Portland's last 5 games
Portland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games when playing Portland

NEW YORK @ ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New York's last 5 games on the road
New York is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Atlanta's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against New York

ORLANDO @ BOSTON
Orlando is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Orlando's last 7 games when playing Boston
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Orlando
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

TORONTO @ INDIANA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto's last 5 games when playing on the road against Indiana
Toronto is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing at home against Toronto
Indiana is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games

CHARLOTTE @ CLEVELAND
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Charlotte's last 5 games
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Charlotte
Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

DETROIT @ OKLAHOMA CITY
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games when playing Oklahoma City
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oklahoma City's last 5 games when playing Detroit
Oklahoma City is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Detroit

MIAMI @ MINNESOTA
Miami is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Miami is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Minnesota's last 11 games

NEW ORLEANS @ PHOENIX
New Orleans is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
New Orleans is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games at home

MEMPHIS @ DENVER
Memphis is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing Denver
Memphis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Denver
Denver is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Denver is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games when playing at home against Memphis

CHICAGO @ GOLDEN STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Chicago's last 20 games
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Chicago's last 23 games when playing on the road against Golden State
Golden State is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
Golden State is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games

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Announcement

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/24

Friday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/24

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