Announcement

**Udog** · 11-19-2017, 09:54 AM

Armadillo:Sunday's six-pack

Six most popular picks for Week 11 in the Westgate Super Contest:

6) Denver Broncos -2.5 (583)

5) New Orleans Saints -7.5 (586)

4) Minnesota Vikings -2 (749)

3) Detroit Lions -2.5 (928)

2) New England Patriots -6.5 (1,086)

1) Philadelphia Eagles -3.5 (1,306)

Season record of top 6 picks: 23-37

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Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a college football Saturday

13) Texas 28, West Virginia 14— We talked earlier this week about players stretching the ball towards the goal line, trying to score a TD, but then getting hit and fumbling. West Virginia QB Grier did this when game was 0-0, fumbled for a touchback, and also broke the middle finger on his throwing hand, ending his day and likely his season. Not good.

In the ESPN studios later on, Booger MacFarland showed his hand to the camera; MacFarland played defensive line for LSU and then for nine years in the NFL. The pinky on one hand points almost straight out to the right; the middle finger on that hand looks like a dogleg left on a golf course. Apparently he didn’t ice his hand after it was splinted and it didn’t heal properly.

12) Purdue 24, Iowa 15— Hawkeyes scored TD with 1:04 left to cut lead to 24-15; instead of kicking PAT to get within one score, they went for 2 points and failed, ending the game. Unsure why they did that— just kick the PAT and put more pressure on Purdue to close the game out.

As for Purdue, they’re 5-6, making the Old Oaken Bucket game next week against rival Indiana for a bowl bid.

11) Miami 44, Virginia 28— Cavaliers led 14-0 early, 21-14 at half, 28-14 early in third quarter, then Miami stormed back and won going away. Virginia gained 439 yards but turned ball over three times and had a failed onside kick when they led 14-0.

10) Upsets of the Week:
Kansas State (+20) 45, Oklahoma State 40
Akron (+14.5) 37, Ohio U 34
Tulane (+9) 20, Houston 17
Purdue (+7) 24, Iowa 15
Coastal Carolina (+7) 13, Idaho 7
Duke (+6.5) 43, Georgia Tech 20

9) Alabama 56, Mercer 0
Clemson 61, Mercer 3
Florida State 77, Delaware State 6

To paraphrase Nancy Kerrigan, why? why? why? These games cheat the fans out of watching a competitive contest. Go play a Sun Belt team like Auburn did, or a MAC or C-USA team. Don’t play I-AA teams, its ridiculous.

8) Kansas State 45, Oklahoma State 40— 20-point underdog Kansas State led 42-13 late in 3rd quarter, but they wound up with their 4th-string QB in game in last 4:00, trying to preserve a 45-40 lead- they ran the Wildcat, went 3/out., but the defense preserved the win, making Bill Snyder’s team bowl eligible for the 8th year in a row.

K-State WR Byron Pringle caught four passes for 166 yards and three TD’s; he also ran a kickoff back 89 yards for a touchdown. Pretty good day.

7) LSU 30, Tennessee 10- Next year Vols will have their 7th head coach since Nick Saban has been at Alabama. LSU has had five coaches since Saban has been in Tuscaloosa.

6) Penn State 56, Nebraska 44— Cornhuskers allowed 50+ points in consecutive games for first time since 1945. I’m guessing Nebraska’s next coach will have from defensive side of the ball.

5) Texas A&M 31, Ole Miss 24- Shane Tripucka is A&M’s punter; his uncle is Kelly Tripucka, who played in the NBA for 10 years, scoring 12,142 points (17.2 pts/game).

4) Michigan State 17, Maryland 7— On a snowy day in East Lansing, the WINNING quarterback completed 2-14 passes for 20 yards. For the whole game. And they won.

3) Warriors 124, 76ers 116— Philly led this game 47-28 after the first quarter, led by 22 at the half, then Golden State went off in third quarter, outscoring the 76ers 47-15. Last time Sixers scored 47+ points in the first quarter of a game? March of 1990. They won that day.

2) USC 28, UCLA 23— Was surprised to hear Kirk Herbstreit say that he wouldn’t be surprised if QB Sam Darnold goes back to USC next season. Only a cynic would translate that as meaning: “I don’t want to play for Cleveland”

Herbstreit later said that right now, Rosen is clearly ahead of Darnold as an NFL prospect. Very unusual to hear that kind of candid analysis. Agree or disagree, but we need more of that.

1) Wake Forest 30, NC State 24— Freshman WR for NC State had ball on one-yard line with 2:00 left, tried to lunge forward to get the ball over the goal line……and fumbled. No bueno.

Maybe it is what Phil Jackson calls “heightened awareness”, I notice it more because it bugs me so much, but it does seem like lot of ballcarriers are fumbling near the goal line.

NC State was 14-23 on 3rd down in this game; pretty sure I’ve never seen a team convert 14 third down plays for first downs in one game. Wolfpack ran 94 plays, Wake Forest ran 56, but the Deacons won. Go figure.

**Udog** · 11-19-2017, 10:14 AM

NBA
Long Sheet

Sunday, November 19

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INDIANA (8 - 8) at MIAMI (7 - 8) - 11/19/2017, 5:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 54-41 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 24-11 ATS (+11.9 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
INDIANA is 78-54 ATS (+18.6 Units) in road games in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 123-159 ATS (-51.9 Units) in November games since 1996.
MIAMI is 126-173 ATS (-64.3 Units) in home games in the first half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 5-3 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 5-3 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (9 - 6) at TORONTO (10 - 5) - 11/19/2017, 3:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TORONTO is 4-4 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
TORONTO is 6-2 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GOLDEN STATE (12 - 4) at BROOKLYN (6 - 9) - 11/19/2017, 6:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GOLDEN STATE is 44-66 ATS (-28.6 Units) in road games on Sunday games since 1996.
BROOKLYN is 34-18 ATS (+14.2 Units) against Pacific division opponents since 1996.
GOLDEN STATE is 91-62 ATS (+22.8 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
BROOKLYN is 2-2 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
GOLDEN STATE is 4-0 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DETROIT (10 - 5) at MINNESOTA (10 - 5) - 11/19/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) in road games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points/game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-0 against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 5-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (3 - 10) at PHOENIX (6 - 11) - 11/19/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO is 263-318 ATS (-86.8 Units) in the first half of the season since 1996.
PHOENIX is 32-51 ATS (-24.1 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 2-2 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 2-2 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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DENVER (9 - 6) at LA LAKERS (6 - 10) - 11/19/2017, 9:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA LAKERS are 199-246 ATS (-71.6 Units) after a division game since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 5-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 5-2 straight up against LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
7 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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**Udog** · 11-19-2017, 10:15 AM

NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, November 19

Home side won last 10 Indiana-Miami games; Heat covered five of last six series games. Pacers are 1-4 vs spread in last five visits to South Beach. Under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Pacers won three of last four games; they’re 4-3 vs spread as road underdogs. Under is 3-1 in their last four games. Miami split its last ten games but lost two of last three at home; they’re 0-3 as a home favorite this year. Under is 7-2 in Heat’s last nine games.

Road team won five of last six Wizard-Raptor games; under is 6-2 in last eight series games. Washington is 3-1 vs spread in its last four visits to Canada. Wizards won four of their last five games; they’re 4-0 vs spread as a road underdog. Last seven Washington games stayed under the total. Raptors won five of their last six games; they’re 3-3 as a home favorite. Over is 6-3 in their last nine games.

Warriors were down 22 at half in Philly last nite, rallied to win; they’ve won last four games with Brooklyn, but Nets covered four of last six series games. Golden State is 3-2 vs spread in last five visits to Brooklyn. Under is 5-2 in last seven series games. Warriors won eight of last nine games, are 4-4 as road favorites; four of their last six games stayed under. Nets split their last six games; they’re 2-2 as home underdogs. Last three Brooklyn games went over the total.

Detroit won/covered its last five games with Minnesota; they’re 2-2-1 vs spread in last five visits to Twin Cities. five of last six series games went over total. Pistons lost their last three road tilts but are 7-3 overall in last ten games; they’re 4-1 as road underdogs. Over is 4-2 in Detroit’s last six games. Minnesota won eight of its last ten games; they’re 3-2 as home favorites. Wolves’ last eight games all stayed under the total.

Bulls are 5-3 in their last eight games with the Suns; they’re 4-1 vs spread in last five visits to the desert. Under is 3-0 in Bulls’ last three games in Phoenix. Chicago lost seven of its last nine games; they’re 4-2-1 as road underdogs. Under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Suns lost seven of their last nine games; they’re 0-3 vs spread as a home favorite. Four of last six Phoenix games went over the total.

Lakers lost seven of last nine games with Denver; last eight series games all went over the total. Nuggets are 4-1 vs spread in last five series games played here. Denver won six of its last eight games; they’re 1-3 vs spread as a road favorite. Over is 6-4 in their last ten games. Lakers lost five of their last six games; they’re 3-4 as a home underdog. Four of their last six games stayed under the total

**Udog** · 11-19-2017, 10:17 AM

NBA

Sunday, November 19

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Trend Report
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WASHINGTON @ TORONTO
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington's last 8 games when playing on the road against Toronto
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Toronto's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
Toronto is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

INDIANA @ MIAMI
The total has gone OVER in 15 of Indiana's last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indiana's last 5 games when playing Miami
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Indiana
Miami is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Indiana

GOLDEN STATE @ BROOKLYN
Golden State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games
Golden State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Brooklyn
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Brooklyn's last 6 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Brooklyn's last 5 games at home

DETROIT @ MINNESOTA
Detroit is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing Detroit

CHICAGO @ PHOENIX
Chicago is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
Chicago is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games
Phoenix is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games when playing Chicago

DENVER @ LA LAKERS
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 5 games when playing LA Lakers
Denver is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games when playing on the road against LA Lakers
The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Lakers's last 5 games when playing at home against Denver

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**Udog** · 11-19-2017, 11:48 AM

NBA
Dunkel

Sunday, November 19

Indiana @ Miami

Game 701-702
November 19, 2017 @ 5:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Indiana
113.310
Miami
127.508
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 14
196
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
by 5
206
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-5); Under

Washington @ Toronto

Game 703-704
November 19, 2017 @ 3:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
118.478
Toronto
131.129
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 12 1/2
223
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
N/A

Golden State @ Brooklyn

Game 705-706
November 19, 2017 @ 6:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Golden State
130.415
Brooklyn
118.581
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Golden State
by 12
217
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Golden State
by 13
234
Dunkel Pick:
Brooklyn
(+13); Under

Detroit @ Minnesota

Game 707-708
November 19, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
123.625
Minnesota
120.272
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 3 1/2
215
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 6
209 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+6); Over

Chicago @ Phoenix

Game 709-710
November 19, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
110.045
Phoenix
116.620
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 6 1/2
205
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 2 1/2
215 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-2 1/2); Under

Denver @ Memphis

Game 711-712
November 19, 2017 @ 9:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Denver
122.502
Memphis
116.185
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 6 1/2
213
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 4 1/2
222 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Denver
(-4 1/2); Under

Announcement

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/19

Sunday's NBA Trends and Indexes - 11/19

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